Topic: Portuguese League - Liga Portugal 2023/24 - page 15. (Read 5272 times)

Didn't included Porto in any of my parlays, went simply with their ML, but bet was quite big. Their win was very comfortable that I can't even say something about the game. Though, their dominance doesn't reflect in stats at all.
So, we already reached half of season, Sporting leading with 43 points, then Benfica with 42 and Porto with 38. Unlike in some previous seasons, this time we don't have clear favorite to win league, even Portvstill hold fairly good chances.

Benfica is taking care not to open the point difference between itself and its rival in the championship race.Benfica managed to defeat Rio Ave despite falling behind in the match and scored 3 points.Benfica played a good game in the match, especially after the opponent was down to 10 men, Benfica completely took the upper hand and had no difficulty in finding goals from this minute.
Porto, on the other hand, emerged victorious from a tough match against Braga.Porto, who led at half time, managed to convert the penalty they won at the beginning of the second half with Evanilson and left this tough match with 3 points.Braga didn't play badly but I don't think they had a chance to win in this away match.

Congratulations on the winning bet 
Even without Porto in your bet, it must have given good odds (can you tell what the total odds of your bet were?)

Here I also won the bet including Porto, and although it was more risky, I was really confident that Porto would win due to the current conditions (Portuguese Cup matches, Braga and Porto's momentum and league positions)
It was a good win to increase my bankroll this season 

Porto had a very easy victory in that game, I had a lot of doubts about whether or not I should bet on Porto and given the amount of indecision that was going through my head I ended up deciding not to put Porto in my parlay, but I was very surprised by With this result, I expected it to be a game in which Braga would be able to cause a lot of headaches for Porto, I expected it to be a very balanced game. but it seems that Porto in this game came with too much force for Braga to handle. Congratulations to Porto for the victory in a game that was supposed to be a difficult game, with this victory Porto continues in the race for the title and knowing that in the Portuguese league as long as we don't see a big difference between the top team in relation to Porto, we won't be can rule out Porto as likely champion

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Chaves 0 - 3 Sporting CP

In the last 3 games Sporting's attack is unstoppable, very often they have managed to score at least 3 goals, in this game they managed to score 3 goals and didn't concede a single goal, with this victory Sporting remains at the top of the table, I keep asking myself Whether this season they won the league or will waste this good opportunity. Be that as it may, they are having strong competition, with Benfica being very close to them so that a small mistake would cause them to lose the top spot and consequently lose the title. We'll see how long Sporting can stay at the top, I bet on Sporting to win, I put them in my multi bet and with their victory they gave me a good profit



Benfica 4 - 1 Rio Ave

As expected from Benfica, they won very easily, I watched this game and was a little worried when the opponent scored the first goal, but given the pressure that Benfica's attack was putting on, I was hopeful that Benfica would score more goals any time, so when Benfica scored a goal it made me feel more at ease that my bet wouldn't be lost, and when Benfica scored more goals I soon stopped watching the game because I saw that they had already won the game and that there was no chance of the opponent reversing That result, congratulations to Benfica and may we become champions this season.

You almost got it right hehe, the game ended 3x0 to Sporting
If you bet on the exact result, unfortunately you didn't win the bet 

I believe Benfica will have no problem beating Rio Ave to guarantee 2 out of the 3 I have to get right to win my multiple bet

The Porto x Braga match promises to be very exciting and I'm glad it's being broadcast on Star+ so I can watch (suffer if Porto don't win )
If Porto lose the game, Sporting will be 8 points ahead, so I think it's extra motivation for today's game, it's hard to take away that 8-point gap over the course of the championship

Sporting clube de Portugal Vs Chaves
Chaves and Sporting CP face off at Manuel Branco Teixeira today. Top of the points table is Spotting CP and bottom is Chaves. Chaves draw 2-2 with FC Famalicao last week after three straight defeats. If they want to climb up the points table, they need to improve their defensive process. Sporting CP have won big in the two games they have played at the beginning of the new year. I don't think Chaves will have much of an advantage in this match. Undoubtedly, the favorite team in today's match is Sporting de Portugal. I think today's match high scoring will be Sporting clube de Portugal beat Chaves 3-1.

