Here's one for you TeeGee:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jasonbloomberg/2017/06/26/what-is-bitcoins-elusive-intrinsic-value/
Jason has written a well researched article for Forbes, on where intrinsic value might lie in Bitcoin. It looks at a number of possibilities, and refers to many common opinions. Then comes to the conclusion that if you can call anything value, it comes from the work required to mine it. Weak at best, and Jason aknowledges that.
I posted the following comment on the article site, but it has not shown up. Maybe it's in moderation.
"Jason made some insightful comments and found a heap of great quotes about intrinsic value to put together a compelling argument. Where I feel this article suffered from a little confusion is in the manner it blurred commodity and currency.
History is littered with examples of collapsed currencies, which lost the faith of the country supporting them. And the paper that represented them has no more utility than bitcoin would if the community lost faith in it.
I only know of one alt-coin that has recognized and overcome this problem. DNotes is backed by DNotes Global Inc, a company which is creating real value through a variety of ventures. It has then given a 25% stake of the company's value to the DNote currency. So by owning DNotes, you own a fraction of the company as well.
http://dnotescoin.com/
My only other issue with this great article is where it states: "Never before in the history of civilization has this happened – where cornering the market on a commodity means gaining the power over its intrinsic value."
I would argue that for commodities, this has happened so often we invented the word "monopoly" and a game to explore that principle.
And if you were to relate that concept to currency, your mind will immediately turn to the government's ability to effect the value of its currency artificially, in the interests of its economy. This is something that cryptocurrencies don't suffer from, and something that is perceived as a value."
I'm not super well practiced at thinking along these lines. My "economic theory" muscles need a little exercising. So excuse me if this seems obtuse, but why can't the intrinsic value be thought of as the social trust of the community?
The article's author refers to gold being "shiny" as intrinsic value. What does that mean? Shiny is a physical characteristic of a thing, which people find psychologically pleasing. Building a trust based, decentralized means of exchange is also psychologically pleasing. And at it's core, it's all math. Only we are talking about the positive psychological effects emanating from math-backed bytes, as opposed to the positive psychological effects emanating from math-based bits (i.e. physics, chemistry).
And then when comparing our genetically driven desire to be social, to build psychological trust between groups, to tell ourselves stories...I'd argue that this is far better with bitcoin than with fiat currency. The economies of the United States, the European Union, is so complex, so opaque, so unaccessible. Why do we trust these government's promises, which underlie the value of their monies? Of course there are reasons, but on balance, I'd argue they are more nebulous than trusting bitcoin. Because their is a verifiable purely mathematical reason underlying the entire superstructure. There is no opacity. Well, given the example of Chinese miners maybe controlling the network one day, there is some. But I'd say that is far less than opacity of Goldman Sachs puppetmasters running the world.
Basically, why isn't long-term social trust considered an intrinsic value? In fact, if you look at this from the perspective of Yuval Harari in Sapies, this is the core of our entire species. We have the ability to bind ourselves by the stories we tell, which get strengthen over time generation to generation.
Thanks MiningHabit, for your well explained thoughts on this. I agree with all of your points with respect to the idea of value and I really like how you refer to 'story' as part of our society's technique for adding and understanding value. I even like your perspective on the mathematics of the bits that make gold, because I see the world in a very similar way.
But I do see value as distinct from intrinsic value. I think the best way for me to explain this is by referring to a floor-price. Because gold is used in manufacture, some people will always pay something for it so long as the goods they make are still selling. It is pretty and doesn't tarnish, so while people want to look pretty and don't want to polish, gold will also sell at least a floor value of what people are happy to pay for jewellery. I would call that the intrinsic value of gold. Partly because of this intrinsic value, and partly because the difficulty of mining it is well established, capping its availability, gold also has speculative value on top of its floor price.
During war time, or a significant financial crisis, the value of gold goes up, because more people are buying than selling, and the difference in demand is not being met by what is coming out of the ground. Then, some investors understand the cause of the spike, feel confident that they can get out again before their predicted peak, so buy up big in speculation. This speculative value can disappear quickly and is dependant on social beliefs. But once it does, the gold will still exist, and it will still be worth something to the manufacturer and jewellers.
Sidenote: Cubic zirconias look, to most people, identical to diamonds. They lack the industrial functionality that diamonds have, but as jewellery function just as well as diamonds. I believe that the difference between the value of a diamond and the value of a cubic zirconia of equivalent shape, is exactly the speculative value of the diamond, not its intrinsic value.
But with cryptocurrencies, there is no intrinsic value. If you took away the public faith, interest, and willingness to purchase any cryptocurrency coin, it would be worth absolutely nothing. It doesn't even have collector or ornamental value.
Grandchild, "Grandpa, what's that plastic stick in the crystal cabinet for?"
Grandpa, "Well grandchild, that stick contains 1,000 bitcoin. It was worth three million dollars back in 2017. It's just memorabilia now, because I didn't sell in time."
Grandchild, "What's bitcoin? Is it something like DNotes?"
Grandpa, "Yeah, but it didn't include shares in a company or anything of real value, so when it popped, I had nothing."
Because of this total reliance on perceived value, cryptocurrencies have a floor price of zero dollars. You can't manufacture or make jewellery out of them when nobody wants to buy them. Exactly like the point you made with fiat currencies, which also rely on both perceived value and an opaque system.
But if nobody wanted to buy my DNotes, they would still be worth their share of the 25% of DNotes Global Inc, or what ever that percentage may be as it gets diluted while forming a more valuable company in the future. So DNotes appears to have a floor price, albeit marginal at the moment, which I equate to intrinsic value. But even this is dependant on the functional value of DNotes Global Inc and what it can be used to produce.