Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 47.

buwaytress

legendary

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Damn Lille, but yay Angers! Too late right now to bet on Monaco, and live is annoying with timing me out even though the match's still young, but I've got 2 specials on Sportsbet I think are worth taking!

100 units each at Sportsbet:
Neymar to score and PSG win @10.00. Betcoin neymar score odds: 2.45. PSG win: 8.06
Bet ID: 5f3e125847a86bec604a48f2
Neymar to score and Bayern win @7.50. Betcoin neymar score odds: 2.45. Bayern win win: 2.08 = 5.10
Bet ID: 5f410038c1067e112831e55d

Total odds advantage: 194+240 = 434

Loads of Ligue 1 and 2 action, I'd like to double down on Bayern AND parlay them with some home wins, please!
Game 1: PSG vs Bayern. Bayern WIN @2.07. Betcoin odds: 2.08
Game 2: Olympique Nimes vs Stade Brestois 29. Nimes WIN @2.31. Betcoin odds: 2.23
Game 3: OGC Nice vs RC Lens. Nice WIN @2.09. Betcoin odds: 2.05
100 units parlay at Sportset @9.99. Betcoin parlay: 9.51
Bet ID: 5f4251c2c1067e844b322e50

Odds advantage: 48

Running advantage after 417 bets: +13,286.78 (434+48=+482)
All-time cumulative: +35,286
Running units after 414 bets (71W|343L): +13,117.15 (+200)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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Well, that was a bummer. Thought they might have had it in them after levelling to 2-2 but then the last 10 minutes of the first half wasn't the best of the game.

Early bet on Champs League with Ligue 1 games:
Game 1: Lille vs Rennes. Lille WIN @2.31. Betcoin odds: 2.29
Game 2: Monaco vs Reims. Monaco WIN @1.94. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 3: PSG vs Bayern Munich. Bayern WIN @2.08. Betcoin odds: 2.04
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @9.32. Betcoin parlay: 8.97
Bet ID: 07798848

Add in another Ligue 1 today, parlay with a couple of live play games and a boost just to get the odds to 4/1 haha:
Game 1: Busan Park vs Pohang Steelers. Busan WIN in-play at 58 mins @1.57. no odds
Game 2: Tianjin Teda vs Qingdao Huanghau. Qingdao WIN in-play at 68 mins @1.04. no odds.
Game 3: Dijon vs Angers. Angers WIN @2.55. Betcoin odds: 2.42
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @4.00. Betcoin odds: 3.95
Bet ID: 5f410137911f80a667d1207e

Odds advantage: 3.9%
Total units advantage: 35

Running advantage after 413 bets: +12,804.78 (+35)
All-time cumulative: +34,804
Running units after 412 bets (70W|342L): +12,917.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Well, they did take it to extra time, but it was not to be for the Armenian champs.

I don't have a good bet to take tonight but here's an early one booking in my boost. I like Inter's chances, but you never know with a team like Sevilla, and I will remember Inter has this habit of late collapses, so a boosted bet at HT:

100 units at Sportsbet on Inter to WIN vs Sevilla at HT @2.98. Betcoin odds: 2.69
Bet ID: 5f3e1386e18c8e19a48814ad

Odds advantage: 10.78%
Total units advantage: 29

Running advantage after 412 bets: +12,769.78 (+29)
All-time cumulative: +34,769
Running units after 411 bets (70W|341L): +13,017.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Well, I missed the upset, which happened to Astana last night, hammered almost surely out of contention (and then you remember United barely beat them in Europa!).

Still, great fun for freebets.

I'll make a far less risky bet on Armenian champions, 100 units at Sportsbet on Ararat to WIN vs Omonia Nicosia @4.40 (Betcoin odds: 4.30). Cyprus teams aren't to laugh at but I think the Caucasus team will want to progress badly.
Bet ID: 5f3cb55d5d33d01babc49bbd

I'll come back later for more bets, parlays maybe.

Odds advantage: 2.33%
Total units advantage: 10

Running advantage after 411 bets: +12,740.78 (+10)
All-time cumulative: +34,740
Running units after 410 bets (70W|340L): +13,117.15 (+- 0 due to freebets)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Well, that's right, Inter smashed Shakhtar and made it all happen for us. booked us a win on the Sevilla/Inter parlay, and rescued our two 5-leg parlays that both missed by one leg (damn you Dallas and Sundowns) so we got back insurance, which I'll put down today on two bets as freebets!

I love an upset, and I want Rangers to win in Scotland, so this is a sentimental bet but with a huge margin difference at Sportsbet!
100 units at Sportsbet on Rejkjavik to WIN vs Celtic @37.38. Betcoin odds: 27.98
Bet ID: 5f3b6d32e18c8e7431877a1e

And Qarabag may have a lot of experience but they are not match fit, whereas Sileks from N Macedonia have been on a hot streak domestically. Another upset, 100 units at Sportsbet on Sileks Kratovo to WIN vs Qarabag @12.00. Betcoin odds: 12.13. It's a freebet, so I don't mind the slight odds difference.
Bet ID: 5f3b751ac9e46b662d665a2d

Total units advantage: +927

Running advantage after 410 bets: +12,730.78 (+927)
All-time cumulative: +34,730
Running units after 408 bets (70W|338L): +13,117.15 (+472 -100 -100 = +272)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Damn Dallas couldn't score, almost lost judging by the number of shots against too. If Inter win then at least we get the bet back so all eyes on Inter.

For tonight, another 5-parlay putting down even more on Inter:
Game 1: Waasland-Beveren - Standard Liege. Liege WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Game 2: Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Game 3: Hebei China Fortune FC - Tianjin Teda. Hebei WIN @1.77. Betcoin odds: 1.75
Game 4: Cape Town City FC - Mamelodi Sundowns. Sundowns WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 5: Club Leon - Club Tijuana de Caliente. Leon WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.65
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.78. Betcoin parlay: 11.86
Bet ID: 5f3a41e1c27a8b415085cdec

Odds advantage: 7.76%
Total units advantage: 92

Running advantage after 408 bets: +11,803.78 (+92)
All-time cumulative: +33,803
Running units after 405 bets (69W|336L): +12,845.15 (+-0)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Oh my sweet, sweet Sterling. If you felt bad last year seeing Liverpool lift the trophy, but felt assuaged with the English treble, then I have no idea how you feel this year with the league cup alone and falling yet again at the QFs. Thank you Lyon and Dembele!

Simple parlay, but I might add on a long parlay later. For now:
Game 1: Sevilla vs Man Utd. Sevilla WIN @3.25. Betcoin odds: 3.12
Game 2: Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.72
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.72. Betcoin parlay: 5.58
Bet ID: 5f391e25c9e46b085865e83c

Odds advantage: 2.51%
Total units advantage: 14

Our long parlay:
Game 1: Anderlecht - St. Truidense VV. Anderlecht WIN @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.57
Game 2: Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara. Mineiro WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 3: Sevilla vs Man UTd. Over 1.75 goals @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.53
Game 4: Inter Milano - FC Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.72
Game 5: Dallas vs Nashville. Dallas WIN @1.76. Betcoin odds: 1.74
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @12.25. Betcoin parlay: 10.93
Bet ID: 5f391ed3031c6c44883780c8

Odds advantage: 12.08%
Total units advantage: 132

Running advantage after 407 bets: +11,711.78 (+146)
All-time cumulative: +33,711
Running units after 405 bets (69W|336L): +12,845.15 (+1,177)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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What a massacre. Thank goodness I didn't listen to myself and do a big bet on that. What I call a wipeout. End of the Messi era has been rung in. No matter, Lyon, could the French take us up a notch tonight to set up a legendary upset?

100 units at Sportsbet on Lyon to WIN vs Man City @12.77. Betcoin odds: 12.30
Bet ID: 5f379623c9e46b672b659969
Note: the odds have gone up past 13/1 too so I got unlucky haha.

Odds advantage: 3.82%
Total units advantage: 47

Running advantage after 405 bets: +11,565.78 (+47)
All-time cumulative: +33,565
Running units after 404 bets (68W|336L): +11,668.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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That's what I get for finally switching to a favourite. Damn me haha. Barcelona, we knocked you out of the last semifinal, but you can do yourselves justice and get this win. Don't fear the Germans, they will try to close Messi down but that leaves Suarez and Griezmann free!

100 units on Barca to WIN vs Bayern @3.78. Betcoin odds: 3.65
Bet ID: 5f36262747a86b97be489c1d

Odds advantage: 3.56%
Total units advantage: 12

Running advantage after 404 bets: +11,518.78 (+13)
All-time cumulative: +33,518
Running units after 403 bets (68W|335L): +11,768.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Well, that did not work out.

I accidentally added Hoffenheim to this parlay (oops) but anyway, seems like Europe is for the favourites now:

Game 1: Hoffenheim vs Wehen Wiesbaden. Hoffenheim WIN @1.21. Betcoin odds: 1.18
Game 2: Leipzig vs Atletico Madrid. Atleti WIN @2.29. Betcoin odds: 2.28
Game 3: Barcelona vs Bayern. Bayern WIN @1.99. Betcoin odds: 2.01
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.51. Betcoin parlay: 5.40
Bet ID: 5f3514f54d73311223fd5ba2

Odds advantage: 2.04%
Total units advantage: 11

Running advantage after 403 bets: +11,505.78 (+11)
All-time cumulative: +33,505
Running units after 402 bets (68W|334L): +11,868.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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Quote from: Trofo on August 12, 2020, 10:08:17 AM

Now you managed to confuse me. Isn't Asian handicap -0.5 the same thing as win for Atalanta? They usually have marginally better odds and I always take them when that happens.

Asian handicap 0 is a draw no bet and Asian handicap 0.25 is half money on 0 and half on 0.5. Asians handicaps are a bit sketchy for me so I could be wrong.

Sorry, you're completely right. I meant -1.5 handicap which essentially means they have to win by 2 goals or more (and sometimes I mistakenly put it down when I mean European handicap 0:1, but I'm still stuck in my Asian handicaps because of the way I used to bet). So for Atalanta EH 0:1 the odds were almost 8/1 when I last checked. Which fits your 3-1 prediction scenario!

Quote from: Trofo on August 12, 2020, 10:08:17 AM

I don't trust Barca at all against Bayern. For me Bayern is much more serious squad and they are taking that game easily 8/10 times. Only thing in Barca favor is that this is one game only and they can pull off a surprise. I already wrote something very similar in one of CL threads but couldn't find it now on mobile to link it here.

Bayern's the true value bet at the moment for 2/1, like you say I think they win it far more than 5 out of 10. I'd use them in a parlay for sure but Messi seems to work best when he's used sparingly, and with Suarez him and Griezmann all fit and in form, I've to say Bayern could be quite shocked. I also have Barca already to win at 9/1 so I guess I'm being sentimental here.

Trofo

legendary

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Quote from: buwaytress on August 12, 2020, 10:02:04 AM

I was even considering a -0.5 handicap for even better odds but I think I'll be happy just to get the win tonight.

Now you managed to confuse me. Isn't Asian handicap -0.5 the same thing as win for Atalanta? They usually have marginally better odds and I always take them when that happens.

Asian handicap 0 is a draw no bet and Asian handicap 0.25 is half money on 0 and half on 0.5. Asians handicaps are a bit sketchy for me so I could be wrong.

Quote from: buwaytress on August 12, 2020, 10:02:04 AM

I will probably bet big on Barca next, but let's see how tonight turns out first!
I couldn't find any specials either that I liked. I've a feeling we'll get a load of action tonight! GL!

I don't trust Barca at all against Bayern. For me Bayern is much more serious squad and they are taking that game easily 8/10 times. Only thing in Barca favor is that this is one game only and they can pull off a surprise. I already wrote something very similar in one of CL threads but couldn't find it now on mobile to link it here.

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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Quote from: Trofo on August 12, 2020, 09:58:06 AM

Tough for Jimenez and us, he really took an awful penalty. I had both to score on that game and that would probably be enough for my multi to pass.

I am going even more risky than you today, I think this is the first time that happened

I believe in Atalanta and I am quite sure PSG will also score. I expect result like 3:1 or 3:2 for Atalanta and my money is on on Atalanta to win and both to score @5.50 I also have a little less risky Atalanta not to lose and both to score @2.60.

Yeah, I don't want to remember last night, it started so beautifully and it's like they just dropped their confidence after that, what a killer event!

I've been taking quite simple bets recently because I don't have much choices to make and I actually really hate betting on friendlies that are shit odds haha. I do feel confident in Atalanta too, PSG are a bit soft, I was even considering a -0.5 handicap for even better odds but I think I'll be happy just to get the win tonight. I will probably bet big on Barca next, but let's see how tonight turns out first!

I couldn't find any specials either that I liked. I've a feeling we'll get a load of action tonight! GL!

EDIT: I meant -1.5 handicap above, Trofo!

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on August 12, 2020, 08:53:48 AM

Jimenez, noooo. All you had to do was score that penalty and we'd have gotten that 5/1 done and dusted, and maybe even caused the upset. Sevilla really showed us why this is their competition though.

Atalanta, show us the way to glory!

100 units at Sportsbet on Atalanta to WIN vs PSG @3.73. Betcoin odds: 3.57
Bet ID: 5f33f30a44f4f36a8b093021

Tough for Jimenez and us, he really took an awful penalty. I had both to score on that game and that would probably be enough for my multi to pass.

I am going even more risky than you today, I think this is the first time that happened

I believe in Atalanta and I am quite sure PSG will also score. I expect result like 3:1 or 3:2 for Atalanta and my money is on on Atalanta to win and both to score @5.50 I also have a little less risky Atalanta not to lose and both to score @2.60.

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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Jimenez, noooo. All you had to do was score that penalty and we'd have gotten that 5/1 done and dusted, and maybe even caused the upset. Sevilla really showed us why this is their competition though.

Atalanta, show us the way to glory!

100 units at Sportsbet on Atalanta to WIN vs PSG @3.73. Betcoin odds: 3.57
Bet ID: 5f33f30a44f4f36a8b093021

Odds advantage: 4.48%
Total units advantage: 16

Running advantage after 402 bets: +11,494.78 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +33,494
Running units after 401 bets (68W|333L): +11,968.15 (-200)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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It ended as a draw, with the run of penalty luck United have had, they have to lose eventually right? Let's hope it's going to be against some big underdog as I really would like that haha.

OK so Wolves tonight are what I'm eyeing, so I will put 2 bets here. Possibly put in a parlay with Sevilla as the hedging bet.

100 units on Jimenez to score first or last @5.0. No odds comparison.
Bet ID: 5f3291e95d33d02afac283cb

100 units on Wolves to WIN vs Sevilla @3.89. Betcoin odds: 3.75
Bet ID: 5f328fd1e18c8ec61985ac22

Odds advantage: 3.73%
Total units advantage: 14

Running advantage after 401 bets: +11,478.78 (+14)
All-time cumulative: +33,478
Running units after 399 bets (68W|331L): +12,168.15 (+150)

buwaytress

legendary

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Ah damn, Armenia. Usually it's my friendlies that go awry but the biggest match up of them all was the one I lost. Just goes to show what a true loser I can be when it comes to sports. But this is what we're all here for, isn't it?

Copenhagen upset tonight anyone? You bet!

100 units on Copenhagen to WIN vs ManUtd @13.84. Betcoin odds: 13.45
Bet ID: 5f3105a2c27a8b0c3d83f292

Add: Lukaku to score 1st half @3.5. No other odds

Odds advantage: 2.90%
Total units advantage: 39

Running advantage after 399 bets: +11,464.78 (+39)
All-time cumulative: +33,464
Running units after 397 bets (67W|330L): +12,018.15 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Yay, this time we didn't lose money with a stupid bet. And we also add in our lovely champs league parlay earlier and we're big in the money. Thanks Messi. I don't know why I did that tbh, degenerate genes.

Today, it's a strange Sunday with not much to pick for so let's go for one of my favourite teams in Europa (Ararat Armenia) to progress in cup games, Bremen and Marseille in friendlies and Spartak Moscow in a league.

Game 1: Noah - FC Ararat-Armenia. Ararat WIN @1.98. Betcoin odds: 1.96
Game 2: Werder Bremen - Eintracht Braunschweig. Bremen WIN @1.61. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 3: Olympique Nimes - Olympique Marseille. Marseille WIN @1.82. Betcoin odds: 1.79
Game 4: FK Spartak Moscow - PFK Sochi. Moscow WIN @1.77. Betcoin odds: 1.77
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @10.27. Betcoin parlay: 9.94
Bet ID: 5f2faf6644f4f370e8086649

Odds advantage: 3.32%
Total units advantage: 33

Running advantage after 397 bets: +11,425.78 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +33,425
Running units after 396 bets (67W|329L): +12,118.15 (+530+320-100 = +750)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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Didn't need my hedges after all, City and Juventus made it out alive, even if the Old Lady won't be progressing to the next stage!

Free insurance, and 5-leg boost? Why not? Double down on Barca and add some crazy S Korean picks why not.

Game 1: Barcelona - SSC Napoli. Barca WIN @1.61. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 2: Guangzhou R&F FC - Jiangsu Suning FC. Jiangsu WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.65
Game 3: Pohang Steelers FC - Gwangju FC. Steelers WIN @1.83. Betcoin odds: 1.81
Game 4: Ulsan Hyundai FC - Suwon Bluewings. Ulsan WIN @1.82. Betcoin odds: 1.80
Game 5: Daegu FC - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors. Jeonbuk WIN @1.73. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @16.58. Betcoin parlay: 14.80
Bet ID: 5f2e685bc27a8b5e2c837b2c

Odds advantage: 12.03%

And because I'm all in on Barca, let's take a nice 500 unit bet @1.64 (with boost). So total units x 5 on this one bet like we did for Liverpool earlier in the season (and lost haha). Betcoin odds: 1.62
Bet ID: 5f2ea35dea10f82d95ec4c9a
Odds advantage: 0.01%

Total units advantage: 180

Running advantage after 396 bets: +11,392.78 (+180)
All-time cumulative: +33,392
Running units after 393 bets (65W|328L): +11,368.15 (-200)

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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I got a nice SB Multi Magic going today, and that's about all. Good thing Basel put a goal in 2 minutes before FT so I scored a small profit yesterday (small hooray huh).

Juve, City, Barca, Bayern to WIN @6.30 at Sportsbet. Betcoin parlay: 6.03
Bet ID: 5f2d0c974d733157cdfbd0a8
Odds advantage: 4.48%

And a hedging bet on Real Madrid to WIN @5.40. Betcoin odds: 5.45
Bet ID: 5f2d61b75d33d0f97dc19343
Odds advantage: -0.9%

Another hedge on Lyon @6.78. Betcoin: 6.40
Bet ID: 5f2d0d8e4d7331d8d3fbd145
Odds advantage: 5.9%
Total units advantage: 50

Running advantage after 394 bets: +11,212.78 (+60)
All-time cumulative: +33,212
Running units after 391 bets (65W|326L): +11,568.15 (+50)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 47. (Read 40042 times)