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Topic: Economic Devastation - page 116. (Read 504813 times)

legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1865
March 02, 2015, 10:30:14 PM
...

CoinCube (and friends)

CC, your graph of .gov expenditures to GDP is excellent, it almost is a nice (but imperfect) definition of Socialism right there!

Arguing over semantics of Socialism may not be productive.  Most of us know it when we see it.  The USA (see CC's graph last post) is heading quickly to Socialism by almost ANY definition.  I don't have the stats handy, but I would consider ANY national economy with close to 40% .gov expenditures to be pretty close...  Some of the European countries, IIRC, are well over 50%.  Yow!

*   *   *

CC, your distinction between INCOME and WEALTH is very cogent.  Being in the 1% of income will allow you to rapidly build up real wealth.  And since I do not know your situation, I could only suggest saving as much as you can.  Hardly anyone who is young saves.  Particularly if your income could be at real risk.  A cop I know has started saving money for the first time in his LIFE.  But, many municipalities are weak now, he could lose all the overtime he is making or even his job if something goes wrong (a bad arrest, etc.).

And even though I highly respect the intellectual power of iamback's arguments, I still would be diversified...  NO ONE can predict the future.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1055
March 02, 2015, 09:43:25 PM
underclass who do not understand the mechanism of their impoverishment

You are describing yourself here, I think.

You are deliberately mis-using well-defined terms in a way that lines up with a key propaganda meme propagated by the very forces you seek to unmask.  Do you not see the absurdity in this?

...

The United States has no collective control over production and distribution.  The government is completely captured and under the control of a very narrow group of private interests.  Anyone can see that.


Personal insults so soon huh?  

Since you seem so keenly interested I am actually in the reviled 1% based on 2014 income (but I am somewhat young and have not been making that kind of money long so my net worth is not high). I am close to the government money spigot and a direct beneficiary of our current system (a winner of the status quo if you will). I would be quite happy if our current system went on without a hiccup for another 30+ years. Unfortunately that seems unlikely.  
 
I am sorry that the definition of socialism so offends you. However, you may want to check the actual dictionary before you start accusing people of "mis-using well-defined terms"

http://www.thefreedictionary.com/socialism

If you don't like the word socialist feel free to substitute all instances with the term collectivism. In this context I prefer it as it is more clear and free from the political baggage. The substitution makes no difference to the arguments presented.  

Collectivism: the political principle of centralized social and economic control, especially of all means of production.

http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/collectivism

Your blanket assertion that the government has no control over production and distribution is false. Government spending is around 40% of GDP and that number will only climb with time.


http://taxfoundation.org/article/short-history-government-taxing-and-spending-united-states

Your claim that government is captured and controlled by special interests is of course correct. But you apparently do not see that the end result of the blue teams redistribution to the poor and the red teams redistribution to the connected is identical. Both teams undercut and gut the productive working class thereby accelerating the inevitable decline.
newbie
Activity: 21
Merit: 0
March 02, 2015, 07:18:06 PM
Socialism: a system of collective control especially over production and distribution in an economy.

The United States has no collective control over production and distribution.  The government is completely captured and under the control of a very narrow group of private interests.  Anyone can see that.

In a socialist economy the government controls the means of production

Using this definition, a feudal system is socialism!
newbie
Activity: 21
Merit: 0
March 02, 2015, 07:02:48 PM
underclass who do not understand the mechanism of their impoverishment

You are describing yourself here, I think.

You are deliberately mis-using well-defined terms in a way that lines up with a key propaganda meme propagated by the very forces you seek to unmask.  Do you not see the absurdity in this?
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1055
March 02, 2015, 04:18:30 PM
There is not a single element of the power structure in the United States that is not completely hostile to socialism.

But perhaps you are using a different definition for this term?  
...
Debt and taxes are not rising as a result of "socialists" pulling the levers of power.
...
The United States is not run by socialists.  That is utterly obvious.  If it is not obvious to you, you are using a tainted definition of the word socialism.

allbits it is fairly clear from your response that you have not read the links in the first post of this thread.

Focusing on whatever baggage the word socialism has been associated with is a distraction. When we talk about socialism here we are typically using some variation of the following definition.

Socialism: a system of collective control especially over production and distribution in an economy.

In a socialist economy the government controlls the means of production either directly via government spending (think military industrial complex) on indirectly via redistribution to favored groups (think welfare recipients, government health care, and bank bailouts).

