That's the main thing I want to know that what to do in the period when spot price goes below 200-WMA. It's good time to accumulate Bitcoins rather to sell. If you see past price of Bitcoins then in the long run spot price always recovers no matter how much down it goes.
You still have to attempt to budget, since there is no guarantee that the BTC price is going to end up coming back.
This is something one has to believe that Bitcoin price will recover no matter how much it goes down. Recently when Bitcoin price drops below 20k there were speculations that Bitcoin will go below 10k. But those who have believe in Bitcoin were saying it's the last time we are seeing Bitcoin below 20k. So it depends what you feel about Bitcoin. I have a strong feeling that Bitcoin price will go above with time. Though it may drop to some unexpected low's.
Sure, the odds might be low that the BTC price might not ever recover, but the odds are not zero, so you have to temper your own investment into bitcoin and to balance your cashflow, and if you were already convinced about bitcoin, you might not have any extra money when the BTC price ended up dipping below the 200-WMA because you had already been investing aggressive and/or overly aggressive prior to the BTC price even dropping below the 200-WMA, so part of the reason that it is difficult to know is partly based on your own situation, and if you had been accumulating all along then why would you have extra dollars merely because the BTC price happens to be down.
Having said that I am fully convinced about Bitcoin, I don't have huge money to go for lump sum investment rather I will go for DCA and if I see price of Bitcoin going down 200-WMA then I will take that opportunity to go aggressive. It's a kind of ideal situation that price of Bitcoin is down below 200-WMA and you have cash to buy bitcoin
So based on past price of Bitcoin we must not get worry even if price of Bitcoin is going below 200-WMA.
You should be able to have some confidence, but it still remains up to you regarding how much conviction that you have and no one is going to save you if you end up estimating wrong in terms of how you choose to balance your own cashflows. You are also going to be the one who is going to have to suffer if you make the wrong balancing choices.
It's my money so I am the one who will enjoy the profit or bear loss. I am convinced that my money is going in right direction.
There are many folks around who are investing in ETFs but I am one of few who is least interested in this ETF stuff.
There are some folks, institutions and/or governments who would have never been ready, wiling and/or able to invest into bitcoin directly, so the ETF provides an onramp to bitcoin that had not previously been available to certain kinds of investors to get exposure to bitcoin.
They want to play safe or don't want to take the risk that's why they go for ETF to avoid risk or legal complications.