Just for clarification, I do believe that people can do whatever they like, but I also think that bitcoin's investment thesis has gotten stronger in the past few years, and also remember that I am just some random person on the internet who has views about bitcoin so you do have to come to your own conclusions in regards to assessing the ongoing strength of bitcoin's investment thesis (and if it has strength).
Just remembering those words as a long-term investment, and of course I myself have concluded that it is my secret when to take that profit, basically 4-10 is the reference for long-term investment that's all.
I won't depend on anyone else, that would be good advice in my opinion.
Well if you can appreciate that historically people might have had worked, invested and saved for 30 or more years with an expectation that if they continue to engage in good investing and saving strategies then, they would be able to have choices to either NOT work or to reduce their work levels. They may have goals to reach some kind of a "fuck you status" in order that they can choose for themselves in their elder years without having to worry about finances, and if they can achieve such fuck you status prior to reaching retirement age then that can be a bonus. Sometimes they are not even able to reach that status and they have to continue to work more hours and more years into the future than their preferences.
Bitcoin has the potential to help folks to be able to reach fuck you status and maybe even to reach it earlier as long as there is prudence, patience and persistency. So yeah, 4 years would be really soon to start cashing out of BTC, even if a person may well profit from BTC in such short terms, but the ones who are able to hold onto their BTC longer have greater chances to benefit from the compounding aspects in which BTC value continues to compound onto itself.
I think that I agree with you about this point, which seems to be that ultimately, the upside potential for bitcoin means that any newbie does not necessarily need to invest a lot into BTC in order to have the potential to still gain a lot from having had invested into BTC.
However, at the same time, there still can be some advantage in terms of engaging in a strategy that is sufficiently aggressive and not overly whimpy nor overly aggressive, and of course, where and how to draw those kinds of lines regarding how much is aggressive is enough and not too much is going to be discretionary and some people may realize that they had not been aggressive enough or that they might get into a situation in which they realize that they were too aggressive.
For beginners I think should be excluded in terms of readiness to take part in investments, they are completely dependent on conditions at the time of purchase, regardless of how bitcoin has performed in previous years. Because the ongoing trend sometimes reacts the same as the previous market reaction, which is why analysis and viewing quarters can provide insight into their investment journey, although in reality not all processes experience the same thing, at least when the trend is going down and the market react not as expected, then they can wait for the right time to release bitcoin.
If panic occurs at that time, then generally they will release it, resulting in losses that they cannot avoid, I personally started practicing this in investing, but specifically for bitcoin.
The most important thing is to stay calm under any circumstances, because panic is the closest to loss
You seem to be describing a practice that is the opposite of what I would recommend in terms of your seeming to want to worry about whether you should sell or not if the BTC price is going down.
I would suspect that it is a better practice to buy on the way down, and if you are worried to wait.. or to HODL.. but at the same time, you may buy on the way down, but the BTC price keeps going down so you do not really have a choice except to wait because you do not have enough money to keep buying unless the price stays low long enough for your cash flow to come in, and then maybe at that point, there would be a choice between just buying on an ongoing basis such as DCA or waiting for more dip.
But it is foolish to expect always more dip. Holding from a reliable dip greatly reduces the risk.
To invest in bitcoin there is no need to wait for a low decline, because under any circumstances bitcoin can be bought, it's just that we need to wait for the time to pump up, from investments made at a certain price.
Regardless of market analysis and trends, I think bitcoin can be bought for now, if you look closely, the market quarter will be heading towards the green line in the next few weeks or months.
Again, if you are suggesting that you have to wait until there is a sign that the BTC price is going back up before you buy, then you may well end up waiting too long and you do not receive the sign, but the bitcoin price starts to go up and you end up buying too late.
In any event, there are different approach es to these kinds of timing of the buying matters, and sometimes it is possible to beat the market, even though regular blind DCA may well end up performing just as well, if not better.
DIP is hard to find. At least it's hard to predict. You say it's here and it falls further. You ask if you should buy it and it's gone before you do. Those who can find it are really lucky. I see it as around 13 thousand dollars in bitcoin. At least I will make my purchases gradually from here.
If you try to be too smart for your own good, you may well end up chasing the train with your suitcases, like these poor fellas.