The different point is not far, 32 points and 12 points. And what like you said if one of them fails once, the position will change on 2 races. but IMO, too hard to make Quartararo fail from a podium or not get the points next. As I can see in Austria how he predece Jorge martin on lap 10 and Miller on lap 5 shows him a great racer who can't easily beat him for the title.
That's true, but in the 7 remaining races of the season, only in the Spanish Aragon series that makes me a little doubtful for Fabio Quartararo's achievements. Because he rarely makes great achievements in Aragon including last year as well although maybe this season will be a little different, but I doubt that Fabio Quartararo can get a podium in Aragon Spain this season.
Here are Fabio Quartararo's notes at the Aragon circuit during his career
Moto3 2015 - Not Down (Honda)
Moto3 2016 - Finish 12th (KTM)
Moto2 2017 - Finish 11th (Kalex)
Moto2 2018 - Finish 9th (Speed Up)
MotoGP 2019 - Finish 5th (Petronas SRT Yamaha)
MotoGP 2020 - Finish 6th (Petronas SRT Yamaha)
MotoGP 2021 - Finish 8th (Monster Energy Yamaha).
Source