Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 38. (Read 12658 times)

The Yankees need this game. They are playing for their season in this one and I think that they are going to win this game in a blowout. The Yankees won the first game of the series but have lost the last two 7-5 and 8-4. If they lose tonight the series is over. The Yankees have the best lineup in baseball and they have scored 18 runs in the three games in this series. I think they will top that. Tampa Bay is going with a bullpen game. They are starting Ryan Thompson, a rookie reliever. I think the Yankees will get to him early and I don't think that Tampa Bay's bullpen is going to be able to slow the Yankees down in this one. The Rays are just 4-10 in their last 14 Divisional Round games and I think that they are going to have a hard time closing out this series. The Yankees are still 15-7 in their last 22 games and they are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a favorite. I like New York to get this one.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

We like Iceland to bounce back from back to back losses including an ugly 5-1 loss at Belgium. Iceland had a great 2016 Euro even knocking England out of the tournament. They are 2-0-1 in their last three Euro qualifiers and are 8-1-2 in their last 11 home Euro qualifying matches. Iceland have not lost a match against a side outside the Top Ten at home since June 2011. For Romania they come off a 3-2 win over Austria in the Nations League and are unbeaten in their last two matches. In Euro qualifiers, they have lost their last two, a 5-0 loss to Spain in November and a 2-0 loss to Sweden at home. It has been more than a decade since Romania have beaten a side as highly ranked as Iceland on the road. These two last meet in World Cup qualifying in 1996/97 when Romania beat Iceland 4-0 in back to back matches. Though some of these players were not alive when these matches played, this is a very different and more talented Iceland side. Point here is that Iceland comes off one of its worst losses of its modern history, they have not won a game this year basically and the first two have been lackluster, look for them to get a solid bounce-back win here.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

I definitely don’t want to be on the Marlins pen in this one but we have a potential pitching advantage at the start of the game if all goes according to plans. Sixto Sanchez has pitched well, while Kyle Wright has not. Wright not only has an ERA north of 5.00 but his WHIP on the season is 1.55. The right-hander averages nearly 5.7 walks per 9 IP. He’s worse away from home and while this is a neutral site game, it’s not the home bump. Wright has been tagged for a 12.41 ERA & 2.52 WHIP with a .462 wOBA the second time through a batting order. Sanchez is pitching on less rest than normal but we do believe he’ll be able to make it through five innings. The young righty had one good start and one not so good start against the Braves this season. His changeup has been stellar, holding the opposition to a batting average under .150 against it. We will eliminate the advantage the Braves have in the pens and play the Marlins in the first 5 innings on Thursday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

As per our selection on Morikawa to get the better of Simpson in round one, our research shows that Morikawa's game is better suited to TPC Sumerlin and we expect him to get off to a great start to this tournament. Simpson has played some good golf of late, but the last time we saw him he was finishing at +6 in the U.S. Open. The Shriners has been a tournament known for up-and-coming stars to make a name for themselves and while Morikawa has already announced himself to the golf world, this could be a tournament he flat out wins outright and that starts with a great opening round on Thursday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

No bet against Cincinnati is a bad bet. They have eight goals on the year and they have been trash. They have a -15 goal differential and just one win - a 1-0 win over the Red Bulls - in their last 10 matches. These guys want to park the bus and slow games down. But that's not going to bother a disciplined Philadelphia team. Philly is coming off a tough loss to a good Toronto team. They are going to want to bounce back strong here, similar to what they did after their last loss (rebound with a 3-0 win). Philadelphia has been one of the best teams in MLS since the restart, going 10-3 with three draws. Most of their wins have been blowouts and I see them sizing up another one here.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

The Marlins had an early lead in yesterday's game, but they woke a sleeping giant when they plunked Robert Acuna in the bottom of the third inning that got the Braves going. Ian Anderson will be on the mound for Atlanta and the rookie has been great all season long. Anderson was sharp in his postseason debut allowing just 2 hits while striking out 9 over 6 innings of a 5-0 win against the Reds and I think he will come through again today. Pablo Lopez will be making his postseason debut and he has had mixed results against the Braves in this season and his career as he owns a 2-4 record with a 4.43 ERA across 8 starts. Atlanta is the more talented team and I think they get the win again today to take a 2-0 series lead.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Tuesday Baseball Bonanza 
*The leans below will not count to my stats here in this thread. Follow or fade, it's up to you!


