Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 2. (Read 10652 times)

The Red Skins and Bills would be awesome to see.  I'm still pissed at the Eagles for breaking three of our QBs in the Championship game a couple of years ago and for me, the Chiefs are the new Dallas Cowboys as far as teams I love to hate.

I don't know if the refs are going to allow the Bills to win, though.  They literally seem to have different rules for Mahomes than any other QB in the league.

Here's my ticket for the weekend:

As it turned out, the Deion Sanders thing was nothing more than a PR stunt. There was no real interest in going in that direction imo.

But let's not spoil Championship Sunday by talking about the Cowboys and the depressing state of their affairs. Btw, the owner with the longest Championship Game drought, drum rolls....Jerry Jones. It must be fun watching two other NFC East teams square up today. Lol


I'd love to see the Commanders and Bills reach the Super Bowl. I can't stand the Chiefs, Bills spoiling their three-peat at Arrowhead would be glorious.

As for Jayden Daniels, the kid is having himself a season. If the Commanders win, he would become the first rookie to start in a Super Bowl in NFL history. If ONLY they could slow down Saquon Barkley...they might have a shot.


Anyway, enjoy the games @everyone...Josh Allen + Saquon Barkley Anytime TDs is what i went for.

Now we go to the Conference Finals.
But before that, they are now talking about the coaching changes and of course, the Draft.

Here is the Mock Draft of the very known Mel Kiper of ESPN.

2025 NFL mock draft: Mel Kiper's Round 1 pick predictions
https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2025/insider/story/_/id/43472017/2025-nfl-mock-draft-mel-kiper-first-round-predictions-32-picks

1. Tennessee Titans - Cam Ward, QB, Miami
2. Cleveland Browns - Travis Hunter, WR/CB, Colorado
3. New York Giants - Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado
4. New England Patriots - Abdul Carter, OLB, Penn State
5. Jacksonville Jaguars - Mason Graham, DT, Michigan

continuation on the link.

As for the Conference Finals.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/future

I am undecided on the first game but I am sure to bet for the Bills on that second game. Trying to avoid being knocked out by the Chiefs again could be an energy booster for them.

I had the Bills in that game because they hadn't faced a real threat within the past several weeks.

As much as I want to say the Bills are good, both teams played well in that game. The Bills were close to blowing their lead in the final quarter and if it weren't for Andrews missing those opportunities maybe they could've faced the Chiefs this week.

The finalists for the MVP were announced earlier with Lamar and Allen included, while Jayden Daniels made it on the OROY finalists.

These have changed of course with half the teams gone from the playoff picture.
Have a really good feeling for a Chiefs doing the three-peat so to build their dynasty from and all the cards are being shown in their favor to do so.
The match-ups for the rest of the post-season sway in this way too.

@morvillz7z
What do you think of this newly minted news of Dallas head coaching search is going towards instead of Neon Deon?

Cowboys’ Push to Hire Schottenheimer Over Deion Is Stephen Jones’ Idea, Per Source

source: https://athlonsports.com/nfl/dallas-cowboys-hiring-brian-schottenheimer-over-deion-sanders-is-stephen-jones-idea-per-source-jerry-search-coach
https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/01/23/dallas-cowboys-head-coach-search-2025

Exact same thing happened to me during the weekend with the Ravens!
Don't know how they managed to lose that game or are the Bills just that good?
Weren't Lamar and Allen both going for the MVP iteration for the QB of the season or is Jayden Daniels still in the running for that?

Oops, I was probably sleepy when making that post. Anyway, congrats @morvillz7z.

I had the same bets too but played them as singles since the matches aren't playing at the same hour. I'm just glad that I didn't lost my entire ticket from the Lions once they started playing from behind.

Well those all hit nicely for you as I watched the game and saw Kelce getting those tosses from Mahomes since the first quarter so surely had over 100 yards in receiving by the end of it.
That first game from yesterday was a defining stamp to those who are in the playoffs that they come to play.

The second game of the day was as td fest and the Commanders came out on top.
They were the huge underdogs to move forward but are only one win away from making it to the Superbowl with a rookie qb.
Had both the Chiefs & Lions on a parlay as they were at almost identical odds.

Today's matchup are going to hard to determine since both regions are in a forecast for snow.
LA Rams aren't as familiar playing in those conditions and both the Ravens & Bills are.
So you can pick your poison who will win for that matchup in the later game.

Those were both from @morvillz7z
I aint taking the credit for those two bangers of Betbuilders!

Congrats on cashing both of those betbuilders @rdbase. The Chiefs made it easy and Kelce put up a whopping 100+ receiving yards against the Texans defense. Stroud and Schultz easily got their yards too, as the Chiefs' defense gave up a lot of yards.

My NFL predictor is probably dead after today's games. I still picked the wrong team on the coin toss and it only got worse when the prop picks I expected to go over went under and vice versa.

Also, what an upset from the Commanders. Their game delivered with both offenses putting up touchdown after touchdown in the second quarter pushing the live total to 84.5 points. The NFC Championship could get interesting if the Eagles win against the Rams tomorrow.

 

Let's kick off the divisional round with some bets i think have decent potential:

Chiefs ML and Kelce's receiving yards. I was looking at some stats earlier today, and it turns out Kelce has gone over on his receiving yards line in every playoff game for the last three, maybe four years. His line is now set to 51.5 rec yards. I can see Mahomes going straight to his most trusted guy from the opening drive.

Texans have one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, ranking 22nd in pass block win rate (cannot protect the quarterback) and 31st in run block win rate (can't protect the rb and open run lanes). When your quarterback is under pressure like Stroud has been, the only way out is to make quick passes to your slot receiver or TE in the middle, hope Schultz gets on the end of few of those passes.

