I've gotten back in to mining in the last couple of weeks with an S3+ and a couple of SP20s and the pool had a dry spell. Today one of the SP20s has lost a hashing board and this evening the other has disappeared completely off the network, and the pool starts finding blocks!!
And of course the miners are at a remote location where I won't be able to check on them for a couple of days :/
Nope, the bad luck wasn't your fault, it was all of the S9's
I think it is because of election day here in the US.
Just like how the gas prices go down before the election...
Are you being serious?
But how long have you mined here?
Things don't change one way or the other due to anything but bad luck, unless someone has a large amount of hash power to affect the luck.
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Some simple ways to look at it:
If the pool was 30PH/s and someone added a mystical 5PH/s of 'bad luck', we'd still expect to find 30PH/s worth of blocks.
Miner A (bad luck) can't magically effect everyone else's miners
or
To have a 10% affect on expected luck (yeah ONLY 10% effect) someone would have to add 11.1% of 'bad luck miners' (never finding blocks) to the pool. So at 30PH/s, they'd have to add 3.3PH/s of 'bad luck miners'
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So what's most likely happening?
Nothing - luck is just swinging around as it does ... that's called variance
It goes up and down ... and up and down ... and ...
The smaller the pool (compared to the network) the higher the variance.
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Block!
Luck, if only we could adjust it for personal gains ........
It's been a good day today mining here I'm happy!