Is your win a function of luck or how much you know a sports? - page 6.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

If I gave your title question answer then I have to say that in case of sports betting both are working as well as the luck and as well as the knowledge about the sports.
And I will also say that there will be the increasing your wining probability as much as you have the knowledge about the sports and I always prefer to do gambling on those sports which you know. And avoid those which you don't know to avoid the losses.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

You got me confused for some minutes, did you just randomly bet in your mind and then bet on a particular team to score and then it happens as you predicted. It's norm because it happened to me as well especially if you pay much attention to the tournament to some players but the real twist about this predictions is that they are very easy to guess when money is not involved. The moment money is involved, you start to make losses that you will never be prepared to handle.

If you want to test your prediction next time, just put some little change that you can afford to lose, you will see that it will be difficult for you to get exact predictions like you did when money is not involved because money comes with emotions whether it's a big money or small money, you are always bound to make mistakes most of the time.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I have done it several times when the first time to do sport betting and because i have zero knowledges about the particular teams who played at that time then i was decide to bets on popular teams which i know but it's not always be works for me even with the odds below to @1.30 i still lost my bets and since that i never did it again because bets on low odds or high odds the risk are equal and there is no guarantee betting on low odds will always be win

I know to gets the profit all of gambling games is required luck but unlike dice game or slots game which knowledges and strategies will not usefull for those games but sport betting is different because if people want to gets good results from their bets i think we cannot rely on our luck only or bets on the random options because sport betting is still required the knowledges to predict the outcomes of the particular matches

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Quote from: Gozie51 on July 30, 2024, 10:37:58 AM

Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Despite the general view that luck play essential role in the winning of bets, it doesn't mean that it is for random selection. Random selection doesn't cumulate into bet winning.

While luck plays a role in gambling, your knowledge about the sport is also significant since that helps you to make better choices of what's likely to play out to your own favour. But I think what also makes gambling what it is the luck in it that's one aspect that bets can be dicy and even more interesting. Because no matter your smartness in predicting who wins or lose, you will still battle with the fears of the uncertainty that goes with the unpredictable nature of bets.

Smart decisions also mean supporting a strong club over the weak one in a competition and also weighing the financial strength, the squad depth and the manager's skill in managing the club and the management.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Yes I have, and some of them have turned out to be correct while some came out being wrong.

There are times when we pick some games randomly and also sometimes when predictions become more difficult due to the teams that are involved, like when two teams with good players or during the finals of a game when both teams will be playing their best so that they can take the cup home, such type of games are usually difficult to predict so we sometimes just pick randomly (or use their previous games results) and we sometime win and also lose.

I have also done it during the time I was trying to accumulate some games and just let it run through out the week and most of them are usually correct and some wrong, anytime a gambler predicts games it’s either they win or not - and just to let you know don’t think because you were able to correctly guess those games during your demo mode that you’ll be able to still perform the same thing when you are using actual money, you’ll end up losing your money if you keep that mindset - don’t be the type of gambler that depend solely on luck try to put your skill to use.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I think luck and how much you know a sport are both factors that determines a successful outcome, my reason for saying this is, if you are the type of gambler that takes statistics and analysis seriously it gives you a little leverage over the market , knowing the strength and game play of the teams you are betting on gives you a slim chance of getting the prediction correctly but we all know that sometimes it doesn't matter how hard we do our research, anything can still happen at the end of the day, this is where luck comes in..

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Many times and I'm still doing it right now. It doesn't mean that you know the sport or the game you're about to bet, that you know all of the things there. Sometimes, if you don't do research and you want to bet for a specific match, you just place your bet and you just randomly do that whenever you think that it's an interesting bet to make. That's how impulsive we are and as a gambler, I know how it feels when the others are doing that because the excitement is there and that's the adrenaline rush that we're all doing for the sports that we know and even to the ones that we don't know. It seems that we can't help ourselves when we place into that emotion that we've got money to bet with whether it's actual part of our gambling fund or simply a money to get spared.

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Someone who has less knowledge of a particular game bet chooses their bets randomly with no much expectations on it as their first stake is being made. Whether they predicted it correctly or wrongly, there's no much regard for those bets because it's all done out of guesswork without analyzing much on the results.

I have done this before "to pick games randomly", and I know that I will still do it to any game I have no idea of, just for the fun and to try my luck. My luck trying doesn't exceed twice because I do know that it always ends as a fail prediction. However, I don't always mind about that, just the fun of it that makes me happy to try.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

In most cases where people are starting out in sports betting, they look at the many games they are in at the betting house and choose the games in which they have a clear favorite and bet on that favorite without carefully analyzing each team or each player, and in these cases people may even have many hits, but it is not something that can be profitable in the long term because they bet on games with odds below @1.50, even if the person hits 10 games that have odds below @1.50, it is enough for that person to miss a few games to be at a loss.

Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

Yes, I have, when I started making sports bets I didn't know how to analyze the games, so I would place bets on teams that had low odds and on teams that I like, for example I would watch the Manchester United vs Wolves game, Manchester United had odds of @1.40 while Wolves had odds of @7.00, I would run to bet on Manchester United to win, I didn't analyze the game, the worst part was when I lost a bet, I would get angry and wonder why I made a mistake, at that time I had no idea that betting randomly was bad.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

Can you tell whether you placed the bet on the favourite team with low odds ? It is usually very likely to win bets if you place the bet on the favorite team / players. Even if you do not know about the teams, you just see the odds and gamble on the team that has low odds. (it is usually the favorite team who have more chances to win). This way you do not have to know about the sports and your winning percentage will be higher too.

