Halving, who's closest with actual Nrs TAKE A CHANCE on the LIST !!! - page 8.

buwaytress

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Quote from: KTChampions on January 31, 2020, 10:30:52 AM

I am very surprised that someone tuned in was more bearish than me Cheesy

I would like to clarify - if the price is significantly lower than 3000 (it is unlikely, but still), then Yaplatu wins?

Always going to be someone more bearish than you, and price doesn't necessarily reflect that. I mean if dare-I-say-his-name Schiff played this game, he's probably make a guess higher than that but long term zero.

And yeah, Yaplatu would deserve to win... for daring to go so low (even if I'm sure he's long term moon;) ).

Quote from: hatshepsut93 on January 27, 2020, 04:00:56 AM

I'm referring to the service I created - https://bct-quote-notifier.herokuapp.com/

Coding is pretty fun, you can automate things in your daily life and work and it can just be a great hobby, since it always feels very rewarding when you write some code and run it.

Off topic but I tried it out right now. Added 2 instances of my forum username so not sure if it'll work but my nonsense name here isn't easy to spell out in full (though neither is yours haha) in case people don't use quote.

KTChampions

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Quote from: GazetaBitcoin on February 01, 2020, 01:07:34 AM

Did you read the OP? The prize is for closest prediction, not for the precise one.

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 02, 2020, 07:41:18 PM

I would like to award a winning price of 0.125BTC to the person that gets me the closest price of BTC at April 1st exactly measured at 22.00h CET]

Besides, what "next round" are you talking about? OP didn't state anything about a "next round"...

I read the first message and express my thoughts about it. Is it ok for you?

Speaking about the next round, I meant that if the prize is not won, then OP can make another game or keep the prize for himself. In any case, this is his decision, I am only interested in his opinion.

GazetaBitcoin

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Did you read the OP? The prize is for closest prediction, not for the precise one.

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 02, 2020, 07:41:18 PM

I would like to award a winning price of 0.125BTC to the person that gets me the closest price of BTC at April 1st exactly measured at 22.00h CET]

Besides, what "next round" are you talking about? OP didn't state anything about a "next round"...

KTChampions

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Quote from: GazetaBitcoin on January 31, 2020, 10:39:30 AM

I think he will win, no matter if BTC would be 2800$ or 1$. After all, his prediction would be the closest one.

It seems to me more fair to give a reward to a participant who has precisely indicated the range.
In case this did not happen, the prize pool can be transferred to the next round of the game.
This is just my opinion, I think El duderino_ has the right to do as it seems right to him.

GazetaBitcoin

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I think he will win, no matter if BTC would be 2800$ or 1$. After all, his prediction would be the closest one.

KTChampions

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Quote from: El duderino_ on January 10, 2020, 08:00:11 AM

Participants list GL

3101-3150 Yaplatu
3151-3200 KTChampions *
~

I am very surprised that someone tuned in was more bearish than me Cheesy

I would like to clarify - if the price is significantly lower than 3000 (it is unlikely, but still), then Yaplatu wins?

Based on the conditions in the first post, it turns out that this is so:

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 02, 2020, 07:41:18 PM

~
I would like to award a winning price of 0.125BTC to the person that gets me the closest price of BTC at April 1st exactly measured at 22.00h CET
~

dragonvslinux

legendary

Activity: 1722

Merit: 2213

Not too convinced about a sub $8K Bitcoin for Apil 1st anymore, hence sharing this for reference sake.
I see there now being a good chance to reach $12-14K by this time. It's starting to look like the halving isn't entirely priced in after all.

Quote from: dragonvslinux on January 27, 2020, 08:00:20 AM

It doesn't completely invalid my previous outlook, but does make it a lot less likely now in my opinion.

hatshepsut93

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Quote from: exstasie on January 26, 2020, 04:30:38 PM

Quote from: hatshepsut93 on January 25, 2020, 11:40:54 AM

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 22, 2020, 06:20:58 AM

^
Yeah indeed .... the hatshepsut93, real time isn't working anymore??

I'm using my own name mention notifier, so it's better to reach me out via a pm or making a forum quote of any of my posts.

What is this magic? Shocked

I want one too. I always knew I should have learned how to code.

