Wow so according to your theory of the crime, if I follow right, the main stash of the proceeds of the alt wallet heist hasn't been moved since january but there was a period where it looks like the "hacker"(Vern?) was attempting to dissipate the coins through some sort of bot but then right about the time Vern announced the "Event" it looks like the Hacker culprit(s) have perhaps gotten alerted to the heat on those coins and stopped the wallet activity. Part of that is that some of the coins seem to have been laundered through a kraken account in the period following Vern's divorce. This scenario seems consistent with and would seem to possibly match Lorie's allegations that she thought he was actively trying to dissipate "assets". I think she filed the divorce in that intermittent period between the sell-off portion of the strategy and the post-sale dissipation bot activity. Vern seems to have stopped looting the hot wallets since the "judge" in effect ordered him to stop.
Trying to conjecture what's in the hacker's mind. If the coin activity stopped right about the time the hack was announced then it appears the hacker was alerted to the heat and then mostly stopped messing with the coins in the "dirty" wallet stash. But Vern still kept looting the "clean" coins until a few weeks ago, if I'm following the forensics trail correctly. So, this means the hacker really mostly has not directly spent many of the "dirty" coins at all, mainly laundered them or simply left them in those big wallets in clumps of 1000.
After Cryptsy hack announcement on 15.January,it seems that hacker was trying to speed up moving BTC obtained form selling stolen altcoins to exchanges.On 18th.January alone he sent 356 BTC,but after posting of his wallet on 26th.January he abruptly stopped. 11825 BTCs stolen from Cryptsy were not moved at all.It looks that he wanted first to sell altcoins,then BTCs from them exchange for cash.He probably thought that everybody would look on stolen BTCs and nobody will pay attention on what is happening with altcoins.He thought that is impossible to trace altcoins,especially after changing them for BTCs.How wrong he was.
All that time October 2014 - July 2015, Vernon did not do anything to prevent it.Why he did not contact Bittrex which is also US based exchange?All that silence was perfect only for hacker,because he could exchange stolen altcoins in peace.Hacker was so sure in himself that he sent directly stolen altcoins to exchanges,without any mixing.
Few months after hack,everything goes smooth and relaxed Vernon bought 1.3 millions worth house for cash he recevied from Santa Clause.It is very possible that he reported that money to IRS as a profit from Cryptsy- clean money .After few months he was sure that Cryptsy will survive on fractional reserves and nobody will ever know what was happened.Now IRS are looking for him to explain that profit in year when exchange lost more than 10 millions in hack - that is why he put signature on divorce agreement in China not US.
After last altcoins (LTCs) were sold in July.2015 ,Vernon opened Bitebi9 on 28th.July(gave $46000 for start capital alone) and a month after that Cryptsy started to crumble.Money for Bitebi9 were obtained directly form Cryptsy old wallet,by sending 545 BTC in July to BTCC China and selling them for CNY.From July 2015-January 2016 there were no activities on that account and then just few days before Cryptsy closing on 10th.January.2016 last 16 BTC from Cryptsy wallet went on that address at BTCC China.
Obviously he tried to cover tracks,by using different wallets for different activities,so nobody could connect them.He only had full control on Cryptsy wallet,so nobody except him could know what is happening.He learned lesson from Mt.Gox,when other staff had access and report about Karpeless activities on forums before final crash.It is very possible that he has a small network of offshore companies(like Shaun Bridges had) where money from selling BTCs first went after selling for dollars on exchanges.
All this looks like some carefully planned secret operation - well maybe it is,Vernon worked for military inteligence,so he knew how secrecy is important when you doing sensitive,especially dirty things.The less people know the better.He surely very well know for inteligence services reaction after major fuck ups - first, deny everything untill you can,then starting blame others and finally act insanity.