WON - Take Houston Astros over Oakland A's (4:35 PM, Tuesday, October 6th)

The Astros have posted a 5-2 record in their last seven playoff games and they are an excellent 7-2 in their last nine Divisional Series games. They have also been good of late when facing a left-handed starter, winning 47 of their last 66. The A's, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 2-6 in their last eight playoff games. Throw in the fact that the Astros are a perfect 7-0 in their last seven playoff games where they were listed as an underdog and we're going to take them at the even money or so price here to get the win over the A's in LA on Tuesday afternoon.

---

LOST - Take Miami Marlins over Atlanta Braves (2:05 PM, Tuesday, October 6th)

The Marlins have posted a perfect 5-0 record in their last five playoff games and they have that same perfect 5-0 record in their last five playoff games where they were listed as the underdog. They have also won five of their last six where they faced a team with a winning record and they are an excellent 5-2 in their last seven games following a win. The Braves, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 5-14 in their last nineteen NLDS games and they have lost 15 of their last 22 playoff games overall. Throw in the fact that the Marlins are a perfect 4-0 in their last four games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower and we're going to take them at the big underdog price to get the win over Atlanta in Houston on Tuesday afternoon.

---

LOST - Take San Diego Padres over Los Angeles Dodgers (9:35 PM, Tuesday, October 6th)

The Padres have posted a 9-3 record in their last twelve games following a game where they allowed two runs or less and they have gone an excellent 10-4 in their last fourteen games following a win. They have also won thirteen of their last seventeen where they faced a team with a winning record and they are an impressive 12-3 in their last fifteen games versus an NL West Division rival. Throw in the fact that the Padres are a lights out 11-5 in their last sixteen games where they faced a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower along with the fact that they absolutely kill righties, winning 21 of their last 26 games where they faced a right-handed starter and we're taking the Padres at a nice underdog price to get the win in Arlington on Tuesday night.

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Los Angeles Lakers take on the Miami Heat at the Disney Wide World of Sports Complex in Orlando, FL on Tuesday night. The Lakers have posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five games where they were listed as the favorite and they have that same 4-1 record to the over in their last five games where they were playing with one day of rest. They have also gone up and over the number in four of their last six following a game where they scored 100 points or more and they have that same 4-2 record off a game where they allowed their opponent to crack the century mark. The Heat have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone 5-2 to the over in their last seven games where they were listed as an underdog and they have that same 5-2 record to the over following a game where they allowed 100 points or more. They have also gone up and over the total in nine of their last thirteen following a straight up win by ten points or more and they are a lights out 28-13 to the over in their last 41 following a straight up win overall. Throw in the fact that the Heat are also 34-17-1 to the over when playing with one day of rest while the Lakers are 9-4 to the over in their last fourteen following a straight up loss and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to push the pace a bit in Orlando on Tuesday night.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

The New York Yankees will look to take a commanding 2-0 lead in their ALDS clash with the Tampa Bay Rays when the two teams meet at Petco Park on Tuesday night. Deivi Garcia (3-2, 4.98 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) will get the start for the Yankees and he will be opposed by Tyler Glasnow (5-1, 4.08 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), who is scheduled to get the call on the hill for the Rays. The Yankees have posted a perfect 4-0 record in their last four ALDS games and they are also a perfect 6-0 in their last six Game #2's of a series. They have also won ten of their last fourteen games where they faced a right-handed starter and they are an impressive 11-3 in their last fourteen games following a win. The Rays, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 3-7 in their last ten games where they were listed as the favorite and they have lost ten of their last thirteen Divisional Round playoff games. Throw in the fact that the Yankees are completely locked in at the plate right now, scoring 31 runs in their first three playoff games this year, along with the fact that they are a dominant 77-37 in their last 114 games versus an American League East Division rival and we're going to take them at the small underdog price to get the win in San Diego on Tuesday night.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

