One week left until Australia gp. I think this is going to be one of the most obvious Red Bull races ever, it's a race where even the slightest bad move ends up having a big difference, considering they are already fast, if they make no mistakes and run on track, no sand parts, no out of track positions, just pure racing line all day, then there will be even more people who make a mistake and they may end up lapping half of the grid with the pace they have.
I am not saying that it will happen, there is a chance for it to happen but on the same logic, we could have red bull drivers make mistakes and other drivers catching up thanks to that. However, I really doubt Max would make a mistake, he is just too good.
No signs of Verstappen getting into a rut or having an off day yet so far, so expecting one this early in the season is kinda premature. Wait for around the middle of the season and when the other teams have made some improvements for their cars. But if you have some conviction that the Australian GP is that race, I think Perez has some value at 5.25. Alonso is at 9.50, Leclerc at 19 and Hamilton at 26.
The books expect it to be all Verstappen tho at 1.35. I think the line is ridiculous. Lol.