NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 29.

buwaytress

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Quote from: ralle14 on January 19, 2022, 07:32:10 PM

For now, my leans are the Packers, Titans and Rams +3, as long as Henry plays for the Titans they should take care of business against the Bengals. The same goes for the Packers, the Niners have some questionable plays against the Cowboys so I doubt they'll be able to play that cautiously against a solid Packers team at home. The Rams seems like toss up but I prefer the extra points since they took down the Bucs during the regular season.

Odds keep dropping for Packers (was hoping for the other direction) so it's really not quite so worth it, so I've now put them as a padding to all my other football (soccer) picks. Barely 14/10 now with a price boost, so value's out the window.

At this point, though, Rams do look the best value bet, 24/10 with a price boost, and if you want add a bit of sweet spread as I don't think there will be ANY close games here.

ralle14

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For now, my leans are the Packers, Titans and Rams +3, as long as Henry plays for the Titans they should take care of business against the Bengals. The same goes for the Packers, the Niners have some questionable plays against the Cowboys so I doubt they'll be able to play that cautiously against a solid Packers team at home. The Rams seems like toss up but I prefer the extra points since they took down the Bucs during the regular season.

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Quote from: rdbase on January 18, 2022, 09:19:25 AM

Quote from: ChiBitCTy on January 18, 2022, 09:07:01 AM

Are you referring to putting money on the Rams going forward? I put a few dollars on the Rams last night. I just hadn’t had faith in the Cardinals since they started what seemed like their downfall several weeks back during the regular season. Plus not having Hopkins was a massive blow to them. Without a star wide receiver there just wasn’t enough elite talent for them on that side of the ball.

From what I read, he will be putting something more on the Packers next match since they win it will put them into Superbowl where his outright bet made at 8.50x odds lies.

Nope, not Rams, as rdbase said, I'm "doubling down" on Packers. They're my last outright ticket so I'd love to bet on them perhaps a ML spread, I smell blood and a big win, or a whimper of a loss. Not just yet, though. I'm going to wait to the end to see if odds are worth pulling trigger for.

Doesn't look familiar to me this weekend Divisional scene, but I fancy one or two more upsets, so I'll keep eyes peeled.

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Quote from: ChiBitCTy on January 18, 2022, 09:07:01 AM

Quote from: buwaytress on January 18, 2022, 07:34:59 AM

Quote from: rdbase on January 17, 2022, 08:21:35 PM

Yeah @bbc.reporter posted while still in the 1st. T.J Watt caused a penalty late in the game to cost them a 1st down from what I remember as buwaytress was right, most were still at the end of their glasses by the time the 4th came along.
@ralle14 I am with you on the rams as I think they will have a high scoring match against the Cards even though they have their own J.J Watt back in for this game.
Good luck to us who are backing L.A in this wild card match up not to miss.

Don't know what I was thinking, taking Cardinals last night and hoping for another mild upset. Told myself I wasn't going to bet anything more until Packers play again but ignored my own advice.

So at the moment, if they win Superbowl, I actually make a bit of money (had them on 8.5 odds) but I'm now tempted to just put a final bet on their next game so at least if they win I come away with "worthwhile" profit, or a hedge in case they actually don't make it.

Are you referring to putting money on the Rams going forward? I put a few dollars on the Rams last night. I just hadn’t had faith in the Cardinals since they started what seemed like their downfall several weeks back during the regular season. Plus not having Hopkins was a massive blow to them. Without a star wide receiver there just wasn’t enough elite talent for them on that side of the ball.

