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Topic: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ COPA America ⚽ Prediction Pool Discussion Thread - page 4. (Read 2296 times)

legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 5874
light_warrior ... 🕯️
Trofo, Btw, my searches for the situation you mentioned were unsuccessful ... But, this is really a discovery for me ... and the point is not even that until this year I did not track COPA America, but that I held a parallel with the European championship, (but I will still hope that in the end I will be right with my prediction).
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
To be honest, I'm a little surprised that people predict a huge number of yellow cards in the free betting contest ... 20+ cards in 4 games, seriously? While you guys may know something that I don't know, even my 12-cards prediction seems a bit exaggerated to me, [I understand that this tournament is more dynamic, but still].
south americans get a little more aggressive during international games Cheesy it's extremely unlikely that a match over there finishes without a single player getting booked, something very, very likely to happen in the Euro for example. It's like part of the football culture in south america, intense, fierce and aggressive football

check out the cards stats in the Copa America 2019 here, TL;DR: an avg of 5 cards per game

you can even check the total booking odds in your favorite bookie. No way you'll find good value in under 2.5/over 1.5 cards, pretty much everyone expects a bloodbath (not literally, you know what i mean lol)
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 1030
The Best Tipster on the Forum!!
Finally I didn't forgot to post my prediction in competition Cheesy.
On paper Brazil - Chile sounds like a good game, but Chile don't look good so far and I doubt that Brazil will have issues.
Uruguay - Colombia sounds like most interesting game. And my random prediction that Paraguay - Peru will be boring game which will come to extra time and maybe penalties.
Im expecting a final between Argentina and Brazil if some surprises dont come. Chile looks really bad this year and i dont think they have a much chance in this match. Uruguay is also fighting hard to score they play good but Cavani has been struggling the entire tournament so far
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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To be honest, I'm a little surprised that people predict a huge number of yellow cards in the free betting contest ... 20+ cards in 4 games, seriously? While you guys may know something that I don't know, even my 12-cards prediction seems a bit exaggerated to me, [I understand that this tournament is more dynamic, but still].
The thing with the cards in copa is that there is good probability that at least one of the games will end with half of the players booked. For instance if we see an ugly start early in the game then South Americans take revenge for that. Then you get revenge on revenge and a nice fight to top it off a after a couple of revenge starts. Seen it often enough when stakes are lower.....
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 5874
light_warrior ... 🕯️
To be honest, I'm a little surprised that people predict a huge number of yellow cards in the free betting contest ... 20+ cards in 4 games, seriously? While you guys may know something that I don't know, even my 12-cards prediction seems a bit exaggerated to me, [I understand that this tournament is more dynamic, but still].
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 1375
Slava Ukraini!
Finally I didn't forgot to post my prediction in competition Cheesy.
On paper Brazil - Chile sounds like a good game, but Chile don't look good so far and I doubt that Brazil will have issues.
Uruguay - Colombia sounds like most interesting game. And my random prediction that Paraguay - Peru will be boring game which will come to extra time and maybe penalties.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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I would skip anything related to 1X2, O/U, and correct scores going forward...since we are competing against each other, we don't want to give away our
I posted new competition and after hitting send I realized I sort of dropped the ball on this one Smiley Still think it is not a big problem but if you guys pick "no goal option" you are actually giving away your predicted final score. Or maybe just messing with others  Cool

For instance I went with "no goal" in the contest and put 1:1 in Superbru for Uruguay match.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 5874
light_warrior ... 🕯️
Brazil really has open road to final. I have a feeling Argentina will manage to loose in the semi-finals. [...]
It seems to me that the Brazilian players are bored to play in this tournament ... and while Argentina has a good line-up, they don't look brilliantб, (hopefully in the near future we will see more tension than there was in the group stage matches). I will not deny that my opinion may be subjective, given that I equate the game of the Argentinean national team to the times of Maradonna and that I am not a fan of Barça.  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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Road to the Final for Brazil looks like a piece of cake. Argentina looked superb in the group stage so i don't see them having issues in the knockout stage (unless the mandatory argentinian choke kicks in early lol). Brazil - Argentina in the legendary stadium of Maracana. Epic
Brazil really has open road to final. I have a feeling Argentina will manage to loose in the semi-finals. It will be a tough low scoring draw against Uruguay/Colombia and then losing on penalties.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars

https://copaamerica.com/en/news/quarterfinals-confirmed-conmebol-copa-america-2021/

Road to the Final for Brazil looks like a piece of cake. Argentina looked superb in the group stage so i don't see them having issues in the knockout stage (unless the mandatory argentinian choke kicks in early lol). Brazil - Argentina in the legendary stadium of Maracana. Epic
legendary
Activity: 3486
Merit: 1055
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Top 3 after 4 matches in round 5, congratulations @DIA7 and @hahay



All the matches of the group stage are over. Argentina is top of Group A with 10 points ✌️. Brazil is top of Group B with 10 points.

I am an Argentine supporter, when Argentina drew the first match, many of my friends said that Argentina would not be able to get the top spot in Group A, and Argentina plays defensively. So, They can't score more than 1 or 2 arrows but yesterday they beat Bolivia 4-1 Cool. Those who have watched the match have been able to enjoy Messi's extraordinary magical goal.

