~snip~
Specifically, AI can only predict the outcome of a game based on data and statistics from previous events that occurred in that manner. Even though it is not prone to error in how it is designed to function, it can never be 100% accurate. However, predicting the outcome of a match that is not played within its control is impossible.
Even when given ample data and information about two opposing teams, humans make mistakes. We can't expect AI to outperform them in terms of final results, but it can outperform us in statistical analysis. I disagree with the notion that AI will produce accurate results.
Betting agencies have been using machine learning models to estimate their odds for decades now.
They will continue updating their models with the latest advances in AI, and it will get more accurate over time.
But as we just saw in Qatar 2022, they predicted Brazil to be the winner, but in the end it was Argentina the one who won.
So, just now we have proof that these fantastic AI systems still can get it wrong.
Would using machine learning to create/estimate odds be the same process as actually making the prediction though? Creating the right odds is one thing, but predicting the most likely result, would that be another thing or the same process?
I still haven’t tried this out yet to see how it could work, but I do like all the discussion surrounding it. Personally, I don’t see why using AI would be any different than betting with a newsletter or following someone else’s picks. Who knows, maybe AI would be better. Without trying it out it’s hard to say, but next time I’m messing with ChatGPT I’m definitely going to give it a little test.
Please do it. Maybe you will find a way to circumvent this restriction
but I personally can't imagine how to do it. I think for sports betting you need the latest information about many things that can contribute to the outcome, and if the AI doesn't have access to this information, it can't make the prediction.
(In the picture is the response of ChatGPT to a question about current events).
Took me from page 14 to get to your post. I wonder why they only index information up to such an out-dated time. I guess if it was up to date until the end of 2022, it would be a game changer for this topic.