🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 - page 211.

DireWolfM14

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Quote from: nutildah on January 09, 2021, 04:31:18 PM

I just don't see the Rams winning here given their QB situation. Sad to root against "my team" for money but what are you gonna do.

Bittersweet victory there? Sorry for the loss of your funds, but congrats to the Rams and Goff for the win.

They are likely to be off to Green Bay next weekend. If they can handle the Packers like they did the Seahawks, I think they can make it to the big dance.

wheelz1200

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Quote from: wheelz1200 on January 09, 2021, 04:44:35 PM

Quote from: nutildah on January 09, 2021, 04:31:18 PM

Quote from: suchmoon on January 09, 2021, 04:28:38 PM

Quote from: suchmoon on January 07, 2021, 05:19:10 PM

Bills -3.5

I'm off to a good start LOL

Now I gotta root for seachickens ugh

It was a bit too close for comfort for me, but what a game! It was a nailbiter. And it was supposed to be an easy one on my path to a 4- and 6-leg parlay. This next one is only a must-win for half my bet... I just don't see the Rams winning here given their QB situation. Sad to root against "my team" for money but what are you gonna do.

Quote from: tyKiwanuka on January 09, 2021, 01:52:59 PM

The odds for the Seahawks went up throughout the week, but are coming down a bit now and I placed a bet on them ML @1.60 (as well).

That's comforting.

The rams waited all the way up to the end to name the starting qb. With the backup in, settle definately has a leg up. You are going to see a lot of running plays from the rams. I like the under on this game bigtime...and seattle spread

Lol both of these are looking awful right now.

With that being said Alex Smith out and Taylor Heineke starting for the WTF. Think this one is going to be the most lop sided game of the weekend. Bucs -8.5 might be the best bet of the weekend.

(Now here comes a 17-14 game Grin

)

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: suchmoon on January 09, 2021, 04:28:38 PM

Quote from: suchmoon on January 07, 2021, 05:19:10 PM

Bills -3.5

I'm off to a good start LOL

Now I gotta root for seachickens ugh

Hehe yes. 4th quarter was for the Colts. This is the perfect result for me, however. Colts +6.5 covers the spread and Mr. MVP Josh Allen goes to the divisional round.

morvillz7z

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Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!

Going on 4th down (take the FG instead) when you absolutely don't have to, your kicker missing an extra point, failed 2-pt conversion which was by the way pointless, wasting a precious timeout which might have helped you late in the game, i mean this could have played a lot better for the Colts, don't you think? Roll Eyes

I'm 1/2 on my bets, my main prop one hit with ease, Allen/Diggs and Taylor...but lost the other, needed 10 more yards from D.Knox.

I have nothing for the next two games today, i'm leaving all my ammo for Ravens/Titans matchup where i think have some good lines spotted.

wheelz1200

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Quote from: nutildah on January 09, 2021, 04:31:18 PM

Quote from: suchmoon on January 09, 2021, 04:28:38 PM

Quote from: suchmoon on January 07, 2021, 05:19:10 PM

Bills -3.5

I'm off to a good start LOL

Now I gotta root for seachickens ugh

It was a bit too close for comfort for me, but what a game! It was a nailbiter. And it was supposed to be an easy one on my path to a 4- and 6-leg parlay. This next one is only a must-win for half my bet... I just don't see the Rams winning here given their QB situation. Sad to root against "my team" for money but what are you gonna do.

Quote from: tyKiwanuka on January 09, 2021, 01:52:59 PM

The odds for the Seahawks went up throughout the week, but are coming down a bit now and I placed a bet on them ML @1.60 (as well).

That's comforting.