The system is failing because we have an unsustainable financial system that transfers tremendous wealth to a parasitic and non-productive elite. Socialism and taxes are rising because the system impoverishes an ever larger underclass who do not understanding the mechanism of their impoverishment and demand their own parasitic redistribution. Governments are insolvent because we have reached the point where the host (the productive middle class) can no longer support the appetite of these dual ever growing parasites. Debt is rising because governments are mortgaging the future to pospone the inevitable reckoning.
newbie
Activity: 21
Merit: 0
March 02, 2015, 09:36:55 AM
Tough to take anyone seriously who applies the term "socialism" to the current political setup in the United States.

There is not a single element of the power structure in the United States that is not completely hostile to socialism.

But perhaps you are using a different definition for this term?  Such as the one usually used by the right wing hordes in the United States who are suckered into believing a cartoon version of politics:

There has been more and more socialism and collectivisation in the last decades as the government grew, the debt and taxes went up and the people were not improving their life styles anymore. Rich were getting richer, poor were getting poorer.

You cannot deny the governement is intervening much more now than in the 50's. There are more social programs that ever, yet the middle class and poor are suffering more.

Debt and taxes are not rising as a result of "socialists" pulling the levers of power.

If you want to have a serious discussion on these issues, start by using long-accepted definitions of terms used by people who study and write seriously about these issues.  When you do something as absurd as call the United States political set-up "socialist", you line yourself up with a cartoon version of politics and show yourself as someone who is being duped by one of the most important strands of political propaganda that has emerged in the last three decades.  The United States is not run by socialists.  That is utterly obvious.  If it is not obvious to you, you are using a tainted definition of the word socialism, one that has been blasted into the lower echelons of political debate for the purpose of obscuring the truth.
newbie
Activity: 21
Merit: 0
March 02, 2015, 09:28:26 AM
Even tougher to take someone seriously who infers that I am a socialist based on the content of my post.  You really come across like a frothy-mouthed fool despite your intelligence in some areas.  Is this your intent?

If not, you might want to reconsider your approach.
full member
Activity: 420
Merit: 117
March 02, 2015, 08:14:29 AM
B.A.S. afaics you do not grasp the thesis of this thread. My hypothesis is that after this global crisis, the productive economy will be primarily knowledge innovation, i.e. the manufacturing economies will be insignificant relative to the knowledge components (e.g. marketing analysis, product design, etc).

Quote from: B.A.S.
There is nobody to sell it to because all the US does is innovate; we don't produce it. Take Apple for instance... Designed in California; made in China. The US needs to start caring about itself instead of others. IMO, innovation in the US is made to export, not the reverse.

This is my point exactly. Knowledge doesn't get you anywhere if you don't produce anything. There is ample evidence of this problem right now in today's US economy. Look at the financial sector. The banking and finance world have been the leading companies for years "producing" the most "product" (dollars). The finance industry doesn't create any real products made with real materials.

It's worthless. Great Nations are rarely built by knowledge components alone. They are built with blood, sweat and tears of hardworking men in the manufacturing and trades world. Look at today's US. We have a bunch of pansy ass entitled kids with no real job skills and unlimited amounts of time and whining. My father didn't whine. His father didn't whine. Now don't get me wrong, we need both, but we cannot have one without the other. I am one who is paid by my knowledge, but I cannot exist without the individuals "keeping the lights on" sort of speak.

The US needs to return a large stake of its work back to its soil. A Nation's ability to innovate can be seen as a sign of strength, but it is also a luxury. If the basic needs of a Nation are not met first, innovating is a waste of time and resources (necessity is the mother of all invention).
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
March 02, 2015, 07:03:21 AM
Quote
Correct I prefer to ignore collectivists pigs that use semantic shell games to obscure the fact that growth of government as a share of GDP is the concomitant factor in all flavors of totalitarian governance, e.g. socialism, fascism, communism, and democracy.

Even our libertardianism is not safe anymore.  Here's a little something the mainstream press tries to sweep under the rug: Proudhon was a Communist and an unrepentant Jew.  


