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Topic: Monthly average USD/bitcoin price & trend - page 29. (Read 118254 times)

sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255
November 02, 2013, 06:02:47 AM
#30
Seems like it should be a hair more vertical, which is good news.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 04:05:31 AM
#29
I might have it correct now?


or not?

(I used "0" for for January 2009, btw. should I use "1")


the regression might look off because remember, he derived it from monthly averages
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 04:05:23 AM
#28
I might have it correct now?



or not?

It's correct for what I asked Smiley much appreciated molecular!

sure. I can mod it any which way you guys like Wink

Turns out it wasn't correct at all, see above 2 posts.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 04:03:57 AM
#27
I might have it correct now?



or not?

It's correct for what I asked Smiley much appreciated molecular!
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 03:54:05 AM
#26
I might have it correct now?



or not?

(I used "0" for for January 2009, btw. should I use "1")
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 03:47:24 AM
#25
or -2.8 + 5.2/(57(mos_since_jan_2009))

Is "57" a function or should there be a "*" behind it.

If the latter then no, that can't be it since that monotonically decreasing and always < "-2.8 + 5.2"


isn't it on a log scale

what about

-2.8 + (5.2/57)(mos since jan 2009)
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 03:32:56 AM
#24
or -2.8 + 5.2/(57(mos_since_jan_2009))

Is "57" a function or should there be a "*" behind it.

If the latter then no, that can't be it since that monotonically decreasing and always < "-2.8 + 5.2"

If the former we need the definition of "57"
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 03:28:42 AM
#23
To anyone, if we could get a graph over actual prices, and then an extension of the regression line past where we are today into say, 2014, I'd greatly appreciate that Smiley

Somebody with more skills, please!! Smiley

I'm on it, but what exactly is the equation?

Now, by applying log-scale and drawing a trendline using the linear regression with least square error, we find that the equation of the trendline is:

-2.8 + 5.2/57(number_of_months_since_Jan_2009).

doesn't seem right. "-2.8 + 5.2 * (number_of_months_since_Jan_2009)" maybe? Doesn't seem right either.

Confused, please help.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 03:16:08 AM
#22
To anyone, if we could get a graph over actual prices, and then an extension of the regression line past where we are today into say, 2014, I'd greatly appreciate that Smiley

This? :

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#czsg2009-09-30zeg2019-04-30ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zl

Change the custom time as you prefer

with the graph of this
-2.8 + 5.2/57(number_of_months_since_Jan_2009).
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 02:45:10 AM
#21
To anyone, if we could get a graph over actual prices, and then an extension of the regression line past where we are today into say, 2014, I'd greatly appreciate that Smiley

Somebody with more skills, please!! Smiley

though if you already have the data entered in... Smiley
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
November 02, 2013, 02:30:30 AM
#20
To anyone, if we could get a graph over actual prices, and then an extension of the regression line past where we are today into say, 2014, I'd greatly appreciate that Smiley

Somebody with more skills, please!! Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
November 02, 2013, 01:06:53 AM
#19
Sigh, there was so much time to buy cheap coins.

still is*
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
November 02, 2013, 12:31:59 AM
#18
Sigh, there was so much time to buy cheap coins.
legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 3080
November 01, 2013, 05:26:48 PM
#17
In my understanding, number of bitcoin users now is only 350,000, less than a million at least.

When it reaches 100 million, we are still in early adopter phase in global scale.

It is very important to realize that all growth has its limits, and the limit for bitcoin growth is that it replaces all other liquid wealth. That would lead the purchasing power to be in several million$ range. A more conservative scenario, that of replacing gold, would put the price at $300k/BTC.

It's still at least a 1500-bagger Wink


Good brainwash - $300k is now "conservative" as Chamath estimated $0.5-$1M...  Grin

Hehe, and people on reddit call each other insane for predicting $1000 by 2014. lol. Some clearly haven't grasped the enormity of what is hitting them yet.

Meh, it's a little disheartening to hear people think that way. They're clearly thinking along the lines of "That means my 50 BTC will be $50,000! No. Way!". But all that's saying to me is how overvalued $50,000 is to them, not how crazily Bitcoin is appreciating. Reminds me of being a kid visiting Italy, 1,000,000 lira was the equivalent of about $50. I've always understood since being that young that a million of anything makes you ask the question, "yeah, but a million of what, exactly?".
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
November 01, 2013, 05:00:19 PM
#16
In my understanding, number of bitcoin users now is only 350,000, less than a million at least.

When it reaches 100 million, we are still in early adopter phase in global scale.

It is very important to realize that all growth has its limits, and the limit for bitcoin growth is that it replaces all other liquid wealth. That would lead the purchasing power to be in several million$ range. A more conservative scenario, that of replacing gold, would put the price at $300k/BTC.

It's still at least a 1500-bagger Wink


Good brainwash - $300k is now "conservative" as Chamath estimated $0.5-$1M...  Grin

Hehe, and people on reddit call each other insane for predicting $1000 by 2014. lol. Some clearly haven't grasped the enormity of what is hitting them yet.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
November 01, 2013, 01:15:41 PM
#15
In my understanding, number of bitcoin users now is only 350,000, less than a million at least.

When it reaches 100 million, we are still in early adopter phase in global scale.

It is very important to realize that all growth has its limits, and the limit for bitcoin growth is that it replaces all other liquid wealth. That would lead the purchasing power to be in several million$ range. A more conservative scenario, that of replacing gold, would put the price at $300k/BTC.

It's still at least a 1500-bagger Wink


Good brainwash - $300k is now "conservative" as Chamath estimated $0.5-$1M...  Grin
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
November 01, 2013, 12:20:51 PM
#14
In my understanding, number of bitcoin users now is only 350,000, less than a million at least.

When it reaches 100 million, we are still in early adopter phase in global scale.

It is very important to realize that all growth has its limits, and the limit for bitcoin growth is that it replaces all other liquid wealth. That would lead the purchasing power to be in several million$ range. A more conservative scenario, that of replacing gold, would put the price at $300k/BTC.

It's still at least a 1500-bagger Wink
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
November 01, 2013, 07:09:28 AM
#13
In my understanding, number of bitcoin users now is only 350,000, less than a million at least.

When it reaches 100 million, we are still in early adopter phase in global scale.

It is very important to realize that all growth has its limits, and the limit for bitcoin growth is that it replaces all other liquid wealth. That would lead the purchasing power to be in several million$ range. A more conservative scenario, that of replacing gold, would put the price at $300k/BTC.
legendary
Activity: 1974
Merit: 1029
November 01, 2013, 03:53:28 AM
#12
Quote
More long-term targets:
- $1000: May 2014
- $10,000: April 2015
- $300,000: August 2016.

Yeah and applying that logic for Microsoft share beginning since ther IPO and ending in the year 1998 oder 2001 one share costs now 100 gazillions  Roll Eyes

We're at the beginning of the S adoption curve so these predictions aren't completely unreasonable. Of course at some point the growth will level off.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
October 31, 2013, 08:10:08 PM
#11

I'm so proud I have 3 of these Wink


I like to spend them whenever I have time for a conversation about bitcoin, but then it is pretty easy for me to get more as I don't pay much for shipping.  Wink
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