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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 1513. (Read 26706707 times)

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
Quote from: JayJuanGee link=topic=178336.msg63058908#msg63058908 date=1698340143
[...
It seems that I have almost as much cash as is worth my whole BTC portfolio [...]


Wut?!

(I think you have to explain your little selfie here a bit further.)
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)

Research shows that people will believe anything if you add the words research shows at the start of the sentence.


Fun fact: In my mother language, people are commonly using the same term for "research" and "science".
We're not a very educated bunch of folks over here, but what makes it even worse is the fact that over 25% of them are superstitious (confirmed by research).
Not joking.


Is conspiracy theory a form of superstition?  Undecided

AFAIK, no.
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 9201
'The right to privacy matters'
Antisthenes macho post in 3... 2... 1...  Roll Eyes
By the way, @Antisthenes, real men are able to do things that normal men are afraid of. So feel free to go on with your teenage homophobic issues  Grin

0. Cool

Homophobic? I just don’t want things up my ass, thank you very much.
That said, should there be a *real* reason for doing so, I’m comfortable with my sexuality to follow through with it.
I just don’t abide with the doctors narrative regarding precaution, sorry.

Real men use fear to their advantage and overcome it - that’s why they are men.
Women on the other hand, exploit that fear to their advantage, but mostly do not overcome it - and are rather consumed by it.
In between - it’s cucks - and you are a prime example, unfortunately not the only one here.

Keep feeding the medical regime sweethearts, and whilst you’re at it, by all means - do have a vaccine!

edit:
https://expose-news.com/2023/10/25/how-todays-doctors-are-killing-their-patients/

Quote
The end result is that doctors today have compromised or abandoned their professional and personal responsibilities and have become members of a conspiracy, a cabal of murderous scientists. The best that can be said in their defence is that many are merely ignorant and are simply taking the money they are offered without asking any inconvenient questions.

First, i kind of mostly agree with that theorem of nowadays doctors, but in my view your presentation is exaggerated and extremely simplified.
Simplified, what takes me to my second point: Your primal view of mankind and polar model of gender roles. It may help to simplify, but reality is always complex. Humans tend to simplify, because it gave them some advantages in the past. This has changed with the accelerating development of the global society and economy.
Third, your assumption was rong. My colonoscopy and gastroscopy were not precautionary inspired. I had real health conditions that led to these screenings. Even better, they were both important in diagnosing the reasons and laying out therapies for these conditions.


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com


Who was asking for 4-of-a-kind from buddy yesterday?  Angry


buddy is a fucking comic I wanted four fours  44441 and he gave me 4 fours 34444
member
Activity: 317
Merit: 43
Buying a whole Bitcoin in 2030. Cool
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
full member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 133
Precision Beats Power and Timing Beats Speed.
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.

Research shows that people will believe anything if you add the words research shows at the start of the sentence.


Fun fact: In my mother language, people are commonly using the same term for "research" and "science".
We're not a very educated bunch of folks over here, but what makes it even worse is the fact that over 25% of them are superstitious (confirmed by research).
Not joking.


Is conspiracy theory a form of superstition?  Undecided
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)

Research shows that people will believe anything if you add the words research shows at the start of the sentence.


Fun fact: In my mother language, people are commonly using the same term for "research" and "science".
We're not a very educated bunch of folks over here, but what makes it even worse is the fact that over 25% of them are superstitious (confirmed by research).
Not joking.
copper member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2890
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Expos%C3%A9

Quote
The Exposé (formerly known as The Daily Exposé)[3] is a British conspiracist and fake news website created in 2020 by Jonathan Allen-Walker.[1][2] It is known for publishing COVID-19 and anti-vaccine misinformation.[7]

The website became known internationally after Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro cited one of its articles in a speech falsely claiming that COVID-19 vaccines could cause AIDS,[3][2] and after Chinese state media outlets republished one of its articles which falsely claimed that COVID-19 was created by Moderna.[2][6]

You dare to post a wikipedia source?
Don't you know it is a misinformation site based on lies to obfuscate the existence of the reptilian people, who rule over us human servants, while hidden inside the hollow earth? I know, because some dude my friend knows on telegram told me  Shocked