I'm referring to the service I created - https://bct-quote-notifier.herokuapp.com/

Coding is pretty fun, you can automate things in your daily life and work and it can just be a great hobby, since it always feels very rewarding when you write some code and run it.

exstasie

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Quote from: hatshepsut93 on January 25, 2020, 11:40:54 AM

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 22, 2020, 06:20:58 AM

^
Yeah indeed .... the hatshepsut93, real time isn't working anymore??

I'm using my own name mention notifier, so it's better to reach me out via a pm or making a forum quote of any of my posts.

What is this magic? Shocked

I want one too. I always knew I should have learned how to code.

El duderino_

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Activity: 2674

Merit: 13168

BTC + Crossfit, living life.

Quote from: hatshepsut93 on January 25, 2020, 11:40:54 AM

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 22, 2020, 06:20:58 AM

^
Yeah indeed .... the hatshepsut93, real time isn't working anymore??

I'm using my own name mention notifier, so it's better to reach me out via a pm or making a forum quote of any of my posts.

Now, I checked the site, there's something wrong with Bitstamp's API, it randomly fails to provide the necessary headers in their responses, which makes browsers block them, thus throwing an error in my script that creates the table. I can add the fallback API, for example coingecko, but then the price will be slightly different and the table will sometimes be not 100% accurate. Does it sound good?

Yes for sure, THX

hatshepsut93

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Quote from: El duderino_ on January 22, 2020, 06:20:58 AM

^
Yeah indeed .... the hatshepsut93, real time isn't working anymore??

I'm using my own name mention notifier, so it's better to reach me out via a pm or making a forum quote of any of my posts.

Now, I checked the site, there's something wrong with Bitstamp's API, it randomly fails to provide the necessary headers in their responses, which makes browsers block them, thus throwing an error in my script that creates the table. I can add the fallback API, for example coingecko, but then the price will be slightly different and the table will sometimes be not 100% accurate. Does it sound good?

El duderino_

legendary

Activity: 2674

Merit: 13168

BTC + Crossfit, living life.

^
Yeah indeed .... the hatshepsut93, real time isn't working anymore??

buwaytress

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Oh yeah, thanks a lot to El Dude, hatshepsut93 [though nothing shows when I click the link], hosseinimr93, I swear the names are beginning to really sound more familiar to me than other people in real life now (live in a foreign country now so names all don't sound like names).

When 9k arrived, I thought, well here we go, my prediction's gonna blow up right in my face, and though it slipped, right now looks like will touch it again before end of the month.

slaman29

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Quote from: Wind_FURY on January 22, 2020, 12:49:51 AM

Quote from: sgbett on January 16, 2020, 01:41:31 PM

Nope. My original forecast was set in stone Wink

Not to mention I'm probably one of the most bullish on bitcoin that there ever has been, in earnest. I've been ridiculed for those outlandish future forecasts, just as much as I have for supposedly impossible dips at the risk of sounding like that guy, I've seen a few price moves in my time so I think I'm just able to comprehend its volatility more than some.

FWIW, I still think the 560k target is good, but things have gotten complicated with forks and stuff so it's probably gonna be another 5-10 years. Oh well, I've waited this long... on the bright side that means we are already over half way there!

But, $5,151 - $5,200 on April? What if it's double your pick on April? Does that mean the rest of your forecast would be wrong too?

I guess what I'm understanding from a guy like him is that he's long term bullish and short term volatile. I think Charlie Lee said before I know I quote a lot of people in real life so maybe not wise but he said if you like 10x bull runs, you must be prepared for 90% retracements. So BTC at 5k for me is totally not unrealistic. It could be that people pressure it so low before halving and maybe this is 2020 low. Thank you duderino:)

Wind_FURY

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Quote from: sgbett on January 16, 2020, 01:41:31 PM

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 14, 2020, 08:59:39 AM

Small question to participants, those with lower guesses if the game would start from today, would you still pick same prices or would a few days as we have had change your minds??

Nope. My original forecast was set in stone Wink

Not to mention I'm probably one of the most bullish on bitcoin that there ever has been, in earnest. I've been ridiculed for those outlandish future forecasts, just as much as I have for supposedly impossible dips at the risk of sounding like that guy, I've seen a few price moves in my time so I think I'm just able to comprehend its volatility more than some.

