Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 46. (Read 38849 times)

Nice! We got one leg out of the way, so everything is in for tonight's gauntlet of games. But let's add another parlay while we're at it yeah? And then we add in a Danish game from tomorrow, plus the FA cup final!

Game 1: Parma vs Atalanta. Atalanta WIN @1.37. Betcoin odds: 1.38
Game 2: Inter vs Napoli. Inter WIN @2.09. Betcoin odds: 2.05
Game 3: AGF Aarhus vs Odense. Aarhus WIN @1.80. Betcoin odds: 1.78
Game 4: Arsenal vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @2.20. Betcoin odds: 2.18
100 unit parlay at FJ @11.34. Betcoin parlay: 10.98
Bet ID: 08519466

Odds advantage: 3.28%
Units advantage: 36

Trofo my man, I should have read this yesterday but I didn't see your post til now. If I had JUST changed my selections, before the game actually started, I would definitely have picked Origi (and then made the freebet, sobs). As it turned out, putting our boys on the front back in churned out a goal so my selections all hit, but the problem was I got screwed big, big time by Spurs, who were the only team who screwed my 14/1 and 12/1 selections. Like, bloody hell man, right?

So I went big and went home, but at least I covered it all with Liverpool single (a huge bet on -1.5, phew Mane!) but what an unfortunate day really!

Anyway, at least we had 1 win, and 1 bet returned (Sportsbet, Spurs missed by 1 leg), so we're not too bad also.

Game 1: Inter vs Napoli. Inter WIN@ 2.05. Betcoin odds: 2.03
Game 2: Verona vs SPAL. Verona WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.58
Game 3: Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles FC. LAFC WIN @1.92. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 4: Portland Timbers vs Cincinnati. Portland WIN @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.73
100 unit parlay at Sportsbet @10.76. Betcoin parlay: 10.54
Bet ID: 5f1e7a103d7128fa5edbd5a0

Odds advantage: 2.09%
Units advantage: 22

Good luck with you selections. I have also broken my bank today. Usually I keep it around 5% or max 10% on any given day. Today I am almost 40% invested. Go big or go home
Should be ok if there is a lot of goals, most my bets are for both to score.

I am a little afraid for your LFC bets, did you see line ups? All first team attackers are on the bench and young lions have a chance to prove themselves. Go change your pick for scorer on Majestic 7

OK, buoyed by the results yesterday (all 3 parlays still alive so need Liverpool or Leicester to win to at least be in profit!). But today's the last matchday of English Prem League so I think it's time to go big! Many parlays today, so good luck to me!

Note: Edited the wrong totals in yesterday's sums, was wondering why today's calculations were off. Everything good to go now.

Start with Sportsbet Multi Magic as usual, last week's hit was sweet so we go again:
Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea & Southampton all to WIN @12. Betcoin parlay: 9.64
Bet ID: 5f199942ee1628b6d447a179

Odds advantage: 24.49%
Units advantage: 236

We use up our freebet at Sportsbet:
Game 1: Roma vs Fiorentina. Roma WIN @1.63. Betcoin odds: 1.58
Game 2: Arsenal vs Watford. Watford WIN @3.80. Betcoin odds: 3.4
Game 3: Newcastle vs Liverpool. Pool -1 @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @10.03. Betcoin parlay: 8.60
Bet ID: 5f1be40e573bfaa80cbbc6fa

Odds advantage: 16.63%
Units advantage: 143

Then we go on FortuneJack on some tough games in the EPL with Pope to keep a clean sheet and Villa relegated with a loss, while Juve knock at least 3 past Sampdoria:
Game 1: Burnley vs Brighton. Burnley WIN @2.65. Betcoin odds: 2.60
Game 2: West Ham vs Aston Villa. Hammers WIN @2.70. Betcoin odds: 2.68
Game 3: Juventus vs Sampdoria. Over 2.5 Goals @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.52
100 units parlay at FJ @11.09. Betcoin parlay: 10.59
Bet ID: 06497113

Odds advantage: 4.72%
Units advantage: 50

Then we take advantage of Insurance again and a 7% boost (miss 1 and bet returned) on Sportsbet countng on Brentford to go for it at Swansea, Spurs to make it easy, Spal to suffer more misery, Pool to of course win, and Setubal to get 3 points:
Game 1: Swansea vs Brentford. Brentford WIN @2.05. Betcoin odds: 2.02
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur. Spurs WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 3: Newcastle United vs Liverpool FC. Pool WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.53
Game 4: Spal vs Torino. Torino WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.63
Game 5: Vitoria Setubal vs Belenenses. Setubal WIN @1.74. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @14.45. Betcoin parlay: 12.85
Bet ID: 5f1d80f3573bfa8092bc0ddd

Odds advantage: 12.45%
Units advantage: 160

Total units advantage: +589

Atalanta couldn't win, if they had JUST scored the penalty that they were given, things would have looked so different. So I guess this is it for Serie A. Juve lose inexplicably but Atalanta and others just can't drag themselves near the leaders, much less the finish line.

So that's 2 of our parlays blown out of the water.

I still want Leicester on my books so here's today's parlay:

Game 1: Genoa vs Inter. Inter WIN @1.64. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 2: Leicester vs Man Utd. Foxes WIN @3.25. Betcoin odds: 3.22
100 unit parlay at FJ @5.33. Betcoin parlay: 5.22
Bet ID: 08918511

Odds advantage: 2.1%
Units advantage: 11

More bets in, why not? We've got all kinds of bets and freebets to make (the SB one here's the one I got from IG just for following Multi Magic!).

We kick off today an away parlay in Serie A with Liverpool tomorrow.
Game 1: Brescia vs Parma. Parma WIN @1.96. Betcoin odds: 1.94
Game 2: Genoa vs Inter. Inter WIN @1.64. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 3: Newcastle vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.42. Betcoin odds: 1.40
100 units parlay at FJ @4.56. Betcoin parlay: 4.40
Bet ID: 14470648

Odds advantage: 3.63%
Units advantage: 16

Next game is insured (stake returned) if only 1 leg misses, promo at Sportsbet:
Game 1: Newcastle United FC - Liverpool FC. Pool -0.75 @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 2: Chelsea vs Wolves. Chelsea WIN @1.86. Betcoin odds: 1.88
Game 3: Palace vs Spurs. Spurs WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 4: Brescia vs Parma. Parma WIN @1.93. Betcoin odds: 1.94
Game 5: Genoa vs Inter. Inter WIN @1.63. Betcoin odds: 1.62
100 unit parlay at Sportsbet [Boosted with 3+ legs!] @14.56. Betcoin parlay: 13.65
Bet ID: 5f1be46dee1628547c48075c

Odds advantage: 6.67%
Units advantage: 91

Total units advantage: +118

Nice win for Kopenhagn, and now tonight I'd definitely take on Atalanta any time of day. Milan have been quite good after the restart, but Atalanta are irresistible and I'd prefer them to somehow pip Juve for the title especially after last night's shock loss to Udinese (why didn't I bet on that argh!).

So, not doubling down but taking good odds of over 2.5, and parlaying with Sunday's spectacular game where Vardy has a good record against the big clubs, why not a good old fashioned 1-0 scrappy win to get Champs League, right?

Game 1: Milan vs Atalanta. Over 2.5 goals @1.46. Betcoin odds: 1.44
Game 2: Leicester vs Manchester Utd. Foxes WIN @3.30. Betcoin odds: 3.27
100 units parlay at FJ @4.82. Betcoin parlay: 4.71
Bet ID: 02503767

Odds advantage: 2.34%
Units advantage: 11

Yikes, sorry about last night, but am I glad I took Liverpool/Roma? Yes I am! I forgot actually placing it that the first bet was a freebet, so we actually made a tiny profit from last night so phew!

We go again in Denmark even after yesterday's shitty draw, parlay with tomorrow's Serie A selections. Might also do a few later but for now:

Game 1: Aalborg vs Copenhagen. Copenhagen WIN @2.14. Betcoin odds: 2.12
Game 2: Milan vs Atalanta. Atalanta WIN @2.18. Betcoin odds: 2.14
100 units parlay at FJ @4.67. Betcoin parlay: 4.54
Bet ID: 11644306

Odds advantage: 2.4%
Units advantage: 13

Well. That was that. On the bright side, the next Watford bet I take will have incredible odds, so when they beat Arsenal we can celebrate. Haha.

Ok I have a freebet to use, and using it on Liverpool is bad karma right, I'll go on away wins in Scandinavia:

Game 1: Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus. Aarhus WIN @1.92. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 2: United vs West Ham. Utd WIN @1.27. Betcoin odds: 1.26
Game 3: Brondby vs Midtjylland. Midtjylland WIN @2.20. Betcoin odds: 2.18
Game 4: Inter vs Fiorentina. Inter WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.53
100 units Freebet parlay at FJ @8.10. Betcoin parlay: 7.98
Bet ID: 10539340

Odds advantage: 1.5%
Units advantage: 12

Since we're all about hedging, let's do a West Ham shocker over United, shan't we? @11.99 at Fairlay. Sportsbet odds: 11.00

Odds advantage: 9%
Units advantage: 99

And as I'm feeling good and as a "sure hedge" whatver that means, Liverpool 2/1 is super good value! Home with nothing to play for but the feel good factor? Oh yeah.
Parlay Liverpool and Roma at Fairlay @2.76. Betcoin parlay: 2.65
Bet ID: 08262072

Odds advantage: 4.15%
Units advantage: 11

Boo Juventus, but hey champs deserve to be champs. Lazio, really, I should stop betting on them. Losing Lucas Leiva changed everything and I need to convince myself of that.

Watford to WIN tonight and guarantee their stay in the Premier League? Against City? Why not?
100 units at Sportsbet on Watford to WIN vs Manchester City @9.35. Betcoin odds: 8.60
Bet ID: 5f16a121ca7c8378a7278a25

Odds advantage: 8.72%
Units advantage: 75

3 bets settled yesterday, so edit on the bets total, but one was a freebet.

Well, that was a crapper of the 2 legs on the parlay! Real let their opponents equalise while Inter -- not for the first time for us these few weeks -- allowed Roma to edge them and had to fight for a draw! Shame since we picked the Chelsea win =(

Oh well, at least we had an awesome time with Saturday's parlays as Ings took us home!

Anyway, Lazio let us down quite a bit but I will back them tonight, and let's go big, shan't we?
Game 1: Sheffield United vs Everton. Blades WIN @2.16. Betcoin odds: 2.15
Game 2: Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace. Palace WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 3: Juventus vs Lazio. Lazio WIN @5.80. Betcoin odds: 5.65
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @18.79. Betcoin parlay: 18.46
Bet ID: 10042424

Odds advantage: 1.79%
Units advantage: 33

3 bets settled yesterday, so edit on the bets total, but one was a freebet.

wel really nice bets

Crazy Arsenal game, I really thought City were well worth it but Arsenal two times lucky in a row! You know what they say, you make your own luck!

Going to for to surprising underdogs tonight using yet another Freebet from FJ! Real already won the title I guess so bookies expect them to take it easy against relegation strugglers Leganes, but I'm gunning for Leicester to want to make sure they win this match before their destiny-seeking final game against United.

Game 1: Tottenham vs Leicester. Foxes WIN @3.20. Betcoin odds: 3.18
Game 2: Alaves vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 3: Leganes vs Real Madrid. Real WIN @2.13. Betcoin odds: 2.11
100 units freebet parlay at FJ @10.56. Betcoin parlay: 10.40
Bet ID: 01301184

Odds advantage: 1.54%
Units advantage: 16

Edit: Boo Leicester, just as Barca made good too! Add this bet in now: Chelsea/Real Madrid/Inter @14.36. No odds diff but made at FJ. I'll put up the numbers tomorrow.
Edit: too late for me, but I'd also add in a 4th leg on Napoli live in play to win (currently 1-1) for over 20/1!



Thank you;) Hope you caught last night's Arsenal special! Takes us a nice way up and plenty of cushion to ensure we end this season with a new profit record;)

Damn that was tough to watch, 2-0 down in 10 minutes? Anyway, what say Arsenal beat City tonight, and then lose to Watford? Could happen!
Really want them to stay in the EPL but 2 crunch games means everything means everything now!

100 units at Sportsbet on Arsenal to WIN vs Manchester City @8.92. FortuneJack odds: 7.71
Sportsbet ID: 5f12b720ca7c83330b26c996

Odds advantage: 15.69%
Units advantage: 121

And because we still love you Barca and Danny Ings (and uh Burnley bet was made right as they scored, sorry about that 1.03, shame as it was 1.7 when I tried to accept ha):

Game 1: Norwich vs Burnley. Burnley WIN @1.03. -
Game 2: Milan vs Bologna. Milan WIN @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 3: Bournemouth vs Southampton. Saints WIN @2.90. Betcoin odds: 2.86
Game 4: Alaves vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay at FJ @7.71. Betcoin parlay: 7.51

Odds advantage: 2.66%
Units advantage: 20

It wasn't to be, was it? The right bet would have been on Barca after all, as they simply capitulated to lowly Osasuna. Should have seen that coming really, though Villareal did put up a fight!

Pickings gonna be slim from now on, but Watford today to secure the Premier League with a victory, as the underdogs, why not? Parlay that with what should be a standard Atalanta win?

