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Topic: Halving, who's closest with actual Nrs TAKE A CHANCE on the LIST !!! - page 3. (Read 10142 times)

legendary
Activity: 3094
Merit: 1127
Unluckily i had missed out this thread. 0.125 price for prediction is decent. We are almost there and i didnt expect that we would go this low yet majority of people on the list presumed higher since we are heading towards halving but this isnt the case on what we're seeing currently. Good luck!
member
Activity: 80
Merit: 27
Of course, I know it's too early to tell, but unfortunately my forecast wasn't right...  Sad

P.S.
It's important to point out that I'm not as upset by personal defeat as I am by a low course
legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1129
This is most crazy quarter price guessing championship so far and might be most crazy ever.  In January it looked like my $9500 will be way way to low. Bitcoin price almost got there and the end of quarter was still two long  months closer to the halving. Mid February half way there price peaked and slowly started declining. All looked well then. First week of March we were still in the $9000 range. Then a sharp decline started and ended at sub $5000. Things was way out of the plan then. All hope was lost. Then next two weeks price started grow again. Hope started shining again. Now less then a week to go we are very far from $9500, but on the other hand it can still happen. It would be in the line of this crazy Bitcoin quarter.

I predicted ~$9,300 so I'm in the same spot as you - first I though "damn, now that the price is at $10,000 it will probably get to $15,000 on April 1st," - then when the price dropped to $8,000 I thought I have a good chance if it would recover a bit, but now coronavirus wrecked all my chances. I wonder what was the thinking of people who predicted $6,000 range - did they though the market will turn bearish before the halvning because of some failed expectations or due to pure speculation?

Answer : For me, the Coronavirus is not relevant to the price. The price was going to be attracted to 6400 anyway , its the biggest support level. I was stating it in my posts again and again for months.

That's why I chose a price point just above 6400.

Look at it this way ;  The stock market was due for a big break down. Huge numbers of commentators discussed it for months, years. The coronavirus gets the blame, but it was just the trigger. Could have been something else that took the blame, even if that trigger was far more minor.

The magnitude of the pandemic caused stock prices, and BTC to overshoot on the downside, and now the prices are stabilizing.   

legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 2148
This is most crazy quarter price guessing championship so far and might be most crazy ever.  In January it looked like my $9500 will be way way to low. Bitcoin price almost got there and the end of quarter was still two long  months closer to the halving. Mid February half way there price peaked and slowly started declining. All looked well then. First week of March we were still in the $9000 range. Then a sharp decline started and ended at sub $5000. Things was way out of the plan then. All hope was lost. Then next two weeks price started grow again. Hope started shining again. Now less then a week to go we are very far from $9500, but on the other hand it can still happen. It would be in the line of this crazy Bitcoin quarter.

I predicted ~$9,300 so I'm in the same spot as you - first I though "damn, now that the price is at $10,000 it will probably get to $15,000 on April 1st," - then when the price dropped to $8,000 I thought I have a good chance if it would recover a bit, but now coronavirus wrecked all my chances. I wonder what was the thinking of people who predicted $6,000 range - did they though the market will turn bearish before the halvning because of some failed expectations or due to pure speculation?
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
This is most crazy quarter price guessing championship so far and might be most crazy ever.  In January it looked like my $9500 will be way way to low. Bitcoin price almost got there and the end of quarter was still two long  months closer to the halving. Mid February half way there price peaked and slowly started declining. All looked well then. First week of March we were still in the $9000 range. Then a sharp decline started and ended at sub $5000. Things was way out of the plan then. All hope was lost. Then next two weeks price started grow again. Hope started shining again. Now less then a week to go we are very far from $9500, but on the other hand it can still happen. It would be in the line of this crazy Bitcoin quarter.
legendary
Activity: 2110
Merit: 1537
We choose to go to the moon
Observing $6623... and here's our finalists, with a pretty good chance to win:

6351-6400DoublerHunter6351-6400
6401-6450Saint-loup6401-6450
6451-6500Icygreen *6451-6500
6501-6550haloxon6501-6550
6551-6600Majormax *6551-6600
6601-6650bitebits (A previous winner)6601-6650
6651-6700Corrosive6651-6700
6701-6750Polar916701-6750
6751-6800theymos *6751-6800
6801-6850bbc.reporter *6801-6850
6851-6900ChuckBuck6851-6900
hero member
Activity: 2590
Merit: 644
^ We are almost there bud.
I feel I am lucky if the Bitcoin price will become $6,300 - $6,400 on April first and my prediction is right. Wink
Good luck to all participants and I hope everyone is safe.
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
hero member
Activity: 1190
Merit: 755
Homo Sapiens Bitcoinerthalensis
Sgbett will win this one.
He called the top, called the bottom, and has been right since then.
Like him or not, we need to admit, the guy is good at what he do.

