Don't underestimate the big players who run the market/bowl. After all, they tilt it in the right direction for themselves. And we, ordinary users, determine for ourselves to swim along the current or to resist the flow of water.
From my personal experience, I can say one thing: a trading strategy needs to be developed only given the general trend.
Yes totally agree with your opinion, we must know where we are and what it is like, that may need attention. We are in a position that is supposed to follow the direction of the path where it goes, do not try to go against the direction of the path. And also we have to get ready if there are changes that occur because of the big players who can control the flow.