The cats like the new rules! This time they came up with:
+3.3 edonkey
Topic: Diff thread Nov 11 to Nov 24 Set up stage-picks are now closed! - page 12. (Read 8424 times)
November 15, 2015, 08:07:59 AM
November 15, 2015, 07:30:19 AM
+4 mavericklm
November 15, 2015, 07:07:48 AM
+4.5 ingiltere
Maybe I guess too quick but I don't want to forget this competition.
Maybe I guess too quick but I don't want to forget this competition.
November 15, 2015, 06:53:54 AM
+3.2 Tupsu
November 15, 2015, 05:28:21 AM
+5.4 tss
November 15, 2015, 05:09:02 AM
+5.0 adaseb
November 15, 2015, 05:05:21 AM
I.m taking :
+4.2 HerbPean
Thanks
+4.2 HerbPean
Thanks
November 15, 2015, 01:18:43 AM
12 blocks to go for picks
okay day] 4
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
11-11-2015 169 blocks this is a plus 25 now the first 77 blocks were on the last adjustment So on a part day I guess +14
11-12-2015 158 blocks this is plus 14 total is +28
11-13-2015 161 blocks this is plus 17 total is +45
11-14-2015 146 + 2 +47
we did 588 should be 541 so I get +8.68% it is very early do not panic
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty ( +5.39% )
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 69,396,517,237 (+5.39%)
Adjust time: After 1428 Blocks, About 9.5 days
Hashrate(?): 504,237,311 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.6 minutes
Updated:
so 8.68 vs 5.39 getting closer ..
picks in 2 hours. as it is late on the east coast I am going to sleep.
okay day] 4
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
11-11-2015 169 blocks this is a plus 25 now the first 77 blocks were on the last adjustment So on a part day I guess +14
11-12-2015 158 blocks this is plus 14 total is +28
11-13-2015 161 blocks this is plus 17 total is +45
11-14-2015 146 + 2 +47
we did 588 should be 541 so I get +8.68% it is very early do not panic
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty ( +5.39% )
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 69,396,517,237 (+5.39%)
Adjust time: After 1428 Blocks, About 9.5 days
Hashrate(?): 504,237,311 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.6 minutes
Updated:
so 8.68 vs 5.39 getting closer ..
picks in 2 hours. as it is late on the east coast I am going to sleep.
November 15, 2015, 01:16:48 AM
12 blocks to go for picks
November 14, 2015, 10:39:01 PM
Yeah even if you pick at block 800 vs 600 you are not giving yourself a lot of chance.
My current numbers show us close to ten percent.
Waiting to pick should be a good move.
My current numbers show us close to ten percent.
Waiting to pick should be a good move.
November 14, 2015, 04:06:38 PM
Last 65 blocks for guesses. It would be too hard to guess now with 0.10 range. I think this time winning pick contains more luck than skills.
November 13, 2015, 11:37:49 PM
okay day
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
11-11-2015 169 blocks this is a plus 25 now the first 77 blocks were on the last adjustment So on a part day I guess +14
11-12-2015 158 blocks this is plus 14 total is +28
11-13-2015 161 blocks this is plus 17 total is +45
we did 434 should be 389 so I get +11.568% it is very early do not panic
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+4.62%) < note this is future guess
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 68,893,422,058 (+4.62%)
Adjust time: After 1582 Blocks, About 10.7 days
Hashrate(?): 525,067,336 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.4 minutes
Updated:
current number is really high. I glad we decided to delay until block 600 and to tighten the ranges up to .10 percent it will take a little more skill and waiting a bit looks like the better move.
with the way we are making blocks we could be at 600 in 25 or 26 hours maybe less.
November 13, 2015, 11:00:10 PM
Really high peak today and doesn't want to get down so far.
Hashrate(?): 526,735,039 GH/s
Hashrate(?): 526,735,039 GH/s
November 13, 2015, 07:40:23 PM
tss has been paid.
I like the new rules. For the negative ranges I was thinking - what if we allow the zero to be picked by two participants.
i.e
-0.0
and
+0.0
would be valid picks, -0.00 to -0.09 and +0.00 to +0.09 respectively. If diff hits 0.00 both get paid. I'm quite confident in the odds against that
That would remove the slight confusion on the negative side and make both sides identical.
Diff change +2.24% = whoever picked +2.2 wins
Diff change +5.07% = whoever picked +5.0 wins
Diff change -1.51% = whoever picked -1.5 wins
etc
I like the new rules. For the negative ranges I was thinking - what if we allow the zero to be picked by two participants.
i.e
-0.0
and
+0.0
would be valid picks, -0.00 to -0.09 and +0.00 to +0.09 respectively. If diff hits 0.00 both get paid. I'm quite confident in the odds against that
That would remove the slight confusion on the negative side and make both sides identical.
Diff change +2.24% = whoever picked +2.2 wins
Diff change +5.07% = whoever picked +5.0 wins
Diff change -1.51% = whoever picked -1.5 wins
etc
Good point I will alter the negatives to conform to the positives.
and done in first post.
November 13, 2015, 05:38:44 PM
yup.. got my winnings. thanks guys. i am a fan of the new format. seems to allow more participants and a choice of picks. the last few contests filled in so fast you end up taking whatever is available just to be part of the game.
November 13, 2015, 05:19:54 PM
tss has been paid.
I like the new rules. For the negative ranges I was thinking - what if we allow the zero to be picked by two participants.
i.e
-0.0
and
+0.0
would be valid picks, -0.00 to -0.09 and +0.00 to +0.09 respectively. If diff hits 0.00 both get paid. I'm quite confident in the odds against that
That would remove the slight confusion on the negative side and make both sides identical.
Diff change +2.24% = whoever picked +2.2 wins
Diff change +5.07% = whoever picked +5.0 wins
Diff change -1.51% = whoever picked -1.5 wins
etc
I like the new rules. For the negative ranges I was thinking - what if we allow the zero to be picked by two participants.
i.e
-0.0
and
+0.0
would be valid picks, -0.00 to -0.09 and +0.00 to +0.09 respectively. If diff hits 0.00 both get paid. I'm quite confident in the odds against that
That would remove the slight confusion on the negative side and make both sides identical.
Diff change +2.24% = whoever picked +2.2 wins
Diff change +5.07% = whoever picked +5.0 wins
Diff change -1.51% = whoever picked -1.5 wins
etc
November 13, 2015, 05:56:22 AM
Daniel, You should keep up 
way too soon bro.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 68,360,405,231 (+3.82%)
Adjust time: After 1847 Blocks, About 12.8 days ----------------- When this reads 1416 we are 600 blocks in.
Hashrate(?): 495,574,861 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 30.0 minutes
6 blocks: 60.0 minutes
Updated: 7:0 (4.2 minutes ago)
I figure 2 ¾ days from now.
Thanks +3.20% to +3.29% DanielRo
+4.20 - Finksy 
way too soon bro.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 68,360,405,231 (+3.82%)
Adjust time: After 1847 Blocks, About 12.8 days ----------------- When this reads 1416 we are 600 blocks in.
Hashrate(?): 495,574,861 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 30.0 minutes
6 blocks: 60.0 minutes
Updated: 7:0 (4.2 minutes ago)
I figure 2 ¾ days from now.
. Sorry for to early pick up.Did not read about the 600 blocks delay.
I'll pick up again after 1416 blocks.
November 13, 2015, 05:14:06 AM
Daniel, You should keep up
way too soon bro.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 68,360,405,231 (+3.82%)
Adjust time: After 1847 Blocks, About 12.8 days ----------------- When this reads 1416 we are 600 blocks in.
Hashrate(?): 495,574,861 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 30.0 minutes
6 blocks: 60.0 minutes
Updated: 7:0 (4.2 minutes ago)
I figure 2 ¾ days from now.
+3.20% to +3.29% DanielRo
+4.20 - Finksy
way too soon bro.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 68,360,405,231 (+3.82%)
Adjust time: After 1847 Blocks, About 12.8 days ----------------- When this reads 1416 we are 600 blocks in.
Hashrate(?): 495,574,861 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 30.0 minutes
6 blocks: 60.0 minutes
Updated: 7:0 (4.2 minutes ago)
I figure 2 ¾ days from now.
November 13, 2015, 04:38:04 AM
+3.20% to +3.29% DanielRo
November 12, 2015, 11:33:14 PM
okay day two
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
11-11-2015 169 blocks this is a plus 25 now the first 77 blocks were on the last adjustment So on a part day I guess +14
11-12-2015 158 blocks this is plus 14 total is +28
we did 268 should be 240 I get +11.67% it is very early do not panic
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 68,428,800,986 (+3.92%)
Adjust time: After 1748 Blocks, About 12.0 days
Hashrate(?): 498,510,886 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Updated: 22:25 (6.0 minutes ago)
11.67 + 3.92 = 15.59 average the two estimates = 7.795% this would be a decent guess
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