We are going to see $700 at the end of this year.
Then bitcoin will recover and it will be at the 2000s at the time sgbett predicted.
I'm not buying anything. The asset has proven its worthless against crisis in the fiat system.
I will only buy in the three-digits area and will sell when it reaches sgbett's price.

Holding is a thing of the past, since bitcoin failed its premises.


Fabio, I really think you've had too much time locked inside already.
sr. member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 347
Sgbett will win this one.
He called the top, called the bottom, and has been right since then.
Like him or not, we need to admit, the guy is good at what he do.

We are going to see $700 at the end of this year.
Then bitcoin will recover and it will be at the 2000s at the time sgbett predicted.
I'm not buying anything. The asset has proven its worthless against crisis in the fiat system.
I will only buy in the three-digits area and will sell when it reaches sgbett's price.

Holding is a thing of the past, since bitcoin failed its premises.
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 13334
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Looking on price prediction list one can make a conclusion that people believe too much into halving
Halving the price was unexpected, but the stock markets were bound to go down at some point. What surprised me though, is that Bitcoin fell more. That's not very promising for the next recession, while Bitcoin was supposed to be a save haven.
Block halving is still coming though, and as I read from theymos: a few months after the halving, people will start to feel the increased scarcity:
Historically, the post-halving runup has happened some time after the halving, presumably after people started to really feel the reduced supply.

Who could have expected this virus would have such a big effect on Bitcoin back in January?

The virus has no effect. BTC price was headed here anyway. It was clear some months ago.

However you wanna look at it, nothing is or was clear.... imo BTC is to new to be clear in whatever way, might pump might dump in the short term, but it's not to be predicted by anyone
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 13334
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Damn we almost there .....  Roll Eyes
copper member
Activity: 2562
Merit: 2510
Spear the bees
Tsk, that's the wrong kind of halving, Bitcoin...
Felt good to surf the price range a few weeks ago, at least... Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1129
Looking on price prediction list one can make a conclusion that people believe too much into halving
Halving the price was unexpected, but the stock markets were bound to go down at some point. What surprised me though, is that Bitcoin fell more. That's not very promising for the next recession, while Bitcoin was supposed to be a save haven.
Block halving is still coming though, and as I read from theymos: a few months after the halving, people will start to feel the increased scarcity:
Historically, the post-halving runup has happened some time after the halving, presumably after people started to really feel the reduced supply.

Who could have expected this virus would have such a big effect on Bitcoin back in January?

The virus has no effect. BTC price was headed here anyway. It was clear some months ago.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
So does this contest have an Act Of God clause that subtracts 50% from everyone's prediction for events like this? It certainly should do. And I think there should be a special clause just for Extinction Level Events like asteroids that takes 80% off.

Knowing you've won as a 2000ft wall of Atlantic ocean roars towards you could offer some comfort before you're gone.

I have heard rumours that the contest will be cancelled due to coronavirus.

Probably the Dude should come here and do a speech to calm the masses and tell us all is well.

Also I would like to know what measures are being taken to avoid panic from spreading between participants.
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 6524
Fully-fledged Merit Cycler|Spambuster'23|Pie Baker
What happens looks very weird to me. People should go into BTC even more than before. BTC actually offers a real chance to avoid coronavirus (I'll discuss that later). But this is very, very unexpected...
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 3015
Welt Am Draht
So does this contest have an Act Of God clause that subtracts 50% from everyone's prediction for events like this? It certainly should do. And I think there should be a special clause just for Extinction Level Events like asteroids that takes 80% off.

Knowing you've won as a 2000ft wall of Atlantic ocean roars towards you could offer some comfort before you're gone.
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
Looking on price prediction list one can make a conclusion that people believe too much into halving
Halving the price was unexpected, but the stock markets were bound to go down at some point. What surprised me though, is that Bitcoin fell more. That's not very promising for the next recession, while Bitcoin was supposed to be a save haven.
Block halving is still coming though, and as I read from theymos: a few months after the halving, people will start to feel the increased scarcity:
Historically, the post-halving runup has happened some time after the halving, presumably after people started to really feel the reduced supply.

Who could have expected this virus would have such a big effect on Bitcoin back in January?
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1215
Looking on price prediction list one can make a conclusion that people believe too much into halving and one single trading day can change the whole situation upside-down. Little more than 2 weeks are left and I guess nothing will change much. So called "recovery phase" will start, which mostly will hold bitcoin from falling more down...
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