Here's proof:
Proudhon [naively] tried to hide his all-too-obvious Jewness by writing "heartfelt" articles denouncing the a noxious bacillus [that] keeps spreading as soon as a favorable medium invites him (The Jew).
Quote from: Proudhon's unconvincing antisemitism
The Jew is the enemy of the human race. This race must be sent back to Asia, or exterminated. H. Heine, A. Weil, and others are simply secret spies. Rothschild, Crémieux, Marx, Fould, evil choleric, envious, bitter men etc., etc., who hate us." (Carnets, vol. 2, p. 337: No VI, 178)
The lady doth protest too much, methinks Angry

Proudhon also invented thermite, another scientifically designed plague on humanity, which culminated in the destruction of Twin Towers (on 9/11 by his co-conspirators, the other Jews).
Coincidence?  or CREEPING TOTALITARIANISM?
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
March 02, 2015, 04:41:14 AM
Tough to take anyone seriously who applies the term "socialism" to the current political setup in the United States.

Correct I prefer to ignore collectivists pigs that use semantic shell games to obscure the fact that growth of government as a share of GDP is the concomitant factor in all flavors of totalitarian governance, e.g. socialism, fascism, communism, and democracy.

I (as UnunoctiumTesticles) had this discussion already with you socialist pigs in the Net Neutrality thread:

^ it's the second thread I see where you posted this. Wasn't once enough? xD
Also calling every socialist retarded without knowing what socialism is, is probably not a good idea lol.

That's one thing which Americans do all the time which particularly irritates me, they clearly don't know what socialism is.

Europeans apparently don't have a clue since they will repeat their megadeath from the 1940s again in the next decade.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism

Socialism in its generative essence is any system where the government is a very large percentage of the GDP, because implicitly it is in control of the economy and directing the redistribution of resources not for free market profit but for the "benefit of the society".

Europe precisely falls into this most generalized essence of socialism. As well you can factor in the Universal Health Care (not for profit but for social benefit), the strong political power of the debilitating unions, the government bailouts for example for Peugot, banks, etc..

Please stop wasting my time. I am busy programming for profit and don't have time for your ignorant bliss.

Some references for those who don't want to remain ignorant:

http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=984
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/05/31/various-flavors-of-government/
http://armstrongeconomics.com/research/economic-thought/by-topic/socialism/
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/09/04/government-punishes-savers-to-support-debtors-has-western-society-become-fascist/
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/05/01/are-we-headed-into-global-fascism/
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2013/10/01/what-socialism-destroyed-govt-shutdown/
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/04/11/socialism-at-its-best-how-to-destroy-the-wealth-of-a-nation/
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2015/01/10/dollar-gold-dow-interest-rates/
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 500
March 02, 2015, 03:16:05 AM
Tough to take anyone seriously who applies the term "socialism" to the current political setup in the United States.

There is not a single element of the power structure in the United States that is not completely hostile to socialism.

But perhaps you are using a different definition for this term?  Such as the one usually used by the right wing hordes in the United States who are suckered into believing a cartoon version of politics:

There has been more and more socialism and collectivisation in the last decades as the government grew, the debt and taxes went up and the people were not improving their life styles anymore. Rich were getting richer, poor were getting poorer.

You cannot deny the governement is intervening much more now than in the 50's. There are more social programs that ever, yet the middle class and poor are suffering more.
newbie
Activity: 21
Merit: 0
March 02, 2015, 12:41:47 AM
Tough to take anyone seriously who applies the term "socialism" to the current political setup in the United States.

There is not a single element of the power structure in the United States that is not completely hostile to socialism.

But perhaps you are using a different definition for this term?  Such as the one usually used by the right wing hordes in the United States who are suckered into believing a cartoon version of politics:
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
March 01, 2015, 10:25:43 PM
B.A.S. afaics you do not grasp the thesis of this thread (at least my thesis when I wrote the two essays linked from the OP, as well my posts in the Dark Enlightenment thread). The Industrial Age (high economies-of-scale, low active knowledge, high fixed investment capital manufacturing) is a negative profit activity. After the $200+ trillion global debt bubble implodes (which is the only thing holding up the Industrial Age), all that will be left standing will be the innovation.

The problem with the USA is socialism which is parasitic and destructive on the productive economy. My hypothesis is that after this global crisis, the productive economy will be primarily knowledge innovation, i.e. the manufacturing economies will be insignificant relative to the knowledge components (e.g. marketing analysis, product design, etc).
full member
Activity: 420
Merit: 117
March 01, 2015, 12:39:45 PM
That's the ticket:

Do we (the US) scale back our innovative/entrepreneurial spirit in favor of restructuring the broken (or soon to be) architecture of America and returning to the fundamentals?

OR-

Ramp it up even more, riding the tidal wave all the way to the shore where we enviably crash into the beach suffering an economic depression as great as the 1930s or worse?

Huh?

Why do you equate our innovation with what is broken?

Now I think I am reading you are one of those guys who thinks technology and "complexity" are the problem and life would be great if we all returned to the Amish Paradise.

Technology is certainly not the problem. After all, I am involved in BTC. The US has high entrepreneurial rewards for those willing to try. The problem is the demand for our entrepreneurial spirit (i.e. most other nations don't care or don't have the fiscal capacity to care).

What's broken is the outlet for our innovations. There is nobody to sell it to because all the US does is innovate; we don't produce it. Take Apple for instance... Designed in California; made in China.

The US needs to start caring about itself instead of others. IMO, innovation in the US is made to export, not the reverse.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
March 01, 2015, 11:37:34 AM
That's the ticket:

Do we (the US) scale back our innovative/entrepreneurial spirit in favor of restructuring the broken (or soon to be) architecture of America and returning to the fundamentals?

OR-

Ramp it up even more, riding the tidal wave all the way to the shore where we enviably crash into the beach suffering an economic depression as great as the 1930s or worse?

Huh?

Why do you equate our innovation with what is broken?

Now I think I am reading you are one of those guys who thinks technology and "complexity" are the problem and life would be great if we all returned to the Amish Paradise.
full member
Activity: 420
Merit: 117
March 01, 2015, 11:16:20 AM
That's the ticket:

Do we (the US) scale back our innovative/entrepreneurial spirit in favor of restructuring the broken (or soon to be) architecture of America and returning to the fundamentals?

OR-

Ramp it up even more, riding the tidal wave all the way to the shore where we enviably crash into the beach suffering an economic depression as great as the 1930s or worse?
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
March 01, 2015, 07:58:59 AM
Pettis is really talking about the government (top-down) will need to get out-of-the-way of the (bottom-up) innovators...

http://blog.mpettis.com/2015/02/can-monetary-policy-turn-argentina-into-japan/

Quote
The brave new world of weak demand and frenzied speculation

Last week I had drinks with one of my former Peking University students and we discussed some of the ways the global economy might react to a world adjusting from a global crisis with weak demand and excess liquidity. In no particular order and very informally these are some of the consequences we thought were likely or worth considering:

With their highly diversified financial systems and incentive structures that reward innovation and entrepreneurialism, the US, the UK and perhaps a handful of “Anglo-Saxon” and Scandinavian economies, in their different ways, are especially good at this. Much of Europe and Japan are not. The latter should take steps to increase the amount by which they will benefit from many more years of high risk appetite among investors.

Normally, developing countries only benefit indirectly from periods of abundant capital and excess risk taking because abundant capital tends to lead increased investment in developing countries and higher commodity prices. This, however, is perhaps the first time that excess liquidity has overlapped with a period of crisis and contraction, so it is hard to know what to expect except that the days of historically high hard commodity prices are well behind us (food may be a different matter). I suspect that developing countries are going to lag economically over the next few years largely because of high debt levels.
Why? Because one of the ways the market will probably distinguish between different types of risk is by steering away from highly indebted entities. Excess debt is clearly worrying, and while there will always be investors who are willing to lend, in the aggregate they will probably discriminate in favor of equity-type risks unless policymakers create incentives in the opposite direction.

Developing countries almost never benefit from the high tech boom that typically accompanies periods of excess liquidity because they tend to have limited technology capabilities. Policymakers should consider nonetheless how to take advantage of what capabilities they do posses.
India for example has a vibrant innovation-based sector, but it suffers from low credibility and from regulatory and red-tape constraints that will make it hard for Indian innovation to benefit from global investors’ high risk appetites. New Delhi — and perhaps local state capitals — should focus on addressing these problems. If Indian technology companies are given the regulatory flexibility and if investors find it easy to put money into (and take it out of) Indian technology ventures, we might see India capture some of the benefits of what may be a second or third wave of information technology.

Brazil is another large developing economy with pockets of tremendous innovation but which overall also suffers from low credibility and distorted incentive structures — and way too much debt. I am neither smart nor knowledgeable enough to propose specific policies, but policymakers in Brazil, like in India and in other very large developing economies — and they must be large in order that their relatively small technology sectors can achieve critical mass — must develop an explicit understanding of the institutional constraints and distorted incentive structures that prevent the development of their technology sectors, and take forceful steps to reverse them.

China is weak in high -tech innovation largely because of institutional constraints, including education, regulatory constraints, distorted incentive structures,and a hostile environment for innovative thinking (defying attempts to separate “good” innovative thinking from “bad”).  Overly-enthusiastic American venture capitalists, Chinese policymakers, and Chinese “entrepreneurs”, many of whom have almost become Silicon Valley caricatures will disagree, but in my experience most China, and certainly those involved in technology, are very skeptical about Chinese innovation capabilities. For example, when I taught at Tsinghua University, China’s answer to MIT, my students regularly joked that the only way to turn Tsinghua graduates into high tech innovators was to send them to California.
The main reason for its weak track record in innovation, I would argue, is that in China, like in many countries, there are institutional distortions that directly constrain innovation, as I explain in my blog entry on “social capital”. There are also indirect distortions, most obviously extraordinarily low interest rates and the importance of guangxi, that made accessing credit or developing good relationships with government officials infinitely more profitable, and requiring far less effort, for managers than encouraging innovation.

It is politically too difficult to resolve many of these institutional constraints nationally. In fact we are probably not even moving in the right direction — for example Beijing has recently sharply reduced internet access within China for domestic political reasons, and it is a pretty safe bet that this and other attempts to secure social stability will come at the expense of a culture of innovation.

But if Beijing is reluctant to relax constraints at the national level, it might nonetheless be willing to do so in specific local jurisdictions. If there were pockets within the country operating under different legal, regulatory, tax and cultural systems, and much more tolerant of the political and social characteristics of highly innovative societies, China might see the creation of zones of innovation that would benefit from the favorable global environment. I am skeptical about the impact of the Shanghai free-trade zone on trade or investment, for example, but it could become a more credible center of Chinese innovation under a very different legal and regulatory system  — much as Shanghai was, by the way, in the 1920s and 1930s. China has benefitted in the past from special economic zones, with different laws and regulations, dedicated to manufacturing. It might benefit in the future if it turns these into special “innovation” zones, also with very different laws and regulations —  and above all a far greater appetite for the “bad” things that are always part of highly innovative cultures, including a wide open internet and tolerance for any kind of discussion.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
March 01, 2015, 06:12:12 AM
Rise of the Asian middle class...

The Chinese spit and defecate along the road. Japanese are very conforming society and more like cats than the Chinese who are more like dogs. Japanese sip tea and have many formalities of social behavior. The Chinese gets things done any way they feel like it (did you read about them putting straw in the concrete to save money so the bridges collapsed, the Japanese would never do that!).

http://www.thaivisa.com/forum/topic/802703-video-the-chinese-tourists-accused-of-bad-behaviour-in-thailand/
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
March 01, 2015, 03:51:18 AM
hide your assets

Hiding assets could at some point be considered a terrorist offense. I realize that is far-fetched (as was a government pulverizing 2000+ people and demolishing 3 skyscrapers in New York City), but I advise everyone to consider the trails you are leaving now.

If you want to truly hide assets, there needs to be no trail.

For example, withdrawing money regularly from the ATM and not having receipts to prove what you spent the money on, could at some point in the future cause you to be guilty (unless proven innocent[1]) for suspicion of purchasing gold to hide your assets.

Don't forget every person on average commits 3 felonies per day in the USA.

Did I not mention "get the f*ck out of the USSA".

I realize I that is an extremist statement. I am currently thinking roughly 2018 or 2019 for the really draconian shift. War should kick in starting 2017. Also we should also see a pandemic.

[1] Upthread we documented that the constitutional principle of "innocent until proven guilty" is being eroded.


Add: note I warned about this in 2010 (that is how far ahead I was in my thinking):

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article20327.html

Quote
End Game, Gold Investors Will be Destroyed
Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Jun 15, 2010 - 02:33 PM GMT
By: Shelby_H_Moore
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1055
March 01, 2015, 03:43:07 AM
Learning programming can be lucrative. I would suggest learning web programming.

I ran across this when looking for programming classes for kids. It is for adults so its not what I needed but
it may be a good option for adults looking to learn web programming.
http://www.codingdojo.com/
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