⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 94.

darxiaomi

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Quote from: slaman29 on March 13, 2022, 09:59:00 AM

Man, Sevilla. I don't know why I was so confident in picking them. The odds given by bookies should have given me a clue about how they would perform. 3 subs made at 55th minute was a gamble as it brought the first shot from a great cross, in the entire game, to equalize. Only chance after that was penalty that VAR removed. Rayo I guess deserved to win if you look at the chances created and blocks, so if Sevilla want this title they better find a way to play more creatively and get the best out of Ocampos.

Off to bed, Barca too late for me

Sorry for being late but, i thing the main problem here can be the Rayo pitch, you maybe say, why?.
The pitch of the Rayo its extremely short, and for a few teams this its very complicated, you have less spaces and you have to adapt good for the foward kicks.

I know this because here in Argentina in the First Division we have one pitch like that the pitch of Argentinos Juniors, and a lot of team suffer for this condition.
Its only a few meters but its a lot of difference.

Anyways if Sevilla wants to fight the title you need to win.

LTU_btc

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Quote from: casperBGD on March 13, 2022, 02:07:13 PM

Sociedad just scored, and they will probably win home match, as expected
all matches, except for Atletico on Friday, are under2.5, is this a moment to chase goals on Barca or what?

against Osasuna, there could be over3.5 or even over4.5, odds are not great, but I like to bet over statistics, and there is only one 3 goal match in this round so far

Now I can't find stats, but I think average number of goals in La Liga is lowest from all top 5 leagues, it's below than 2,5 goals. So, probably it's nothing surprising that we have another low scoring round.
But for Barca game, I made over 2,5 goals bet without thinking much. Odds for over 3,5 goals wasn't bad, but this time I decided better safe than sorry. I haven't saw such one-sided game for a while. It was good warm-up before decisive game with Galatasaray and El Clasico next week. I think our main players didn't got tired much today.

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Quote from: casperBGD on March 13, 2022, 02:07:13 PM

Sociedad just scored, and they will probably win home match, as expected
all matches, except for Atletico on Friday, are under2.5, is this a moment to chase goals on Barca or what?

against Osasuna, there could be over3.5 or even over4.5, odds are not great, but I like to bet over statistics, and there is only one 3 goal match in this round so far

Could be a nice bet, I like to finish the Sunday with casual multi where I add few over or both to score games. Especially if I have some extra cash in the betting bank.

Barca did not score against Galatasaray during the week, and this round has been low in goals so I guess we could see return to the mean. Did not watch a single game in La Liga yet this week so I am getting ready for Barca. From what you guys are writing, does not seem like I missed much.

casperBGD

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Sociedad just scored, and they will probably win home match, as expected
all matches, except for Atletico on Friday, are under2.5, is this a moment to chase goals on Barca or what?

against Osasuna, there could be over3.5 or even over4.5, odds are not great, but I like to bet over statistics, and there is only one 3 goal match in this round so far

slaman29

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Man, Sevilla. I don't know why I was so confident in picking them. The odds given by bookies should have given me a clue about how they would perform. 3 subs made at 55th minute was a gamble as it brought the first shot from a great cross, in the entire game, to equalize. Only chance after that was penalty that VAR removed. Rayo I guess deserved to win if you look at the chances created and blocks, so if Sevilla want this title they better find a way to play more creatively and get the best out of Ocampos.

Off to bed, Barca too late for me

buwaytress

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Quote from: casperBGD on March 12, 2022, 04:43:20 PM

it is still ten rounds to go, but I think that for Valencia league season is over, there is only one match that count, and that is CDR final in a month or so
as a fan, I am never betting on Valencia, but with this in mind, I would even consider to bet on them, can't go up, can't go down, it is just playing for fun IMO

it is still goalless in Getafe, there was a goal disallowed for home team, and yeah, they are wanting the win more
but, it would be great to finish 0:0, to have a binary round today, 1:1, 0:1, 1:0 and 0:0

Yeah, another season down the drain. I love a great physical style as much as any, but "hats off" to Valencia and Getafe and others who've proven that Simeone isn't the only one who wants to turn the La Liga into a battlefield of fouls. Had no idea you were a fan but it must really hurt to see your team fall far below its potential. Battling teams and fighting games are only worth it if you get wins but last night was an example of a terrible way to lose spirit, players, get suspensions, and end up with a shit point.