However, I will call you lucky as well because even you lost only 1 bet out of 7 bets placed. Even the one who knows about sports won't be able to achieve this high winning percentage without luck.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I did before but it is going to be different compared to what you did without bets. If you think that you've got spare money to do this kind of thing.

You're free to do that and make yourself see how many predictions are going to be right. But that 6 out of 10 is a good one as your first experiment.

It doesn't have to be that much for you to do this in real life betting so, you might try it with a few bucks and see how it goes.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

It works but we should not be depending on only luck to win when we are playing games that our skills and knowledge can help us to win. We are already at an disadvantage when we gamble because the house are always likely to win and we lose therefore any opportunity that we have to win, we should take them. Sport betting can be won with research and statistics therefore we should not depend on luck when playing them. I have before just guess a side that is going to win and won but many other times, my guess has been wrong but when you study the teams playing and know which team has more strength and in form, you can make better decisions that will make you to win. Depending on luck should be for casino games that you do not have any strategy to use to get your predictions right because most of them are unpredictable.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

It was just a lucky guess. Now let me see you do it for 30 days consistently and come back with the result. You will find that there will be more failed predictions. Because your predictions wasn't based on facts or evidence but on guess work and it doesn't work that way. If I wasn't conversant with football but know that an A 'list club like Real Madrid some going to play some unpopular club, as a non football person, I will pick Real Madrid to win not because I know about their strategy but because they are popular and they will most likely win. You see now that my random guess of the outcome of the game isn't so random. And I think, winning involves both luck and knowledge of the game.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;

I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.

It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.

I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I can never do that with my money, gambling involves real money, so selecting athletes or predicting out of random sample is not gambling but just wasting your money on athletes you are not sure of their victory, since you don't have a prior knowledge about them. Gambling involves careful analyst of athlete's you've seen perform and have historical winning background, if for any reason you bet at any athletes just by mere seeing the person for the first time and you succeed, that's pure luck, though gambling itself involves luck but that shouldn't be the only criteria when you want to gamble.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

...

Actually, no. I have never used randomness to select a team or an option for me to put money on. In the very few occasions I have tried to capitalize on sports, I have tried to do some basic analysis and use reason before betting, to me it does not make sense to bet on a team which happens to be going though a losing streak in the year when they are going to face a team which seems to be better prepared and not going through a losing streak.
If it was about choosing a team randomly for the sake of money, then I would rather just to stick to dices or flip a coin, where no analysis is required.

However, I won't deny taking random picks and seeing how works sounds like an attractive idea

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

You know what, sometimes when money is not involved we can be good at predictions but when money is involved, predictions becomes a chance of luck for it to be true. This is what do happen to new gamblers that sometimes they win their first bet and that will make them continue to gamble thinking it is easy to win.

I have placed my bet on sports that I have no idea about, but I did it for fun and I didn't win the bet. Luck is what matters in our bet and when you are on your lucky day whatever way you place your bet, you will win it.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I have done it and I was unlucky with my guess and I will never do it again.
now I will only bet on matches that I know and understand. although my analysis is still not accurate, but at least I don't really try my luck by betting randomly.

you are lucky with your guess, maybe you do have great luck. if you have tried it to bet, maybe you can share the results. may luck always be with you. because not all gamblers can get luck like you in random betting.

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Quote from: Yucky on July 30, 2024, 04:59:07 AM

Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?

I have tried this in virtual sports betting and luck shines on me several times. It's somewhat surprising because most times I have tried guessing or chosen random odd without any analysis or in-depth findings and I've won. The fact is I do this when I want and do not necessarily want the win, some people would say for fun yet it is when I do win. Whenever I think of making money or winning in gambling I dont find myself winning much. It just sucks because it isn't supposed to go that way.

At the end of the day, I figured out that gambling should be done when we are excited, or with anxiety if not we may end up losing more than the way we win. In conclusion, it is not how much we know sports can determine our wins, but how lucky we are in sports gambling. The reason why you won is luck and that is the same way when you predict with so much analysis and win its luck still not how good your predictions were.

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It would be better if you do a strategy and make predictions for sports betting, and you should bet on a team that you know, and don't rely on luck, I don't recommend betting carelessly, it's the same as throwing away money that shouldn't be needed, clearly this should not be imitated, you say you are lucky because of your careless choices, but luck will not always come to you as long as you use this method, therefore in sports betting making predictions is highly recommended to minimize the risk of losing at the end of the match, at least you do research by making predictions not just relying on luck.

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Personally it's a little bit of both worlds of luck and knowing my sport... you know where you go for a game to go under 4.5 goals and it's already 4 goals in the first half and game ends as is...this for sure is luck!!!
Or say you having spins on a casino on a bankroll of $50 dollars and you have two more spins to go before wallet hits zero then suddenly you catch a high multiplier that pays you well this certainly should count as luck too but to survive the long game it's best to have the knowledge so that you aren't playing a game blindly!!

And btw with how I play my game, I prefer having skill over luck as this success can be replicated unlike luck based which results in chasing losses and an oversight thinking luck is on your side Tongue

!

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