i disagree. i think the risks are reduced for both parties. risk is in the eye of the beholder. committed customers of HashFast know the situation and will consider it not much of a risk to wait 4 mo at the end of which they can get a refund. customers jumping in and out of orders during the preorder time period increases workload and inefficiencies. i, as a customer of KNC and Megabig, was exploiting this inefficiency for my own protection/advantage. as i said before, companies get an inflated view of demand while customers are quick to pull the trigger. Avalon proved this is a workable model; at least for batch 1 & 2.
How is that possible? You said yourself you used the option to cancel as a way to
reduce your risk with KnC and bitfury.
like i said in my thread, i had orders of 3 Jupiter's in at KNC, and 8 H boards with BitFury. i never intended to order that many as a whole simply b/c i was playing the Ms. Fickle game of hedging my bets across multiple companies fully intending to cancel all but one order with whom i deemed the winner in my orderbook in the end.
See.
Hedging means
reducing risk.
You can't say that preventing people from hedging reduces their risk. That's ridiculous.
Now if HashFast has some other plan to allow customers to
hedge difficulty risk directly then of course it would be a good deal. If they said something like
"We expect the difficulty to be 200m in October. If it's actually 2 billion you get 10x the order!" ,
that would be reasonable.
The problem is, the orders they are taking
right now don't come with any such plan, despite the fact you say they've got one in the works. So it would actually be a bad idea to order now, as it may not apply to them.
HashFast has already publicly committed to about 700Th/s, enough to raise the the difficulty by 50 million alone.
committed customers of HashFast know the situation and will consider it not much of a risk to wait 4 mo at the end of which they can get a refund.
You mean the lucky few who got a tour and signed an NDA? Sure, maybe. But that's not much of a reason for anyone who
hasn't signed an NDA from either buying their products or getting shares in IceDrill.
Avalon proved this is a workable model; at least for batch 1 & 2.
You're a "paid sponsor" of HashFast and
you're comparing them to Bitsyncom?
When Avalon announced products there were only two competitors, and by the time B2 rolled around one was out of business and the other was several months delayed.
Given the cost, the difficulty, and the competitors on the horizon, B1 and B2 Avalon were much better deals then HashFast is today. B1 and B2 were basically guaranteed to payoff in a month or two.