Great win there @DireWolfM14. Congratulations. Those player props are awesome. I may try it someday but for now I am only glued to the team picks.

Now we go to the Divisional Rounds and here's a good read article.
NFL Power Rankings entering the divisional playoffs: Eagles need Jalen Hurts to do more
Yahoo link

1. Detroit Lions 15-2
2. Baltimore Ravens 13-5
3. Kansas City Chiefs 15-2
4. Buffalo Bills 14-4
5. Philadelphia Eagles 15-3
6. Washington Commanders 13-5
7. Los Angeles Rams 11-7
8. Houston Texans 11-7

Here are the lines on Sportsbet.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/future
Only one pair is with near odds. We will need some spreads on the other games.

Not bad, not great either. 13/20 just outside the paid spots. Lost both coin toss selections though. I honestly wouldn't mind the entry fee being $50 if it guaranteed me no coin toss questions, and this week we have three FOUR of these...

In hindsight, i think i could have done better, slightly disappointed in myself going against Mike Evans and picking his under yards, thought the history he and Marshon Lattimore have will be a factor.

If one gets lucky on the coin toss picks, 16/17 is a realistic number.

ps. Good job on the Bills parlay!!!  

How did you do?  I got 10-10 on the first round, which is actually better than I expected.  20 predictions is a lot to get right.  Speaking of which, I'm 1 of 4 on my bets for the weekend.  I've been flushing money down the drain on prop-filled BetBuilders, because those are a ton of fun.  Minnesota really screwed me last night, but the Bills made up my lost ground.

Had not even looked at my predictor of the NFL cause since I picked No for all options. So just knew wasn't going to do good when you get only 1 out of the first three right. This was more like a feeling it out process rather than a spend more than a few minutes to choose your picks for me atleast.
Entry fee of only $1 was something to just put in for the hell of it sort of play from the get go anyways.
So not too bothered by it and I knew I would not be able to check my picks after it was done from the participated tab anyways, so what was the use.
It was more or less a fun thing to do rather than think of making anything from it.
Had more concerning things to do with my time if you want me to be straight out honest with you.

Los Angeles Ram purely dominated that game last night. They had 9 sacks on Darnold and it put a question towards his future with the club.
He didn't even make any effort to get rid of the ball when the defenders were closing in. He has never been an eluder such as a Jackson or Mahomes of the pass rush. So those sacks looked very bad losing around 10 yards on every play.

So I successfully predict both the past two bets I had.
First with the Texans and now with the Rams with both having over 2.25x odds on the underdog favorites winning their matches.
Also had the Ravens and Eagles winning their matches so those two favorites won for me over the weekend.

Next matchups are this Saturday, so have an entire rest of the week to have a breather from the NFL.
As it was wild one.

Also just heard more about the McCarthy departure from the Cowboys.
Jerry Jones the owner of the club wants Deion Sanders to come in to be head coach.
Anybody remember Neon Deion Sanders from the 90s?

The under is probably one of the best bets to play in this match knowing that most of the playoff matches went under and this one is probably not that far off when the pressure is on for both teams.

Another thing worth mentioning is the trend of the handicap. All of the favorites covered their spread so it's best to take the Vikings spread instead of the match winner if you plan to pick their side.

Also, my NFL predictor is looking bad after the Bucs game (currently at 11/17) and i'll need to get the last three questions correctly to win the minimum prize.

This Monday Night Fight matchup tonight seems to be critical for either team to prove their dominance early on during this play-offs game beginning in about and hour and half from now.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

In some serious news, the Dallas Cowboys released their head coach for five seasons today.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/43398409/source-mike-mccarthy-not-expected-return-cowboys-coach

So with that win last night the Washington Commanders will face the Detroit Lions on Saturday in the evening matchup which is next up for these NFL Playoffs.

Thought this game was totally a dead on since the first half ended with an egg on the scoreboard for the Packers.
So it was essentially over. But now with Eagles not scoring at all in since the second half started, they let Green Bay back into it.
After that Josh Jacobs TD now it is only a 2 FG game with plenty of time left on the clock for them to get within reach of the tie or even win this thing since Philadelphia's offense has completely died. Hurts only had 39 yards passing going into this half but is now 110 yards from only those two big catches to get the last FG.

This one is certainly a low-scoring game. As for the Tampa Bay and the Washington matchup right after this one?
Don't know how Mayfield will perform but we can certainly know Daniels will be hyped up and will do some amazing things in potentially last game of their season.
I like the over on points but I also thought Philadelphia was going to be over 45.5 pts with Hurts back at the helm.
But apparently not.

My pittsburg +9.5 bet got completely trashed yesterday but todays a new day lol.  Layed off the first 2 games today but betting the final game tonight.  Cant decide between washington and tampa so im going with the over.  At 51.5 i can see one of these teams reasonably scoring 40 points on their own. Should be a shootout.  Green bay and eagles game is getting interesting but not live betting that one.  Could go either way in my head.

Thoughs on the tampa/commanders over?

Believe it or not I took the Texans yesterday and was my biggest bet of the day so it cashed in nicely!

Today we have the Eagles going up against the Packers and they have their quarterback back so I expect them to roll over Green Bay today.

Just about another hour left to go as the Buffalo Bills game is just about over and they have not let up one bit, scoring and scoring some more.

Here are those markets for the remaining games for the week:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

That upset win by the Texans is a bit of a shocker. Stroud gave the Chargers so many chances to build a lead with the turnovers and the best they could come up with was a bunch of field goals.

The good thing is that my NFL Predictor is off to a good start with Herbert and McConkey still hitting their over yards.

The Ravens match didn't disappoint as well. I had the under on Lamar's passing yards and the Steelers team total almost went over when they made those two quick TDs in the third quarter.