Topic: ⚽ Lega Serie A 🇮🇹 (Italian League) Prediction Thread 2023/2024⚽ - page 70. (Read 16292 times)

in itself, each match is difficult to predict! it is necessary to evaluate and analyze the progress of the teams, the results obtained, the statistics whether they decrease or increase such as shots on goal or expected goals, a series of statistics that can be useful for choosing how to bet, but sometimes they are irrelevant. It would be a mistake to bet on Inter always winning just because they are first in the table. I personally always analyze the goals scored and conceded in the last 5 matches played, for example if team A has a total of 37 goals scored, 8 of which in the last 5 matches, but has conceded 19 in total and 5 in the last 5 matches, I focus on betting goal/goal or Under/Over. then I evaluate team B and if the statistics are similar then I go straight to those bets

In my opinion, this season is very difficult to predict, because if you only predict in terms of the name of the club and its ranking position it will be very difficult, because in a match we never know what problems might occur on the field, whether their stamina will decrease. It could be that a lower team beats a bigger team, we never know what the final score will be. For example, as you have said, Atlanta can be beaten by Torino who are below Atlanta, therefore it is not easy to make predictions this season and you really have to do in-depth research to be able to find victory in this match.

If we talk about Napoli line-up, they really need players for the front line, such as midfielders and stickers, because so far there has been no good development in their front line.
But if this can really be used with mature strategy it can still produce a very good game and of course coach plays big role in this, Garcia has failed and now Mazzarri will be in control.
I sure that if Mazzarri can use strategy that is mature and suitable for every player to understand then Napoli will not experience such serious setback and in the next transfer window Mazzarri can add several players to strengthen Napoli.
Moreover, in the round of 16 there are really strong teams and if Mazzarri does not decide to change the performance of his players then there is no hope that they will continue to compete in the UCL.
But it seems that until now there have been no rumors or reports regarding the players that Napoli will bring in to strengthen their squad in the future, and I think this is wasted opportunity if there is no activity in the upcoming transfer window.
Several team are trying to bring in various great players who they feel can make good contribution but unfortunately not Napoli.

Yes, maybe I can think more positively about Napoli's future with its new coach, but I'm a little skeptical about clubs that always replace coaches in the short term and for reasons of failing to achieve targets that have been set, but changing coaches always doesn't make a difference. positive and as fans it is normal for them or me to have negative thoughts about this, whereas a club needs a long time with a coach to reach a higher level.
Maybe I could always believe and even always think positively when Spalletti was still the coach at Napoli and after that I haven't seen Napoli's best performance again.

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A common occurrence that often happens every weekend when you choose several favorite clubs to enter into your betting slip. Usually one of the popular clubs will experience a loss or give a surprise that makes the betting slip lose and this often happens to me myself when choosing several clubs. popular from several leagues and I put everything in the betting slip, there will definitely be 1 club that loses while the other club wins.
So a better way, as said by @Lillominato89, is to only choose 4 matches to include in multi bets and analyze them in depth and choose the lowest risk or if not it is better to choose a single bet.

you unlocked a memory for me! how wonderful Fantasy Football was, we had a private league with my friends that lasted from 2002 until 2019, how many memories, how much swearing but above all how much fun, then I became a dad and the time available dropped drastically. but I saw that there are platforms that allow you to play it using satoshi, I've never tried but in my opinion it's worth a try

Of course, there is no guarantee for any match on any week. I just wanted to state this: Let's say you bet on Napoli, Milan, Inter, Juventus and Roma all at the same time - You are picking all teams to bet on from the same league as well. I think the chance of your betslip to win like this is smaller than the chance you can win by betting on only a couple of them the most in a single betslip - for example betting on only Inter and Juventus instead.

Because most of the time at least one of top teams lose points in their match on a week. By betting on all of them at the same time just increases the risk of your betslip to win quite much.

it also depends on why you play, if you play to get rich as well as never getting rich, you risk slipping into pure gambling addiction.
If you play to talk about it with friends and have a laugh together then it makes sense. In the past I also played fantasy football, which was much more fun, but it requires a lot of time which I dont heve now.

when I analyze the matches I want to bet on, I never include more than 4 events in the bet slip and I try to obtain a potential win that oscillates between x2 and x3. it is obviously not a reliable strategy but it is less risky than putting 5 or 6 events. or I never bet on matches on different days, I always prefer 3 or 4 matches but that they are all played on the same day

Any game is uncertain, otherwise we would all be millionaires. According to mathematics the concept is different, the more events you put in the same bet, the higher the percentage of losing becomes.
Ditto for the lottery, people focus on late numbers without knowing that the chance of drawing that number is always 1/90, always.
So betting on the favorites can help, but you earn less and the risk always exists.

You are not entirely wrong, my friend, but I have now placed the bet, lets hope for the best.
In the end I dont do it to make money but just to spend time with friends and discuss it, having a laugh and reflecting on it together.
You are right, but maybe luck is on my side.

the team has remained rather unchanged compared to a year ago, if it worked a year ago and now it doesn`t, what has changed?
certainly the coach and the schemes but also the climate and morale of the team are different, if they regain a little confidence maybe they can do well.. better think positive for this reason.