From what I read, he will be putting something more on the Packers next match since they win it will put them into Superbowl where his outright bet made at 8.50x odds lies.
Cardinals were not favored at all since Hopkins was out already. And to put more crap on their exit match of the season, they had Budda Baker injured severely enough he had to be carted off the field due to a concussion.
It was a brutal hit which the Rams didn't even get anything out of. There was a holding penalty so that was all for nothing and a loss of good defensive player for Arizona.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/33089168/arizona-cardinals-safety-budda-baker-leaves-field-stretcher-third-quarter-collision

ChiBitCTy

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Quote from: buwaytress on January 18, 2022, 07:34:59 AM

Quote from: rdbase on January 17, 2022, 08:21:35 PM

Yeah @bbc.reporter posted while still in the 1st. T.J Watt caused a penalty late in the game to cost them a 1st down from what I remember as buwaytress was right, most were still at the end of their glasses by the time the 4th came along.

@ralle14 I am with you on the rams as I think they will have a high scoring match against the Cards even though they have their own J.J Watt back in for this game.
Good luck to us who are backing L.A in this wild card match up not to miss.

Don't know what I was thinking, taking Cardinals last night and hoping for another mild upset. Told myself I wasn't going to bet anything more until Packers play again but ignored my own advice.

So at the moment, if they win Superbowl, I actually make a bit of money (had them on 8.5 odds) but I'm now tempted to just put a final bet on their next game so at least if they win I come away with "worthwhile" profit, or a hedge in case they actually don't make it.

Are you referring to putting money on the Rams going forward? I put a few dollars on the Rams last night. I just hadn’t had faith in the Cardinals since they started what seemed like their downfall several weeks back during the regular season. Plus not having Hopkins was a massive blow to them. Without a star wide receiver there just wasn’t enough elite talent for them on that side of the ball.

buwaytress

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Quote from: rdbase on January 17, 2022, 08:21:35 PM

Yeah @bbc.reporter posted while still in the 1st. T.J Watt caused a penalty late in the game to cost them a 1st down from what I remember as buwaytress was right, most were still at the end of their glasses by the time the 4th came along.

@ralle14 I am with you on the rams as I think they will have a high scoring match against the Cards even though they have their own J.J Watt back in for this game.
Good luck to us who are backing L.A in this wild card match up not to miss.

Don't know what I was thinking, taking Cardinals last night and hoping for another mild upset. Told myself I wasn't going to bet anything more until Packers play again but ignored my own advice.

So at the moment, if they win Superbowl, I actually make a bit of money (had them on 8.5 odds) but I'm now tempted to just put a final bet on their next game so at least if they win I come away with "worthwhile" profit, or a hedge in case they actually don't make it.

rdbase

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Yeah @bbc.reporter posted while still in the 1st. T.J Watt caused a penalty late in the game to cost them a 1st down from what I remember as buwaytress was right, most were still at the end of their glasses by the time the 4th came along.

@ralle14 I am with you on the rams as I think they will have a high scoring match against the Cards even though they have their own J.J Watt back in for this game.
Good luck to us who are backing L.A in this wild card match up not to miss.

ralle14

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Bucs and Chiefs dominate then the 49ers got the win vs the Cowboys. I can't believe how the 49ers played that one so safe but at the same time, they gave so many chances against the Cowboys to keep it close.

Using my free bet on the Rams -3.5 (thanks to Steve and Sportsbet for giving away some cool coupons Grin

), the only reason why i'm taking the Rams is because the Cardinals had some questionable losses even though they split 1-1 against the Rams in the regular season they had the easier schedule and still regressed further than i've expected.

buwaytress

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Quote from: rdbase on January 16, 2022, 09:08:28 PM

Steelers are leading after a T.J Watt fumble recovery to slide it into the endzone, literally. And for his first career touchdown at that since he is on the Defensive line.
They were @5.80x to win prematch so maybe it wasn't such a crazy bet to take afterall.
Mahomes is looking bad and the old timer is showing the young gun what post season is all about.

Well, that didn't last long, did it? Ha. Weird that I wake up real early where I am and the games are all just about done. People probably still partying (or mourning into the bottom of a bottle).

@bbc.reporter Anyway, was fun all the way, and I might still squeeze in a bet or two here and there, but for now, looks like the only ticket I got left is the Packers outright.

