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Topic: Critical Levels - EW analysis - page 26. (Read 355110 times)

legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1027
Permabull Bitcoin Investor
August 07, 2015, 07:26:03 PM
Kind of disappointing how BFX and stamp munted the triangle form bottoming under wave c but with good form in china there is no reason why wave iv cant bottom here in the west with the existing form. Call it a double combo but it doesnt really matter.



Thanks for the update chessnut.

If we passed the $300 ceiling, what are the chances that we will say to the $200's level bye bye ?

Thank you.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
August 07, 2015, 07:09:07 PM
Kind of disappointing how BFX and stamp munted the triangle form bottoming under wave c but with good form in china there is no reason why wave iv cant bottom here in the west with the existing form. Call it a double combo but it doesnt really matter.

legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
August 07, 2015, 07:53:17 AM
we hit that 61.8 fib, so hopefully this triangle plays out as Wave 5 4.

ftfy
sr. member
Activity: 404
Merit: 500
August 07, 2015, 05:12:48 AM
we hit that 61.8 fib, so hopefully this triangle plays out as Wave 4.

Edit: Wave 4, not 5, my mistake Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
August 05, 2015, 01:38:16 PM
Long term trend line since inception of bitcoin. Interesting acting as upper resistance, especially with where we're at now (in price terms).



Then this.



legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
August 03, 2015, 02:35:07 PM
we need some more buy volume to go through again.

[IMG height=500]http://i59.tinypic.com/1267hno.png[img]

if this is indeed a wave 4, then volume will resume after market hits a suitable target. Volume naturally falls with price in correction mode.

My bearish case is I'm also looking out for a failed week 5th wave, maybe - wave 3 went up fast.
legendary
Activity: 2856
Merit: 1520
Bitcoin Legal Tender Countries: 2 of 206
August 03, 2015, 12:08:02 PM
we need some more buy volume to go through again.

legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
August 03, 2015, 08:10:38 AM
I will be interested to see your next solid prediction chessnut, if it's anything like Afrikoin's in tge post directly above mine then I'll be a very happy man indeed.

Anxious to see something from yourself soon though chessnut, I've really begun to trust your word over the last 6 months or so due to your results.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
August 03, 2015, 07:09:46 AM
i've been watching this since the huge red candle. Bitcoin has an extraordinary number of triangle formations.

hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 503
Legendary trader
August 03, 2015, 03:39:19 AM
Great charts chessnut.  Does this look like a reasonable count for a triangle correction?  Also, is there any way the 315 peak could be counted as a i?  Thanks!

[img]http://i.imgur.com/kItniiv.png[img]



Looks like you are on to something.

+1 I like your chart too.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
August 03, 2015, 02:55:58 AM
Yeah, I am tracking the potential of a triangle. Too early to say with conviction although you guys seem to be onto it  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1186
August 02, 2015, 02:07:24 PM
Great charts chessnut.  Does this look like a reasonable count for a triangle correction?  Also, is there any way the 315 peak could be counted as a i?  Thanks!





That seems like a very strong support line on the bottom. It's difficult for the bears to push it down past the mid-low 270's. Maybe some bouncing around but overall we are still moving up.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
August 02, 2015, 01:22:18 PM
Great charts chessnut.  Does this look like a reasonable count for a triangle correction?  Also, is there any way the 315 peak could be counted as a i?  Thanks!

[img]http://i.imgur.com/kItniiv.png[img]



Looks like you are on to something.
member
Activity: 73
Merit: 15
August 01, 2015, 07:11:29 PM
Great charts chessnut.  Does this look like a reasonable count for a triangle correction?  Also, is there any way the 315 peak could be counted as a i?  Thanks!



hero member
Activity: 564
Merit: 502
August 01, 2015, 12:29:03 PM
Looking forward to an update! I really enjoy reading your view.
Thanks btw.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1083
Legendary Escrow Service - Tip Jar in Profile
July 31, 2015, 04:49:55 AM
What do you think of the current upwards trend? I bought when it went over $295 since it broke the level of 15-17th. But it went down now and i wonder if it will turn into a small crash. Though on the month chart it seems its still good in an uptrend. So am i right that the price might go down to 283$ and then goes up again? I think there is a strong resistance line at that price.

Any thoughts?