Betting on all the favourites on the same week might not be the best idea in my opinion. My betslip lost just because of that when I tried to do it once.    I still remember that inexplicable loss by Milan against Udinese in San Siro for example. That was the match ruined my betslip.    Since that day I haven't been doing this.

I think that it is the best to pick only a couple of them the most for a betslip. And those picks will be the most trusted ones. It doesn't give any guarantee maybe but the winning probability would be higher at least. For example for this week I believe in Napoli and Juventus among the top teams. But maybe Inter might surprise us and I think the same for Milan - Roma duo as well.

Torino are strong but are very inconsistent in their results, I don't trust myself to bet on Torino's victory, perhaps I would consider a double chance or bet on the unders and overs but making a clear prediction is not prudent. obviously it's my opinion, maybe then they win 3-0 against Empoli and Giammangiato will tell me "I told you so". This match should be evaluated very highly

Sometimes bookmakers obviously make mistakes
they make assessments in order to protect themselves, they don't do it to give money away
so they are being held for many factors, certainly
honestly it seems like a draw rather than a victory, but it's not easy to get the results right
of course my opinion

My opinion, Napoli doesn't need a midfielder but what is needed to improve the performance of the attack line and get some quality defenders but unfortunately the new coach giving a little problem when comes to understanding every character and talent that every napoli player has and this will definitely take very long time and one side of this match is already halfway through the season and Napoli should not be behind too many points.
At the moment, Napoli still seems to be an interesting discussion because Napoli has qualified for the round of 16 in the CL, while in that match they will be coached by Mazzarri. Do you think Napoli will have good results in the future with this new coach?
Certainly not and I am very sure that napoli will fail again the CL and am a little surprised by the current owner of Napoli who is very aggressive when a coach fails in competition and immediately removed from office while Napoli currently has to continue their journey to the round of 16 with their new coach.

Yes, in my opinion, the bet made by @giammangiato still makes sense except for the match between Torino vs Empoli because that match is difficult to predict but Torino is still much better when compared to Empoli's performance this season,
But still betting on this club is quite risky because Empoli can sometimes appear surprising, like when they beat Napoli in Week 12, so it's true as you said to evaluate first to make that bet.

However, Torino has an advantage because playing at home. Torino can win the match against Atalanta when playing at home and draw when playing away against Frosinone. Maybe the bookies dare to bet on Torino because this club looks strong when playing at home and Empoli is an easier opponent. If compared with Atalanta, I think Torino will definitely do their best in that match.

There is kind of pressure that will occur when you have to play against team that is strong or feels much better and this kind of condition is experienced by all Napoli players, especially after experiencing crushing defeat against Inter Milan.
And from here Napoli tries to play slowly so that Juventus didn't get the same wins as Inter.
But in the end Juventus had one advantage which they were able to maintain until the match was over and even though there were many opportunities from both teams, each team was also unable to produce good goal.
Napoli players experienced mental pressure about whether each kick would result in goal and this was what created doubts that led to phase of not focusing on what they had to do.
In terms of the game, it was clear that Napoli were taking control with more of tendency to play defensively or to really dominate the match, but they failed to dominate the attack properly.
Even Juventus were able to score goals under Napoli control of the match, this was defeat they should not have had but in reality Juventus were better at creating opportunities and taking advantage of them.

Until now, Napoli are still trying to recover, but they need lot of time to realize this effort.
Maybe adding some players in the front line in the next transfer window could be good effort.

yes this week there are matches that can be very simple to predict, looking at what you intend to bet I think that the Turin - Empoli match is the most unpredictable of all, Turin is a loose cannon, they manage to beat 3-0 Atalanta but then scores 0-0 against Frosinone, so evaluate carefully, and my advice

This week i see more easy game:

• Napoli - Cagliari i will bet on Napoli
• Torino - Empoli i will bet on Torino
• AC Milan - Monza i will bet on AC Milan
• Fiorentina - Hellas Verona FC i will bet on Fiorentina
• Atalanta BC - Salernitana i will bet on Atalanta BC

Much games, and i think i can win this.

I really understand the situation that Napoli is currently experiencing problems which have caused a slight decline in performance with problems with the new coach requiring time to adapt and also Victor Osimhen who has just recovered from injury and has not been able to perform as optimally as before while Osimhen is one of your Napoli players who always contributing to the score in every match and I only want to see the next 3 matches when I have to face Cagliari, Roma and Monza.
To face Cagliari, it looks like Napoli will be very easy to win, but to face Roma and Monza I am a little doubtful because currently Roma is in their best performance after the arrival of Lukaku and if from these 3 matches Napoli is able to consistently beat these 3 clubs I am sure Napoli will return to form previously, but if they face Roma and Monza they fail to get 3 points, I think Napoli will still feel bad.