rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) - page 157.

okthen

hero member

Activity: 490

Merit: 500

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on June 30, 2014, 05:59:44 PM

Quote from: okthen on June 30, 2014, 05:19:13 PM

Quote from: thefunkybits on June 30, 2014, 03:21:30 PM

Quote from: eat_more_fruit on June 30, 2014, 03:10:36 PM

Quote from: rpietila on May 14, 2014, 01:27:05 PM

TL; DR: We are at 650 in the beginning of July, 2014.

Looks like this particular prediction will come out right. On rpietila's time zone, it may even be exact.

Risto is a boss, this is spooky accurate.

Wow, it's truly spot on!
I hope he predicts 10000 for the beginning of August or something Grin

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6847561

Quote from: rpietila

we are there earliest mid-July at 4700. If it postpones till August or longer, it also goes higher.

Oh wow!
Now I hope we are lower than 4700 mid-July!
Never thought I'd say that Cheesy

BitchicksHusband

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 255

Quote from: okthen on June 30, 2014, 05:19:13 PM

Quote from: thefunkybits on June 30, 2014, 03:21:30 PM

Quote from: eat_more_fruit on June 30, 2014, 03:10:36 PM

Quote from: rpietila on May 14, 2014, 01:27:05 PM

TL; DR: We are at 650 in the beginning of July, 2014.

Looks like this particular prediction will come out right. On rpietila's time zone, it may even be exact.

Risto is a boss, this is spooky accurate.

Wow, it's truly spot on!
I hope he predicts 10000 for the beginning of August or something Grin

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6847561

Quote from: rpietila

we are there earliest mid-July at 4700. If it postpones till August or longer, it also goes higher.

gentlemand

legendary

Activity: 2590

Merit: 3015

Welt Am Draht

Burying 666 forever will give me more satisfaction than hitting an ATH.

zimmah

legendary

Activity: 1106

Merit: 1005

Quote from: criptix on June 30, 2014, 03:51:50 PM

Quote from: ArticMine on June 30, 2014, 03:48:29 PM

Quote from: rpietila on June 17, 2014, 05:06:05 AM

The going rate before the announcement was 650 so anything below is already a discount.

Well it looks like the coins at auction went for a premium. https://twitter.com/barrysilbert and https://twitter.com/BitcoinBreak/status/483698871802277889. The question now becomes is how big a premium?

One thing is becoming clear those who sold in anticipation of this auction are likely taking a loss. The question again becomes how big a loss.

i think the question is more when do these people start to realize and panic buy? Cheesy

i think you are reffering to this:

Quote

Announcement: The SecondMarket / Bitcoin Investment Trust bidding syndicate for the US Marshals bitcoin auction was outbid on all blocks

I already expected (like any sensible person would) that the coins would go at a premium (the vocal majority here seemed to think otherwise), but this tweet makes me think they went for even more of a premium than i thought.

Also we can assume the losing bidders to buy bitcoins from exchanges soon.

also:

Quote

So basically at least USD$20MM of bitcoin buying demand went unsatisfied in the auction and will look elsewhere to buy bitcoins i.e. market

20M / 30k = 666.66 (lol)

seriously though, that means we will likely see the price surge to above $666 and leave it behind permanently i guess.

okthen

hero member

Activity: 490

Merit: 500

Quote from: thefunkybits on June 30, 2014, 03:21:30 PM

Quote from: eat_more_fruit on June 30, 2014, 03:10:36 PM

Quote from: rpietila on May 14, 2014, 01:27:05 PM

TL; DR: We are at 650 in the beginning of July, 2014.

Looks like this particular prediction will come out right. On rpietila's time zone, it may even be exact.

Risto is a boss, this is spooky accurate.

Wow, it's truly spot on!
I hope he predicts 10000 for the beginning of August or something Grin

pa

hero member

Activity: 528

Merit: 501

I think there's going to be a large increase in bitcoin price, to the mid-700's or possibly low 800's, during the week July 4 to July 11 because of the US holiday weekend, when family and friends will get together over barbecues and discuss sundry matters including Bitcoin. Holidays seem to aid in diffusion of knowledge and interest in Bitcoin. Has anyone else noticed the "holiday effect" on bitcoin prices? Any holiday technical analyses out there?

ArticMine

legendary

Activity: 2282

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Monero Core Team

Quote from: criptix on June 30, 2014, 03:51:50 PM

Quote from: ArticMine on June 30, 2014, 03:48:29 PM

Quote from: rpietila on June 17, 2014, 05:06:05 AM

The going rate before the announcement was 650 so anything below is already a discount.

Well it looks like the coins at auction went for a premium. https://twitter.com/barrysilbert and https://twitter.com/BitcoinBreak/status/483698871802277889. The question now becomes is how big a premium?