Game 1: West Ham vs Watford. Watford WIN @3.65. Betcoin odds: 3.40
Game 2: Verona vs Atalanta. Atalanta WIN @1.43. Betcoin odds: 1.45
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @5.22. Betcoin parlay: 4.93
Bet ID: 03523775

Odds advantage: 5.88%
Units advantage: 29

Wow. Spurs is the only one of the parlay who won? In a parlay that has Liverpool and Juventus? Pigs can fly;)

Anyway, here's another FJ freebet, so why not let's give Barca a sliver of hope with a Villareal win? Parlay that with United making their mark?

Game 1: Real Madrid vs Villarreal. Villa WIN @7.20. Betcoin odds: 7.05
Game 2: Crystal Palace vs Manchester Utd. Utd WIN @1.33. Betcoin odds: 1.33
100 units Freebet parlay at FortuneJack @9.58. Betcoin parlay: 9.38
Bet ID: 08686145

Odds advantage: 2.13%
Units advantage: 20

Whoops, bad parlay in the end, I watched the Chelsea game and even considered putting a bet on Norwich but Giroud scoring in injury time 1st half wiped any notion I might have had that Norwich could snatch a goal and defend with their lives. Cantwell still the outstanding player, shame he'll be plying his trade in Championship next season.

Anyway. I'm going for this one, backing all the away wins, including yes you Wolves:

Game 1: Newcastle vs Tottenham. Spurs WIN @1.81. Betcoin odds: 1.80
Game 2: Burnley vs Wolverhampton. Wolves WIN @1.94. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 3: Arsenal vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.89. Betcoin odds: 1.90
Game 4: Sassuolo vs Juventus. Juve WIN @1.64. Betcoin odds: 1.64
100 units parlay at FJ @10.88. Betcoin parlay: 10.77
Bet ID: 03237907

Odds advantage: 1.02%
Units advantage: 11

I'll be honest and say when United pulled back those two goals I thought they were going to win, but credit to Southampton and all 1.69m of Obafemi for pulling that trick out of the bag! Another goal would have been delicious but we can't have everything now, can we?

Hunting for odds tonight and I'm going to go for a toothless Brescia parlayed with a porous Chelsea defence.

Game 1: Norwich to score: 2.22. Betcoin odds: 2.19
Game 2: Both Teams To Score NO @2.01. Betcoin odds: 1.98
100 units parlay at FJ @4.46. Betcoin parlay: 4.34
Bet ID: 16933943

Odds advantage: 2.76%
Units advantage: 12

Why thank you for your custom! I actually picked Granada correctly on their last game a few nights ago but they were extremely lucky to be 2-0 up at half time with only 2 shots on goal vs 14 which they somehow defended! And then they grabbed a winner in the last minutes after it was 2-2, they are truly the surprise package so actually, I'm going to go bet on them right now too thanks to your tip;)

Fairlay's a crypto bookie, but a p2p market more like. You can't lay bets exactly but you can take markets on offer or create your own and see if anyone will take it. So, if you want to place a lay on Real, then you create a market offering someone whatever odds you want to put. If someone takes it and Real doesn't win, you get their money.

Think of it as an exchange more like with Orderbooks and market makers (and takers). There is a user on their thread who also has an app for parlays.

That some great odds there you managed to get. I have Saints @11 at my local fiat bookie which is the best I managed to find. Not gonna take them though since I think Man Utd is the team in form at the moment

My surprise for tonight is Granada not to lose against Real. As I already wrote in La liga topic, this one should be easy for Real as per all relevant stats and H2H but I have a gut feeling this is the game where bookies will cash big tonight. As a sign of respect for your tips I also placed a small multi bet on Saints and Granada @ combined odds of 88.

Is Fairlay that fiat bookie with shitload of games/markets where you can lay bets? Lay bet is bet where you bet that something will not happen. For instance you place lay bet on Real and United and if either of them doesn't win you ticket is a winning one. They offer some world class markets and odds but I can't use them legally from my country so I stopped using them some years ago.

Hey, don't knock simply wins! 3/1 any day for me;) And these bets collect freebets too, so you know I'm all for them!

Any today, because Ings is on fire and wants to catch Vardy, shall we back a Saints upset? Caught a magnificent odds on Fairlay:
100 units at Fairlay on Saints to WIN vs Manchester United @12.1. FortuneJack odds: 9.60

Odds advantage: 26.04%
Units advantage: 250

Running advantage after 357 bets: +9,653.78 (+250)
All-time cumulative: +31,653
Running units after 356 bets (61W|295L): +11,823.15 (+207)