This is a great spot to grab the points and take the underdog. Do I see Seattle winning this game and becoming WNBA Champions? Yes, I do, but I also see Las Vegas giving the Storm everything they have and keeping this game closer than the line suggests. This line has already dropped a full point from when it came out and that is after two straight double-digit victories for the Storm. Seattle has proven that they are the best team in the league and that they absolutely deserve to become Champions, but Las Vegas is also a very good team. The Aces have the depth and the star power to match Seattle in a game, but not for a series, and this is that game. I see this game having an 85-82 or 87-84 type feel to it. Seattle will get up to a double-digit lead but Vegas will battle back with all they have. In the end Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird will be the difference makers on the scoreboard, but not when it comes to the line. Take the points in Game 3 as the underdog cashes.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

The Marlins have had a great season and its been a nice story, but I think this is where their season comes to an end. The Braves have won the National League East the past three seasons building to this and I think their playoff experience will pay dividends in this game and in the series. Max Fried has been sensational this season going 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA over 11 starts. Fried allowed more than 2 earned runs in just one of his 11 starts and the Braves have won ten out of the eleven starts he has made. Sandy Alcantara will be on the bump for Miami and he has been solid this season going 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA over 7 starts during the regular season. However, he wasn't as sharp in two day starts allowing 9 runs (6 earned) on 11 hits (2 HR) over 10 innings. Atlanta won the season series 6-4 outscoring the Marlins 68-44 and I think they will do just that in this matchup as well.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

This should be a great match for Nakashima as this is a guy that took Zverev to 4 sets which is difficult to do and he has gone against the top players in the world and hung in there just fine. At the end of the day, Klahn struggles against consistent players who can also hit with decent power and Klahn is 30 years old whereas Brandon is just 19 and there is a reason why Brandon is favored here. Look for Brandon to get after it here, he certainly has the edge both in power, serve, return game and especially his backhand and he likely gets it done here.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

The New York Yankees will look to take a 1-0 lead in their AL Divisional Playoff series with the Tampa Bay Rays when the two teams meet at Petco Park in San Diego, CA on Monday night. Gerrit Cole (1-0, 2.57 ERA, 0.86 WHIP) will get the start for the Yankees and he will be opposed by Blake Snell (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.53 WHIP), who is scheduled to get the call on the hill for the Rays. The Yankees have posted a 10-3 record in their last thirteen games following a win and they have gone an excellent 13-3 in their last sixteen playoff games where they were listed as the favorite. They have also won 25 of their last 37 games where they faced a left-handed starter and they are an impressive 76-37 in their last 113 games where they faced an AL East Division rival. The Rays, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have lost nine of their last twelve Divisional Round playoff games. Throw in the fact that the Yankees are 7-3 in their last ten in that same divisional spot, that they have won 36 of their last 51 versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower, and the fact that their bats seem to have woken up after they scored 22 runs in their two wins over Cleveland and we're going to lay the price with them here to get the win in San Diego on Monday evening.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Let's face it the New Yankees bats can score runs whoever is on the mound and I'm a bit shocked this total wasn't 7.5 or 8. The Yankees scored 22 runs in two games against Cleveland to start the playoffs and the Rays beat the Blue Jays 8-2 to close them out. I know we have a fantastic pitching matchup tonight with Gerrit Cole going up against Blake Snell but Cole's last 3 starts all 3 of them have gone 'Over'. Give me the 'Over' with that Yankees lineup! Yankees are 8-2 O/U following a day off and the Yankees 7-2 following a win.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

We hit the total on both games so far in the NBA Finals, and we think that after the first game jitters with the under that the scoring will continue to be fluid here in Game 3. We stated that Miami would be more competitive in Game 2 and they were, and we can see that continue here in Game 3 so there will be no blowout like in Game 1 where Miami doesn't score enough to help get over the total. The Lakers offense is working so well now and they are playing some of their best basketball of the season, and we don't see the Heat having any solutions for them on the defensive end. We see the Lakers putting up a big point total for the third straight game in these NBA Finals and the Heat will show some nice heart and make sure they do the rest to get this total over the posted number.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

