Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 40. (Read 12658 times)

The Nuggets have had a great run. They came back from big deficits against the Jazz and Clippers to win those series. But we think they don't have another rally in them. Both of their series before this went to Game 7. This team has played a lot of basketball, and we think that this might be a real ugly game for them. The Lakers want to end this while the Celtics/Heat series is still going to give themselves some extra time to rest, and we expect them to go all out tonight while they have the Nuggets on the ropes. They don't want Denver winning this one and getting confidence for another 3-1 comeback. We think they play lockdown defense and shut down a Denver offense that should be running on fumes here. We think this is a great chance for a double-digit Lakers win, and we are getting the best line of the series for the favorites.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Texas Longhorns hit the road to take on the Texas Longhorns at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, TX on Saturday afternoon. Texas has posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five road games and they have gone an excellent 5-1 to the over in their last six on the road where they were listed as the favorite. Texas Tech has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone a perfect 6-0-1 to the over in their last seven home games where they were listed as an underdog and they are an impressive 9-1-1 to the over in their last eleven where they were listed as an underdog overall. They have also gone up and over the number in five of their last seven games following a straight up win and they are a lights out 7-1-1 to the over in their last nine Big 12 games. A few other factors that have us one the over here is the scheduling spot for both teams as they are both coming in off byes and what we saw from both schools in their first games of the season. Texas put up a whopping 59 points in their blowout win over UTEP while Texas Tech was able to score on a bad Houston Baptist team but they also allowed 33 points to the Huskies. We saw nothing from the Red Raider defense that showed they'd be able to stop a very high-powered Texas offense. Tech will get points as they always do but if Texas puts up anything near what they did against UTEP, which we think is a great possibility, then the OVER will most likely to hit.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Doosan has their horse on the mound tonight, but he got hit hard last time out and will be pitching on short rest again tonight. Raul Alcantara has allowed 7 runs in 11 innings over his last two starts. Getting a +1.5 on the road team is great value, as the home team needs to have it covered after 8 innings (or hit a home run with men on base). Kiwoom will counter with Lee Seung-ho and he pitched well of late with only 1 loss since July 12th. This should be a well-pitched game by both sides, and we will side with the better team that has won 5 of the 8 meetings (1 push).

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

I'm playing 'under' in this one. These have been two of the worst lineups in baseball. The Rangers are No. 29 in team batting average hitting just .213. They are also No. 29 in scoring with just 3.8 runs per game this season. Houston is No. 1 in the league in strikeouts and No. 21 in home runs. They are averaging just 4.8 runs per game. The Astros scored 12 runs in the opener of this series last night. That was their biggest output of the month and prior to that they had only scored 24 runs in their previous nine games. Houston has gone 'under' in 8 of 10 games. Both pitchers have been excellent. Jose Urquidy has just a 1.01 WHIP and a 2.78 ERA on the season and three of his four starts have gone 'under'. Kyle Cody has been a strong rookie for the Rangers. He has just a 1.53 ERA in his four starts and I think he will be very good again today. The 'under' is 8-1 in Houston's last nine divisional games and is 5-1 when they are posted as a favorite. The 'under' is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams and I see this one going 'under' again.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

You have pundits saying it's over, the Celtic are done and let's wrap things up and of course, the Celtics hear all this. Despite some terrible things happening in their last game, a lot of positives happened to for Boston. First of all, this team is not going to get chumped losing in 5 games to Jimmy Butler, the Miami Heat and a bunch of rookies - how embarrassing. Second of all, it is very difficult for a 5th seed to even get to the Finals historically as the last one that did it was in 1999 which was the Knicks who were the 8th seed - of course, they still might get there, but I don't think it will be this game, I think the Celtics will live to fight another day. The Boston fanbase is all over this team, even with Tatum scoring 0 points in the first half, Hayward having a season high now at 14 points last game which means he is getting back to full strength, and the fact that this team had 19 turnovers , they had a chance to win that game. Plus, Herro is not going to drop 37 points again, Adebayo has a sore wrist and I think at the end of the day, the Celtics just have too much culture here to lose. If there was ever a game the Celtics put a complete game together, it's here probably.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Great, because a sheet is better for follow your performance.
And we can do graph, statistics etc (about your performance).

