I want to ask your thoughts on this.
I am trying to use a little arithmetic in my Over/Under bets today. Let's say in the match between USA and Greece. I took the average scores in their previous five matches, add them up, and will place my Over/Under bet based on it.
So, based on their last 5 games, USA has an average of 94.8 points per game while Greece has 83.2 points. The total would be 178 points. Therefore, betting on Over 165.5 is a wise decision.
Is this right? Or am I just wasting my time on this strategy? LOL. Thanks!
No, because the scores depends on the team they played, and since USA is a dominant team in their past games, they did score more points.
Don't just rely on averages when you are gambling, oddsmaker are not foolish to give you an easy line, the fact that the total offers are below the average points, this means this game is gonna be more physical and game might go under, but I'm not saying I can assure this, just saying my thoughts.
In the end, it's still up to you, just consider my thoughts also. By the way, don't you like to bet on the Greece ML? Looks like that's a good odds too.
In case you are betting with BTC, then Sportsbet.io has Greece at 4.20, Cloudbet have them at 4.28 (+8.5) and Nitrogensports at 4.285 (+8.5).
That's +8.5 at 1.92 and 4.20 moneyline in my sportsbook.