EDIT: Seems like EXPhorizon and Antisthenes are ready for their first date.
Awwwwww. Sooo cute.
Don't think i can't be toxic

Research shows that people will believe anything if you add the words research shows at the start of the sentence.

legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Gentlemen.... It is time....
Yes finally it's the time.
Bye Bye 30k
40k you are next !!!
Kick the tires and light the fires. It’s go time!
To the moon my friend, to the moon Wink Wink Wink
Gentlemen.... It is time....
Yes finally it's the time.
Bye Bye 30k
40k you are next !!!
I am not sure if I can be that confident.  I am not even sure if I would say bye bye to the $20ks, but it is starting to seem like sub $20k is becoming more and more out of the question.
In Bitcoin eco-system we cant say bye bye to any price. It moves so haphazardly that we cant say whats coming ahead. But for now we must enjoy the moment that Bitcoin has broken 30k$ resistance after so many attempts.  

You are taking this "unknownness" in regards to BTC price movements to an even greater extreme than necessary, WatChe.

If you had not noticed, the further you move away from the current price, the lower the probability that we are going to reach that price... of course, there is a time factor too.. but since bitcoin generally projects upwardly, we have a kind of framework in which we can frame our probabilities and even attempt to account for really extreme price movements.  

I last updated my upside scenarios chart on December 16, 2021, and my downside scenarios chart on May 19, 2022

And so it is easier to make these kinds of probability assignments when the BTC is in a kind of direction. versus when it might be transitioning between one direction to another, and also it can be good to describe these kinds of probabilities in terms of both price and time, and so in that regard, it is likely that if we just take the next two years or the next 4 years, our price prediction numbers are likely going to continue to move up so higher upside scenarios are likely going to be in the range for the upside and higher lower side scenarios, and some of the lower side scenarios are likely to just fall into very low probabilities.. remember in early 2017, there were predictions for sub $500 that did not end up happening.. and remember in 2018, 2019 and even into 2020, there were predictions of sub $2k that did not happen. .and then in the past few years, there are some folks trying to predict sub $15k bitcoin, and so far it has not happened. .and it seems to be getting further and further out of reach, just like I am being a bit bold in my assertion that sub $20k is starting to become less and less likely, however, if we go below $25k, then I will likely change my assignment of probabilities on those kinds of predictions that I currently have.. which maybe currently I would suggest sub $20k to be less than 20% odds... maybe even less than 15%... but less than $10k might be less than 5% odds... so it makes a difference... not all extremes in BTC price movements are equally improbable (or probable.. depending on the direction the question is framed).

Is there anyone here struggling with a gambling addiction? I'm only 18 years old, but my appearance and behavior has become quite concerning.

Ok.. I will bite.

As you know from the way that you framed your question, you should not be gambling with bitcoin.. instead invest in it...

but whatever, kids these days.. you have to likely go through the process of learning on your own, and hopefully you do not end up killing yourself before you learn your lesson.

So for example, buy $10 per week of bitcoin and in 10-20 years you should be set. Not guaranteed, but still.  Of course, if you can afford to do more than that would be even better, such as up to $100 per week....

but no need to overdo it.. you are young so let time work to your advantage, and stop fucking around trying to rush things.. getting rich takes time, and even if you see some examples of people getting rich quickly, it is not likely as common as you believe it to be.. so don't get distracted.. and just stay on a more prudent and practical course.. .. and yeah, you are not going to listen anyhow..

At the same time don't fuck around with shitcoins.. .. but whatever, you are going to do what you are going to do... so why waste time trying to tell you not to gamble when you already admit that you love doing it and you want to do it.. so go ahead, learn your lesson the hard way, and there are some folks who never really learn... even though they know better, they are not able to pace themselves, and instead they want to show themselves as smarter than everyone else.. .. and sometimes they live that way and they get buy and they get into their 40s and 50s and they don't got shit to show for it.. except maybe being bitter at others, and by the time they get into their 60s and if they are trying to cut back on working so much, including sometimes manual labor, they cannot do that and they are mad at the world because they still have to bust their asses just to be able to afford their lifestyle and maybe having to make cuts at an older age when they should have been cutting more in earlier years (and investing rather than gambling).
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Expos%C3%A9