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Quote from: wheelz1200 on January 16, 2022, 02:03:27 PM

Quote from: buwaytress on January 16, 2022, 12:54:09 PM

Yeah, rd, yikes Patriots. Absolutely trouncing at the hands of Bills, so my parlay died early. Didn't expect them to go down without a proper fight, but there you go, I guess. Feel like I ought to just double down and bet on Steelers to make it through this, but as it stands I only have Packers left, but at least is Steelers make it through, I'll have won a big game with odds like this, and hedges my Packers outright heh.

So Steelers @6.50 is my pick.

Remaining pre-season picks:
Steelers @91 > 251 > 201 > 71
Packers @8.5 > 4.60

Steelers is a gutsy bet. I guess with the good odds it's worth a punt but I can see the Chiefs having this game locked up by halftime. Pitt is gonna need some extraordinary special teams plays or get multiple turnovers to have a shot in this one. I'd like to see Ben's career keep going but this is probably his last game. Good luck on your bet.

Agreed. It is very difficult to bet money on an old quarterback who is not an abnormality like Tom Brady hehe. Their opponent is also the Chiefs. If it was maybe the Bengals or the Raiders they might have a chance. However, here I am. I was the one who made a losing bet on a wildcard-multi of 3 player props to go over passing yards hehehe.

@rdbase. You posted during the 1st quarter? I started to watch the beginning of 3rd quarter and stopped after 15 minutes. The Chiefs was certain to win.

rdbase

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Quote from: wheelz1200 on January 16, 2022, 02:03:27 PM

Quote from: buwaytress on January 16, 2022, 12:54:09 PM

Yeah, rd, yikes Patriots. Absolutely trouncing at the hands of Bills, so my parlay died early. Didn't expect them to go down without a proper fight, but there you go, I guess. Feel like I ought to just double down and bet on Steelers to make it through this, but as it stands I only have Packers left, but at least is Steelers make it through, I'll have won a big game with odds like this, and hedges my Packers outright heh.

So Steelers @6.50 is my pick.

Remaining pre-season picks:
Steelers @91 > 251 > 201 > 71
Packers @8.5 > 4.60

Steelers is a gutsy bet. I guess with the good odds it's worth a punt but I can see the Chiefs having this game locked up by halftime. Pitt is gonna need some extraordinary special teams plays or get multiple turnovers to have a shot in this one. I'd like to see Ben's career keep going but this is probably his last game. Good luck on your bet.

Steelers are leading after a T.J Watt fumble recovery to slide it into the endzone, literally. And for his first career touchdown at that since he is on the Defensive line.
They were @5.80x to win prematch so maybe it wasn't such a crazy bet to take afterall.
Mahomes is looking bad and the old timer is showing the young gun what post season is all about.

wheelz1200

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Quote from: buwaytress on January 16, 2022, 12:54:09 PM

Yeah, rd, yikes Patriots. Absolutely trouncing at the hands of Bills, so my parlay died early. Didn't expect them to go down without a proper fight, but there you go, I guess. Feel like I ought to just double down and bet on Steelers to make it through this, but as it stands I only have Packers left, but at least is Steelers make it through, I'll have won a big game with odds like this, and hedges my Packers outright heh.

So Steelers @6.50 is my pick.

Remaining pre-season picks:
Steelers @91 > 251 > 201 > 71
Packers @8.5 > 4.60

Steelers is a gutsy bet. I guess with the good odds it's worth a punt but I can see the Chiefs having this game locked up by halftime. Pitt is gonna need some extraordinary special teams plays or get multiple turnovers to have a shot in this one. I'd like to see Ben's career keep going but this is probably his last game. Good luck on your bet.

buwaytress

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Yeah, rd, yikes Patriots. Absolutely trouncing at the hands of Bills, so my parlay died early. Didn't expect them to go down without a proper fight, but there you go, I guess. Feel like I ought to just double down and bet on Steelers to make it through this, but as it stands I only have Packers left, but at least is Steelers make it through, I'll have won a big game with odds like this, and hedges my Packers outright heh.

