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Topic: Is your win a function of luck or how much you know a sports? (Read 1187 times)

legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1415
I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

A lot of it is luck but in terms of sports betting vs something like slots yeah it can sway in your favor if you are up on everything that can alter a sporting event you are betting on.  I have never (at least I can't rember) betting just randomly on something.  For one I use it as entertainment to enhance watching that particular game and second why not bet on something you know a little about.  People claim they can continually beat the books and win regularly on sports but I don't believe it.  Those same people would just be beyond rich if they unlocked the code to always beat the pro pickers. 
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 677

Like you, I didn't know much about sports. Due to not knowing the sport well and not having a good understanding of the players, I did not get very good results by participating in betting. I lost first few bets in my life but they were all on football I bet on many famous clubs in football but later I lost those bets too since then I no longer bet on football I bet on cricket. But I bet on cricket game and my bets have been very successful. But experience in sports betting makes your winnings much easier. But it has to be believed that gambling also depends entirely on luck especially in terms of playing dice games, slot games etc.
So recognize what you want to do in gambling and I think in this case we must have an interest in what sports we want to do in betting later so that we don't just focus on the thought that we will definitely win when we only bet on big clubs because the situation is not as easy as we think in the match.

We have to look at the statistics of the game so that we know whether the bet will go well or not even if it is for a big club but when the situation is not favorable for what is used as a bet in the end.

In addition, it does not mean that when we are in a big club we will definitely get a profit from the start because in the end the odds that are owned in a match are only probabilities but do not mean to be the determinant because there could be surprises that we cannot even expect when the match is held.
hero member
Activity: 952
Merit: 552
No matter how experienced you are in gambling that does not guarantee your win because gambling is not by experience but by luck sinve it is not a skill but an activity to entertain yourself. If a gambler have it in his mind that luck is the major factor to make us win, most gamblers will minimize the rate at which they gamble and allow nature to take place in their games in stead of chasing their wins. No one is a seer to know when his next win will be.

Are you also aware that the more skill you are in sporty the better chance of you having luck than someone who don't have the skill and yet want to rely on luck? It doesn't work like that. If you are very good at making calls in gambling, you need to make the right choice of games so that even by precision, you will get close to the expected result. If you know more about Manchester United and Southhampton, you know the option best to bet.

I'm not sure in the history of betting someone has rely on luck and made it from gambling, they are rare but someone with the skills can make a good call and you will see him make a good amount of money. I know some guys that love betting draw on matches and they do win sometimes but someone without skill can make that call unless for someone that love betting on casino games but that's not what the OP is asking.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 195
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I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Like you, I didn't know much about sports. Due to not knowing the sport well and not having a good understanding of the players, I did not get very good results by participating in betting. I lost first few bets in my life but they were all on football I bet on many famous clubs in football but later I lost those bets too since then I no longer bet on football I bet on cricket. But I bet on cricket game and my bets have been very successful. But experience in sports betting makes your winnings much easier. But it has to be believed that gambling also depends entirely on luck especially in terms of playing dice games, slot games etc.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1045
Goodnight, ohh Leo!!! 🦅
For the most part, yes... My wins have always been guaranteed as to how lucky I can be, all through for the week. Enhhh, I'm not gonna say knowing a sport doesn't add to it; it actually does but, have you been cut up by 3 or 4 options in row during a predictions/ decision making? When it gets to that point, there's absolutely no chances of winning from your own intelligence. The very option that seems the most viable will fail you!!

I keep telling y'all -- don't misplace these two attributes. One can be learnt and mastered.. the other one is a PRIME factor of everything and it's coincidental. If it clicks, it clicks!
No, and I have no plans to do so.
  it could be your lucky day once you decide to try... Who knows?
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 511
When it comes to my winning in gambling, I wouldn't want to say that my winnings are mostly as a result of how strategic I can be or my level experienced about sports in general because some of the times I predict games with high probability of winning, I do end up losing my gamble. There's no doubt that my experience and strategies does play a huge part in helping me win but I think the major factor that ensures my winnings most times is luck. Since I made peace with the fact that luck is the main decider of a gambler's fate, I do gamble with the best of my experience in sports but with the belief that luck will decide if I'll get a win or not at the end of the day.
No matter how experienced you are in gambling that does not guarantee your win because gambling is not by experience but by luck sinve it is not a skill but an activity to entertain yourself. If a gambler have it in his mind that luck is the major factor to make us win, most gamblers will minimize the rate at which they gamble and allow nature to take place in their games in stead of chasing their wins. No one is a seer to know when his next win will be.
legendary
Activity: 3486
Merit: 1055
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Betting by making random choices I think it can be done just by referring to the odds available at the sportsbook, because with the size of the odds available it will allow us to choose the team or athlete that we will bet on. But at least, I have also made bets on sports that basically I also initially did  not know the sports system like. But even so, I still made an analysis first by finding out the source of the sport and analyzing the  results of their previous matches and luckily I was, because I still managed to win the event. But even so, I still consider it just luck, and about the analysis I did before just to make my confidence more solid to bet  on the sport at that time.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 1092
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Overall or in general I might say that at that time good luck really came at the right time for you if you really didn't know about the advantages of each competing sport which ultimately made 6 out of 7 predictions you executed win.
As we know that the role of luck is to make something that seems impossible become possible.

So far I don't really believe in sports betting, I don't know why, usually I prefer to bet on types of casino games with music and various interesting symbols that make me feel happy regardless of winning or losing, but the same case I have experienced in a casino game where an unexpected situation really happened and made me end the session with a win, I don't remember the details, but if I'm not mistaken I managed to get around $ 120 with just one chance to press the button.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1280
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Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I guess you didn't just pick it random still you depends on the number of odds, we know how does the odds works it just shows the number of bet in a particular game also the odds tells which team or player has the higher potential to win, I don't consider this as a random thing because possible there's a thought that you will still would like to save your money at least. If you will pick it just randomly possible you will just once you see the option you will click this and not just wonder with the odds.
hero member
Activity: 980
Merit: 585
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From the title of your thread, I'll say that win most times in sport depends on how well you know the game and the players. I don't think it would be wise to place bets on random sports without even know any thing about them.

You're right most sports win depends on how well you know that particular sports so with your strategies you're sure of getting a win but sometimes I'll say it varies, you know why you tend to place a bet on a particular sports you know best and it doesn't play out has predicted it'll be so fustrating cause your aim was to get a win because you know that particular sports very well.

So winning doesn't necessarily be bent on knowing the sports but it differs and cut across different angles like your chances of lucks, strategies and all that, despite the fact that you know a sports so we'll you should know that it doesn't work in that aspects and opting your mind from how you get a win it's enough strategy to get unexpected jackpots.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1253
So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)
My winning in gambling is like 80% of how well I knew the sport and 20% luck,
Luck of even 1% is enough to turn the results in your favor, like the exam going people keep on saying. Its true, you dont have any chance without luck. Gambling after all is always a game of luck be it sports or slots. Someone might not agree but luck is always there even after tons of research and homework that you might do.

The people who keep on promoting games on social media and all, they are always affiliate promoters and they are getting paid for it. So dont trust them at face value, back of the mind always remember that luck can turn the game sideways.
hero member
Activity: 2520
Merit: 952
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I can relate to that, literally passed examination once with random answers on subject I knew little about.

On topic, I'd say you got really lucky with your predictions and luck might not favor each time, there being no real money involved also played it's part because it's like a beginner trader who does well in demo trading but gets bad results when trading with real money.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

No, and I have no plans to do so.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 325
When it comes to my winning in gambling, I wouldn't want to say that my winnings are mostly as a result of how strategic I can be or my level experienced about sports in general because some of the times I predict games with high probability of winning, I do end up losing my gamble. There's no doubt that my experience and strategies does play a huge part in helping me win but I think the major factor that ensures my winnings most times is luck. Since I made peace with the fact that luck is the main decider of a gambler's fate, I do gamble with the best of my experience in sports but with the belief that luck will decide if I'll get a win or not at the end of the day.

There is no way one will gamble and there wouldn't be an atom of luck. You might not even notice there was luck but it does. There are some goals that do come in some matches that even the players do have by luck and without such goals, tickets would have been cut off but because they happened, they are won even when the players might not be competent.

