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Topic: Calling top at $16500 (Even Newer!: $2483 bottom 19 Feb 2021 MtGox said so!) - page 3. (Read 24373 times)

legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 8114
Quote from: sgbett
Id say look at the 250k you actually have vs the paper million you would be about to lose.

Keep watching!

You are starting to sound like CSW, sgbett... many idle promises that never come to pass.. and then you move onto the next idle promise.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

It's not very honest behavior, is it.

I refuse to believe that sgbett is so dumb he doesn't realize that everything he's said for the last 3 years has been completely wrong. I don't accept that he honestly believes what he is saying.

At the very least, sgbett is a lesson in why you shouldn't trust people who 100% rely on "dude, trust me" to justify their opinions. A superb degree of confidence is no match for an honest understanding and acceptance of reality.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'


/popcorn


Having seen your “predictions”, and they have been wrong, I believe you’re getting the popcorn as a celebration for another surge going to $50,000 in two weeks? Cool

Because Stock-to-flow says so.



I never always believed in the model, but I was also wrong when I debated that it was “priced in” last year, approaching the halving.

Ath sunday night


You were wrong only by one day. How did you know? Cool

Back to your Dogecoin mining, you said that Dogecoin could make you earn more than Bitcoin, does it earn you more than Litecoin? They’re merge-mined, would Dogecoin become the “first coin” for that mining algorithm? Would ASIC companies/builders start to build ASICs with Dogecoin first in their plans, not Litecoin?
  The earning now are 70% ltc and 30% doge.  when you asked the question it was more like 60% ltc and 40% doge  which was stunning.  I would guess it may drift back to 80-20 ratio.  but it was 95ltc and 5doge

Most people fail to see the mechanics of ltc/doge vs btc/bch/bsv
ltc and doge merge mine   you mine both coins at the same time. and doge is a small (now bigger) by product.

They combine rather then compete as btc or bsv or bch this is fundamentally a huge issue as bsv and bch are much lessor users of the same al-gore-rhythm.
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 13334
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
BTW, more FUD-posters should realise they ruin peoples wealth etc.... Other side of-course never believe one fools opinion, explore more, DYOR and value the opinion of wider public and never that of one man.
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 13334
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Damn this thread. I would still have a lots of BTCs by now if I had not read this thread! My bad decision last year was affected by this thread. Now BTC is too expensive and I can't get enough BTCs as I used to own. I feel so sad each day seeing price of BTC increasing day by day. I would have been a millionaire now if I had not sold most of my portfolio last year when the BTC price was only at 10k - 12k.

If you would be a millionaire now at 40k then that means you took $250,000 off the table. Congrats!

Ofc if you had a million riding on BTC right now the question would be sell or hold.

Everyone will tell you HODL of course, they are in the same boat.

Id say look at the 250k you actually have vs the paper million you would be about to lose.

Keep watching!

Wow that you dare saying those words



legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Damn this thread. I would still have a lots of BTCs by now if I had not read this thread! My bad decision last year was affected by this thread. Now BTC is too expensive and I can't get enough BTCs as I used to own. I feel so sad each day seeing price of BTC increasing day by day. I would have been a millionaire now if I had not sold most of my portfolio last year when the BTC price was only at 10k - 12k.

If you would be a millionaire now at 40k then that means you took $250,000 off the table. Congrats!

Ofc if you had a million riding on BTC right now the question would be sell or hold.

Everyone will tell you HODL of course, they are in the same boat.

Id say look at the 250k you actually have vs the paper million you would be about to lose.

Keep watching!

You are starting to sound like CSW, sgbett... many idle promises that never come to pass.. and then you move onto the next idle promise.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

You seem to be smart enough to know that there are all kinds of risk management strategies when it comes to various kinds of assets that a person can hold, how much to allocate in the various assets and decisions about whether to reallocate which depends on a variety of factors including what other assets that the person has, cashflow, view of bitcoin as compared with other assets, timeline, risk tolerance and time, skills and abilities to research, learn and tweak holdings from time to time, which may include trading.

