I think 20% is considered a good thing.
Right now
384741 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 03:31:09 Slush 000000000000000001ac0df7bfb9349fd6d8cd7acdea584520d33f8b3ad8d915
384706 (Main Chain) 2015-11-22 00:01:54 F2Pool 00000000000000000bcf3e6f7580c8cddcef9bcc460447fcca368c41c5b2a724
66%
But its much too early in the day.
Topic: Diff thread Nov 11 to Nov 24 Set up stage-picks are now closed! - page 5. (Read 8432 times)
November 21, 2015, 11:46:25 PM
November 21, 2015, 11:34:50 PM
Estimated Next Difficulty: 72,591,042,295 (+10.24%)
Adjust time: After 317 Blocks, About 2.0 days
Hashrate(?): 536,067,649 GH/s
craaaaap!
fuckin' big leap, fuckin' big swings... damn the price!!!
Adjust time: After 317 Blocks, About 2.0 days
Hashrate(?): 536,067,649 GH/s
craaaaap!
fuckin' big leap, fuckin' big swings... damn the price!!!
November 21, 2015, 10:24:05 PM
November 21, 2015, 09:38:47 PM
Day is done so
384705 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 23:57:32 000000000000000001da84b1e1c3ce89af70960989397061eadeb4596444d7ca
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
173 blocks found when should of been 144
+29
20%
384705 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 23:57:32 000000000000000001da84b1e1c3ce89af70960989397061eadeb4596444d7ca
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
173 blocks found when should of been 144
+29
20%
That is crazy never thought I would see those numbers again with size of hashrate now. Below is bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 72,222,173,626 (+9.68%)
Adjust time: After 336 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?): 526,826,811 GH/s
I think i agree with those saying over 10 chances are... which is not really the way we want it to go.
November 21, 2015, 08:03:49 PM
Day is done so
384705 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 23:57:32 000000000000000001da84b1e1c3ce89af70960989397061eadeb4596444d7ca
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
173 blocks found when should of been 144
+29
20%
384705 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 23:57:32 000000000000000001da84b1e1c3ce89af70960989397061eadeb4596444d7ca
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
173 blocks found when should of been 144
+29
20%
November 21, 2015, 07:15:31 PM
In the last 180 days
17? Nov 21
169 Nov 20
175 Nov 16
169 Nov 11
167 Oct 30
167 Oct 19
170 Sept 29
167 Sept 25
168 Sept 10
170 Aug 11
168 Aug 10
174 July 24
171 July 6
172 June 6
Easy to see Oct and Nov are really moving the dial upwards.
May 17 to Sep 17 48.8 bill to 59.3 bill in 4 months a jump of 21.5%
Sept 17 to Nov 21 59.3 bill to 72.2 bill in 2 months a jump of 21.7%
November 21, 2015, 05:35:02 PM
384689 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 21:25:42 BW.COM 000000000000000006bc8785d43270bdf0ec0f03dc3b496781b11d5c0de29bf9
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
22.65% more then it should have.
In a few hours we will get the final tally but its definately going to be around 30 blocks extra created than usual.
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
22.65% more then it should have.
In a few hours we will get the final tally but its definately going to be around 30 blocks extra created than usual.
November 21, 2015, 04:01:07 PM
Glad to see you all are starting to see what I've been saying. I think it's above the realm of variance I would expect 10% spike for variance. So possible that it's only a 10% of network sized farm cranking on. Could be hw tests. Hell the diff should technically double at least with the new efficiency of machines. Just have to see what's up:). Sure is fun to speculate 
Best regards
D57heinz
Best regards
D57heinz
diff to catch up to sept 4 price diff eff ratio
needs to be over 110.
this won't happen since all that .5 watt gear won't vanish.
Somewhere 2 months ago I predicted a quick move to 70 then flat . with not a big price jump.
well price jumped. I will changed prediction higher. 85 then flat. going past 85 will not be easy. (price at 350 or so)
once again WTF do I know? Bottom line is it is just a guess!
