Luck.
If knowing and understand about the sports is the reason why I win my bet, my win rate must 100% because I never doubt with my analysis. Many of my predictions goes wrong, even though I don't understand how it can be like that, luck never lie.
Same like career, even we learn very hard, understand many thing and have many degrees, it doesn't automatically make you become the top 1 in your career.
Topic: Is your win a function of luck or how much you know a sports? - page 2. (Read 1206 times)
I believe in luck, but I believe more in my skills. If I win in sports betting, I attribute it to my diligent work in analyzing the game, allowing me to make a winning pick. If we really want to win and maintain consistency in sports betting, we need to forget about luck and focus on making informed bets. This is possible because, eventually, in the long run, we will master what we are doing if we continue to learn from our mistakes.
There are beginners luck, but if you gets more ambitious like thinking you want to win big, you need to change your mindset.
There are beginners luck, but if you gets more ambitious like thinking you want to win big, you need to change your mindset.
From the title of your thread, I'll say that win most times in sport depends on how well you know the game and the players. I don't think it would be wise to place bets on random sports without even know any thing about them. You might end up making too much losses. You were lucky as your predictions went well. But in reality it wouldn't be wise to take such bets. In sports bets you have to understand the game, which would in turn enable to make good strategy to place your bets and wins.
There’s this beginner’s luck for gamblers which they can surprisingly win from their bets even from random choices. But that’s actually one of the casino tricks to attract the gambler’s interest to bet and spend more, only to find out in the end the house has gained all the edge while leaving the players at loss. So if you think betting randomly is a wise decision most particularly in sports betting, think it again. It’s either you end up with few gains, or you mess up with your funds and see them all go into waste because you lose them all. 
When it comes to my winning in gambling, I wouldn't want to say that my winnings are mostly as a result of how strategic I can be or my level experienced about sports in general because some of the times I predict games with high probability of winning, I do end up losing my gamble. There's no doubt that my experience and strategies does play a huge part in helping me win but I think the major factor that ensures my winnings most times is luck. Since I made peace with the fact that luck is the main decider of a gambler's fate, I do gamble with the best of my experience in sports but with the belief that luck will decide if I'll get a win or not at the end of the day.
Certain games are more dependent on luck and other ones are more depending on ability. In the case of chess, it is all ability; in poker and blackjack (specially poker) ability plays a great role, but chance is still important to some extent. And on the contrary, games like lottery or slots are 100% dependent on chance.
In the case of sports betting I think that, although knowledge can help, it is not key to win or lose, and it is mainly based on luck. We all heard about people who knew nothing about sports and became millionaire because of pure luck.
In the case of sports betting I think that, although knowledge can help, it is not key to win or lose, and it is mainly based on luck. We all heard about people who knew nothing about sports and became millionaire because of pure luck.
I totally agree, some games are strictly dependent on luck, and casinos are one of such, it has no patterns or strategies that work constantly you can only get.. people claim to have systems that work in casinos but it's a lie... sports betting on the hand is quite easier to bet on especially if you have knowledge on football and fully understand how the system works, there are newbies who play randomly on their first try and win millions, that's just their luck, things like that don't happen everyday.... you point is valid knowledge can only help to an extent
I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;
I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Yes, I made such predictions for the Europa League, sometimes for 10-15 matches in an express, mainly based on short audits about the teams, and several times there were expresses where I simply guessed 14 results out of 15. I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Yes I did it before when I was a newbie. I just want to try my luck, so i'm just guessing who would win. I blindly placed my bet and I condition myself that i'm ready to lose it. But you know, it's not a good idea even you're prepared for the worse. Because why placing bet if you don't have idea on the sports that you're going to bet in? If you can gain knowledge to maximize your chance to win? It's true that luck is a major factor in gambling however in sports you can somehow use your knowledge to choose the right team.Any gambler that places his bet on a match that he has no idea about should do it for fun and not for profit so that he will not be disappointed on the outcome of his bet. However, if you are doing it for fun if you lose, it will not bother you.
So sports betting is definitely different than gambling games because gambling games require no knowledge or experience for you to win, but when it comes to sports betting, you can only stay profitable in the long run if you have enough knowledge about the sport you are making your bets on.
In sports betting you also need luck because the results of a match cannot be predicted. But I think knowledge about sports is more important than just luck. If you only rely on luck you have a 50/50 chance on your bet. But with the knowledge you have and your knowledge of the history of the sport you can place bets on the right choices and luck will increase your chances of winning the bet.
