Pages:
Author

Topic: Something, something, something, technical analysis - page 19. (Read 31170 times)

hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Well, guess what -- once a sufficient number of people believe the bottom is in, there's only one way left: up.

That it happened faster and more violently than expected is thanks to our friendly whale, but I don't see a reason to question the direction we're in altogether as a result.

Well guess what, a lot of people believed that lower lows were around the corner. I wasn't one of them but did believe in a much stronger correction than to just $535. The market was not moving. Holders of Bitcoin unwilling to sell at mid $500s, buyers unwilling to buy. If Bitcoin isn't going to increase in value, then it will be sold as most people have no use for it other than as a means of wealth accumulation. As things turned out, the whale came out of knowhere and triggered a mad buying surge and I got my ass spanked with short sell that I came out of much too late.....Still had great profiting opportunity on surge North....but managed to cut my own throat to the tune of 50% less profit on that one as well. I am a shite trader. I need to get a good buying point and just fkn hold.

Now we are back where we were in terms of market stagnation, except a a whole $100 higher up the ladder. Now we don't need to correct back to upper $400's lower $500s, but upper $500's /lower $600's. Either that or have another whale come to market.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
hm
Noone seems to be intereted. But we had the exact same pattern when we hit the 600$ one week ago. Because the rise was so quickly, there war not resistence at 600$. After correction the resistence at 600$ was building up and it was hard to beat. How did we come to the 700$? Did we come over 700$? Was happend next?
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
I am fond of those short-term and shortsighted updates.
Next will be a candlestick Minute time Intervall update
Yo Sen (bullish) und In Sen (bearish)
 Hammer (bullish) und Hanging Man (bearish)
Seriously though, if a daily time frame (based on 15min candles for precision) and the question whether it'll resolve upwards or downwards is too short-termy for your taste, you're probably in the wrong forum and/or currency-slash-investment.
short term and short sighted: to miss the forest for the trees
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
Small Red and Bad
But... but TERA told me we couldn't go above $666?  Cry

 Tongue Cheesy

We would still be in the $500's if it weren't for those rounds of 3K strong buy-in walls.


We would be in the $700's if it weren't for that incompetent Karpeles - fat thief.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
But... but TERA told me we couldn't go above $666?  Cry

 Tongue Cheesy

We would still be in the $500's if it weren't for those rounds of 3K strong buy-in walls.

Nobody can account for this sort of erratic action from a very deep pocket source that came right in out of few. Since Monday, market has went back to condition it was in. No volume  except traders and exchange bots, slowly grinding down until some 'event' happens to kick its arse in one direction or the other.



Since you keep harping on about that point, I shall do the same about mine: That "whale" didn't do anything that wouldn't have happened anyway. He was just slightly faster than the big pile of smaller traders.

I've already used (and overused) the "match blowing up a room full of gunpowder" analogy, so here's another one: go back 5 days and ask in here "is the bottom in, yes or no?". You know the answer to that hypothetical question as well as I do: A mumbly "yes, but probably we're still not going up yet". Well, guess what -- once a sufficient number of people believe the bottom is in, there's only one way left: up.

That it happened faster and more violently than expected is thanks to our friendly whale, but I don't see a reason to question the direction we're in altogether as a result.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
But... but TERA told me we couldn't go above $666?  Cry

 Tongue Cheesy

We would still be in the $500's if it weren't for those rounds of 3K strong buy-in walls.

Nobody can account for this sort of erratic action from a very deep pocket source that came right in out of few. Since Monday, market has went back to condition it was in. No volume  except traders and exchange bots, slowly grinding down until some 'event' happens to kick its arse in one direction or the other.

legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
I am fond of those short-term and shortsighted updates.
Next will be a candlestick Minute time Intervall update
Yo Sen (bullish) und In Sen (bearish)
 Hammer (bullish) und Hanging Man (bearish)

Thank you for your valuable critique.

Seriously though, if a daily time frame (based on 15min candles for precision) and the question whether it'll resolve upwards or downwards is too short-termy for your taste, you're probably in the wrong forum and/or currency-slash-investment.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
Short-term update.
Bullish pennant, anyone? (EDIT: "bullish", because continuation of previous upwards move predicted by this pattern)


I am fond of those short-term and shortsighted updates.
Next will be a candlestick Minute time Intervall update
Yo Sen (bullish) und In Sen (bearish)
 Hammer (bullish) und Hanging Man (bearish)
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
I think we are going up purely based on the bearish sentiment and the past april crash pattern alone

The price seem to come and sneak up when u least expect it Cool
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
How do you determine that is a bullish pennant rather than bearish?

I would have to say I also believe the push up was manipulated. The way the buys went thru was so similar the entire rally. Buy wall -> move up -> get sold in to. Five or more times? So about 6m USD?

Now we havent seen another whale, so, unless random people come with fiat and decide its time to go up again, I cant see how we will go anywhere but down..

I sure hope it continues up though.

It's defined to be a continuation pattern, and since the preceding move (on the same time frame) was very clearly up, it's bullish.

I have argue before in one of Mat's threads that, even though I personally also jumped on the big upwards move rather late, I don't see it as (mainly) manipulation, but rather built up buying pressure being released after some (whale, maybe) first mover got things in motion*. I'm not sure enough of this myself however to want to convince others of this, so you own interpretation is as good as mine.


* I used an analogy of a guy lighting a match in a room full of gun powder. It'd be odd to me to call the resulting explosion the result of "lighting a match", without attributing it to the stockpile of gunpowder at least as much.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
How do you determine that is a bullish pennant rather than bearish?

I would have to say I also believe the push up was manipulated. The way the buys went thru was so similar the entire rally. Buy wall -> move up -> get sold in to. Five or more times? So about 6m USD?

Now we havent seen another whale, so, unless random people come with fiat and decide its time to go up again, I cant see how we will go anywhere but down..

I sure hope it continues up though.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
Short-term update.

Bullish pennant, anyone? (EDIT: "bullish", because continuation of previous upwards move predicted by this pattern)



Guess we'll see within the coming days. If we continue the sideways dance a bit longer, I see a good chance we're going to continue to go up.

At the same time, there seems to be some real fear in the air that the latest upwards move was a "forced" attempt to prematurely end the consolidation, so a major individual move (i.e. a whale dump or buy) could relatively easily break the balance early.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
We will most likely hover between 500-700 during March.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
I think the mkt will snap back really hard next week

legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
downtrend already broken?  that is absolutely ludicrous

*February* downtrend. Almost certainly, yes. Whether the bigger downtrend is about to reverse or not is the open question IMO.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
downtrend already broken?  that is absolutely ludicrous
full member
Activity: 336
Merit: 100
Love "fool's trend line".

Can you elaborate on "improper RSI" for a recovery? MACD seemed OK, imho, though.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
I see that bear services have been requested here. While I have been bullish lately, I will be glad to make a good old bear chart



hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
Never saw 5-wave decline. More and more leaning towards something like this:



Bounce and close above momental channel ~ 620-630 and I lean towards trend reversal. But the bull case is on shaky footing as is.

Edit: Divergences.

Pages:
Jump to: