Exactly.. Selling and expecting to buy back cheaper (to increase your BTC stash) contains a lot of uncertainties, and seems so easy in theory, but not as easy in practice.... so then one of the main logical solutions is not to sell any of your BTC unless you are expecting to not be able to buy it back.. so then that means that you either have enough or you have excess... it is difficult for a bitcoin newbie to get to a position of having enough or excess bitcoin, but if a bitcoin newbie reaches a status of having enough or too much BTC, then he has more options regarding how to treat his BTC holdings.
so that also means that if the goal of selling your BTC is to be able to get more BTC, then that makes less sense than just continuing to buy BTC.. so that if you conclude that you don't have enough, you just keep buying until you have enough or too much.
I understand what I am saying does not make sense to some people, especially those who really believe that there is some value to try to sell BTC in order to buy back more, and so they are free to employ such strategy, which has questionable odds of success.. especially if it ends up getting the guy out of the buying and accumulating mindset.. which truly is the most assured way to actually build a bitcoin stash to high amounts.
The uncertainty in this step is of course if they don't have the patience to wait, but if they are patient maybe they can buy it back at a cheap price.
You seem to be presuming too much. If you sell on the way up, and the price does not end up coming back down, then it does not matter how patient you are. We have had a lot of those kinds of examples in bitcoin's history and we are going to continue to have those kinds of examples in which people are selling and expecting to buy back cheaper... so do I need to list the many examples of that?
Do you really believe that it is a good idea to sell some of your bitcoin when you don't have enough in the first place, and then just wait it out? Sounds retarded to me, especially if you have not yet reached a status of over accumulation and especially with a paradigm-shifting asset like bitcoin that still seems to be in its earliest of adoption phases, and when the largest wealth redistribution known to mankind is in the midst of happening, why would you want to fuck around trying to trade that unless you have already assessed that you have enough or that you have too many?
You can do what you want if you are of the belief that patience is the solution to some diptwat who sold too much too soon.
But selling to be able to add BTC by accumulating at a low price is often not in accordance with our expectations.
It is a bad idea and a bad practice, but you are free to do what you like. No one is stopping you, but if you try to argue that it is a good idea then you are first not even in the right thread for such topic, and you also are not likely engaging in good kinds of long term investment practices, especaily when it comes to BTC.
Meaning that after they sell, the price actually goes up and at the same time they cannot control it so they buy back at the highest price, which will harm them in paying trading costs. And also their targets were really not achieved.
Sometimes if guys sell too much too soon, and they get opportunties to buy back, they will need to figure out how to not get too greedy, and it is largely a losing game to try to accomplish the buy backs, and surely it is better to make sure that your fees and/or taxes are covered, and to me it seems that the one of the ONLY ways to really ensure success with these kinds of tactics is to be a professional trader(gambler) who knows how to make appropriate hedges of his bets, or the more realistically practical way is to make sure that you have enough or more than enough BTC when you sell any so that if you end up selling any, you have already figured out that you are not selling too much too soon, so you are not necessarily planning (or expecting) to be able to buy whatever you sold at cheaper prices.
So, for example, if your goal is to get to fuck you status.. and you consider fuck you status to be able to passively withdraw $6,666 per month on a sustainable basis, but you are torn about which metrics to use because if you use traditional measurements that include a withdrawal rate of 4% per year, then you would need to have 61 BTC to reach such status, but if you use some more advanced metrics that involve a BTC withdrawal rate of 10% per year, then you would ONLY need 24.4 BTC.
So you may well be torn about whether fuck you have enough coins to reach fuck you status, especially if you might have a number of coins that falls somewhere towards the bottom of the range versus being at the top of the range which is more reassuring. So in any of those cases in which you have somewhere between 24.4 BTC and 61 BTC or even higher quantities of BTC, you could reasonably conclude that you have enough BTC or you have more than enough BTC, and you therefore would be able to feel more free to start to sell some of your BTC and/or to fuck around with waiting for the possibility of buying back lower from whatever reasonable amounts that you end up selling because you are within a kind of range in which there are ways to calculate that you have enough or more than enough BTC. And, if those valuations are made based on bottom prices (such as the 200-WMA) rather than current spot prices, then the calculations are going to be more accurate and/or reasonable than a guy who might have 10 BTC and who is calculating that he has enough based on his on criteria, yet based on BTC spot prices.
A lot of guys make those valuation calculations based on spot prices and then they end up selling too many BTC too soon and then they also might end up pulling the fuck you lever too soon and they don't have enough BTC(or money) to really live off of their stash under their own stated criteria.. and it seems kind of dumb to me to conclude that you have some kind of an ability to live off your BTC stash but you are eating into the principle, and you don't yet have enough to buy a Lambo or whateve other premature excitement that you want to exercise.
I doubt that a guy who has those similar goals of wanting a sustainable $6,666 per month income, and ONLY has somewhere in the ballpark of 10 BTC has the luxury of concluding that he has enough coins or more than enough coins. He needs to get into a proper range of over-accumulation of BTC before he might start to sell or shave off some of his coins..... and of course, each of us needs to to come to our own calculations regarding what our goals might be and figuring out that we have not sold too many coins too soon or concluded that we are richer than we are merely based on BTC spot price that we know to be quite outrageously volatile. .. and why should any of us want to spend a good amount of time to accumulate a decent BTC stash and then convert it into dollars because we want it to be more stable.. but then we no longer have a sufficient amount of bitcoin.. which is the place that our value should mostly stay.
For this reason, I am more interested in continuing to hold and accumulate bitcoin at low prices with reserve funds, therefore reserve funds are really needed to take advantage of the opportunity to buy on the decline.
This part sounds right, but your overall response seems to be flip-flopping.
Selling is certainly not a good principle for someone if they are planning an investment in the long term but they change their mind by selling and buying again which can turn things into quite a mess.
This part is correct too. Maybe I just misunderstood what you were saying earlier?