One thing is becoming clear those who sold in anticipation of this auction are likely taking a loss. The question again becomes how big a loss.

i think the question is more when do these people start to realize and panic buy? Cheesy

Starting of course with the losing bidders. What the losing bidders will or will not do and the amount of the losing bids may actually be more relevant than the amount of the winning bids. According to Coindesk there were 63 bidders. http://www.coindesk.com/us-marshals-release-new-data-silk-road-bitcoin-auction/. The majority of these deep pocketed bidders walked away from this auction with not even a single satoshi.

isov

full member

Activity: 155

Merit: 100

Quote from: ArticMine on June 30, 2014, 03:48:29 PM

Quote from: rpietila on June 17, 2014, 05:06:05 AM

The going rate before the announcement was 650 so anything below is already a discount.

Well it looks like the coins at auction went for a premium. https://twitter.com/barrysilbert and https://twitter.com/BitcoinBreak/status/483698871802277889. The question now becomes: How big a premium?

One thing is becoming clear those who sold in anticipation of this auction are likely taking a loss. The question again becomes: How big a loss?

This looks damn good to me! Starts to sound like the rails might be resonating a bit if you put your ear really really close and listen carefully...

aminorex

legendary

Activity: 1596

Merit: 1030

Sine secretum non libertas

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on June 30, 2014, 10:56:34 AM

Quote from: aminorex on June 27, 2014, 05:01:26 PM

Quote from: Biodom on June 27, 2014, 04:53:51 PM

It is diffucult to calculate the unknowable probabilities.
As an example, Drake equation together with Kepler data suggest that life should be all over the Universe, but so far-no indication of intelligence being present anywhere else-Fermi's paradox. My point is-it is diffucult to calculate the true probability of an event when too many variables are involved.

If you were intelligent, would you call Earth?

If you were intelligent, would you DESIGN Earth?

No, but I would design the multiverse within which its containing universe was possible.

criptix

legendary

Activity: 2464

Merit: 1145

Quote from: ArticMine on June 30, 2014, 03:48:29 PM

Quote from: rpietila on June 17, 2014, 05:06:05 AM

The going rate before the announcement was 650 so anything below is already a discount.

Well it looks like the coins at auction went for a premium. https://twitter.com/barrysilbert and https://twitter.com/BitcoinBreak/status/483698871802277889. The question now becomes is how big a premium?

One thing is becoming clear those who sold in anticipation of this auction are likely taking a loss. The question again becomes how big a loss.

i think the question is more when do these people start to realize and panic buy? Cheesy

ArticMine

legendary

Activity: 2282

Merit: 1050

Monero Core Team

Quote from: rpietila on June 17, 2014, 05:06:05 AM

The going rate before the announcement was 650 so anything below is already a discount.

Well it looks like the coins at auction went for a premium. https://twitter.com/barrysilbert and https://twitter.com/BitcoinBreak/status/483698871802277889. The question now becomes: How big a premium?

One thing is becoming clear those who sold in anticipation of this auction are likely taking a loss. The question again becomes: How big a loss?

thefunkybits

legendary

Activity: 1218

Merit: 1000

Quote from: eat_more_fruit on June 30, 2014, 03:10:36 PM

Quote from: rpietila on May 14, 2014, 01:27:05 PM

TL; DR: We are at 650 in the beginning of July, 2014.

Looks like this particular prediction will come out right. On rpietila's time zone, it may even be exact.

Risto is a boss, this is spooky accurate.

eat_more_fruit

newbie

Activity: 25

Merit: 0

Quote from: rpietila on May 14, 2014, 01:27:05 PM

TL; DR: We are at 650 in the beginning of July, 2014.

Looks like this particular prediction will come out right. On rpietila's time zone, it may even be exact.

But how long will the price stay at $650? It looks like it is just passing through on its way to higher ground. How high? I guess we need to know more about just what happened at the auction before saying much. But I take it the almighty floodgates will not open just yet; for that, we need the Lawsky announcement on NYS regulatory framework, followed by the SEC's on the Winklevoss ETF.

On the heels of those two events, we will quickly be able to assess the accuracy of certain other, longer-term predictions.

Its About Sharing

legendary

Activity: 1442

Merit: 1000

Antifragile

Just wanted to share some of my Gann charts. I have back-tested the ratio's used (comparing many and finding the best over time). Past charts have been very accurate and if you closely study these you will see they are fairly accurate.

The first chart is my "down chart" and the second is my "up" chart. The down chart is longer term and I based the up chart on the break of the downtrend (of course.)
Basically, the red diagonal lines and the black lines are resistance lines. The red bands are resistance/support and the green bands are "boosts" (usually).

On this first chart we are very close to resistance (red) just above current levels. But if we break that then resistance would be the double red band above and to the right.

You can see that the double green band acted as a spring to move up from. And now we are once again in it.
Being above the red diagonal line is significant. That was HEAVY resistance, so we are in a good place overall.

nioc

legendary

Activity: 1624

Merit: 1008

Quote from: BitchicksHusband on June 30, 2014, 11:01:46 AM

Quote from: Biodom on June 29, 2014, 06:46:14 PM

Quote from: DieJohnny on June 29, 2014, 04:21:08 PM

Life on earth is 3.5 billion years old, the life of the universe is 17 billion years. Before our star was even born life could have existed elsewhere for 13 billion years!!!

Think of what we have discovered about DNA and life in a mere 100 years of modern science. Now fast forward even 1 billion years from now!!!