Only 6-ish more days for the arrival of doom and gloom 2/19 - and it looks like all three of us voters have been a wee bit bearish (some moreso than others) absent some really extreme DOWNity BTC price moves in the coming week.. which does not seem too likely, especially to bring any of the competitors into the championship beyond yours truly (though I should not be counting my chickens before they hatch; I know).

Are you going to need to start another thread, after your pretty damned BIG ASS fail that is seeming inevitable (the more convincing claim is that the BIG ASS fail has already happened - but we can give you until 2/19 to point and laugh at you a bit more, no?) within this thread?
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
Damn this thread. I would still have a lots of BTCs by now if I had not read this thread! My bad decision last year was affected by this thread. Now BTC is too expensive and I can't get enough BTCs as I used to own. I feel so sad each day seeing price of BTC increasing day by day. I would have been a millionaire now if I had not sold most of my portfolio last year when the BTC price was only at 10k - 12k.

If you would be a millionaire now at 40k then that means you took $250,000 off the table. Congrats!

Ofc if you had a million riding on BTC right now the question would be sell or hold.

Everyone will tell you HODL of course, they are in the same boat.

Id say look at the 250k you actually have vs the paper million you would be about to lose.

Keep watching!
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
Damn this thread. I would still have a lots of BTCs by now if I had not read this thread! My bad decision last year was affected by this thread. Now BTC is too expensive and I can't get enough BTCs as I used to own. I feel so sad each day seeing price of BTC increasing day by day. I would have been a millionaire now if I had not sold most of my portfolio last year when the BTC price was only at 10k - 12k.

I believe 95% of posters in this thread predicted bull market for this year and over $20k prices. So maybe next time read more then just the title.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 8114
Damn this thread. I would still have a lots of BTCs by now if I had not read this thread! My bad decision last year was affected by this thread. Now BTC is too expensive and I can't get enough BTCs as I used to own. I feel so sad each day seeing price of BTC increasing day by day. I would have been a millionaire now if I had not sold most of my portfolio last year when the BTC price was only at 10k - 12k.

First of all, you can always still buy BTC, even if you can't buy as much.

Second of all, don't feel bad. Most of us have been there in some form or another over the years. Life goes on, so don't let thinking about your past mistakes distract you from recognizing a future opportunity.

Finally, and perhaps most importantly, next time don't take the advice of the resident bsv shill.
member
Activity: 155
Merit: 21
Damn this thread. I would still have a lots of BTCs by now if I had not read this thread! My bad decision last year was affected by this thread. Now BTC is too expensive and I can't get enough BTCs as I used to own. I feel so sad each day seeing price of BTC increasing day by day. I would have been a millionaire now if I had not sold most of my portfolio last year when the BTC price was only at 10k - 12k.
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
It would be funny if on 19 Feb 2021 would ATH of this bitcoin cycle happen. OK, I know that seems premature and this bull market have at least few months of life, but i would be so funny if that actually happen. Someone calling a bottom on day of top. Tongue

This thread might one day end in a trading notebooks. How rekt Bitcoin traders can get.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
^Speaking of merge mining, I've said before most calculations about Bitcoin miners forget to take into account all those other mergemined coins. They're all silly money for a long time, until the inevitable rally that comes every few years (like Doge now), and I know for sure that helps to offset costs for when markets are down.

Unexpected outcome: new generation of cryptominers incoming.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823


/popcorn


Having seen your “predictions”, and they have been wrong, I believe you’re getting the popcorn as a celebration for another surge going to $50,000 in two weeks? Cool

Because Stock-to-flow says so.



I never always believed in the model, but I was also wrong when I debated that it was “priced in” last year, approaching the halving.

Ath sunday night


You were wrong only by one day. How did you know? Cool

Back to your Dogecoin mining, you said that Dogecoin could make you earn more than Bitcoin, does it earn you more than Litecoin? They’re merge-mined, would Dogecoin become the “first coin” for that mining algorithm? Would ASIC companies/builders start to build ASICs with Dogecoin first in their plans, not Litecoin?
STT
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1452
Stock to flow is very long term afaik, so six figures in the next five years any time at all would be reasonable and bullish beyond the belief of 99% of populations anyhow.  I think people are jumping the gun to say this year but increasingly we're exceeding normal expectations.

