Hi guys,
I'm very keen on this firm since it would be good to spread the risk and diversify away from just ASICminer. To that end I've bought a few hundred dollars worth of bASIC and am quite keen to go further, but I too share lunarboy's concerns (more below).
I'm looking into acquiring some shares here. I couldn't find anything with regards to your purchasing plan?
Do you have a timeline of intentions to expand? Particularly your intentions to purchase more ASIC hardware from where and how much?
Welcome lunarboy. The original contract(OP) called for IPO funds to be applied to bulk ASIC purchases. I laid the groundwork for this with the now defunct BTCFPGA, but this was always conditional upon receipt of our first bASIC01 mining unit, which didn't happen. We've since had the same problem that every other ASIC mining company has faced in that we're unable to deploy funds for more hardware with a reasonable time to delivery.
The Avalon orders that the company now owns were intended to be stop gap measures to get us more efficient gear to add to our stable of GPUs while we wait for the ASIC hardware field to develop. Looking forward, ASICMiner + Avalon B2, B3, chip sales, & potentially B4 will raise difficulty significantly and as a result it's difficult to see ASICMiner blades offering a positive ROI with their current price. There are simply no other ASIC mining hardware options available at this time.
When there are options available that make sense whether custom built hardware based on Avalon chips with reasonable delivery times, ASICMiner blades at reasonable prices, or a new player in the field we'll have the opportunity and resources to significantly increase our hashing power.
Please can you share your reasoning on why ASICMiner blades will not be a positive ROI? I must tend to agree that there is a conflict of interest with them (running it themselves vs. selling the hardware) which is likely to put the price up, but here are my sums:
- Price per blade: 50 BTC ~= $6,000.
- Assuming 75 Watts and $0.15/kWh power ~= $0.27/day
- According to this profit calculator at 10 GH/sec ~= 0.45 BTC/day.
Assuming a linear 50% reduction in yield over the first year (probably excessively aggressive) - ie. 0.45 BTC/day at the start of the year, 0.225 BTC/day at the end - we get:
0.34 BTC/day x 365 days = 123.2 BTC ~= $14,750
That's an enormous yield in year one and swiftly pays for the entire capital outlay - seems like a good deal to me! Going forwards using the same 50% decline it would still be a massive pay-earning ratio (which is what markets care about).
Further, the longer you wait the less valuable the hashing power you can get will be - this is an arms race. I'd encourage you to buy ASICMiner's units if you can.
Kate.
Disclosure: Yes I have ASICminer shares too, but I genuinely believe in healthy competition and its merits for the market as a whole - plus I want to diversify.