On the other hand, Brazil is the most favorite team in Copa America, but there is no shortage of talented players in their squad. They have won the first 3 matches. They drew the last match against a weak team like Ecuador (In this match, I lost my bet). From what I saw in Brazil's match against Ecuador, I realized that Brazil's attack is not very strong without Neymar. If Neymar is injured later, then the victory against the strong team of Brazil will be difficult.
Yes, thank you very much. But I don't think the stats are that important and in fact, I hardly ever check my progress for each round. Because even though in this round it looks good but still, in the leaderboard I'm still far below. Cheesy
Regarding Argentina and Brazil I personally still support Brazil but to be honest, at this moment the match becomes more difficult to predict maybe because of the pandemic situation.
By the way, congratulations to you, who are still at the top of the leaderboard.
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0
Today Argentina beat Bolivia by 4-1.Lionel Messi scored 2 goals.
On quarterfinal Argentina will play with Ecuador.
I think this time Argentina has a great chance to win the Copa America Cup.
What do you think??
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
.
Top 3 after 4 matches in round 5, congratulations @DIA7 and @hahay



All the matches of the group stage are over. Argentina is top of Group A with 10 points ✌️. Brazil is top of Group B with 10 points.

I am an Argentine supporter, when Argentina drew the first match, many of my friends said that Argentina would not be able to get the top spot in Group A, and Argentina plays defensively. So, They can't score more than 1 or 2 arrows but yesterday they beat Bolivia 4-1 Cool. Those who have watched the match have been able to enjoy Messi's extraordinary magical goal.

On the other hand, Brazil is the most favorite team in Copa America, but there is no shortage of talented players in their squad. They have won the first 3 matches. They drew the last match against a weak team like Ecuador (In this match, I lost my bet). From what I saw in Brazil's match against Ecuador, I realized that Brazil's attack is not very strong without Neymar. If Neymar is injured later, then the victory against the strong team of Brazil will be difficult.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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@Trofo  Some suggestions for the next freebet promo: 'First team to score', or 'Type of 1st goal in every match',  'Total number of yellow cards in all 4 matches combined', 'total shots on target by X + Y team'.

c'mon, people, share your suggestions. Don't be shy  Grin
Like them all except Type of the first goal. That one can be tricky to judge sometimes so I will avoid it. You think you included everything and then happens a shot which gets deflected and somebody feels cheated no matter what. Or guy scores a goal with his knee or shoulder. Does not happen often but happens when you don't need it Smiley

I used to play next goal header couple of years ago on a regular basis and I can tell you a header after corner very often gets deflected or the attacker catches the ball with his head and shoulder or some combination and you never feel good waiting for the bookie to judge the situation.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
@Trofo  Some suggestions for the next freebet promo: 'First team to score', or 'Type of 1st goal in every match',  'Total number of yellow cards in all 4 matches combined', 'total shots on target by X + Y team'.

c'mon, people, share your suggestions. Don't be shy  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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Not sure how many more mini-competitions have you guys planned, maybe do the corners and yellow cards once more, i personally liked those two. I would skip anything related to 1X2, O/U, and correct scores going forward...since we are competing against each other, we don't want to give away our leans.
As per our sponsorship deal with Sportsbet I can award up to 2 mBTC per week on our side competitions for as long as Copa lasts. We had roughly 2 competitions per week each paying 1 mBTC so far. When we get to knockout stages depending on number of games per week maybe I'll do just one with better rewards.

Point taken about 1x2 and O/U, I'll avoid those going forward. Don't think it was an issue so far but it could become one especially as we are going to the end of competition and every point becomes more important.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 2061
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New Sportsbet free bet mini competition is up, as I said there I am running out of ideas so feel free to propose something. If you don't have any ideas at least let me know which one was the best for you or worst so I know which ones to repeat Smiley

Not sure how many more mini-competitions have you guys planned, maybe do the corners and yellow cards once more, i personally liked those two. I would skip anything related to 1X2, O/U, and correct scores going forward...since we are competing against each other, we don't want to give away our leans.  Anyway, a tight race so far, unironically one single exact score can shoot you up from 10th to 1st place and there are not that many matches left (12 to be exact), man it's going to be a wild finish.


What's the probability of Maxi Gomez scoring in this situation (t'was the last minute of added time @2:0)? Penalties have xG of 0.76, this should be at least and close to 0.99, right?  It's basically a penalty without the goalkeeper. Grin


image source: https://www.youtube.com/
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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Bump



New Sportsbet free bet mini competition is up, as I said there I am running out of ideas so feel free to propose something. If you don't have any ideas at least let me know which one was the best for you or worst so I know which ones to repeat Smiley

It is about time for group stages to end and real stuff begins. I am expecting much more passion, fouls and controversy in the later stages as usual with South Americans.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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Tempted to watch Uruguay match tonight, they've got to be scoring now surely?
If they don't score tonight they deserve to drop out from the group which is virtually impossible. Copa has a format where only last team from the group goes home which allows for rather boring group stage. If you are a favorite like Brazil you could literally let the youngsters play and keep your first 11 for knockout stages.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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@icopress I don't think I've ever won any of the pools, any prize places, so you can be assured if you're even a bit above average you've got a good chance as plenty of people like me giving free money for pools haha. Freebets since SB started sponsoring have been great though.

Brazil do look like they're inevitably going to the final don't they?

Tempted to watch Uruguay match tonight, they've got to be scoring now surely?
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