November 21, 2015, 03:53:38 PM
Glad to see you all are starting to see what I've been saying. I think it's above the realm of variance I would expect 10% spike for variance. So possible that it's only a 10% of network sized farm cranking on. Could be hw tests. Hell the diff should technically double at least with the new efficiency of machines. Just have to see what's up:). Sure is fun to speculate
Best regards
D57heinz
Best regards
D57heinz
November 21, 2015, 02:54:26 PM
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
384667 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 18:14:30 Slush 000000000000000001b11ef38a2a4d7e30ad9064529ef50e4a77bd1ddb72f099
110 Expected and 135 Found so 23% TODAY!
384667 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 18:14:30 Slush 000000000000000001b11ef38a2a4d7e30ad9064529ef50e4a77bd1ddb72f099
110 Expected and 135 Found so 23% TODAY!
huge fucking spike today
384669 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 18:46:14
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42
138 in the time it should be 113
so that would be 174 in 24 hours.
10% looks pretty certain.
November 21, 2015, 02:32:21 PM
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
384667 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 18:14:30 Slush 000000000000000001b11ef38a2a4d7e30ad9064529ef50e4a77bd1ddb72f099
110 Expected and 135 Found so 23% TODAY!
384667 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 18:14:30 Slush 000000000000000001b11ef38a2a4d7e30ad9064529ef50e4a77bd1ddb72f099
110 Expected and 135 Found so 23% TODAY!
November 21, 2015, 01:45:39 PM
But the gear would have to have been built first to be used in these ghost towns. To turn 100Ph/s on and off, is like 200,000 Antminer S3's. I don't think that many Antminers in total even exist on the planet.
384638 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 15:20:06 AntPool 0000000000000000033e5efed37742ec7925ff825853ce21fbd53592c1489620
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
106 blocks in ~15.5 hours should be 93 blocks instead.
14% difference
Even in the last 20 minutes, 6 blocks were found.
realistically they don't have 100ph just too much, but 5-20ph they could.384638 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 15:20:06 AntPool 0000000000000000033e5efed37742ec7925ff825853ce21fbd53592c1489620
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
106 blocks in ~15.5 hours should be 93 blocks instead.
14% difference
Even in the last 20 minutes, 6 blocks were found.
20ph in s-1's were built 50ph in s-3's were built 75ph in s-5's were made.
I don't really think they can turn off and on 100ph. but 5-20ph in 10 spots in ghost towns they could
and the gear would be toss away gear s-1's s-3's how many in a white van? 100 s-3's in 1 van = easy.
fit them in a building like the photo and boom 50th at the flick of a switch. the antminer psu can do 4 s-3's at an under clock to 350 watts. so only 25 psu's a few gigabyte switches and a router.
keep it under 200 per location and 1 guy or 2 guys can set it up.
November 21, 2015, 01:16:20 PM
But the gear would have to have been built first to be used in these ghost towns. To turn 100Ph/s on and off, is like 200,000 Antminer S3's. I don't think that many Antminers in total even exist on the planet.
384638 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 15:20:06 AntPool 0000000000000000033e5efed37742ec7925ff825853ce21fbd53592c1489620
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
106 blocks in ~15.5 hours should be 93 blocks instead.
14% difference
Even in the last 20 minutes, 6 blocks were found.
384638 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 15:20:06 AntPool 0000000000000000033e5efed37742ec7925ff825853ce21fbd53592c1489620
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
106 blocks in ~15.5 hours should be 93 blocks instead.
14% difference
Even in the last 20 minutes, 6 blocks were found.
Bitwisdom did go back up:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 65,848,255,180
Estimated Next Difficulty: 71,773,382,950 (+9.00%)
Adjust time: After 404 Blocks, About 2.5 days
Hashrate(?): 518,513,335 GH/s
Maybe some miners got shipped and are being plugged in currently. It would not surprise me at all. I still hope we see less than 10 though.
November 21, 2015, 11:29:35 AM
But the gear would have to have been built first to be used in these ghost towns. To turn 100Ph/s on and off, is like 200,000 Antminer S3's. I don't think that many Antminers in total even exist on the planet.
384638 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 15:20:06 AntPool 0000000000000000033e5efed37742ec7925ff825853ce21fbd53592c1489620
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
106 blocks in ~15.5 hours should be 93 blocks instead.
14% difference
Even in the last 20 minutes, 6 blocks were found.
