I doubt that we should be measuring our BTC investment in short time frames, and surely if we measure in 4 year or longer time frames, then we likely are going to be doing quite well, even right now.
Let me take a couple of shorter time frames and let's see where we might be, even if we
started investing $100 per week in BTC at various high price points in 2021.
Example 1: Started buying $100 per week at the beginning of the year right before the first 2021 price peak. We would have had invested $17,500, and we would have about 0.5386 BTC (currently worth about $33,833) (so nearly 100% in profits... or nearly doubled in value.
Example 2: Starting in October 2021 - right before the second peak in the BTC price. The guy buying $100 per week would have had invested $13,600, and we would have about 0.4489 BTC (currently worth about $28,218) (so a little more than 100% in profits... or more than doubled in value.
Those first two examples are not quite right, even thought the first guy has more BTC than the second one.. so usually the longer that you are buying BTC then the more likely you would be in higher levels of profits..
Let's try another example (
Example 3) of a person who has been
buying $100 per week for the last 4 years, so that would take us back to May 2020... He would have had invested $20,900 and accumulated 0.8405 BTC (currently worth about $52,909) (so about 150% in profits...
Let's try another example (
Example 4) of a person who has been
buying $100 per week the last 7 years, so that would take us back to May 2017.. back before the 2017 run up... He would have had invested $36,600 and accumulated 3.689 BTC (currently worth about $232,300) (so about 535% in profits...
So there is a kind of tendency that the longer that you invest, then the more likely you are going have created more options for yourself, as long as you mostly accumulate and protect your stash from getting taken from you... maybe privately storing it.
We can likely see it in our BTC portfolio with the passage of time, so no one would have to tell us; however, surely in the first 4 years or so, it might not be so clear regarding the amount of profits, so sometimes it can take a while to see that the bitcoin investment had given more options by investing into it as compared to not having had invested into it (or perhaps choosing to invest your money in other places).
I haven’t had the opportunity to hold Bitcoin for a year since I only just joined started building my portfolio this year but, am not looking to hold for a short time, nope, not by any chance.
Available testimonials on various levels (both the negative and positive) have proven that, Bitcoin shouldn’t even have a timing to it and I’ll tell you why am saying that.
Those who bought Bitcoin back then in 2010 through 2014 and later got to sell it. Even though they might have sold on profit and have reasons to be happy about the price they sold, some of those guys still gets to look at the price on the chart today and wish they had held on. It even gets worst for those who used it to pay for some product or service and later come to realize just how many of those product the said amount could buy in recent times.
Hence, having to sell in today would still have that same effect as per those who sold in the time past when the future year becomes a prevailing reality.
One thing is for sure though, situations do push people to doing that which they would have hoped to avoid but, never sell because you feel you’ve hold enough and should be taking profit. Also, accumulations shouldn’t stop, i think it should be a save guarding your future approach towards it and you don’t do that at once, you continue to buy through your existence. Let your buying enrich your portfolio and let the market price appreciate your efforts in Bitcoin price.