Quote
The Exposé (formerly known as The Daily Exposé)[3] is a British conspiracist and fake news website created in 2020 by Jonathan Allen-Walker.[1][2] It is known for publishing COVID-19 and anti-vaccine misinformation.[7]

The website became known internationally after Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro cited one of its articles in a speech falsely claiming that COVID-19 vaccines could cause AIDS,[3][2] and after Chinese state media outlets republished one of its articles which falsely claimed that COVID-19 was created by Moderna.[2][6]

You dare to post a wikipedia source?
Don't you know it is a misinformation site based on lies to obfuscate the existence of the reptilian people, who rule over us human servants, while hidden inside the hollow earth? I know, because some dude my friend knows on telegram told me  Shocked

EDIT: Seems like EXPhorizon and Antisthenes are ready for their first date.
Awwwwww. Sooo cute.
Don't think i can't be toxic
full member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 133
Precision Beats Power and Timing Beats Speed.
crap post

Antisthenes makes this Thread 0.1% less lame and annoyingly repetitive. He is a fresh opinion to this linedout thread.. Everyone here is just a broken record.....

legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Humans tend to simplify because doing so, bears the solution(s) to complex problems, dah.
And no, this has not changed and I doubt it ever will - real complexity is reserved for JJGs alike.
For example, there is nothing complex about this line in JJG’s code:
Code:
#Antisthenes

Why do you feel that you have to bring me into your little game?

Uie pooie must be missing yours truly tttttttttttttttttttttttttooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo  muchie.

We want BTC at 40k within a week! Go BTC no-one can stop you! Wink
Is this "we" that you speak of in the room with you right now?
Not impossible $40k but right now strategy is falling...
 Grin Grin Grin

A lot can happen in a week, and it is not really very surprising to have some pauses between upwards price surges.  I cannot say whether such pause is happening now and if something like $40k might end up happening within a week (oh? do we ONLY have 6 days left, since that original post was from yesterday?).. .  And, yeah, what is possible to happen is a pretty broad set as compared to what is more likely to happen.. and part of the reason that I do not fuck around with trading is that I am not even comfortable trying to educatedly guess during these kinds of times in which the BTC price is moving around a lot.
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
...

Keep feeding the medical regime sweethearts, and whilst you’re at it, by all means - do have a vaccine!

edit:
https://expose-news.com/2023/10/25/how-todays-doctors-are-killing-their-patients/

Quote
The end result is that doctors today have compromised or abandoned their professional and personal responsibilities and have become members of a conspiracy, a cabal of murderous scientists. The best that can be said in their defence is that many are merely ignorant and are simply taking the money they are offered without asking any inconvenient questions.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Expos%C3%A9

Quote
The Exposé (formerly known as The Daily Exposé)[3] is a British conspiracist and fake news website created in 2020 by Jonathan Allen-Walker.[1][2] It is known for publishing COVID-19 and anti-vaccine misinformation.[7]

The website became known internationally after Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro cited one of its articles in a speech falsely claiming that COVID-19 vaccines could cause AIDS,[3][2] and after Chinese state media outlets republished one of its articles which falsely claimed that COVID-19 was created by Moderna.[2][6]
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
Apparently the greekman Cryptotourist bro has awakened from his slumber. Oh joy.  (trigger post)

Thanks a ton for this reminder, bro.
I actually forgot not to argue with him (because pointlessness) and forgot about his alter ego account.
He tries hard to misunderstand, or he just gets fucking toxic in discussions for fun or he's just kind of trigger happy?
Whatever, thanks again!  Cool


so this means there are three genders not 2.


Absolutely right.
I was also more referring to the psychological gender stereotype, not the biological sexes.
But as usual, CT aka Antisthenes didn't get it, didn't want to get it or just used my words as another verbal attack vector.
Some people are just full of shit hate  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 9201
'The right to privacy matters'
First, i kind of mostly agree with that theorem of nowadays doctors, but in my view your presentation is exaggerated and extremely simplified.

Oh really?


Simplified, what takes me to my second point: Your primal view of mankind and polar model of gender roles. It may help to simplify, but reality is always complex.

Hey wait … what genders?
There are only two sex, male and female, and … something in the middle - which does not apply to the vast majority of LGBTQ woke ideologists.
In short, gender my ass.


Humans tend to simplify, because it gave them some advantages in the past. This has changed with the accelerating development of the global society and economy.

Humans tend to simplify because doing so, bears the solution(s) to complex problems, dah.
And no, this has not changed and I doubt it ever will - real complexity is reserved for JJGs alike.
For example, there is nothing complex about this line in JJG’s code:

Code:
#Antisthenes


Third, your assumption was rong. My colonoscopy and gastroscopy were not precautionary inspired. I had real health conditions that led to these screenings. Even better, they were both important in diagnosing the reasons and laying out therapies for these conditions.

OK, my bad, it was Bob that is the cautious one - much like most of the brainwashed west though.
The lingering question is this: why do we (royal WO we) need to know?

Since I know the answer to the above, can you please also elaborate in what ways your wife has sex with you.
Thank you in advance.
[philipma dude, for my sake, please ignore]

tou do not need to know my sex life. I like my wife and she like me. That's enough for now.  As to how many genders there are you are wrong humans have three genders.

1) Males
2) Females 
3) Hermaphrodites

we as western or eastern or any other part of the world have tried to cloak the fact that Hermaphrodites exist. Also we do not really know the percentage of them :

1 in 10
1 in 100
1 in 1,000
1 in 10,000
1 in 100,000


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hermaphrodite


this site claims 1 in 200 people are born with identifiable cocks and pussies

https://scienceoxygen.com/what-percentage-of-the-population-is-hermaphrodite/

so this means there are three genders not 2.

maybe they are natures way of improving humanity what do we know. Not much.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
$36k is chopper time. $35k was yesterday.
Did we do $35k yesterday? Damn I missed it!!
A quickie, but a goodie.  

That's so cute... Really! But don't you dare buy it with BTC, because it will soon be the most expensive (yet still cute) mug you've ever owned.

That does kind of provoke a bit of a question regarding how afraid any of us might be in terms of spending any of our BTC at times that might be less than desirable... ... I am remembering at some point in 2020 or so, I posted about never wanting to sell any BTC below $5k, and so long as the BTC price is above $5k, then it is just a matter of how much I might sell at any given time, and then how urgent that I might consider it to be to replace the BTC that I sold, for example if I am perceiving that I am selling in a dip rather than in a rip.

Replace or don't replace, and if we are starting to play the waves a bit, then aren't we always going to have plenty of cash too?  It seems that I have almost as much cash as is worth my whole BTC portfolio that is just available for me to do whatever I want, whether I buy BTC when the price dips or just keeping such cash in reserves.. so in some sense, the cash continues to build up with the passage of time, even when the BTC price is bouncing around.. even though I will admit that I was starting to feel nervous about how much cash I had once the BTC price dropped below $22k in June 2022.. so there was likely around 8 months or more that I was feeling a bit tight on cash.. which maybe if more time passes, systems can be put into place in order to create greater cushions in order to not feel as cash constrained as I was feeling between June 2022 and maybe around January/February 2023.. .but even those outrageous BIG DIPpity times of bitcoin did not feel as bad as the late 2018 dip... and even though March 2020 was a bit stressful, that did not even feel so bad since it ended up playing out pretty quickly, relatively speaking, even if there were several weeks of uncomfortableness.

[...]
[...]
It surely can be difficult for HODLers to continue to HODL when the see BTC prices like we saw in the last couple of days and even once you add up the last month or so, and so HODLers frequently get so excited and even the more self-restrained of them will sometimes be able to hold out until the new ATH or even sell within 20% or so of the ATH to the upside and conjecture that they are "killing it" when they thereafter end up getting reckt through their opportunity cost losses that are subsequently shown by their selling too much too soon.. and sure it is almost inevitable that some folks are going to become statistics.
Agreed. This is not a time for selling (unless one has to, etc., etc.). Selling now would be tantamount to missing the upcoming (time scale of months) pre-/post-halving price appreciation that history has shown to be a near certainty. Well, whatever makes one happy... I think it's also a stash threshold/marine species/citadel residence level issue. Those with big stashes would not mind selling even relatively large amounts of corn (but still a fraction of their total stash), while those with few coins of even less than a whole coin may not want to give those precious few sats away just yet...

I'd say that those with 100+ BTC would be fine selling up to 5 BTC for expenses and indulgences. Life's short. Anything in the double/single digits would better be HeDL and even topped up if this is possible. All this is better explained using your $2M fuck-you status analysis, which I'm a fan of. I think there is a post of yours with a long table--don't have the link handy now--which explains it nicely.

Yes.  I cite my chart pretty frequently, so I keep it on predial (or is it speed dial?).

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.58719591

I am thinking that you will be a fan of my new chart too, if I ever get to posting it.

It's a bit complicated, but it provides a spending formula in reference to how close to (or far away from) the 200-week moving average the price might be... and of course, people could plug in their own numbers... and I keep talking about it, but I just haven't pulled the trigger in posting it.  Yet.

Again, $2M can vary from fuck-you for some, to fuck-me for others, and corn price also changes (generally rises) with time, so these numbers are not really constant, which is equivalent to octopuses still being octopuses, but feeling like fishes, etc. etc. So it's all kind of relative, adaptive and progressing. And this progression is more positive for those with a bigger stash (value appreciation), and more negative for those with a very small or no stash (more difficult to accumulate--same fiat buys less BTC). An informed decision to sell or to buy or to HoDL has to take at least the above factors into account, and not just listen to one's lower brain that tends to want a LHB-type gratification.

 Probably part of the key to the whole thing is to see it in light of the 200-week moving average and to realize that the amount of cushion that any of us might need between getting into entry-level fuck you status and even having some extra value to be 1.5x or 2x or even 5x fuck you status could be quite exhilarating .. even with the presumption that we can tweak around the threshold numbers if we believe that our entry level into fuck you status might be at a lower price point or perhaps at a higher price point... but even with the 200-week moving up a bit slower than anticipated, it is still getting back up to moving up $17 per day.. so we can continue to see the number of coins that we need to be in entry level fuck you status is pretty close to being on track with my chart, even though I might have to adjust it a bit, yet by the end of November 2023, we are seeing just over $32k as our 200-week moving average price which means only a bit more than 62 coins to be at entry level fuck you status (for those wanting to use $2 million as their guide),

and when just two years earlier in November 2021 we would have needed to have more than 153 coins to be at entry level fuck you status.. even though surely the BTC spot price was much higher at that time, we still should be able to appreciate that we could end up getting deceived by spot price, unless we figure out some ways to manage that.. which surely many of us may well be nervous about shaving off too many BTC, especially while we might still be building our number of coins. and your example of someone with 100 BTC surely would be someone with a decent BTC cushion and would have entered into entry-level fuck you status right around late 2022. .and event though not quite 2x entry level fuck you status, probably still should not be having a lot to worry about, even if s/he might want to completely live off his/her bitcoin with the $2million being as a guideline that produces right around $6,666 per month of passive income, meaning that s/he should feel no problems shaving off $6,666 per month, whether s/he chooses to do it month by month or yearly or quarterly or maybe choosing to do it on rips. .which is part of what my upcoming chart is supposed to be about.

It's just a few months before the next halving. Not a long time. I'd wait it out, let it happen and re-evaluate things in late 2024.

That is the thing.. the actual halvening will likely take several months for the effects to be felt.. but at the same time, there could be some attempts to manipulate and/or price it in before the effects are actually felt in more concrete kinds of ways, and so I would not even be surprised if patterns might end up getting broken just to attempt to throw people off, even though in the whole scheme of things, we still might be able to take some advantages of some of the either premature ejaculations or even the purposeful dump attempts that might cause some folks to get reckt, and surely usually the BIGGER players have ways to protect themselves, they also sometimes might suffer some pretty BIG damages if they try to play around too much with the honey badger.
full member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 133
Precision Beats Power and Timing Beats Speed.
What Bljatcoiners are afraid of the most ? 🤣



And one more thing..

A Virus implanted in the Blockchain 😆
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