384638 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 15:20:06 AntPool 0000000000000000033e5efed37742ec7925ff825853ce21fbd53592c1489620
384532 (Main Chain) 2015-11-21 00:02:42 F2Pool 00000000000000000860c5b9429f78ed94db860c347ec72ac0f7cc3a1b3371b8
106 blocks in ~15.5 hours should be 93 blocks instead.
14% difference
Even in the last 20 minutes, 6 blocks were found.
November 21, 2015, 09:47:46 AM
I don't know.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
I like my China ghost city idea best. If an s-5 is 50% power and 50% profit. and i am bitmaintech having a ghost city s-5 10ph farm and a 5ph s-3 ghost city mine.
seems like it is not far fetched. power turns on when ever it can. since the gear was paid off why not move it to a ghost city and run it when power is available.
Just saw a article about this on digg: http://priceonomics.com/surveying-the-ghost-cities-of-china/
There are a lot more ghost cities then I would have guessed. I guess it makes sense they would have a good amount of unused power in each of them. So would be interesting if anything is happening in them with mining.
yeah it is a great way to use old gear.
I remember a guy in china grabbed up a ton of s-3's dirt cheap last spring and was running a 2 or 3 ph farm with them. He said he could use the s-3's because he had 2 cent power.
It seems to me that this old gear paid off sitting in a ghost city could be fired up pretty easy.
http://natocouncil.ca/ghost-cities-in-china/
just think how many s-3's could be turned on and off in this set of buildings.
It could be done with government approval as a way of testing and maintaining the power grids in those cities.
Hey @ bitmaintech I know you read the thread.... If you are not doing this you should be. Feel free to send me some coins for the
idea. https://blockchain.info/address/164o6jGhpciHC8Lg4XiXyprKfrqZK3tST6
November 21, 2015, 05:06:53 AM
I don't know.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
I like my China ghost city idea best. If an s-5 is 50% power and 50% profit. and i am bitmaintech having a ghost city s-5 10ph farm and a 5ph s-3 ghost city mine.
seems like it is not far fetched. power turns on when ever it can. since the gear was paid off why not move it to a ghost city and run it when power is available.
Just saw a article about this on digg: http://priceonomics.com/surveying-the-ghost-cities-of-china/
There are a lot more ghost cities then I would have guessed. I guess it makes sense they would have a good amount of unused power in each of them. So would be interesting if anything is happening in them with mining.
November 21, 2015, 02:08:02 AM
Estimated Next Difficulty: 70,819,346,021 (+7.55%)
Adjust time: After 480 Blocks, About 3.1 days
Hashrate(?): 506,027,398 GH/s
better than +1x%!!!
Adjust time: After 480 Blocks, About 3.1 days
Hashrate(?): 506,027,398 GH/s
better than +1x%!!!
Ok... I need .06 of everyone to turn of miners so I can be right. Which I never am
but it's still fun to speculate.We do have some miners that have went out. So it will be interesting if it goes up some more once plugged in, or if they are already plugged in. But I do agree not seeing 1X change is nice just not to see.
November 21, 2015, 01:58:30 AM
Estimated Next Difficulty: 70,819,346,021 (+7.55%)
Adjust time: After 480 Blocks, About 3.1 days
Hashrate(?): 506,027,398 GH/s
better than +1x%!!!
Adjust time: After 480 Blocks, About 3.1 days
Hashrate(?): 506,027,398 GH/s
better than +1x%!!!
November 21, 2015, 12:45:39 AM
I don't know.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
I like my China ghost city idea best. If an s-5 is 50% power and 50% profit. and i am bitmaintech having a ghost city s-5 10ph farm and a 5ph s-3 ghost city mine.
seems like it is not far fetched. power turns on when ever it can. since the gear was paid off why not move it to a ghost city and run it when power is available.
November 21, 2015, 12:35:32 AM
I don't know.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
I really doubt that people sit and wait by the computer and whenever BTC goes over a certain level they immediately power on-power off their gear.
I also don't believe mega farms shut down gear at the end of the difficulty cycle to get a smaller difficulty, they would lose more money that way.
I know that power is cheaper on certain hours of the day so that could be a theory but that would mean then during certain hours the hashrate increases not a certain day off the week.
I really think that a new ASIC chip is out there in operation and its very buggy so they ran it for a while and then it either burnt out or causes too many hardware errors and they are tweaking setting to get it to work properly.
Jump to: