Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 23. (Read 119752 times)

Thank you, I actually wasn't aware of the regular season records between them until your post, I guess that's why the Wolves could come in here playing like they're not the road team, I just think this being the playoffs might be of better psychological advantage to them and, they have actually learned something tonight which could be how to survive defensively without Gobert.

23 points lead less than 7 minutes, and the Wolves still are playing like they are the trailing team, Reggie Jackson headed for the locker room with what seem to be a leg injury, everything is heading the Wolves way right now, the Nuggets would definitely need to hold on to that regular season belief, that's all they can do right now to keep themselves afloat in the series from here on.

They're only down 19 right now with 11 mins left in the 4th. They could come back but the way the defense has been for the Timberwolves it would seem very unlikely.

They gave a stat earlier that both these teams went 2-2 during the regular season and each team won both games on the road, so maybe the Nuggests don't feel any pressure so far.

Denver Nuggets are in a very deep and tough scenario right now, they are trailing by 26 points at halftime... That's a very huge deficit to cover in 24 minutes against the Minnesota Timberwolves defense that looks highly impregnable even with one of their big and best defensive asset in Rudy Gobert out, going 0-2 on home court is the biggest recipe for disaster here and this series might as well be considered over, if they can't find a way to get back into the game right now.

I'm playing it safe with the Knicks match-winner @1.44 because I don't know if they'll get overwhelmed by the offense of the Pacers or if they could control the tempo and hold them below their average total points. I still trust them to win here as the Pacers dropped two games against a Bucks team that barely had the firepower to extend the series. I likely expect this one to be tight if the Pacers come out firing with their shooting and if not, we could see the Knicks get it done today.

∆ Knicks ML / J. Brunson 35+ PA / J. Hart 8+ rebounds  @1.62 ∆  won

Brunson, who had some minor troubles in his first two games against the 76ers, had godlike performances the rest of the way. The Pacers are bottom in the league in DRTG (regular season and playoffs), yet they play at a high pace. It's the perfect setup for Brunson to dominate throughout. I'd play the PA up to 45 and still be comfortable.

Hart is the undisputed rebounding leader on the team, averaging 12 rebounds on 21 reb chances in the series against Philly. Knowing that Thibs tends to give his starters extended minutes (40+ guaranteed), Hart should hit double-digit rebounds by the end of the third quarter.  Expect the Knicks to take Games 1 and 2 rather comfortably.

∆ P. Siakam 25+ PRA / OG Anunoby 1+ block  @1.83 ∆  X

A fun bet i have on the side. Watching Siakam and OG compete after years of playing together on the Raptors will be something else. Siakam had a strong series against the Bucks, leading the team in points and rebounds. OG has five consecutive games with at least one block.

I am going for the veterans. Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers (-1.5) - Won!

And just like I thought, the veterans won the game. They are composed at the second half of the game although they really have a bad start. Donovan Mitchell ignited at the second half of the game and with the help of Max Stuss shooting threes and Caris LeVert. The Magic broke down when Banchero was double teamed.
But like Mitchell said, a big future will come for that dude. His numbers today tied or bettered Lebron's numbers on that age.

Later, 2 games.
Here are my picks.
New York Knicks - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML @2.95. This will be a fast paced game, probably.
Denver Nuggets - Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets (-3.5) The Nuggets cannot give one more at their home. Force a win.

Good luck everyone. Have a great day .

There's a lot of surprises in the playoffs, like how the Miami Heat beat the Celtics in game 2 by double digit, and they aren't expected to win, while the Nuggets is the defending champion and capable of beating the Wolves. Let's say they just have a bad game in game 1 and they are gonna bounce back in game 2 with a big win. This is just my prediction though as no one sees the future but I trust the Nuggets that they will not go down 0-2 on their home court.

I’m not sure if they can beat Wolves with double digit unless Jamal will play like ANT on game tomorrow. This is what expected for Nuggets against the Wolves since Jokic is too busy on his own to provide space for his teammates that’s why he is forced to do the score on his own just to provide for his team.

I’m really skeptical whether Nuggets can beat Wolves with the Wolves current performance that doesn’t show any weaknesses until now. AFAIK, Nuggets is always at lose on most of their regular season matches against this current roster Wolves. This is the peak match on Western Conference imho.

The NBA playoffs are getting more exciting as time goes by and after the Celtics defeated the Heat and the Cavaliers defeated the Magic, the Game between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers in the semi-finals is on its way, Pacers and Knicks defeating The Bucks and 76ers and Indiana Pacers VS New York Knicks are facing at the Semi, and Thunders and Mavericks defeated the Pelicans and Clippers getting into the finals with Oklahoma City Thunders VS Dallas Mavericks game is on its way and lastly the Timberwolves and Nuggets winning against the Suns and Lakers and so the Minnesota Timberwolves VS Phoenix Suns going into the semi-finals and tomorrow we will be having 2 games

New York Knicks VS Indiana Pacers

Right now Bojan Bogdanovic and Julius Randle are both out of this season Charlie Brown and Duane Washington Jr. can not play in this game Bennedict Mathurin is out for this season and Tyrese Haliburton is questionable if he can play for this game my take I think that the New York Knicks still has a chance but if Tyrese Haliburton can play for the Indiana Pacers they could have a higher chance, and for me, it is pretty much hard to make a bet for this game but I like the way the Indiana Pacers perform and how Tyrese Haliburton is making this team great with his play so I may go with the Indiana Pacers.

Denver Nuggets VS Minnesota Timberwolves

I think it is OK even though they don't have Collin Gillespie and Vlatko Cancar because they are out of this season but if Jamal Murray can not play for the team that is a bigger problem while Anthony Edwards is racking in like it was nothing getting the team into a win on this two teams 1st meeting now that the 2nd game will commence this is hard for me or I could be wrong with this but I think that the Denver Nuggets will provide a win on the next game so my take I think that the Denver Nuggets will win this.

I didn't watch this game but I'm glad they won.

\\  Updated record 11(W)-14(L)..... 44%

So we have two upcoming games, first one is game 1 and the 2nd is game 2 of the Nuggets vs Wolves.

I have the Pacers at +6. I think the Knicks are to overrated because they beat the Sixers, but I think game one is going to be close and I would even bet on the moneyline for Pacers if I have a little extra.

2nd game I have the Nuggets -5.5.

They can't loss this game, so I expect them to start strong and beat the Wolves by double digits. It doesn't matter how they played in game 1, all they need is a good adjustment, win game 2 and take game 3.

Denver Nuggets - Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets (-2.5) Loss!
That's why I am also taking the Over 206.5. - Loss!

Crap. The Nuggets lost and then I need 2 more points for the Over 206.5 to hit. Bad day!

Anyway, in 30 minutes (as of the time of writing) the Cavaliers and the Magic will start the one and only Game 7 in the first round of the playoffs. This will be a tough fight and the Cavs have the home advantage. I hope the young guys of the Magic can somehow manage to neglect the crowd.

I am going for the veterans. Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers (-1.5)

Good luck everyone and have a great day.

This is sure a very physical game, aside from backing the home team which I will tail on your bet, I will also bet on the under 194.5.

Bookies really understand and this game will probably go under as this is the last game of the series. Based on the previous games, 2 of the last 3 games played at the same venue in game 7 went under 194.5, so IMO this is the right call, "UNDER".

game 1 -  180
game 2 -  182
game 3 - 204
game 4 -  201
game 5 - 207
game 6 - 199

game 7?

Yes, just a percentage of my bankroll. The low percentage of winning does not translate a win to me, I'm currently down but I still have left until the playoffs is over.


There are only few games so it's easy to come back at over 50%, but I need to be smarter and luckier at the same time. About my pnl, amount is confidential but you can see the big picture by just looking at the winning percentage.

---

Loss my Nuggets bet, so that would result to decreasing the win rate.

Updated record 10(W)-14(L)..... 42%

So the upcoming game, we only have one which is the game 7 of the Cavaliers and the Magic.

I'm betting the home team, Cavaliers -3.

Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers ML Loss! The only Game 7 that will happen in Round 1. Well, this will be fun.
Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks (-5.5) Win! I like how Kyrie prioritized defense first and then exploded in the 2nd half, that kind of defense is a recipe for a win.

Later, we only have one game. Second round.
Denver Nuggets - Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets (-2.5) This will be a good match. Both can play high-level offense and then some defense. But I still believe the score will be above 200.
That's why I am also taking the Over 206.5.

Good luck everyone, have a nice day.

Nice 2 game sweep.  Orlando looked good last night and Dallas rolled.  Tonight starts the series I've been waiting for glad it came together.  I'm taking Denver-4.5 in the first game.  I think the Timberwolves will take a game or 2 to get used to jokic.  Jamal Murray being the x factor here as well.  Either way I think this goes either 6 or 7 games.

Good luck and enjoy the games!

Are you using same amount of bet on all of your bets regardless of the result of bet or you increase your bet whenever the bet lose since this way you can still have a profit despite of your low winning percentage.

Anyway you are already close on having the breakeven if ever you will hit a 3 consecutive bet win. I wonder if the odds that you choose is the same or varies too. What’s your current PnL?

Updated record 10(W)-13(L)..... 43%

Got this one big time, however, the win rate is still not in the passing  percentage. Let's keep grinding until we hit over 50%.

We have the first game of the semi finals tomorrow between the Nuggets and the Wolves, I guess I'm riding with the home team here as game 1 would usually surprise the visiting team.

Nuggets -4.5

∆ P. Banchero 20+ points / P. Banchero 1+ 3pts / F. Wagner 4+ assists @2.07 ∆  X

I expect the Mavericks to send Clippers packing later tonight, leaving the Orlando/Cavs series as our only hope for a Game 7 in the first round of the playoffs...and who doesn't want a Game 7?

Banchero leads the Magic in PTS/FGA/3PA, he's had one off game thus far where he finished with 9 points, but i don't see that happening again, plus he was spectacular in Game 5. He's scored 20+ points in 4/L5, averaging 25 in that span. I don't think the Cavs will change how they guard the PnR of him and Wagner on the perimeter, if Banchero pops out, they'll give him the 3pt all day and almost dare him to shoot. Banchero has 1+ 3pts in 4/L5 in the series, and 38% 3pt ain't that bad either.

Franz Wagner leads the team in assists and potential assists*. I'd like to see him be even more aggressive at attacking the rim where he can find people open once the defense has collapsed, ORL role players usually shoot higher % at home too. 18 assists in /L3, expanded playmaking role, the rest of the team just have to make their shots, simple as.

source: https://twitter.com/AdamKoffler/status/1786506980808380846

Well dam loaded up on the wrong bet lol.  The over hit but I won the 2 games so net/net even last night.  Either way it's a win for me the Knicks move on.

Tonight a couple closeout games.  I have bets on both games:

Taking orlando -3.5 they looked great at home and cavs only won by 1 last game.  I will take the home team here and this goes to a game 7!

Also taking the home team in Dallas.  -8.5 was a lot but I think they tighten the screws at home and win by double digits ending the series. 

Good luck and enjoy the games!

Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers (-5.5) - Win! The Bucks badly need Giannis to win their games. The Pacers will advance to the 2nd round.
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - New York Knicks ML - Win! That was a fun game to watch, if you missed it, it's worth the replay.

2 games later. Win or go home.
Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers ML I did trust the Magic back in the season but this is the game time where veterans could dominate and I think Donovan Mitchell will show it.
Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks (-5.5) Luka was not feeling good when they won game 5, what more if he is alright?
I am expecting the Mavs duo to do a lot of damage.

Good luck everyone.