I am very happy that you like it, I hope it makes you understand that I am really interested and intrigued

The Lakers have been terrific after suffering a loss this postseason. You'll recall they lost Game 1 to Portland then crushed the Blazers 111-88 in Game 2 and never looked back, winning four in a row. The Lakers lost Game 1 to the Rockets then followed by winning the remaining four games in rather easy fashion including a 117-109 win and cover in Game 2. We give the Nuggets plenty of credit for what they've accomplished to this point but the bottom line is, they don't matchup well with the Lakers, they don't have LeBron, and L.A. just got their one shaky game out of the way. I expect the Lakers to control this game as long as they bring the intensity. I'm betting the Lakers make it three in a row ATS off a loss. I'm laying the points with the Lakers on Thursday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Minnesota Lynx take on the Seattle Storm at the IMG Academy in Bradenton, FL on Thursday night. The Lynx have posted a perfect 6-0 record to the over in their last six games where they faced a team with a winning record and they are also a perfect 7-0 to the over in their last seven games where they were listed as an underdog. They have also gone up and over the number in ten of their last fourteen versus a team from the Western Conference and they are 5-1 to the over in their last six games overall. The Storm have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone over the total in each of their last six games where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and they are 5-1 to the over in their last six games overall. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone a perfect 7-0 to the over in their last six head to head meetings, including a 88-86 Storm win in Game 1 of the series and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to push the pace again in Florida on Thursday night.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Boston got right back into this series in Game 3 with a big win, and it's easy to think they can keep the momentum going tonight. They had a rare three nights off because of the strange scheduling in the bubble, and as a result they got some much needed R and R. This definitely benefits the Celtics more since the Heat had them kind of on the ropes after that 2-0 lead but now Boston recaptured the momentum and they got some time to get Hayward some more rest, and he should be a major factor tonight in this likely win. Boston is the better defensive team, and with the extra rest we should see that unit flourish tonight. And their offense really woke up in Game 3 with 117 points, and we see that continuing tonight, especially with Hayward more fully in the mix. Miami is playing some very good basketball right now, but they have had an easy path and haven't faced a lot of adversity. Boston is more battle tested, and ready for this crucial Game 4. And not to mention that Boston has been one of the best betting teams in the NBA for the last several years, and they normally exceed the expectations of the oddsmakers. We think that will be the case again tonight.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

As per your selection on Philadelphia, we believe this is a major mismatch and the price is way too good to pass up. Philadelphia is easily one of the top teams in the MLS and they come into this game riding a three match winning streak which has seen them score 9 goals while conceding just 2. They should have no trouble keeping Cincinnati FC out of the back of the net as Cincy has managed just 2 goals over their last five games and play a very defensive brand of soccer. Philadelphia will be able to break the Cincy defense down with their plethora of attacking options and ideas and we see Philly racing away to a 3-0 win in this game.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

You got a point there. My plan is to make a google sheet once we hit the 300-winning units mark. Currently, we are on 273.15 units won and so we'll get there very soon. After that, I'll include my picks in a Google sheet, as requested. 

@JanpriX
I can't follow up with posts, that is, I have a lot of difficulty.. is hard.
I wanted to propose you to make a google sheet, in my opinion it is better being more compact.
You can continue to post, but in my opinion by putting
date, match, prediction, win or lose
you (we) get a better view

It's a little redundant to write the same things each time we take Tampa in this series but let me reiterate. Tampa is the better team. The deeper team. The better defensive team. The team with the better offense. Game 1 they were tired from flying across the country and in Game 2 they showed flashes of the team they can be. Game 3, we expect Tampa to dominate from the onset and get the win and go up 2-1 in the series.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

I know, I know: it's crazy to bet against Trevor Bauer. He has been one of the best pitchers in the National League this year, posting a 1.80 ERA with 88 strikeouts to just 16 walks. The free agent-to-be has been awesome. But he's not unhittable. Milwaukee has seen him twice this year, tagging him for four runs in six innings the last time they saw him on Aug. 24. That came during a stretch of three starts in which Bauer gave up three or more runs in a row. So he's not untouchable, and I think that the Reds getting a third bite at the apple will help their cause. Again, Bauer's been amazing. He did this back in 2018 in Cleveland as well, posting a 2.21 ERA for the year. But this is still the same guy that had a 6.39 ERA last season. And if you kick out that 2018 season his career ERA is 4.39. His career ERA right now with all seasons considered is around 4.00. So I know a regression candidate when I see one.

The same can be said for both of these offenses. Cincinnati has the worst offense in the Majors, hitting just .212 as a team. Milwaukee isn't much better, hitting just .227. But there is more talent in these lineups than is showing up in production. Christian Yelich, Ryan Braun, Keston Hiura, Joey Votto, Ed Suarez, Mike Moustakas and Nick Castellanos are all All-Star-caliber hitters. They just haven't shown it yet. The Reds have been showing signs of life, scoring seven or more runs in five of their last nine. They are averaging around five runs per game in their last 10 and I think they can get to six runs here. The Brewers busted out for 18 runs against the Cardinals on Sept. 15. And since that game they have scored 30 runs in six games. They are also averaging over five runs over their last 10. So these guys can hit. I know they can hit and I think they will.

