Bitcoin is created out of thin air via simple program function. No mining is going on. After POW, the program simply pays you with a worthless number. I, as a buyer am asking why would I give you anything for it? I don't care how much electricity you spend to provide POW. That's your problem.
Regarding fiat, you keep talking about irrelevant things and ignore the only important one.
bitcoin is created out of a complex program function that costs alot of electricity to compute, people want to get paid for that complex and expensive work
regards to fiat. you keep talking about irrelevant and non existent securities and liabilities, where you think you are owed or guaranteed something. i showed you that you are not owed anything bar a service of swapping a crumbled note on deposit for a crisp note on withdrawal, where the banks can charge you for this service.
borrowers do not owe you anything, your value is not given to borrowers
no one got a FDIC cheque in the post when the banks failed in 2008
what they got was their value was devalued and now paying extra tax or getting less public services due to banks failing in 2008.
.. getting back to bitcoin because you pretend to want to know how the value is established
its not actually just 2 people wanting it and they both pick a random number and find a middle ground
its actually where those that have coin know the cost of their acquisition. and they will refuse to sell at a loss, obviously
if they fresh mined the coin in 2010. the difficulty of the math was cheap. meaning it had a $0.01 to $0.10 cost depending on electric costs around the world
ok ill make some things simple
in say 2010. imagine there were 120 people mining bitcoin at the same time.
lets say in fairness to randomness. each person had equal strength computers so all had the same equal chance
30 machines in china,
30 machines in america,
30 machines in the UK,
30 machines in germany,
because there are only ~6 blocks an hour. it takes a 20 hour period to cover each person getting their chance hit.
meaning they are using 20 hours of electric to get 50coins in 2010
in china at 4cent electric/khw using a desktop pc of 500w thats 2cent an hour and $0.40 for that 20 hour period for 50coin=0.8c/coin
in america at 12cent electric/khw using a desktop pc of 500w thats 6cent an hour and $1.20 for that 20 hour period for 50coin=2.4c/coin
in the UK at 18cent electric/khw using a desktop pc of 500w thats 9cent an hour and $1.80 for that 20 hour period for 50coin=3.6c/coin
in germany at 38cent electric/khw using a desktop pc of 500w thats 19cent an hour and $3.80 for that 20 hour period for 50coin=7.6c/coin
so around the world people could mine for between the value window of 0.8c-7.6c per coin
now lets imagine no one wants to sell their coin at a loss
germany wont make an offer for less than 8cent
the UK wont make an offer for less than 4cent
america wont make an offer for less than 3cent
china wont make an offer for less than 1cent
lets say america tried to sell it for 10cents. .. no one is buying because everyone on the planet can mine for under 8cent. so no deal
then say america tried to sell it for 9cents. .. no one is buying because everyone on the planet can mine for under 8cent. so no deal
then say america tried to sell it for 8cents. .. someone in germany cant be bothered mining so takes the slight premium. so 8cent. deal
now what happens is people start to see it has a price.
and people in china can see they can 8x their cost. so they start using 4x machines
and people in america can see they can 3.3x their cost. so they start using 2x machines
and people in america can see they can 2.2x their cost. so they start using 1.5x machines
people in germany are breaking even so they dont bother adding more machines
now the landscape of machines is
120 machines in china,
60 machines in america,
45 machines in the UK,
30 machines in germany,
totalling 255 machines, meaning 42hours 30minutes for fairness chance for all
so costs are now
in china 1.7c/coin
in america 5.1c/coin
in the UK 7.6c/coin
in germany 16.2c/coin
china, america, the UK can still sell at 8cent and make a profit.
but now germany stop mining because the market is cheaper to buy than it is to mine.
so germany just buy coin. buying up all the coin at 8c available
because germany are willing to buy for anything below their mining cost of 16c. and germany are high demand. america pushes up its price to 9c, 10cent to see where the demand dips
lets say it plateaus at 14cent
now because the market has a value window of 1.7cent-17 cent. but the ATH is 14cent
because china can make 8x again they again 4x their machines, america 2.5x its machines and UK dont expand its machines
germany doesnt mine this week, they just buy coin, as its easier and cheaper
machines in china, become 480
machines in america, become 150
machines in the UK, stay at 45
totalling 675 machines meaning 112.5 hours mining for each to have a chance
so costs are now
in china 2.25c/coin
in america 6.75c/coin
in the UK 10.125c/coin
in germany if they were to mine it would cost them 21cent
so the value window is now 2.25c-21.37c
imagine all american coins got sold at 14cent. and demand is depleting because germans had enough
UK and china try selling coins at 14cent.and as they run out of the coins they hoarded all week. the price also depletes due to filling depleting demand, so say the price settles down to 11cent
its still between the 2-21c value window. but the price inside that window is not as much as the 14cent ATH
because china can still 3x and make a profit at 11cen. china 2x their machines. but the UK dont bother mining this week, america doesnt add more
machines in china, become 960
machines in america, stays at 150
taking 185 hours for each machine to have a chance hit
china 3.7c/coin (its not 4.5c thanks to UK dropping out and US not multiplying )
america 11.1c/coin (thanks to UK dropping but no thanks to china for doubling up )
because the price is 11cent and america cost is 11.6cent. they buy instead of expand machines.
the price rises to 12cent
if uk mined 16.6c
if germany mined 35c
now the market has any left over german buyers still wanting more coin
UK still wants coin
so UK and germany buy coin.
if the price rises to new ATH UK starts mining again.
news hits the media about bitcoin and now new speculators that dont know the complexities of mining just want to buy coin. so the price moves up to above 20cent. UK starts mining again. and the price moves forward. as does the mining cost. which then brings up the value window
pre-empting your repeated questions:
why are they buying it?... because it has a cost. which some regions find it cheaper to buy it rather then mine it
why are they buying it? because bitcoin does something banks dont do the same way.
why are they buying it? it offers lots of features and benefits banks cant offer.