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Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 1554. (Read 2032281 times)

legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
March 14, 2012, 03:24:14 PM
#73
Analyze it however you want, we are not about to experience a massive deflation in the US.  They will start sending checks to everyone first..  They've done it before....
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 03:23:11 PM
#72
uh ok.. I don't see it..

the M1,M2,M3(if they still reported it), the National debt are all rising..  The Fed is pumping out money to keep the rates at zero, with a few extra injections (QE) along the way..

Consumable commodity neccessities are all rising in price..

Where is the evidence of this emminent deflation?

This is relevant to my interests as well.

All that printed money has flowed into stocks and commodities, driving up the prices.  But, it was loaned out, so when those loans come due, the stocks/commodities will need to be sold to cover the payments.  Once the general markets realize there is no permanent results from such lending, everybody will be rushing out of equities to cover their asses as their debt skyrockets in value.  Fed has promised to keep things floated at under 0.25% interest until mid 2014, but if there is a big enough "crisis" they could change their tune.
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1416
aka tonikt
March 14, 2012, 03:22:20 PM
#71
I think cypherdoc is thinking more in terms of technical, rather than fundamental analysis.
I'm guessing our fundamental analysis of the actual global situation is what he calls the linear thinking...

Indeed, if you are a trader, want to earn money on speculating, you want to pick corners.
But still, gold is not collapsing.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 03:22:08 PM
#70
sorry, i just don't have the time to go thru it all but everything is in my blog and in that gold thread i referenced above.
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
March 14, 2012, 03:15:20 PM
#69
uh ok.. I don't see it..

the M1,M2,M3(if they still reported it), the National debt are all rising..  The Fed is pumping out money to keep the rates at zero, with a few extra injections (QE) along the way..

Consumable commodity neccessities are all rising in price..

Where is the evidence of this emminent deflation?

This is relevant to my interests as well.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
March 14, 2012, 03:13:37 PM
#68
uh ok.. I don't see it..

the M1,M2,M3(if they still reported it), the National debt are all rising..  The Fed is pumping out money to keep the rates at zero, with a few extra injections (QE) along the way..

Consumable commodity neccessities are all rising in price..

Where is the evidence of this emminent deflation?
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 03:10:08 PM
#67
Exactly what besides housing and electronic devices has deflated??

i specialize in picking corners.  in other words, before all the linear thinkers can see it.  all the signs are here for a reversal.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1003
March 14, 2012, 03:08:40 PM
#66
Exactly what besides housing and electronic devices has deflated??
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283
March 14, 2012, 02:03:23 PM
#65
I believe that we've had significant deflation for a few years and...

deflation would cause a huge public unrest; bankruptcies, unemployment, foreclosures, wiping out of all the pension funds...
...all of the above (the pension funds being gone already but just not really widely understood.)  To my surprise, PM's have held up fairly well in this environment.  As awareness of the magnitude of the problems becomes more widely understood is when PM's (and hopefully also Bitcoin) will start to take off.

I believe that all current monetary systems, and most throughout history, have a built in life expectancy defined by mathematics.  And that we are nearing the end of the one which is currently dominant and, by virtue of globalization, fairly universally used worldwide.  I could be wrong...I often am.

I see inflation as the only way to go from here.
this, or a war.

I'm sure that we'll see what Sinclair calls 'cost push inflation'.  I am also betting on war as a time-tested way for the leadership of nations to deal with such problems.

but in any case, gold is a good place to store the savings.
and I mean physical gold - toilette paper is cheaper than the future contracts Smiley

I only ever started buying PM's as a break-even way of storing value, and that remains my philosophy.  I do, however, allow for the possibility that they are undervalued through various schemes so I am (or at least have been) obtaining them at bargain rates.  Happy days.

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 251
March 14, 2012, 01:51:39 PM
#64
Scale = 0.000004  (~10 trillion vs ~40 million)

FTFY
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 01:47:15 PM
#63
last one out the door is a rotten egg!

donator
Activity: 1731
Merit: 1008
March 14, 2012, 01:43:15 PM
#62
Thanks to keep reminding me why I got you ignored Cypherdoc.

Hint : No sense of scale.

linear thinkers like you should be buying gold right now.  are you?  how about silver?

edit:  how about pm mining stocks?

linear Huh

I was commenting on your title,

Gold cannot "collapse", and bitcoin is too small to have anything to do with it.

Scale = 0.000004  (~10 trillion vs ~40 million)

Edit: Fixed
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 01:24:45 PM
#61
looks like we're gonna put in an inverted hammer on AAPL today.  get out.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 01:17:11 PM
#60
I agree with you that a deflationary event is coming. But do you think central banks won't react ?

the deflation will overwhelm them. 
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1416
aka tonikt
March 14, 2012, 01:09:48 PM
#59
deflation would cause a huge public unrest; bankruptcies, unemployment, foreclosures, wiping out of all the pension funds...

I see inflation as the only way to go from here.
this, or a war.
but in any case, gold is a good place to store the savings.
and I mean physical gold - toilette paper is cheaper than the future contracts Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 251
March 14, 2012, 01:06:50 PM
#58
I agree with you that a deflationary event is coming. But do you think central banks won't react ?
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 12:59:06 PM
#57
get out of stocks now.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 14, 2012, 12:55:55 PM
#56
do not be wedded to investment theories.  go with what the market is telling you.

its telling you deflation is about to take over.
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283
March 14, 2012, 12:53:04 PM
#55
Here is some interesting explanation of why gold price has dropped so much recently.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/another-record-ecb-margin-call-impairing-gold-again
Quote
ECB has increased its margin calls on European banks by EUR162 million this week to another record high of over EUR17.3 billion. The side-effect of this appears to be that Gold is being sold to cover these margin calls just as it was in September 2011

But it's not collapsing - I don't think so. It will be right up back soon.

That explanation (liquidation of performing assets) has been used in the past and as far as I can tell it's held water, or held water on par with other theories.  I'm waiting for some clarity on the CDS situation, and even more so on similar CDS issues with other countries besides Greece in hopes of some really significant liquidations.  If such a thing filters down into the physical markets in a significant way, I'll back up the truck (again.)

legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1416
aka tonikt
March 14, 2012, 12:31:30 PM
#54
Here is some interesting explanation of why gold price has dropped so much recently.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/another-record-ecb-margin-call-impairing-gold-again
Quote
ECB has increased its margin calls on European banks by EUR162 million this week to another record high of over EUR17.3 billion. The side-effect of this appears to be that Gold is being sold to cover these margin calls just as it was in September 2011


But it's not collapsing - I don't think so. It will be right up back soon.
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