In the Portuguese league, there are teams with higher impacts in the league games and European contests too. Benfica, Sporting, Porto are most impactful in this regard. For Porto, they're doing well in the league and also have good performance records in the UCL too even though they weren't able to keep up with their good performance in their last league game which wasn't so acceptable. Same applies for Benfica and Sporting who's got their own record in the European cups too.

 Benfica did well at securing the three points in their last game with a good goal margin. It only shows how set they are for the task put before them. Although a lesser performance wasn't expected from them though but they're definitely a stable team in the league. The league seems less competitive though as there are still weeks left and just these 3teams are trying to make good wave in the league. Over the years it's still these three that have been the most talked about because of the feats they've attained. One would be so sure to bet on these teams and their ability to keep progressing in points in their league games.

Do you think that Porto would lose points against Braga? Porto are hosting them two days later and of course they are the favourite side of the match. If you don't remember I would like to remind that their previous match ended up with Porto's 2-0 victory away.    Technically Porto should be able to be at least as dominant as that in this match home.

The problem for Porto is that they aren't much productive.    They have scored only 23 goals in 16 matches. Maybe this has been enough for them so far to keep up with the title race. But it is quite dangerous at the same time. They would make use of a much higher contribution from their strikers especially. Taremi isn't performing as good as the previous season which is also a big factor causing this now.

Portimonense is having a bad season, I think the match against Farense will not go according to their expectations in achieving victory, because Portimonense is not very stable, even though this match is a home match, this is not a guarantee that Portimonense will win, their home match cannot be expected completely, even though in the last 5 meetings between the two Portimonense have dominated the victory, their position in the standings table shows that Portimonense is not in good form and Ferense's position is much better in 7th place so maybe I will favor Ferense more in winning, but it could be The prediction is that as you said, the match will end in a draw knowing that both of them have been less stable lately.

Portimonense SC and SC Farense face each other in today's Portugal Primeria League match. Portimonense is 16th in the table while SC Farense is seventh in the points table standing. Portimonense SC have lost their rhythm, winless in their last five matches in the domestic league. SC Farense the new year well with a 1-0 win over Gil Vicente FC, where their goalkeeper was a superb performer. As Portimonense are playing at home I feel the match will be tightly contested and my prediction is that it will be a likely draw.

I think it's a good multiple at these odds of 5.08
Sporting and Benfica should really have no problem winning
I myself only bet on the 3 including Porto's win because it's a low bet, and only on the 3 wins
Good luck!


I also believe that your bet on Leverkusen will work out, Augsburg aren't doing well in the league and haven't been playing good games, I'm not going to go into details but you've made some good choices, specially in the portuguese matches

Adding 3 to 4 of the Top Teams in your multi-bet slip is quite frustrating and can be pretty crazy because not all the time these teams can achieve success. Now the game of Porto against Braga, I think this will be quite difficult to predict. Porto is playing quite noce but they’re not a team one can bank on and besides, Braga are good on the attack than Porto. But for a safe bet I’ll rather double chance on the Home Team thaan ignoring the match out of my slip.

 Braga and Porto are both statistically balanced in the league and separated by just little points, so I feel it’ll be safe to see how the match progresses before making a bet, maybe a live bet on both teams in about 30mins into the game would be more preferable, well that's my opinion,  however I have this feeling that Braga could beat Porto though I'm not very convinced.

So that everyone can analyze their options, below is the list of games, on the 17th match day:

MATCH DAY 17:
^{12.01. 20:15} Portimonense vs Farense
^{13.01. 15:30} Casa Pia vs Famalicão
^{13.01. 18:00} Chaves vs Sporting
^{13.01. 20:30} Estoril vs Moreirense
^{14.01. 15:30} Gil Vicente vs Estrela Amadora
^{14.01. 18:00} Benfica vs Rio Ave
^{14.01. 18:00} Vizela vs Boavista
^{14.01. 20:30} Porto vs Braga
^{15.01. 20:15} Vit. Guimarães vs Arouca
_{Info: day.month. time (Lisbon time)}

