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Topic: Is your win a function of luck or how much you know a sports? - page 7. (Read 1187 times)

donator
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Sports gambling is a little different than traditional casino games because you do get to take your destiny into your own hands. It also doesn’t need to you beat the odds or get lucky to win. You can bet on a clear favorite and win with an expected outcome. So I’d say sports betting is probably the only time you don’t need good luck to win.
hero member
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If you just predict the sports without placing your bet but your prediction is right, that will not always happen when you place your bet. The situation can change anytime and once you place your bet, you will have a big chance to lose. You can place your bet without analyzing and just guess the team but you should do that for fun and not for any intention to make money. Many times the situation change when we playing gambling using real money because we use emotion and other thing so that can make us lose the money.

The fun thing is the reason for you to playing gambling so you can enjoy your moment in gambling without getting stress because of your lose. Yeah, you sad when you lose but you know that is the risks of playing gambling so you will not thinks much about that. I also tried that before whereas I just place a bet on sports that I don't know. Like other people, I win and lose but I don't bother with the result because I just want to betting.
legendary
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I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Well you can bet based on what your intuition tells you, there are some times where we can definitely feel that moment "I'm winning this one", but in the latter part, sports are depends on Coaches, Players, Teams also strengths and weaknesses that we all need to consider for example in MMA I would bet on Knockout artist over Wrestler, we all know that Knockout artist as well as fighters who has well verse of knowledge in Boxing had a lot of advantage over Wrestlers. Experience also counts. That is why sports analyst have records of each different players and teams.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
If you do random selection, it means the chance from your prediction is 50%.

Random is completely depend on luck, same like you pick the athletes in Olympic games.


Overall betting randomly would be fun but relying on luck not so much cause there's alot of teams and players to bet on so not all of them are 50/50 some are 20/100 some are 10/100. I might say there's also "LUCK" in "UNLUCKY" Cheesy
hero member
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Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Despite the general view that luck play essential role in the winning of bets, it doesn't mean that it is for random selection. Random selection doesn't cumulate into bet winning.

From your topic, you can't only rely on luck to win bet, you must have had a prerequisite knowledge of sports games that you are betting on before luck will bring you close to winning. You just don't select games and bet on with the believe that it will have luck running on it. If you have that luck for certain times, you won't continue with the luck all the time. Like a saying that you have to live ready and that is about preparation for the chance of success. If you are not prepared for such then success most times will be elucive. Therefore, luck doesn't always have to be winning when you are not near to winning a bet. Example, if you have predicted 5 goals as correct score and the game is 4 goals at 5 minutes to FT, then you can talk about luck for the next goal to come, that's where luck can matter but not just a random prediction.
hero member
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Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Nope. I would rather be placing bets on the bookmaker's favorite team and multibet them for 3 matches at least for a small amount than guessing. I have somehow done it for years even in some sports that I have not been following. Sometimes I win and sometimes not but it's fun to do than baseless bets.  This has been like a strategy for some time but of course, risky especially if you are just doing it to gamble.

But this is why the majority will simply just stick to the sports they know. It takes a while to get to know the sports especially if you are not really into it.
legendary
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I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
In the past, I had experience betting (with money) on the outcome of a sports match (soccer) based on a random guess (that one team would be stronger and win). And believe it or not, my bet ended up being a loser. So, at that moment, it turned out that my loss was a result of luck (or rather, not luck).Smiley
legendary
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Certain games are more dependent on luck and other ones are more depending on ability. In the case of chess, it is all ability; in poker and blackjack (specially poker) ability plays a great role, but chance is still important to some extent. And on the contrary, games like lottery or slots are 100% dependent on chance.

In the case of sports betting I think that, although knowledge can help, it is not key to win or lose, and it is mainly based on luck. We all heard about people who knew nothing about sports and became millionaire because of pure luck.
sr. member
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Betting (a single bet) on many matches at once is already wrong, especially betting with random picks like that.
I'm not saying that the OP will definitely keep losing by placing bets like that, but in the long term it is certain that he will lose.
For me luck is the most important and absolute thing when gambling and knowledge about sports can increase our chances of winning.
Anyway, there is no problem if OP bet on many matches with random picks like that only for fun, but it's not wise to make it as your long-term strategy when gamble on sports.
hero member
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Both luck and your knowledge joined are what determines your winning rate, you must be an enlighten sports person because you need some stats to make your predictions, as no one controls the outcome of any game even the players, the teams, the coaches, and even the referee, none of them can predict the outcome of any given match, rather we Forecast base on previous and current statistics we have in hand that help us to make a choice of teams when betting in sports bet.
legendary
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It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
If you do random selection, it means the chance from your prediction is 50%.

Random is completely depend on luck, same like you pick the athletes in Olympic games.

Understand the sports and familiar with the players or teams will increase the chance of your winning because you can value the teams/players with the odds and possibility to win.
legendary
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Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
You can become a victim of overthinking or overanalyzing. That is a burden that comes with knowledge.

When you randomly make a bet in a sport that you have no knowledge about, that is taking a risk and giving all your chances to luck, which may smile at you in some situations but not in all situations.

That is why there is something called "beginners luck" when you are trying something for the first time.
hero member
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Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
I remember the first matches that I bet on many years ago which was my first bet. I did not know about football but I just bet on it. I did not look for any analyses but I just select a team to win and I won it. I was new to betting and later I know it was luck and I stopped doing that when I know more about analysing matches.  Although I went for the team that has the lower odd. But if you analyze the game, it is still about luck but the chance to win will likely increase than randomly selecting.
Like seriously I still bet in that line of betting where I just chose a team to win without any form of analysis of the team and their players, although I use to lose on a couple of time, but then I win more since I just don't rely on my luck to win, I but also I choose the bets carefully, and I let say that when I want to take such bet in sport most especially football, I normally go for live sports and the match should be bet according to the winning team, but what I mean is that I choose the team that is already winning as my preferred so with that my chances are higher to win.

Sometimes it pays to bet in that line of betting since football games are full with unpredictable outcome, so if you chose live game, you you be more confident of the winning.
legendary
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Once guessing a random game resulted in 50/50 in the bet I made.

You guess random matches that do not involve money of course the choice will be easier but when you involve money for bets I'm sure you will be more selective in choosing the team to win, sometimes there is also a little tense but if you know the sport it will be better than choosing randomly.

I don't make many bets on matches that I don't understand, I prefer football sports betting as long as I have the knowledge then I can bet on it.
legendary
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Is your win a function of luck or how much you know a sports?
On average, 85% of people in the world understand the world of sports, even though they cannot play these sports, sports are generally known by the wider community, if asked to talk, maybe they are smarter with players, whether it's football, basketball, volleyball, boxing and so on.

Talking about the level of knowledge of a gambler and a fanatic, the level is different, gamblers do analysis, predictions and new information about the sport every day, I feel that, talking about luck, I have to say yes, no matter how great we have sports science, no one can predict what happens on the field correctly and accurately, so for me it is clear that unexpected things can happen, that is if you say betting, winning and losing is a difficult part of gambling.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Often, there are those who are lucky and also those who have bad luck, even though they are experts at gambling.
sr. member
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Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Yea I have done so severally and it works but the chances doesn't usually come %80 to %100, it's always 50/100, 30/100 and 40/100 the chances are slim. But although there was this one game that I nearly won but it lost by one game. So what am saying in essence is that random game selection is always risky due to High chances of impossibilities. I have equally selected high odd games when I know it's not possible to win with such high odd against the small one. Though sometimes big odd risky game may play but the chances may be slim but if you are dam lucky that week, and the high odd game plays, then you will count yourself one of the lucky winners.
hero member
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I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

Good for you, even if you are not that well versed with that athletes and the sports, you almost made a perfect prediction. Not sure if this is your first time to bet, but it could be beginners luck.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

It could be just luck on your side when you pick your chooses as you have said, you don't have knowledge or that sports. And with that, might be hard to duplicate it, I mean luck comes to everyone, but it could be just a one time deal. So I would suggest that you shouldn't be depending on luck if you are going to do sports betting. You really need to know the sports team that you are betting in my opinion.

Yeah, early in my career did some random betting and it was hit. However, as I have said, I was not able to reproduce that kind of winning run so I guess it's just about the randomness and luck on my side.
hero member
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Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Even if you know the sports, there will come a time when you will use random guesses. Sometimes, it is fun doing that, preferring luck to play its course in your bets.

Especially if you exhaust your analysis and it's dead even on both teams or fighters, when I was betting in horse racing, I just picked based on tips or, in an extreme case, a tossed coin and let luck play its course. Betting with analysis is very satisfying if you accurately predict the game, but it's surprisingly fun if you bet randomly and hit it.
copper member
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Well it depends on what you are betting for because if you have more choices it would be hard but if you are just betting on who wins between two opponents I think it is quite a better chance compared to really knowing the sport they are competing at.

Having said this, I think it is important to see how you could improve your chances and knowing the game is better than knowing nothing. You could win, but it’s not always going to be the best outcome and in the end you might say that “oh I should’ve done my best.”
hero member
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I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't  know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I do it sometimes, and that is when I'm comfortable with whatever outcome; gambling is a game of chance, and if you're betting on a sport and you prefer doing it randomly, don't expect a good result. If the results are good, then be happy because luck is on your side. However, luck will not be always on your side, so it's better that you still do an analysis.
When it comes to sports betting, betting with analysis is fun, and you have more satisfaction doing that than betting it on random.
sr. member
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It's too risky to place a bet purely based on random guesses you've made and apart from games like virtual that are purely prediction based and not affected by analysis, checking out factors like the strength, weakness and the calibars of athletes that are competing in a game helps you make a better and an informed decision as a gambler.

Even with your analysis, you still need to check out other people's point of view who might be more experienced than you're.  The only time when I can comfortably make rough prediction is when I'm just catching fun and cruise with friends and we just want to try that out to see who's more lucky with random prediction but that's never to be seen as a strategy that you can use as your betting strategy and expect that it will work that way for the multiples of times you will have to make your gamble. Let's assume you've got two teams you're familiar with playing in a major soccer tournament, would you rather choose to randomly choose a weaker team from a less competitive league to win against a stronger and more tougher team?
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