FWIW, I still think the 560k target is good, but things have gotten complicated with forks and stuff so it's probably gonna be another 5-10 years. Oh well, I've waited this long... on the bright side that means we are already over half way there!

But, $5,151 - $5,200 on April? What if it's double your pick on April? Does that mean the rest of your forecast would be wrong too?

El duderino_

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BTC + Crossfit, living life.

I think I have awarded everyone with merit who did the effort of given a bit of reasoning or TA about there chosen price spot....

GL everyone again Roll Eyes

mu_enrico

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How's this possible? This is my lucky number... I should have been the number 0:

Quote

Current Bitcoin price: $8888.00
0. 8901-8950   0   stompix
1. 8851-8900   +37   mu_enrico
2. 8801-8850   -38   malevolent
3. 8951-9000   +63   Mitchell
4. 8751-8800   -88   abel1337
5. 9001-9050   +113   Dunkelheit667

https://tiramisu77.github.io/bct-game-leaderboard/

But after I checked again (refresh), it seems to be correct:

Quote

Current Bitcoin price: $8870.82
0. 8851-8900   0   mu_enrico
1. 8801-8850   -21   malevolent
2. 8901-8950   +30   stompix
3. 8751-8800   -71   abel1337
4. 8951-9000   +80   Mitchell
5. 8701-8750   -121   Phil_S

Maybe there was a slight delay between the price and the rank algo? *Just curious though, It is still far far away from April. Anything can happen Cry

El duderino_

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Activity: 2674

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BTC + Crossfit, living life.

0-10 best performing, wow I do like this link a lot thx again @hatshepsut93

0. 8901-8950   0   stompix
1. 8851-8900   -8   mu_enrico
2. 8951-9000   +43   Mitchell
3. 8801-8850   -58   malevolent
4. 9001-9050   +93   Dunkelheit667
5. 8751-8800   -108   abel1337
6. 9051-9100   +143   actmyname
7. 8701-8750   -158   Phil_S
8. 9101-9150   +193   Olegya199
9. 8651-8700   -208   mindrust
10. 9151-9200   +243   somac.

dragonvslinux

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Quote from: sgbett on January 16, 2020, 01:41:31 PM

Quote from: El duderino_ on January 14, 2020, 08:59:39 AM

Small question to participants, those with lower guesses if the game would start from today, would you still pick same prices or would a few days as we have had change your minds??

Nope. My original forecast was set in stone Wink

Not really either. I'd probably be sticking with my original analysis, even though I felt $8.4K would be the resistance of an accumulation zone. I still feel there will be further accumulation to come, but now more likely to come from a wick down or v-shaped bottom instead of a clear-cut parallel channel (as is usually the case).

That said, I wouldn't be surprised if on April 1st the price is 5 figures rather than 4 figures that many participants (including myself) had guessed. I also read today an analyst claiming "we won't go below $7K again". Once I start hearing people saying stupid statements such as "we will never go below X again", I start to feel bearish again Tongue

To clarify, saying there is 0% chance of Bitcoin going from anywhere between $0 to $1 million, you need your head examined. There is always a probability there isn't 0, even if incredibly small such as 0.1 to the power of a million (ie, almost impossible, but clearly not). Anyway, moving on.

sgbett

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Quote from: El duderino_ on January 14, 2020, 08:59:39 AM

Small question to participants, those with lower guesses if the game would start from today, would you still pick same prices or would a few days as we have had change your minds??

Nope. My original forecast was set in stone Wink

Not to mention I'm probably one of the most bullish on bitcoin that there ever has been, in earnest. I've been ridiculed for those outlandish future forecasts, just as much as I have for supposedly impossible dips at the risk of sounding like that guy, I've seen a few price moves in my time so I think I'm just able to comprehend its volatility more than some.

FWIW, I still think the 560k target is good, but things have gotten complicated with forks and stuff so it's probably gonna be another 5-10 years. Oh well, I've waited this long... on the bright side that means we are already over half way there!

Topic: Halving, who's closest with actual Nrs TAKE A CHANCE on the LIST !!! - page 8. (Read 10140 times)