This game is a mismatch. This line opened at 2.0 and was immediately bet up to 3.0. That tells me where the sharp action is. Buffalo has already gone on the road and gotten a win this year, beating division rival Miami in Week 2. They have been dominating all three of their games to start the season. They were up 21-3 in the third quarter against the Jets. They were also up 31-20 with one minute left in the fourth quarter against the Dolphins. They were up 28-3 in the third quarter against the Rams. Miami and the Rams were able to score late and make those games look closer than that though. The Bills offense has really taken off this year. They are No. 4 in total yards, No. 2 in passing and No. 3 in points scored. They are averaging 31 points per game this year. Josh Allen is playing at an MVP level. The Buffalo defense has taken a step back after finishing in the Top 5 last year. I still think that this is a very strong defense and they will play better than they have been able to in their first three games. The Raiders are 2-1 on the season. Their numbers have not been good. They are in the middle of the pack on offense. They are No. 27 in total defense and they are No. 25 in points allowed. They are giving up 30 points per game and I think that the Bills offense is going to continue to produce. The Bills are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and they are 5-1 ATS as a favorite. Buffalo is 6-2 ATS against teams with a winning record. Las Vegas is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight AFC games and this team does not have a strong home field advantage. I like Buffalo to get another win and move to 4-0. Lay the points.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Now before we get into why we like Arizona we completely understand that this is a West Coast to East Coast trip. We understand that this is a 1 o'clock start. We understand that this is a road game. We also understand that this is a good Cardinals team that is now undervalued after their loss to the Lions. Prior to that loss the Cardinals had won their previous two games and looked good doing so. Kyler Murray has star potential and he seems to really be coming into his own. He didn't look good versus Detroit but this is a great spot for a bounceback as the Panthers have given up 30 points or more in two of their three games. As far as the long trip and the early start...The Cards are just fine. Their last two games (Washington and Detroit) were both at home so they are rested and ready for this trip and this game. The Panthers on the other hand have had to travel each of the past two weeks. They opened their season at home versus Las Vegas, then went to Tampa, then went to Los Angeles, and now return home. We'd venture to say that is much worse than the Cards making one trip East. With no Christian McCaffery this Panthers offense is going to struggle to keep pace with the dynamic Arizona offense. This line is all about what happened last week so don't buy in. Lay the points as the Cards win easier than expected 34-24.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

The Bulldogs are banking on a big upgrade on offense with QB JT Daniels clear to play but I just do not see an offensive explosion. They struggled last week with Arkansas trailing 7-5 at halftime and I do not expect their offensive line to hold up in this game against Auburn. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Auburn has not had much success against Georgia in recent years, but I like there quarterback better and the talent is just too even to be giving this many points. Auburn can win this game straight-up and expect them to easily cover the spread.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Memphis has not played since their season-opening 37-24 win over Arkansas State on Sept. 5 due to COVID-19 cases that caused the program to pause activities and cancel games against Houston and UTSA. Memphis coach Ryan Silverfield said that "a majority" of his team is back and he is confident the players are in a good spot to play. Unlike Memphis, SMU is 3-0 should be in a rhythm since they have played three games this year, the latest being a 50-7 rout of Stephen F. Austin last week. Memphis has won and covered six in a row in this series, but only did so by a half-point last year at home. With the long layoff and the Tigers having a new coach, I like that home team in conference games, after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite, are 44-15 ATS. SMU outright.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

I'm laying the points with Baylor on Saturday. After last week's easy win, the Bears enter Saturday on a 6-0 ATS run in conference action. And believe it or not, the Mountaineers have been a serious bankroll burner as an underdog, covering just 5 of the last 23. Last week Baylor ran for nearly 5 yards per carry and QB Charlie Brewer was decent enough. Meanwhile, WVU lost at Oklahoma State. The bad take from the loss is that WVU was taking on a bruised and battered Cowboy team playing without its starting QB and missing offensive linemen, yet OSU ran for 203 yards on 5 yards per carry. They shoved WVU all over the place. Same can be said for the WVU offensive line that couldn't protect the QB. The Mountaineers could mount no running game at all. Baylor is better in the trenches on both sides of the line of scrimmage by all indications. There's a reason Baylor is laying a FG on the road and yet it's short of my power ratings. I'm laying the points with Baylor on Saturday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter