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Topic: GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer - page 93. (Read 262357 times)

hero member
Activity: 1470
Merit: 504
March 28, 2014, 12:24:12 PM
I'm starting to believe that Bitcoin liquidity is irrelevant.

How many Satoshis are in the order book? Is the utility of 1 Satoshi lower than 1 XBT when 1 Satoshi could potentially be divided by more decimal places until infinity?

If there were only 1 single Bitcoin left available in the world, the market would be no more illiquid than it is today (assuming the ownership distribution is the same) as the liquidity is a direct result of the demand to buy and the incentive to sell...

The price of USD, EUR, CNY are all fixed by the respective central bank because the central banks are the largest players in the market with an infinite supply. The price of XBT isn't fixed the same way but is rather a direct result of the actual market, nobody has unlimited supply and the price is directly relative to the commerce at every point.

I'm questioning everything now...
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 12:06:57 PM
@jl2012
do you know where SMBIT is buying and selling?
At which Exchange or OTC ?
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Circle gets the Square
March 28, 2014, 11:22:36 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.

The no liquidity issue has always been a concern.  Back when BTC was 5$ there were walls in the mid-five figures, but the exchange value was essentially the same as you've got now.  If more liquidity is the goal then the traders need to stop taking money/coin off the table on both the bid and the ask side.  I say traders because their base is much larger than the real user base.

Traders are concerned about the reliability of current exchanges (for good reason).  Liquidity will improve if better exchanges are built. 

You raise a good point.  I want to say that perhaps a network of trusted exchanges needs to be created effectively combining the market liquidity of each.  However, that doesn't really lend itself to the core motivation of Bitcoin.  Cheesy

I think SecondMarket is going to launch a "meta-exchange" which allows exchanges to trade with each other. That will greatly improve the liquidity

Snap Smiley

Thanks for starting this thread and keeping it so up to date.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Circle gets the Square
March 28, 2014, 11:21:30 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.

The no liquidity issue has always been a concern.  Back when BTC was 5$ there were walls in the mid-five figures, but the exchange value was essentially the same as you've got now.  If more liquidity is the goal then the traders need to stop taking money/coin off the table on both the bid and the ask side.  I say traders because their base is much larger than the real user base.

Traders are concerned about the reliability of current exchanges (for good reason).  Liquidity will improve if better exchanges are built. 

You make a good point and, like you say, this is definitely affecting liquidity.

Biggest exchange is a Slovenian startup whose founders have no background in finance. That's not to put them down, because I think they do a fantastic job and they really do deserve the success ... but large investment firms cannot and will not put their trust in unknown entities. When Secondmarket launches their own exchange, I should think this will change the landscape drastically. Silbert is the biggest driver of Bitcoin thus far IMO, and a great spokesperson.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
March 28, 2014, 11:18:29 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.

The no liquidity issue has always been a concern.  Back when BTC was 5$ there were walls in the mid-five figures, but the exchange value was essentially the same as you've got now.  If more liquidity is the goal then the traders need to stop taking money/coin off the table on both the bid and the ask side.  I say traders because their base is much larger than the real user base.

Traders are concerned about the reliability of current exchanges (for good reason).  Liquidity will improve if better exchanges are built. 

You raise a good point.  I want to say that perhaps a network of trusted exchanges needs to be created effectively combining the market liquidity of each.  However, that doesn't really lend itself to the core motivation of Bitcoin.  Cheesy

I think SecondMarket is going to launch a "meta-exchange" which allows exchanges to trade with each other. That will greatly improve the liquidity
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
March 28, 2014, 11:10:33 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.

The no liquidity issue has always been a concern.  Back when BTC was 5$ there were walls in the mid-five figures, but the exchange value was essentially the same as you've got now.  If more liquidity is the goal then the traders need to stop taking money/coin off the table on both the bid and the ask side.  I say traders because their base is much larger than the real user base.

Traders are concerned about the reliability of current exchanges (for good reason).  Liquidity will improve if better exchanges are built. 

You raise a good point.  I want to say that perhaps a network of trusted exchanges needs to be created effectively combining the market liquidity of each.  However, that doesn't really lend itself to the core motivation of Bitcoin.  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
March 28, 2014, 10:46:30 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.

The no liquidity issue has always been a concern.  Back when BTC was 5$ there were walls in the mid-five figures, but the exchange value was essentially the same as you've got now.  If more liquidity is the goal then the traders need to stop taking money/coin off the table on both the bid and the ask side.  I say traders because their base is much larger than the real user base.

Traders are concerned about the reliability of current exchanges (for good reason).  Liquidity will improve if better exchanges are built. 
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
March 28, 2014, 10:40:15 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.

The no liquidity issue has always been a concern.  Back when BTC was 5$ there were walls in the mid-five figures, but the exchange value was essentially the same as you've got now.  If more liquidity is the goal then the traders need to stop taking money/coin off the table on both the bid and the ask side.  I say traders because their base is much larger than the real user base.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
March 28, 2014, 10:21:29 AM
LOL why? are you stupid enough to think you wouldnt have to pay tax on gains from bitcoin?
no,tax itself is allright.
 But the huge Problem will be the handling for merchants and customers in "everyday buying and selling"
Are you smart enough to read and understand all the media-comments about the IRS decision?

Merchants that receive USD via BitPay have no additional requirements.  Merchants that accept bitcoin directly treat it like any other capital asset.  This was always the case.  

Customers' using bitcoin for several day-to-day purchases should consider ZGL to ensure compliance with US tax laws:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=531135.0

This is not legal advice.  IANAL. 
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
March 28, 2014, 10:11:45 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.

Is this what you want to say?

Code:
SecondMarket not buying: it's bearish

SecondMarket buying: it's bearish

P(SecondMarket not buying V SecondMarket buying) = 1

Therefore, it must bearish, forever

 Roll Eyes
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 09:41:13 AM
sigh..... someone is shorting on "bounce" again.

Just fcking quit day trading already if you have to troll to overcome with your emotion.

My questions on this forum have nothing to do with my trading and are mostly all well thought out with academic/economic concerns that I am actually curious about.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 09:19:05 AM
sigh..... someone is shorting on "bounce" again.

Just fcking quit day trading already if you have to troll to overcome with your emotion.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 09:12:04 AM
What good is it if all the bitcoins are hoarded by big invetors and trusts like SecondMarket? The price may rise higher but the liquidity for merchants and transactions will still remain low, at the same level as it would have been without the hoarding. Look at the orderbook on emptystamp - it is representative of a new age where all the coins are hoarded away and the price is high yet the volume is low and every little buy or sell causes a dramatic movement in the price - no liquidity.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 08:54:42 AM
LOL why? are you stupid enough to think you wouldnt have to pay tax on gains from bitcoin?
no,tax itself is allright.
 But the huge Problem will be the handling for merchants and customers in "everyday buying and selling"
Are you smart enough to read and understand all the media-comments about the IRS decision?

Ohhh media..... hmmm i would be Einstein by now if i keep reading media....

btw, this thread isnt about discussing your stupid take on the IRS ruling.
 
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 08:50:01 AM
LOL why? are you stupid enough to think you wouldnt have to pay tax on gains from bitcoin?
no,tax itself is allright.
 But the huge Problem will be the handling for merchants and customers in "everyday buying and selling"
Are you smart enough to read and understand all the media-comments about the IRS decision?
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 07:59:18 AM
I am curious what SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust is going to buy today after the IRS note.
I am very sceptic about the IRS Impact on bitcoin.
I think/fear it is a great threat.
First time I got doubts about bitcoin going mainstream

LOL why? are you stupid enough to think you wouldnt have to pay tax on gains from bitcoin?

hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
March 28, 2014, 07:37:06 AM
I am curious what SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust is going to buy today after the IRS note.
I am very sceptic about the IRS Impact on bitcoin.
I think/fear it is a great threat.
First time I got doubts about bitcoin going mainstream
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
March 28, 2014, 05:45:19 AM
3877 XBT bought yesterday, basically the sum of all mined coins  Wink


wow.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
March 28, 2014, 05:38:12 AM
3877 XBT bought yesterday, basically the sum of all mined coins  Wink
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
March 24, 2014, 11:18:28 PM
Of course, just like with GLD or any other ETF.  Usually [ ... ]

Thanks for the explanations.
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