I just added Benfica and Sporting to my multi bet, if I had only placed the 3 big Portuguese teams in a multi bet the odds would have been very low and with a great risk of me losing my bet, this is because Porto's game against braga will be a game with the risk of a draw and is very unpredictable, today's port is not that very reliable port of the past where if it were in the past they would win this game against braga and these two teams don't have much difference in confrontations between them, the Porto won 8 times and Braga won 5 times. If it were just this scenario I might not consider the possibility of a draw, but these two teams have already had 5 draws in direct confrontations and in their last games against other teams both teams had a draw

So in my opinion the chances of seeing a draw in this game are very high. It's funny that both teams in the last 5 games had 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat and only have a difference of 2 points, Braga and Porto also did badly when they played against Benfica and Sporting. These two teams are at the same level. but Porto is being seen as the favorite, in my opinion, given the value of the odds, it would be worth making a single bet, but placing a multi bet would be a risk for me. If I change my mind and want to bet on Porto, first I'll watch the game a little and then I'll decide what I'll do. But I've already made my bet for this weekend. Here is my bet:



I believe that Sporting and Benfica will win in their games, my concern in this bet is in the Leverkusen game, which despite being a team that is doing well may have some difficulties in their game, but as for other games in this bet I believe that They don't cause me much uncertainty. Also, at the odds of 5.00, the risk I'm taking is worth it, because if I win, it would give me a profit that would allow me to place 4 bets with higher odds without me incurring losses if I lost all 4 of my next bets. I would still have my capital to bet again if I lost all of the next 4 bets.

Good point, I hadn't taken the cup games into account
And yesterday Porto beat Estoril 4x0

In my opinion it's a point in favor for me to bet on Porto in the league, so I believe I'll place my bet on the top 3, believing in Porto's victory
If I bet Sporting, Benfica and Porto (to win or draw), the odds are 1.90
Not bad either, but as I'm betting a smaller amount, I'll just take my chances on Porto winning hehe, 2.96 odds   

And I forgot to mention that the games for the Portuguese Cup are taking place this week, and Benfica plays Braga today.
So Braga will have a difficult game today, and then another difficult game against Porto at the weekend. So, I see Porto still more likely to beat Braga than Braga to beat Porto.

Let’s take a look at Benfica who sits second in the log; this team is composed defensively and have lost just one match out of over 16. And they’re just a point away from Sporting. I think Benfica are good competition for Sporting. They're at the top of the league with just a gap of one point have lost 2 matches, and conceded more goals than Sporting. I think Benfica could overthrow them if they don’t maintain their good form

 Porto are pretty good defensively but poor when attacking and that’s resulting for them sitting out on 3rd and when compared with Braga are not a match to them though they’re above Braga with 2 points but I think Braga seems more composed in attack than Porto, Well the league is getting tougher since it's the 2nd half of the season and they all have to be at their best currently especially Sporting that's at the very top of the league, if they drop more points they'll give Benfica a chance to overthrow them.

Porto is entering a phase of very high unpredictability. They are not playing well, but they are always a dangerous team. Braga has been playing well, despite the draw in the last game. In turn, historically speaking, Braga tends not to have good results with the Big 3 in Portugal, even when they are at their best.

Therefore, I personally have some difficulty saying that he can win. I think a draw is very likely, and I would tend to say that Porto has a slight advantage to win. But, at this moment, for me, a draw seems to be the most likely.

The next round will feature Porto vs Braga
My reason for not betting is that it's a match between the TOP 4 and it's very difficult to predict
But as Porto have already drawn the previous round and will be playing the match at home, they have a good chance of beating Braga, so I'm thinking about the possibility
The odds for Porto to win are 1.84, and if you combine them with Sporting and Benfica, it's a good bet at 2.86 odds + a 1.11 boost = 2.96



Any tips here? Do you think it's worth the risk?

Here are the results of a match day, full of exciting games:

MATCH DAY 16 - RESULTS:
Moreirense 1-4 Casa Pia
Famalicão 2-2 Chaves
Rio Ave 2-0 Portimonense
Braga 1-1 Vit. Guimarães
Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Farense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Boavista 1-1 Porto
Sporting 5-1 Estoril


FEATURED MATCH - STATISTICS:

	Boavista 1-1 Porto
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