Bauer is on one side. The other starter is Adrian Houser. He's gone 'over' in seven starts and it has a lot to do with him. He has a 5.33 ERA and is allowing an average of 10 hits per nine innings. His WHIP is 1.52 and he can't get people out consistently. Houser has given up at least four runs in each of his last six starts. And over his last eight starts he's given up 36 runs in just 39 innings. Not great. I think that he can, and will, get lit up by the Reds. I think this game has a 7-4 feel to it.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Shane Bieber had his start moved to Wednesday and we believe he and Lucas Giolito are going to keep this contest low scoring through the first 5 innings. Bieber recently had a 10-game run of 1st half Unders before it was finally broken. The Cleveland righty owns a 1.74 ERA & 0.86 WHIP on the season, while striking out 112 batters in 72.1 IP! His ERA’s the first and second time through a lineup are 1.69 & 1.42, respectively, with an opponents’ batting average of .152 & .178! Giolito has been firing BBs on the road this season and last and he’s slammed the door on the Indians the last four times he’s faced them (twice each this season and last), sporting a 0.65 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and a 10.4 Ks per 9 IP ratio. The Indians are one of the worst this season against righties in the metrics we care about the most. I’m playing the Under in the first 5 innings between the White Sox & Indians on Wednesday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

I am looking for another fast start from the Lakers. They nailed a game-winning shot in Game 2 and I think that momentum will carry over into this game. It helps that the Lakers are playing on a neutral court and that they don't have to play this key Game 3 in Denver. Los Angeles has won six straight games and nine of their last 10 games. They are on a 5-1 ATS run and I think that they will continue their strong play. The Lakers have had double-digit leads in each of the first two games of this series and I think that they will do it again here.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Per this selection, the Connecticut Sun shot the lights out of the ball last game around 50% and they are a team that is on a mission it seems right now. They have a lot of depth, they are playing togethr as a team and they have come together at the right time. But, note that Vegas shot 1/14 from 3 point land last game and scored a season low basically of 64 points. They had never even scored below 75 points and in this best of 5 series, it's hard to imagine that this team does not show up today especially given that they are the favorite and all the trades they made are for a team that is Championship or Bust. But, I still think Connecticut will not get blown out here, there is just too much vibe and energy in this team right now and this team really believes. They are well coached as well and what you are going to see here is two highly efficient offenses take part today as this game likely goes over the posted total today.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

We are taking Slavia Prague in the first leg of this Champions League qualifier. Slavia are coming off a 5-1 win at home over Teplice and are now in second place in the Czech Liga table, two points back of Spart Prague. Slavia are 3-0-1 this season and have been non stop on the scoring front, netting 15 goals while giving up just 2 goals. Slavia are no stranger to the Champions League, they made it to the group stages last season after back to back 1-0 wins over CFR Cluj. Then failed to win a match in the group stages with Barcelona, Inter Milan and Dortmund, though they drew 1-1 at Inter Milan and 0-0 at Barcelona. For Midtjylland, they are on their third round of qualifying after winning at Ludogorets 1-0 in the first round and 3-0 at home over Young Boys in the second round. Though they have seen success in the first two rounds, they have had mixed results in their domestic league. Midtjylland are 1-1-0 in their two Superliga matches, losing at seventh place SonderjyskE 2-0 to open the season, though they are coming off a 1-0 home win over tenth place Lyngby. This is the first time in two seasons that the Danish side has been in this competition and this is the farthest they have made it since 2015. Slavia is a much more talented side in this match up and will want to take a lead heading into the second leg.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

Tampa has yet to lose back to back games in this years playoffs, and they have only been held to one goal or less only two times in these playoffs. They know that they will have to find their offensive game here as they do not want to go down 2-0. Coach Jon Cooper for Tampa admitted that it was not until the 3rd period where they finally found their game but it was too late. They will build on that 3rd period and that will carry on to this game. I expect the Lightning to come out of the gate quick and set the tone. Tampa has the motivation and the fact they have yet to lose back to back games in the entire playoffs, shows how well they typically bounce back. Put it all together and we like Tampa tonight. Lightning are 44-8 in their last 52 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter

A big series begins on Monday in Cincy with both teams playing well and both in playoff contention. We have a pair of righties starting in this one and that's an important note because both teams struggle at the plate against right-handed pitching. The Reds own the 3rd worst batting average against righties at .214 and the Brewers have the 4th worst mark of .220, and it really doesn't matter home or away. Reds righty Luis Castillo has been virtually untouchable in his three September starts, posting a 1.23 ERA, while Woodruff has been dependable all season. Castillo has a 2.57 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 11.9 K's per 9 IP ratio, while allowing just 3 HRs in his last six home starts against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Woodruff has a 3.15 ERA & 1.09 WHIP, with a 12.1 K's per 9 IP ratio in his last four starts against Cincinnati. We're betting the starting pitchers will take care of business. I'm playing the Under in the first five innings between the Brewers & Reds on Monday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

#BlackLivesMatter