So Steelers @6.50 is my pick.

Remaining pre-season picks:
Steelers @91 > 251 > 201 > 71
Packers @8.5 > 4.60

rdbase

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Quote from: ralle14 on January 16, 2022, 11:03:13 AM

I'm going with the Bucs -6.5 bought some points off since I have a feeling that they might give up tons of points in the second half.

The odds on the 49ers seems tempting as well given the teams they've beaten and I feel like the Cowboys are slightly overrated since they're able to win convincingly against weaker teams but then struggled against some of the decent teams like the Cardinals and Raiders.

The Buccs do give up points easily but I took them and the under because to be honest 47 points is alot even for Brady and him knowing they are already in for the next round.
Eagles I can't see scoring too many as they are known as a defensive team in the past playoffs.

Those two games last night were high scoring so typically they don't score more over a lazy Sunday afternoon matchup.

Looks like Edelman lost his bet last night with Patriots bowing out in Buffalo.
Sorry @buwaytress .. That is one to check mark off the list but Packers are looking promising.

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I'm going with the Bucs -6.5 bought some points off since I have a feeling that they might give up tons of points in the second half.

The odds on the 49ers seems tempting as well given the teams they've beaten and I feel like the Cowboys are slightly overrated since they're able to win convincingly against weaker teams but then struggled against some of the decent teams like the Cardinals and Raiders.

rdbase

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So some news just before the playoff matches start this weekend.
Julian Edelman a former team mate of Tom Brady's while on New England has made a $100,000 Bet on a Patriots vs Buccaneers Super Bowl:
https://boston.cbslocal.com/2022/01/12/julian-edelman-patriots-buccaneers-super-bowl-bet-100-grand-nfl-tom-brady-bill-belichick

Patriots are doing good enough to make it with Mac Jones at the helm and him taking on Brady at the Super Bowl would make a nice matchup.

rdbase

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^^
Yes quite ballsy to bet against the Chiefs but Roethlisberger has something to prove and won't go down quietly in that match.
I do like Jones and his spunk to get things done so the Patriots line does look like a strong one.
This weekend should be a good one for all those teams you have as picks.

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Steelers @91 > 251 > 201 > 71
Patriots @8 > 17 > 21
Packers @8.5 > 4.60

Above the updated odds for my picks left alive. Patriots keep getting battered, but I suppose that's to be expected, and better than a few others who went out long ago on better odds. Steelers are interesting as seem to have progressively smoothed out the waves to be 71/1 outsiders heh, who knows eh?

And then my Packers still the leading favs despite the weekend downing by Detroit. Talk about losing momentum huh rdbase.

Raiders - Bengals
Patriots - Bills
Eagles - Bucs
49ers -Cowboys
Steelers - Chiefs
Cardinals - Rams

Packers and Titans of course get their bye.

So of course, I've to back my own picks to both win, right? Double underdog yeehaw!

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Some major upsets starting in the earlier matches with Jacksonville and Detroit just killing the Colts and Packers. Being in the hunt these games killed those teams momentum for the remaining games going into playoffs.
In the later games, both of them ended in OT with the 49ers taking down the favored Rams. And I hate to say it but ralle14 your pick for the Chargers got snuffed by a field goal.
Some crazy games getting closer to the end of the regular season.

ralle14

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I went with the Chargers to win @1.60 i'm avoiding the spread since it's at -3.5 and I won't be surprised if it's going to be a back and forth match as these two are still fighting for the playoff spot. They also have a sportsbet special on Chargers to win and team total over 22.5 @2.20 value bet, as Chargers score a lot and it only went under once during their game against WFT, I would've taken this if I don't have a parlay going.

The last time these two met it ended 28-14 in favor of the Chargers and i'm still leaning on the same outcome as the Raiders have been a hit or miss at home.

Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev - page 29. (Read 8605 times)