It is more probable than not that we are simply an experiment in creation by what we either call Aliens or Gods. The religious prefer God because they have no other explanation for it. In a billion years will we have harnessed the knowledge of the suns, the galaxy, DNA, life itself? Will we not be able to travel through space at our will? Will we not be Gods to others? Of course we will. We have historical proof, Columbus was a God to the Americas.

Earth is a fish bowl, a petri dish, a scientific experiment, we are the subjects, for now.

Universe is 13.8 bil years old, not 17 bil
Life on earth is 3.8 bil years old

However, the rest of the post is pure speculation.

Sounds like all speculation then. How many times has the supposed age of the universe changed in the last 20 years? Why believe it this time?

Because our measurements keep getting better to the point that the changes to our estimations get smaller each time. The last change was due to the information from the Planck satellite which has given us the most precise measurements of the cosmic microwave background radiation. It detects variations to, if I remember correctly, of around a millionth of a degree. This changed our best estimate from 13.7 to 13.8 billion years. You will still see it listed as 13.7 in some places.

Theories are nice but you must do experiments to test them.

molecular

donator

Activity: 2772

Merit: 1019

Quote from: vokain on June 30, 2014, 03:50:30 AM

Quote from: molecular on June 30, 2014, 02:42:07 AM

Quote from: BTCfan1 on June 30, 2014, 12:10:39 AM

so can we assume we will know the auction results start of business day Monday? 9am EST?

I don't think they will publish the results.

I think you can tell from the market price though

Quote from: https://twitter.com/dan_pantera/status/483671815081177088

US Marshal's #bitcoin auction results out within 3 hours. Should be strong.

(@dan_pantera)

I guess that means "results to participants".

David Latapie

hero member

Activity: 658

Merit: 503

Monero Core Team

Quote from: Miz4r on June 29, 2014, 06:58:29 AM

I believe the Universe is absolutely teeming with (intelligent) life, but not all life is in the form we can see or recognize yet. However I think we will make great discoveries in this matter within the next 100 years which will turn our entire world view upside down, if we don't kill ourselves beforehand that is. I actually wouldn't be surprised if we are already being visited, studied and observed by more advanced forms of life, and that they're keeping a low profile on purpose.

Watch this and ponders

Christophe Adami - Finding life we can't imagine

The main reason why we did not find extrasolar planets for so long is that we did not know where to find. Well, Adami is proposing a solution to this "we were not looking at the right place" problem for the matter of alien life. And this is a damn seducing idea

Plus, it works for biologic life, digital life and memetic life.

One of my favourite TED talks

BitchicksHusband

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 255

Quote from: Biodom on June 29, 2014, 06:46:14 PM

Quote from: DieJohnny on June 29, 2014, 04:21:08 PM

Life on earth is 3.5 billion years old, the life of the universe is 17 billion years. Before our star was even born life could have existed elsewhere for 13 billion years!!!

Think of what we have discovered about DNA and life in a mere 100 years of modern science. Now fast forward even 1 billion years from now!!!

It is more probable than not that we are simply an experiment in creation by what we either call Aliens or Gods. The religious prefer God because they have no other explanation for it. In a billion years will we have harnessed the knowledge of the suns, the galaxy, DNA, life itself? Will we not be able to travel through space at our will? Will we not be Gods to others? Of course we will. We have historical proof, Columbus was a God to the Americas.

Earth is a fish bowl, a petri dish, a scientific experiment, we are the subjects, for now.

Universe is 13.8 bil years old, not 17 bil
Life on earth is 3.8 bil years old

However, the rest of the post is pure speculation.

Sounds like all speculation then. How many times has the supposed age of the universe changed in the last 20 years? Why believe it this time?

BitchicksHusband

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 255

Quote from: phatsphere on June 29, 2014, 04:33:38 PM

Quote from: DieJohnny on June 29, 2014, 04:21:08 PM

Columbus was a God to the Americas.

your posting is fine, but not this part. columbus was a cruel slave trader. he started a massive exploitation of people, slave trade with small girls for sex, introduced bad diseases and much more.

http://latinamericanhistory.about.com/od/thevoyagesofcolumbus/a/09columbustruth.htm (and much more)

most of the "americans" do not celebrate columbus day at all, rather, they hate that day.

and about discovering america, the name you should have in your head is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leif_Erikson

Do you have an ACTUAL historical reference (not a PC "history book" style reference) to Columbus being a slave trader?

BitchicksHusband

sr. member

Activity: 378

Merit: 255

Quote from: aminorex on June 27, 2014, 05:01:26 PM

Quote from: Biodom on June 27, 2014, 04:53:51 PM

It is diffucult to calculate the unknowable probabilities.
As an example, Drake equation together with Kepler data suggest that life should be all over the Universe, but so far-no indication of intelligence being present anywhere else-Fermi's paradox. My point is-it is diffucult to calculate the true probability of an event when too many variables are involved.

If you were intelligent, would you call Earth?

If you were intelligent, would you DESIGN Earth?

Topic: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) - page 157. (Read 907229 times)