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Is your win a function of luck or how much you know a sports?
Actually it can be a combination between luck and some knowledge about the athletes or that team. Sometimes luck might be in your favor and get few correct predictions, but that won’t last for long, since most of the competitions are just representing very strong athletes that have more chances to win than any other athlete you would choose, and in that moment you will need knowledge more than you will need luck.I made some multiple betting attempts to win with a very high multiplier, I never won anything before because of losing one or two of those bets, and to be eligible for your win you will need to predict all the 6 or more games correctly.
Sports knowledge alone won’t make you profitable also, as long as luck isn’t beside you. It is so difficult to predict more than 6 games correctly without being lucky.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Yes I did it before when I was a newbie. I just want to try my luck, so i'm just guessing who would win. I blindly placed my bet and I condition myself that i'm ready to lose it. But you know, it's not a good idea even you're prepared for the worse. Because why placing bet if you don't have idea on the sports that you're going to bet in? If you can gain knowledge to maximize your chance to win? It's true that luck is a major factor in gambling however in sports you can somehow use your knowledge to choose the right team.
People who watch a lot of football will prolly pick the right winners, but long term, he/she will still lose if he/she doesn't get the right odds for his/her bet. The person may know who the winner is six or seven times out of ten, BUT the sports betting service still holds the edge because they control the odds. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Yeah the commission/house edge matter.People didn't realize if we're risking 100% to win 100% - commission/house edge, so in the end we're in loss due to losing more than winning.
It's why, if someone can find a bookmarker that give EV+, they should take advantage from it.
There are so many thing we need to know if we want to make money from gambling, not only good in analysis.
I believe those opportunities can be found during those times when those sports betting services start opening the betting for the particular event. Those opening odds are probably with more mistakes than usual in general because it has not been corrected by the movements of the top 10% of winners yet. It's most probably the same as trading the markets.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Yes I did it before when I was a newbie. I just want to try my luck, so i'm just guessing who would win. I blindly placed my bet and I condition myself that i'm ready to lose it. But you know, it's not a good idea even you're prepared for the worse. Because why placing bet if you don't have idea on the sports that you're going to bet in? If you can gain knowledge to maximize your chance to win? It's true that luck is a major factor in gambling however in sports you can somehow use your knowledge to choose the right team.People who start gambling at first time lose gambling because of lack of good gambling experience. But before we start gambling we must start gambling after having good gambling experience. When we start gambling at first time. I had no idea and experience in gambling which resulted in losing gambling most of the time.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Yes I did it before when I was a newbie. I just want to try my luck, so i'm just guessing who would win. I blindly placed my bet and I condition myself that i'm ready to lose it. But you know, it's not a good idea even you're prepared for the worse. Because why placing bet if you don't have idea on the sports that you're going to bet in? If you can gain knowledge to maximize your chance to win? It's true that luck is a major factor in gambling however in sports you can somehow use your knowledge to choose the right team.Somehow its exciting to do that since we don't know what will be the result and here we are placing our bets on random things but I rarely do this since just decide to place a bet in unfamiliar sports when just got bored and nothing to do. Especially if there's no exciting games on familiar leagues is good to place my bets.
But I discourage people to do this especially if they think luck play huge role to win money on sports betting since most likely it will end up losing in their side especially they don't have any idea on what they are doing. Much better if we stick on leagues which we have knowledge about what's happening in that sports since it can increase our chance to win rather than thinking about just being lucky to win in random situations.
I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;
I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
In your case you know less about these games, you just decide to give a try and things turned out well for you, this is pure act of gamble and you got lucky, if you think otherwise you can decide to give a try again and I can bet with you that things won't turn out the same.
Some people like you choose games that they are very good at and things went bad for them, see, from now on it will be better to accept that you are just lucky whenever you predict and things work your way, there is nothing special about you, don't start feeling yourself as a special kind you are nothing but human like the rest of us.
It is better you stick to risking what you can afford to lose or else you will likely end up regretting your decision, gambling is still gambling, an act of predicting the future and that my friend isn't withing the capabilities of any human.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Yes I did it before when I was a newbie. I just want to try my luck, so i'm just guessing who would win. I blindly placed my bet and I condition myself that i'm ready to lose it. But you know, it's not a good idea even you're prepared for the worse. Because why placing bet if you don't have idea on the sports that you're going to bet in? If you can gain knowledge to maximize your chance to win? It's true that luck is a major factor in gambling however in sports you can somehow use your knowledge to choose the right team. 
I tried out something while I was watching some games in the ongoing Olympics and this is what I did;
I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
I looked out for sports I wasn't conversant with the athletes and didn't know who was better at the sports and did a random prediction on the outcome of the game. I did it for swimming competition and some random boxing yesterday and out of up to 7 predictions I made, almost 6 went the way I predicted it.
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
That is the reason why winning doesn't only comes from being an expert, I can remember the very first time I played the stimulated visual game in sports betting I had a random pick and I won even without knowing or having much of the ideas, most times games usually play in the opposite direction hence luck has a major role to play whenever we play games, you can as well try it in real game but I will advise that it should not be much of accumulation it should just be few games, it almost the same thing as per your narrative of writing an objective exam, although there is no guarantee as to this regards.
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sports betting experience when digesting the speculation that is obtained also has not made luck. throughout sports betting there will definitely be where we slip not right. but I think most sports gambling players mostly win if they really understand the situation of the team, club with the opponent playing. bet enough to add ammunition to bets gradually
No guarantees for you to wins for many times when you places your bet in sports betting. Gambling is not designs to gives you the big wins too often and if you can wins for some time, that means your luck comes to you in the right time. Even if you have a good skills in analyzing the match, that will not guarantees you can win so you must be careful with your bet and not placing a big bet if you don't wants to lose big.Some gamblers can't takes a right decision when they can see the temporary winning and still wants to waits for the match is over. But that match can change and will not gives us the win because the opponent can beats our team. Once that happen, we will loses our money and that can lead us want to recovers our lost money and that means, we will place another bet in the next match. We must remembers that even we know a sports well, that will not guarantee for us to win many times.
It reminds me of writing an objective examination in high school and when you're done with the questions you're certain of, and you just do some random selections and luck could shine on you and you get up to 70% from your rough prediction.
I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Lol...you are very correct about the objective (OBJ) questions and answers, I could remember too in those days, all the questions had to be answered regardless of whether we knew what we chose, it will definitely be a better chance for us than leaving all of them blank. I have not tried this in real games that involves using money but would want to know if anyone has ever tried it before.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Again, I do not see anything bad in gambling with a team you are not familiar with, but what I will not advise is for us to "gamble within gambling" by randomly picking our options, that's unprofessional and guesswork that is void of honour. Even if we did not know these teams, we can do our research to gather the needed information not that we risk our money blindly in that way.
I've done something similar before, especially if the odds are big enough, notwithstanding, it takes me nothing to sort for some useful information online about them instead of opting for the ignoble act of guessing.
But I tried predicting who could be the winner on random game with random athletes I have no Idea whatsoever just purely for fun or did as friendly contest with someone nearby.
Is this not the same as what the op asked?
I don’t think I understood the part of your post I bolded out - the game which you selected the winner randomly did you place the bet in any gambling site with your friend? Or you just randomly selected and also made your friend select theirs without ever going to any casino to bet on it, like you guys just did it and waited to see who would win the prediction, is that what happened?
No, I didn't bet any money. I was saying just imagine a group of your friends/colleagues then I say he is gonna win then 2nd person say no, this person is gonna win and something like that. So if I win or lose nothing happens just predicting who may win that game especially if it Olympics games.
What I was saying,I will never randomly predict and bet my money and explained why I think it's different from casino games.
Have you ever placed a bet by just doing random guesses on the outcome of the game?
Of course, everyone will have experiences like this in any case, including gamblers in gambling, I myself when I did not know more about soccer then wanted to try it, it relied on guessing because I only knew the name of the team and did not know how the history, statistics and even players.For example, I only knew Ronaldo at that time and then I chose to bet on Real Madrid, without knowing the structure of the players and the course of the Real Madrid match with the team he was playing against, so I thought it was just a guess.
just knowing the popularity of a few players is enough to have an extra betting percentage to rely on, human consciousness does not allow for a random guess, they guess based on what they have heard and also what others have passed on to them. Betting is always a mixture of more or less knowledge plus a percentage of luck, winning will increase more due to our knowledge but this percentage cannot surpass pure luck.
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