First I just want to preface that my use of the term "donk lead" is just that. I'm not actually calling anyone a donk.
hmmm, but there was never any donk bet. on the flop, it was a 1000 chip bet into a 1425 chip pot. on the turn, it was a 2466 chip shove into a 3425 chip pot.
i can understand the preflop range you put me on, although tbh with only 14bbs preflop my range is definitely stronger than that. i can sort of understand the flop call too, to see if i checked the turn. but calling the shove on the turn in position? i don't get it.
i'm just curious what actual range you put me on at that point where a call would seem profitable.
This is the best range I could think of while trying to figure out what I was up against. 77+, 78s, 78+ hearts, There are the ATo+, and the Axs combos. Maybe you had hit a set but again I couldn't be sure you were playing 66 or 22, might have jammed the flop with those.
I made some assumptions that were clearly wrong. I thought from SB you might 3-bet stronger holdings some of which might be a 3-bet fold - in lieu of that jamming with 14 BB you might not have a 3-bet range of any kind. I assumed a weaker made hand or strong draw with the flop lead out. The turn jam had me confused, mostly because of the lead out.
Those factors had me heavily leaning away from you having a strong holding. I have been trying to expand beyond purely GTO which my studying had me heavily focused on. So I talked myself into a feeling that if you had a strong A and wanted to get all the money you might play this slower both on the flop and turn. With that I was already knocking off some of the higher AX combos - coupled with no 3-bet or jam on the river. (This did also take away some of the higher suited combos at the same time). Not that you couldn't have them but the gameplay so far gave me reason to discount them
what's your definition of a "donk lead"? any time someone ever calls you OOP and bets postflop, regardless of bet sizing? if you as a rule never respect the bettor there it sounds kinda leaky.
It clearly does given the 2 spots I found myself in. Generally if heads-up post flop - if I am in position and was the preflop aggressor I do think of any leadout by the OOP player to be a "donk lead". I see this as a couple things , stealing my chance to bluff, as a probe possibly to see if I raise, an attempt to steal the pot on a board I may have missed, or they hit and are worried of getting pushed off. I don't often give it a lot of credit, especially if I have top pair. I just naturally assume they would rather go with a check call/check raise scenario, but if I miss I often have to let it go whether I believe them or not.
I feel I also would have played this the same with AK in my hand. I would call down and then go for a re-raise on the turn if they put out another bet
here is another way to put it. once you saw the A on the flop, you had already decided you weren't going to fold no matter what?
To a leadout on the flop most of the time yes if I have hit top pair or a decent piece of the flop. Jamming or an overbet would have made it weirder for me in this spot, and might get a fold out of me here. The turn call like I said I mostly didn't believe the story. I expect more fiction and subterfuge in poker, and I should remember sometimes it will be exactly what it looks like.
In this spot I truly didn't expect this play. It was very face up representing a strong A, and it's not what I expect a strong A to do to get the most value. This call while bad is more just me thinking you were trying to bluff me off my hand, thinking I missed or was just drawing. It does give me more insight into how you play a certain spot, and go after your equity. It's just not something I would have thought of. We actually haven't battled it out post flop in many spots and I read it all wrong.
I don't know how often I'm good there with top pair weak kicker but it's something I'll have to keep in mind. I played 2 tourneys tonight and there was a spot with a similar feel I didn't have top pair. I didn't get it saved but I got to see it runout because there was a blinded/anted out player. We are about 15 people off the money 64 left I think.
I had around 28BB [HJ] Kd8d, they had 13BB [SB] I make it 2.22BB they call
Flop is AcKh9c
SB bets 3.7BB into a ~6.5BB pot I fold out. They show 33 in showdown against the blinded out shortstack
Here I think it was easier to fold out because I didn't block some any pair holdings. I would have rather not seen the runout.