The rams waited all the way up to the end to name the starting qb. With the backup in, settle definately has a leg up. You are going to see a lot of running plays from the rams. I like the under on this game bigtime...and seattle spread

nutildah

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Quote from: suchmoon on January 09, 2021, 04:28:38 PM

Quote from: suchmoon on January 07, 2021, 05:19:10 PM

Bills -3.5

I'm off to a good start LOL

Now I gotta root for seachickens ugh

It was a bit too close for comfort for me, but what a game! It was a nailbiter. And it was supposed to be an easy one on my path to a 4- and 6-leg parlay. This next one is only a must-win for half my bet... I just don't see the Rams winning here given their QB situation. Sad to root against "my team" for money but what are you gonna do.

Quote from: tyKiwanuka on January 09, 2021, 01:52:59 PM

The odds for the Seahawks went up throughout the week, but are coming down a bit now and I placed a bet on them ML @1.60 (as well).

That's comforting.

suchmoon

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Quote from: suchmoon on January 07, 2021, 05:19:10 PM

Bills -3.5

I'm off to a good start LOL

Now I gotta root for seachickens ugh

DireWolfM14

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Quote from: South Park on January 08, 2021, 05:29:58 PM

This Super Wild Card Weekend is crazy I am getting worried that I will have to pull off a Homer Simpson if I want to watch the 3 games 2 days in a row.

Lol, I think the NFL is banking on it. Their revenues have been steadily declining over the last few years, and I'm sure the empty stadiums of 2020 only made things worse. The NFL is set to vote on a 17-game schedule this offseason, and it looks like a shoe-in. They're trying hard to combat what appears to be a lack of interest among younger Americans.

Quote from: suchmoon on January 09, 2021, 01:41:26 PM

Josh Allen's ability to throw on the run is frightening unless you're a Bills fan.

Seems like he's as natural at it as Patrick Mahomes. I remember when mobile quarterbacks, rolling to the right (or left if he wore #8) were the norm in the NFL. Then Belichick came on the seen with Drew Bledsoe and Tom Brady and everything changed. Now all that's old is new again.

Philip Rivers doesn't seem to care though.

tyKiwanuka

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#birdgang

The odds for the Seahawks went up throughout the week, but are coming down a bit now and I placed a bet on them ML @1.60 (as well). The 4 main reasons:

1) The SEA defense has improved so much over the course of the season, they have just allowed 14pts on average in the last games. It wasn't some high powered offenses, but they still found some groove and momentum.
2) I guess Goff will start, but he can't be at 100% with his thumb. The market just seems to wait for the announcement of Goff starting to pound the Rams, but I don't think this is smart.
3) The Seahawks are super healthy just at the right time:

Source: https://twitter.com/bcondotta/status/1346159885881229312

4) Despite missing their 12th man, Seahawks have a very good home record going 7-1 and only losing to the mighty Giants in a very weird game; this includes a 20-9 win against the Rams. The Rams had an average 4-4 away record this season.

Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 07, 2021, 10:36:46 PM

Redskins +8.5, should only be 6.5?

It looks like Heinicke might (have to) start, since Smith is still dealing with this calf injury. Even if Smith starts, it's not safe to assume he will go all 4 quarters, so I wouldn't recommend to put any bet on WFT. Defensively they should be fine, but you can't shut down TB completely, so you need at least a few points to cover the HC, let alone win this thing.

suchmoon

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Josh Allen's ability to throw on the run is frightening unless you're a Bills fan.

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: South Park on January 08, 2021, 05:29:58 PM

Quote from: tyKiwanuka on January 07, 2021, 04:29:48 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 07, 2021, 12:53:16 AM

Also, there is playoffs Henry who is very much different from regular season Henry hehe.

Hehe, if Henry will be even better in POs, then he has to rush for like 300yds. He already had one hell of a regular season and with 81yds more, he would have had the record for single season rushing yards, which is held by Dickerson with 2,105yds. Lets see, I like him, so would enjoy if he manages to find a even higher gear in POs Grin

That is a scary thought, Henry had an MVP level season if he is capable on improving upon his own performance then the Ravens are in trouble, however during the regular season when the Titans and the Ravens played each other Henry ran for 133 yards with 1 TD in 28 attempts, so he had a good performance but not anything close to what we know he can pull off when he is inspired.