What is your evidence for support at 283?  Sure, on a micro scale it seems to have bounced for now, but I don't see it in the longer term charts.

See http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitfinexUSD#rg30zigHourlyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv

I learned that resistance and support are found when you check the last trading. A restistance and support is the same, it only depends on where the current price is how it is named then. And these lines are recognized by the price having to push with might through it. Going up and down through it with large candles. Of course the price drops back on these lines too.

So when i look at the chart i see around 283 USD that on 10th, 16th and 24th the line was broken. And it happened with huge force, big candles. On top the line leat to bouncing of the price. That happened on 13th, 18th and a slightly on 21th.

Im not a pro trader but thats how i would read it. Please correct me when im wrong.

Normally i learned resistance lines are in fact more of a resistance area. But this area is pretty thin so that one might speak of a line too.

I guess that's fair.  We'll see what happens.

I hope im right. At the end a resistance can be broken with enough force, so a bit candle. I wonder what will happen. I mean if i would have a couple thousand btc i might try to short them and break through the resistance by force. Then sell my shorts, that have a high leverage of course. Im not sure if that works since i never had the chance to test it. Tongue Though it might be that someone other does these things.

By the way... what do you guys think about the WhaleClub. They have a blog here but mostly they speak about teamspeak i think.

https://www.whaleclub.co/
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 31, 2015, 03:35:10 AM
What do you think of the current upwards trend? I bought when it went over $295 since it broke the level of 15-17th. But it went down now and i wonder if it will turn into a small crash. Though on the month chart it seems its still good in an uptrend. So am i right that the price might go down to 283$ and then goes up again? I think there is a strong resistance line at that price.

Any thoughts?

What is your evidence for support at 283?  Sure, on a micro scale it seems to have bounced for now, but I don't see it in the longer term charts.

See http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitfinexUSD#rg30zigHourlyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv

I learned that resistance and support are found when you check the last trading. A restistance and support is the same, it only depends on where the current price is how it is named then. And these lines are recognized by the price having to push with might through it. Going up and down through it with large candles. Of course the price drops back on these lines too.

So when i look at the chart i see around 283 USD that on 10th, 16th and 24th the line was broken. And it happened with huge force, big candles. On top the line leat to bouncing of the price. That happened on 13th, 18th and a slightly on 21th.

Im not a pro trader but thats how i would read it. Please correct me when im wrong.

Normally i learned resistance lines are in fact more of a resistance area. But this area is pretty thin so that one might speak of a line too.

I guess that's fair.  We'll see what happens.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1083
Legendary Escrow Service - Tip Jar in Profile
July 31, 2015, 03:29:19 AM
What do you think of the current upwards trend? I bought when it went over $295 since it broke the level of 15-17th. But it went down now and i wonder if it will turn into a small crash. Though on the month chart it seems its still good in an uptrend. So am i right that the price might go down to 283$ and then goes up again? I think there is a strong resistance line at that price.

Any thoughts?

What is your evidence for support at 283?  Sure, on a micro scale it seems to have bounced for now, but I don't see it in the longer term charts.

See http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitfinexUSD#rg30zigHourlyztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv

I learned that resistance and support are found when you check the last trading. A restistance and support is the same, it only depends on where the current price is how it is named then. And these lines are recognized by the price having to push with might through it. Going up and down through it with large candles. Of course the price drops back on these lines too.

So when i look at the chart i see around 283 USD that on 10th, 16th and 24th the line was broken. And it happened with huge force, big candles. On top the line leat to bouncing of the price. That happened on 13th, 18th and a slightly on 21th.

Im not a pro trader but thats how i would read it. Please correct me when im wrong.

Normally i learned resistance lines are in fact more of a resistance area. But this area is pretty thin so that one might speak of a line too.
full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 100
July 31, 2015, 03:26:59 AM
Thanks for the charts above. Really useful.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 31, 2015, 03:22:58 AM
What do you think of the current upwards trend? I bought when it went over $295 since it broke the level of 15-17th. But it went down now and i wonder if it will turn into a small crash. Though on the month chart it seems its still good in an uptrend. So am i right that the price might go down to 283$ and then goes up again? I think there is a strong resistance line at that price.

Any thoughts?

What is your evidence for support at 283?  Sure, on a micro scale it seems to have bounced for now, but I don't see it in the longer term charts.
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