I have selected a game that initially I regretted in the first stage and I couldn't delete it but luckily for me, they did some magic which ofcourse it was ouch that made me win that ticket. The funny thing about that game is that it was my last game which would have spoil everything I struggled for in that game but the team won and I was lucky to have that bet come home.
sr. member
Activity: 2842
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My winning in gambling is like 80% of how well I knew the sport and 20% luck, my preferencial choice of gambling is soccer bet which requires knowing much about a particular team, as in how stronger they are compared to a weak team thus the chances of the strong team defeating their lowly rated team is bright and with two goals or more  this is an additional  options in soccer betting, these are some of the basic knowledge that I knew about soccer bet and once I placed a bet I knew the odds favours me though many of the sure bets has small odds yet with accumulation of two or three matches I stand a chance of winning these are pure research with some little luck.
legendary
Activity: 3318
Merit: 1247
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I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

You mean that you randomly picked 7 games out of the ongoing Olympic Games?If that is the case more needed to be said,like from which pool of odds you choose your bets,like did you choose some 1.30 against 3.10 for example or 1.7 against 2.00 as in the later it is truly random and the bookies just favor some team just a bit more,the same can be said for baseball games in the MLB in USA where I play a lot and I never play money line because most games do not come as predicted by the bookies,some of them do but a good 70% majority of games come completely with surprise results.Therefore I always go for the luck part and not for the skill part in here.The luck is for example playing all 14 games of this baseball league for example with 1st Inning over 0.5 which has an average odd of 1.90 and the total is well over 3000 as multiplier.This I do but if I picked out from these 14 games each with this type of bet I am sure most of the bets would be a win and in fact going to try this new strategy of mine there.
hero member
Activity: 1176
Merit: 543
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In gambling, it's not about how far, but how skilled and lucky we are from the kind of game we are having in consideration, betting is something that many do in other to know the strength and weakness on how they understand the nature of a particular game or sport event in consideration, anyone is bound to fail in making any prediction of these games, the same way we can as well get the right precision on them each time we are gambling, with all these,  we may also accept that we make winning as a function of our experience , luck and the kind of game we are playing.

If you are talking about sportsbetting, the more you know the sports, the better is your chance to select odds that will favour the results. Hence, being familiar with the sports itself is an advantage to get some winnings from this game. Yes, there is a factor of luck also in sportsbetting, but your knowledge of this sports will give you an edge to bet on odds with high likelihood of happening.

We don't even have to be the ones that should be making the predictions. There are so many gamblers out there that are good at making predictions which we can use to bet and make money from ourselves. I don't support a person that do not know much about sport bet to be making unnecessary predictions which could cause continuous loses. It is better we look for professionals that are very good that would be giving us predictions instead of wasting money and taking our time that should have been used for something else to predict sport bets when we can join groups we can be getting signals to bet.
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1102
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
In gambling, it's not about how far, but how skilled and lucky we are from the kind of game we are having in consideration, betting is something that many do in other to know the strength and weakness on how they understand the nature of a particular game or sport event in consideration, anyone is bound to fail in making any prediction of these games, the same way we can as well get the right precision on them each time we are gambling, with all these,  we may also accept that we make winning as a function of our experience , luck and the kind of game we are playing.

If you are talking about sportsbetting, the more you know the sports, the better is your chance to select odds that will favour the results. Hence, being familiar with the sports itself is an advantage to get some winnings from this game. Yes, there is a factor of luck also in sportsbetting, but your knowledge of this sports will give you an edge to bet on odds with high likelihood of happening.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1045
Goodnight, ohh Leo!!! 🦅
I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.
Alot of gamblers today haven't had any experience in sports, neither do they know the capability of each teams in different leagues; It takes an active viewer to understand why, how and when a team is on form ... Why have casinos improvised over the years with options like head-to-head, winning probability scale, performance on last meeting etc??  That alone should tell you that they don't wanna have you guessing who's better, especially as a newbie.
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I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
I've tried it severally times.... It was almost part of our jobs - especially to old customers that had anyone behind the counter as a friend.. what I didn't get involved with was casino gambling.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 521
In gambling, it's not about how far, but how skilled and lucky we are from the kind of game we are having in consideration, betting is something that many do in other to know the strength and weakness on how they understand the nature of a particular game or sport event in consideration, anyone is bound to fail in making any prediction of these games, the same way we can as well get the right precision on them each time we are gambling, with all these,  we may also accept that we make winning as a function of our experience , luck and the kind of game we are playing.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1253
So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)
If the statement was actually true, then the people who would be rich from sports betting would be the coaches.

There statement is not entirely false either. A person who is conversant in a certain game along with the teams competing in it, will have more chances of making a correct prediction as compared to a person who is not.

Still a lot of factors are involved, the day of the match may not always reciprocate previous matches. Hence luck factor is always there you will have a chance of losing a sure shot bet.
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