I missed deadline but I'll say 20k just to be most bearish, I said 50 day average previously but that's too high now so prior high as a bottom price is some kind of reasoning though in this time frame highly unlikely if it occurs at all.   The extension of that might be to call summer 2019 as a future bottom price area, again hard to justify and certainly not showing on the cards at present but just relying on greater volatility all things are possible on a pin candle.
   Anyhow you have been far too precise, this is not a criticism of your crypto judgement but the dollar pricing is not stable because dollar is not stable so does it make sense as if its rock solid to make finely drawn extended extrapolated predictions upon its value.      Its a wobbly table carrying far too much weight with decades of wood worm to its structure in play, who knows what it does next which makes all predictions equally wobbly.   The best ideas, conclusions are drawn and explainable with crayons   ie. we dont live in this precise world.    Thread should have been closed March, if the analogue was Mt. Gox it wasnt the end.

Quote
I still have 440,000 doge
Did you get that much from merge mining, if theres alot of people similar I doubt theres the demand to pick that up every day so you want to be early not late.   It was down to 1 sat at one point if I remember right and its produced alot more since then.   I think there was a doge coin tip bot on reddit but it fell apart because it had operated on fractional reserve and people withdrew funds when price rose.    Thats a meme phenomena see GME, if they can offer genuine utility and efficiency then fair enough.  Of the alt coins I thought POS would be the most likely contender and ETH is apparently going that way but I dont know its progress so far.    
  I dont have any DOGE now because I didn't see any USP to it, if its just a symptom of easy dollar then its a short term boom play.   It looks to be top of a fairly regular range, still impressive.   ETH I thought had broken a downtrend of more then one year which probably makes it a better bet.

Quote
all in

Bad idea like leverage is a bad idea.   All in isnt required when such grand moves are possible and exact predictions are a mistake which means its a marathon not a sprint so lasting long enough to see your end scenario play out is fairly important.    In 2008 people thought the fall out from extraordinary moves would be a couple years or so, clearly its been a while so obviously its a long game whatever horse/doge you riding this out with.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'


/popcorn


Having seen your “predictions”, and they have been wrong, I believe you’re getting the popcorn as a celebration for another surge going to $50,000 in two weeks? Cool

Because Stock-to-flow says so.



I never always believed in the model, but I was also wrong when I debated that it was “priced in” last year, approaching the halving.

Ath sunday night
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823


/popcorn


Having seen your “predictions”, and they have been wrong, I believe you’re getting the popcorn as a celebration for another surge going to $50,000 in two weeks? Cool

Because Stock-to-flow says so.



I never always believed in the model, but I was also wrong when I debated that it was “priced in” last year, approaching the halving.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
$2483sgbett
$24830philipma1957
$33553JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell. Grin

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 Tongue Tongue Tongue


Fuck Doge? No! It’s one of the friendlier coins, and it doesn’t claim to be better than Bitcoin. I wish to see Doge surge to its own ATH and reach either No. 2 or 3 in total market value.

At the rate doge is going It will end up earning more for me than btc will.


What kind of hardware do we need to mine Dogecoin? The probability of surging to $0.10 is becoming more true every minute. Plus if there was a shitcoin that could dethrone Bitcoin is the “king” in market value, I would’t be sad if it is Dogecoin.

Elon Musk.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1357244295091208193

Quote

No highs, no lows, only Doge


https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1357241340313141249

Quote

Dogecoin is the people’s crypto

No need to be a gigachad to own


legendary
Activity: 2294
Merit: 1182
Now the money is free, and so the people will be
well i said 26k,
so 26000 dogerinos
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
$2483sgbett
$24830philipma1957
$33553JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell. Grin

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 Tongue Tongue Tongue


Fuck Doge? No! It’s one of the friendlier coins, and it doesn’t claim to be better than Bitcoin. I wish to see Doge surge to its own ATH and reach either No. 2 or 3 in total market value.

At the rate doge is going It will end up earning more for me than btc will.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
$2483sgbett
$24830philipma1957
$33553JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell. Grin

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 Tongue Tongue Tongue


Fuck Doge? No! It’s one of the friendlier coins, and it doesn’t claim to be better than Bitcoin. I wish to see Doge surge to its own ATH and reach either No. 2 or 3 in total market value.
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