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Quote from: buwaytress on March 12, 2022, 03:58:42 PM

~snip

Didn't matter, I was picking on form and Valencia's also a no-go for my tickets these days. Weird it's nil-nil at HT and no sending offs given they're both living on the edge. Maybe just full of fresh players.

it is still ten rounds to go, but I think that for Valencia league season is over, there is only one match that count, and that is CDR final in a month or so
as a fan, I am never betting on Valencia, but with this in mind, I would even consider to bet on them, can't go up, can't go down, it is just playing for fun IMO

it is still goalless in Getafe, there was a goal disallowed for home team, and yeah, they are wanting the win more
but, it would be great to finish 0:0, to have a binary round today, 1:1, 0:1, 1:0 and 0:0

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on March 12, 2022, 06:08:49 AM

anyway, i just noticed the bookies have Getafe as main fav against Valencia 🤔 the former are winless in the last four games, Valencia is on a winning streak, not sure why Valencia are the underdog here... they would've given my weekend parlays a nice boost in odds but i saw it too late

Probably injuries and suspensions, Valencia does love getting themselves into the books: 6 red cards and numerous yellows, they top the La Liga table in disciplinary action (top means they're very naughty haha). Getafe's actually coming in hot at second place HAHA. Spain is awash with reds though, and Real, since losing Ramos, actually haven't even got their first sending off yet this season!

Didn't matter, I was picking on form and Valencia's also a no-go for my tickets these days. Weird it's nil-nil at HT and no sending offs given they're both living on the edge. Maybe just full of fresh players.

slaman29

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I did notice Getafe at 2x and a bit over but I still left them out of my multibets, not that it makes a difference since I lost them all in past 2 days. I didn't do anything much at all, still waiting for one multibet to end with Serie A.

Levante is the match I can watch today and it's still scoreless why don't they play Barca games early hehe

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Quote from: buwaytress on March 11, 2022, 03:46:56 PM

I know that's their style but even Simeone's yelling at his players to calm down haha.

yeah, the players looked too nervous (Reinildo should've been sent off tbh), but then again, when you have FC Barcelona and Real betis breathing down your neck in the league table, it's easy to lose your composure when things don't go your away in a game against a team (Cadiz) that's fighting in the relegation zone yet it's putting up a tremendous fight

anyway, i just noticed the bookies have Getafe as main fav against Valencia 🤔 the former are winless in the last four games, Valencia is on a winning streak, not sure why Valencia are the underdog here... they would've given my weekend parlays a nice boost in odds but i saw it too late

buwaytress

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Great start from Atletico, but for some reason their players have been absolutely reckless. Carrasco getting a shit yellow for cursing at the ref, and then Reinildo went for a full-blooded 2-foot challenge... at the halfway line. Should have been sent off actually, but VAR weirdly downgraded ref's decision. Really lucky, they're actually doing ok, don't know why the nonsensical fouls. I know that's their style but even Simeone's yelling at his players to calm down haha.

My prediction already out of contention for exact at HT.

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Quote from: Trofo on March 08, 2022, 02:44:32 PM

New free bet challenge is up, go make your predictions.

This is first time this season I could not find a single derby over the weekend so we have a couple of lower profile but still hopefully interesting games. Not gonna tell you what they are, go check it out yourself

Betis-Bilbao may not be the most exciting games for a lot of people so in this spirit I will mark this one for a draw in the pool, but it should be a tight 2-1 win for either side.

Thanks as always for your dedication Trofo

Italy and Spain games for me have so many clear favorites but we were let down often in Serie A while La Liga mainly kept to the picks. If it swings this weekend, I deserve it lol

Trofo

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New free bet challenge is up, go make your predictions.

This is first time this season I could not find a single derby over the weekend so we have a couple of lower profile but still hopefully interesting games. Not gonna tell you what they are, go check it out yourself

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^^
I also advise this bet on Sassuolo they are a strong team and many have underestimated them from the beginning of the season.
Have them as my favorite team of the league on the superbru site and almost always put them on my betslip when they play.
Hope you get that win on the big parlay and on this hedge bet as they have juicy odds for both.
May the green machine make you rich.

slaman29

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tomahawk9, Trofo, buwaytress Thanks for all the different responses

So I think this is a bit leaning for going for a hedge so I will go for the smaller advice of just putting 1.5x the same stake on the event of Sassuolo not winning.

I totally love this idea of betting even more if Sassuolo score first, for example if you see in my pick I waited for over 30 minutes to pass before I put Barca to score 2 goals as I totally believed they could eventually do it. And if I only can stay up to watch games I would bet on Barca live every time they go behind lol.

Thanks guys! Asian Handicap +0.5 instead of Double Chance as odds much higher.

This way if my original bet wins I still have almost 5 mbtc profit. At the moment this doubles my bankroll. If you remember a few weeks ago I was almost zero, then I put all of my amount into Barca in Blackjack and turned 0.23 mbtc into 4.6 mbtc. Few more Barca wins and I am now 5.59 after this handicap bet. So whatever happens now it will grow woo!

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Quote from: slaman29 on March 07, 2022, 06:38:11 AM

What do you think, should I cash out or go for it?

You get more if you just go for hedge bet as buwaytress said. My way is to hedge it with some minimal amount just so "lady luck" notice it and I at least get my stake back. When the game starts and if Sassuolo scores first then you have really good hedge options, here I go with bigger amounts to cover the winnings. In the end it actually comes down to how important (% of betting bank) that ticket is for you? If it is small percentage I would just let it run, if it is big, definitely hedge it.

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Quote from: darxiaomi on March 07, 2022, 08:16:50 AM

Mmmmmm i really dont know what to say.
If you bank its low, cahs out but if you have good bank behind go to win the full price.
Sassuolo its a very offensive team but like all the mid table teams their suffer a lot of inconsistency, and Salernitana its in home and need the points for no going to Serie B.

Gambling is based on two step.One is risk and the second is better luck Next time.Only the people having a guts to face the loss are advised to practice of gambling.You should not worry or Cry for the loss at any cost.You should feel the scenario of the next profit.It may take huge time, but you have to wait for it. Learn from the loss in gambling. When you lose, you should only lose money.You should not lose of hope and learn good knowledge from it.

buwaytress

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Yeah, am seeing a few news articles now questioning Torres, don't really know haven't watched. I think the calls are premature though.

@slaman29: Hell yeah! I agree with toma! That's a sweet looking bet slip right there, something I like to do too (having one leg many days away, usually my leg is Liverpool on either a ML or HT bet). But definitely wouldn't cash out. Sassuolo isn't really a team to trust but they couldn't be playing a weaker team.

Trofo will agree this is a beautiful bet to hedge though, and Salernitana double chance even without price boost is over 2/1. Maybe 1.5 mbtc bet on that if you want to bring home something nice... just a bit less than if you cash out. And if your leg wins you still get 4.3 mbtc, which is really cool 21/1 win nett.

Besides, you're already insured so worst scenario is you get your bet back, only you've to put it on 2/1 to "get the cash refund".

tomahawk9

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Quote from: slaman29 on March 07, 2022, 06:38:11 AM

What do you think, should I cash out or go for it?

https://i.imgur.com/DivysUB.png

Sassuolo are going through a nice four-game unbeatean streak which includes a draw against Roma and a 2-0 upset against Inter. Salernitana's home record this season: 1W (in october against 19th place Genoa), 4 draws (hellas, bologna, spezia, AC milan), 8 games lost. Go for it
that cash out is so low, 4 out of 5 and only 2.29. ugh, i hate cash out options Grin

darxiaomi

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Mmmmmm i really dont know what to say.
If you bank its low, cahs out but if you have good bank behind go to win the full price.
Sassuolo its a very offensive team but like all the mid table teams their suffer a lot of inconsistency, and Salernitana its in home and need the points for no going to Serie B.

Topic: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 94. (Read 31322 times)