I put my money where my mouth is. The day I saw confirmed customers receive Butterfly products was the day I ordered.
I'm curious, when do you think you'll receive your order?
I don't have any set expectation. I knew going in that ordering later would put me pretty far back in the queue. I'm not one of those people who expects that Bitcoin is a surefire way to make them rich.
It will show up when it shows up. That's how pre-orders (on anything besides video games) usually work. Thanksgiving? Christmas? Who knows? That's part of the excitement of doing a pre-order of a product that almost nobody has.
Which is why I didn't put all my eggs in one basket. I've got Avalon chips on order as well. My guess is that the Avalon chips show up before the BFL. However the Avalon chips consume much more power and have a higher $/hashing power ratio, so they'll take longer to break even, and will not remain as profitable for as long. It's impossible to predict the future of Bitcoin value, hardware improvements, difficulty change, etc. This is not a get-rich-quick scheme. It's not a 'sure bet'. If you want a sure thing, go greet people at wal-mart for $11/hour, or better yet, buy some stock. Wal-mart's not going away any time soon. Bitcoin could end overnight.
[Cue the people accusing me of being a Wal-Mart shill].