La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 - page 4404.

tomahawk9

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Quote from: Harkorede on September 26, 2019, 01:28:39 PM

Edit2: Goodness me!!! Eibar are ahead 3 - 2, What the hell ?!!

Some people say that statistics don't matter in football, but god damn it that statistics about Sevilla that I mentioned earlier was a major red flag (to those going for Sevilla ML) and also worth going for a small but risky bet on a team that desperately needed the 3 pts (Eibar).

I didn't check but, what could've been the odds for Eibar to win during HT? 20/1? 30/1? pfff, imagine taking that one!

Daniel91

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Messi injured again and new problems for Barcelona.
Who will replace him?
Who will be the Barcelona strikers in the next match with Getafe?
Luis Suarez, Antoine Griezmann and Ousmane Dembele?
Luis Suarez is in really bad shape but he will probably play.
Real dilemma is between Fati and Dembele?
What do you think?

Harkorede

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on September 26, 2019, 08:16:10 AM

There are some statistics that maybe the bookies got a hold on and could explain why Sevilla have such odds: Sevilla have never won 4 consecutive away games in one season in the history of La Liga^[1]. It could happen today if they beat Eibar.

It's definitely happening today!

Sevilla looks very comfortable currently holding a 2 goal lead and there's just about 25 minutes plus stoppage time left to play. Eibar have been rather more composed since the 2nd half, but there haven't been much threat from them, Sevilla should easily see this out.

Quote from: Naida_BR on September 26, 2019, 11:47:17 AM

Not any competitive game today but I will place my bets in all three games.
Eibar - Sevilla 2
Celta - Espanyol 2
Sociedad - Alaves X

Looks like you've got your first one right, If it's not a parlay, that's a win already. Good luck with rest...

Edit: Looks we've got ourselves some intense end to this match, Eibar just pulled one back from the spot kick. 1 - 2!

Edit2: Goodness me!!! Eibar are ahead 3 - 2, What the hell ?!!

Naida_BR

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Not any competitive game today but I will place my bets in all three games.
Eibar - Sevilla 2
Celta - Espanyol 2
Sociedad - Alaves X

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Quote from: big_daddy on September 26, 2019, 08:03:54 AM

hmm
injuries or not, I will have a look at the first 15 minutes of the game and than decide to make a bet or not, still thinking that Sevilla can win this game with a handicap +1

The odds would be modified 15 minutes into the game depending on where the tides of the game flows. So the game might not be so attractive for a single bet if the odds drop lower.
I would expect Sevilla to win the game though, with their performances I've watched, they are a very good side on their day.

tomahawk9

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Quote from: big_daddy on September 26, 2019, 06:43:01 AM

why do we have such big odds on Sevilla for today's match vs. Eibar?

it's a 2.35 on Sevilla (with price boost), it seems to me a good chance to make a good single bet

what do you think?

There are some statistics that maybe the bookies got a hold on and could explain why Sevilla have such odds: Sevilla have never won 4 consecutive away games in one season in the history of La Liga^[1]. It could happen today if they beat Eibar.

Both teams will be hungry for a win, Eibar because they haven't won a single game so far, and Sevilla who need to recover from that loss last weekend. I would go with Eibar ML, and probably parlay that with Real Sociedad ML, they've been really good so far, a win today will put them in 3rd place behind Atletico and RM in the league table.

1. https://www.marca.com/futbol/primera-division/2019/09/26/5d8c69c522601d67508b4573.html

big_daddy

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Quote from: tokeweed on September 26, 2019, 07:53:39 AM

^ Look for Sevilla injuries. Having their first loss vs Real last weekend could be a factor too.

Anyway Zidane's gamble paid off. He played a with different set up vs Osasuna and rested his key players for the derby vs Atletico.

Should be good.

hmm
injuries or not, I will have a look at the first 15 minutes of the game and than decide to make a bet or not, still thinking that Sevilla can win this game with a handicap +1

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^ Look for Sevilla injuries. Having their first loss vs Real last weekend could be a factor too.

Anyway Zidane's gamble paid off. He played a with different set up vs Osasuna and rested his key players for the derby vs Atletico.

Should be good.

big_daddy

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why do we have such big odds on Sevilla for today's match vs. Eibar?

it's a 2.35 on Sevilla (with price boost), it seems to me a good chance to make a good single bet

what do you think?

Pab

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Barca has nightmare start of the season
i think it is worst start from years.Now Messi is injured
i have feeling that Barca needs to develop team and be ready for Messi time end
It is not secret that he has problems with his leg.Some defenders know about it and they are attacking that leg
One day sooner than later rather Messi time will end and where will be Barca
Still there are great players in Barca team together with 16 years old revelation

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Quote from: slaman29 on September 26, 2019, 03:37:05 AM

Mm, I don't know if we were expecting Real to lose against Osasuna, they were still the clear favorites. Sevilla even, the odds were just about tight so clearly, Real (and Barca) are still by and large the favorites to win games at least in domestic competition.

They were favorites, but nobody is going to say they're going to win for sure this season. Just take a look at their results, and you'll know why. They don't play as good as before, got counter-attacked easily, and could've easily lost points one way or the other. Compared to two or three years ago they're in terrible condition now.

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Mm, I don't know if we were expecting Real to lose against Osasuna, they were still the clear favorites. Sevilla even, the odds were just about tight so clearly, Real (and Barca) are still by and large the favorites to win games at least in domestic competition.

They really aren't making it pretty on the eyes though.

Juggy777

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Quote from: Rozita on September 25, 2019, 05:25:00 PM

Quote from: tomahawk9 on September 25, 2019, 04:05:27 PM

2-0 win vs Osasuna.

Good performance, the youngsters scored some great goals (Rodrygo's ball control in the 2nd, oof!), we rested some of our key players, and we're now the only league leaders, all of this ahead of the Madrid Derby next weekend...Not bad, to be honest, considering that a week ago after the 3-0 loss vs PSG everything looked so bleak, the current atmosphere surrounding the club is something that we as fans, and even the players, haven't had in quite a while

Zidane had very difficult days. But victories against Sevilla and Osasuna caused the pressure on Zidan and his players to be eased. I personally didn't expect Real to get 6 points from these two games. Now they are on top the table and we can expect a great game between Atletico and Real.

@Rozita Real Madrid has stunned us all with their performances, honestly I was expecting them to loose these two matches and Perez to fire Zidane but I’m glad his players have saved his job. Though it’s pertinent to note that Zidanes younger players are outperforming their seniors, so will he be more inclined to play them more, or should he stick with his experienced players?. Atletico vs Real Madrid will be a very important game for both the sides, because whoever wins it will stay on the top for a very long time and will be one step closer to winning the title.

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on September 25, 2019, 04:05:27 PM

2-0 win vs Osasuna.

Good performance, the youngsters scored some great goals (Rodrygo's ball control in the 2nd, oof!), we rested some of our key players, and we're now the only league leaders, all of this ahead of the Madrid Derby next weekend...Not bad, to be honest, considering that a week ago after the 3-0 loss vs PSG everything looked so bleak, the current atmosphere surrounding the club is something that we as fans, and even the players, haven't had in quite a while

Zidane had very difficult days. But victories against Sevilla and Osasuna caused the pressure on Zidan and his players to be eased. I personally didn't expect Real to get 6 points from these two games. Now they are on top the table and we can expect a great game between Atletico and Real.

tomahawk9

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2-0 win vs Osasuna.

Good performance, the youngsters scored some great goals (Rodrygo's ball control in the 2nd, oof!), we rested some of our key players, and we're now the only league leaders, all of this ahead of the Madrid Derby next weekend...Not bad, to be honest, considering that a week ago after the 3-0 loss vs PSG everything looked so bleak, the current atmosphere surrounding the club is something that we as fans, and even the players, haven't had in quite a while

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Quote from: Naida_BR on September 25, 2019, 03:03:39 PM

Quote from: JeromeTash on September 25, 2019, 02:52:21 PM

Quote from: Indymoney on September 25, 2019, 02:45:42 PM

In another match Real Madrid is leading by one goals and currently leaders in La Liga if they maintain this lead until end then surely they will on top for some days.

I am also watching the match. Vinicious Junior the goal scorer. I kind of feel for the lad. He had been on immense pressure to perform... He even had to shed a tear after scoring.

Why Hazard is again on the bench? Does he have any problems with the manager?
In games like this one which is considered an easy match for Real Madrid, Hazard should begin in the first line-up in order to be in form for the difficult matches.

Real Madrid made over 7 changes for this match. They are probably resting players for the big derby game against Atletico Madrid.
Marcelo, Varane, Bale, Benzema, Mendy, Hazard, James, Courtois and Carvajal all did start

Good news to the Real Madrid Fans is that Morata was red carded earlier on in their Match... so he will miss the encounter.

Naida_BR

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Quote from: JeromeTash on September 25, 2019, 02:52:21 PM

Quote from: Indymoney on September 25, 2019, 02:45:42 PM

In another match Real Madrid is leading by one goals and currently leaders in La Liga if they maintain this lead until end then surely they will on top for some days.

I am also watching the match. Vinicious Junior the goal scorer. I kind of feel for the lad. He had been on immense pressure to perform... He even had to shed a tear after scoring.

Why Hazard is again on the bench? Does he have any problems with the manager?
In games like this one which is considered an easy match for Real Madrid, Hazard should begin in the first line-up in order to be in form for the difficult matches.

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Quote from: Indymoney on September 25, 2019, 02:45:42 PM

In another match Real Madrid is leading by one goals and currently leaders in La Liga if they maintain this lead until end then surely they will on top for some days.

I am also watching the match. Vinicious Junior the goal scorer. I kind of feel for the lad. He had been on immense pressure to perform... He even had to shed a tear after scoring.

Indymoney

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Quote from: rachman mahesa on September 25, 2019, 02:05:18 PM

full time
Mallorca (0) - (2) Atl Madrid
Leganes (1) - (1) Bilbao

Half time
Valencia (3) - (1) Getafe

Bilbao could not take advantage of the situation and ended Draw. I hope they win and survive at the top. Now Alt Madrid are top of the standings. Atl Madrid victory was also paid with Morat's red card on 77'

Valencia is running in very poor form as at half time they was leading by 2 goals and right now we are going for end of match and current score is 3 - 3 in another match Real Madrid is leading by one goals and currently leaders in La Liga if they maintain this lead until end then surely they will on top for some days.

rachman mahesa

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full time
Mallorca (0) - (2) Atl Madrid
Leganes (1) - (1) Bilbao

Half time
Valencia (3) - (1) Getafe

Bilbao could not take advantage of the situation and ended Draw. I hope they win and survive at the top. Now Alt Madrid are top of the standings. Atl Madrid victory was also paid with Morat's red card on 77'

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