So to recap what we know:
1) They do have some chips (as seen in pictures) however we don't know what those chips are and what they do
2) They do have some boards (as seen in pictures) however we don't know what they are and what they do
3) We do know they have been working on chips (because TheSeven confirmed). Most likely 130nm but for sure 65nm but it doesn't mean they are the ones in the pictures.
4) We think they have mined some coins (because that address TheSwede provided received coins that we know came from 2 different pools) but it suddenly stopped and we don't know why.
5) Besides the above, all we have are words from Labcoin promising that they have chips and boards and are hashing but having stability issues.
Does this summarize the facts?
Yeah. And their hashrate is about 240Gh/s, which is about 3 avalons.
Also it's a public holiday in China and the Labcoin engineers are going to be off work until Sunday (so Saturday night in the US)
Ok so if we accept those are the facts, on the possible scenarios of what is really happening, this is how I see things:
1) It's a scam, they don't even have chips, never intended to have and just bought some Avalons: 1% chance
2) They have chips and are mining but for their own profit: 5% chance
3) They have some working sample chips (10 or so), but are having production/delivery issues with the remaining chips: 30% chance
4) They have chips and are having technical issues: 50% chance
5) They have chips but there is some catastrophic flaw with them that can never be solved: 10%
All of the above indicates they are dishonest. They claim to be mining with, 2 - 6 TH/s.
Very likely but not necessarily! Easy to come up with a plausible scenario to explain this mess... there are hundreds of possibilities the only people that know for sure are Sam and their team. For example:
Imagine you are Sam. You wait 6 months for the day chips and boards arrive. You can't sleep for the last week. You really want to tell everyone you hit the nail in the head, 15/September is the deadline you set yourself 6 months ago.
The chips and boards arrive on the 14th. You team starts assembling them. Everyone spends the whole night trying to get it to work... suddenly: It's working!
You send a message to everyone saying "We are hashing with 2TH/s".
10 minutes later: board stops working.
Engineers get to it... make it work again.... but after 15 minutes stops working.
You speak with the lead engineer: he says he thinks he knows what the issue is and can get it fixed in 24 hours.
But 24 hours later.... still not working. Engineer asks for another 48 hours...
48 hours later... it's better. So you keep your promise... but after 12 hours working the board stops again and now the whole thing is fried, won't even turn back on.
Add to this some delivery/production issues (so you don't even have some spare chips yet to replace that) - the factory promised chips "in about 2 days" and have been delaying for a week already...
Great, almost think you are 'labcoin' himself if you don't have such a high activity
Yes, exactly what I think. This is the only explanation if bitcoin is not a liar, and it's already the best scenario. So now in the best scenario, no hashing until November.