It's beginning to look really ugly for anyone holding onto their BFL order that is not in the first month of orders. Jalapenos seem to be shipping at a decent clip but those who ordered singles/little singles/minirigs are being left in the dust.
BTC ROI for the little single I ordered (first week preorders were available) is now at the 6 month mark from my calculations.
we've discussed this at length. use USD roi calculation. if you get it today your USD break even point is roughly 2 weeks.
Why would I calculate ROI in USD when I paid in BTC?
Yes, it has been discussed at length and BFL sock puppets keep disregarding the obviuos. Ordering bitcoin ASIC is not a USD investment, it's a BTC investment irrespective of how you paid it. Your ASIC can be used
ONLY to mine BTC and nothing else. If the price of BTC drops to zero the price of your bitcoin ASIC will drop to zero as well.
Once again, BFL sock puppet here. Except they've never heard of me and I don't get paid.
Until such point as you can buy food gas groceries, pay rent or mortgage, and taxes with bitcoin, it could be INSANELY stupid to judge you returns by bitcoin and bitcoin alone. Even if you're buying things directly for bitcoin, it still would be, since almost anything sold except for block eruptors are sold with a fixed USD (or CAD or EUR) and a price in BTC that fluctuates.
In other words, even if you could live in bitcoin only land, your prices will be fluctuating based on exchange rates. Besides which all of your other inputs are denominated in fiat - electricity, computer, rent, etc. it's frankly insane you don't recognize this.
Put another way: if you loan someone 2btc when usd/BTC is 200 and they pay you back 3 BTC when usd/BTC is 100 did you come out ahead? Did you do better than someone who loaned out 2 BTC when usd/BTC was 100 and received back only 2.1 BTC when the usd/BTC exchange rate is 240? If you can say with a straight face that you'd prefer to be the first person, well, you're living in an alternate reality.
One day, when goods and services are sold for fixed BTC rates against fluctuating fiat rates, then yes, denominate your returns in bitcoin. That day isn't today. You're not being honest with yourself, and more importantly, you're not being honest with anyone else by pretending otherwise.