This Super Wild Card Weekend is crazy I am getting worried that I will have to pull off a Homer Simpson if I want to watch the 3 games 2 days in a row.

Source: https://tenor.com/view/botana-the-simpsons-homer-couch-potato-movie-marathon-gif-5945711

Hehe I only care about the games of the Bills and the Colts, and the Titans and the Ravens. I do not understand why the best games for the wildcard are the first to play for each day.

nutildah

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Anything can happen of course but these next 6 games seem like some pretty easy picks, as far as ML is concerned. Here's who I have to win for each game:

Bills
Seahawks
Buccaneers
Ravens
Saints
Steelers

Both Seattle and Baltimore are -3 right now, so those are the closeIst games. I think an interesting 4-game parlay would be the remaining teams all at ML.

Right now, taking those 4 games as a parlay has a payout of about 2.9x.

Taking all 6 games has a payout of about 7.4x.

I'm gonna put 50% on the 4-game and 50% on the 6-game, so even if just 4 wins I'll still be up overall.

nfl nerd

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Bills ml is the bet of the weekend, imho. I may be new, but I know my nfl.

South Park

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I am terrible at Fantasy Football!!!

Quote from: tyKiwanuka on January 07, 2021, 04:29:48 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 07, 2021, 12:53:16 AM

Also, there is playoffs Henry who is very much different from regular season Henry hehe.

Hehe, if Henry will be even better in POs, then he has to rush for like 300yds. He already had one hell of a regular season and with 81yds more, he would have had the record for single season rushing yards, which is held by Dickerson with 2,105yds. Lets see, I like him, so would enjoy if he manages to find a even higher gear in POs Grin

That is a scary thought, Henry had an MVP level season if he is capable on improving upon his own performance then the Ravens are in trouble, however during the regular season when the Titans and the Ravens played each other Henry ran for 133 yards with 1 TD in 28 attempts, so he had a good performance but not anything close to what we know he can pull off when he is inspired.

This Super Wild Card Weekend is crazy I am getting worried that I will have to pull off a Homer Simpson if I want to watch the 3 games 2 days in a row.

Source: https://tenor.com/view/botana-the-simpsons-homer-couch-potato-movie-marathon-gif-5945711

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I am looking at the teams records and statistics. Something in me is saying that all the favorites might not cover the spread except for the Steelers. This is the playoffs with no fans. This might be more favorable for the underdogs.

Colts +6.5, sorry Josh Allen.
Redskins +8.5, should only be 6.5?
Titans moneyline and over rush yards for King Henry.

suchmoon

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I gave up. I can't find any appealing underdogs in this first round.

Buccaneers -3.5
Bills -3.5
Ravens ML
Steelers ML
Seahawks -2.5
Saints -5.5

And I placed bets on Ravens vs Bucs in SB, and Buckeyes ML just because.

tyKiwanuka

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#birdgang

Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 07, 2021, 12:53:16 AM

Also, there is playoffs Henry who is very much different from regular season Henry hehe.

Hehe, if Henry will be even better in POs, then he has to rush for like 300yds. He already had one hell of a regular season and with 81yds more, he would have had the record for single season rushing yards, which is held by Dickerson with 2,105yds. Lets see, I like him, so would enjoy if he manages to find a even higher gear in POs Grin

Quote from: wheelz1200 on January 07, 2021, 02:20:04 PM

One game I'm not touching is the titan Baltimore game. Rematch from last year and see them as dead even.

If you see this as 50/50, then you should definitely bet on the Titans, because it's good value. These two also played in November and Titans won in OT @Ravens with Lamar playing, so I can see why people like the Titans here - and odds for Ravens have gone up a bit - but I still see the Ravens winning this. TEN is not in that good form like last year and their defense is really very suspect.

Stake has a great NFL promo and you can bet there with some insurance, i.e. if Titans lead after Q3 and lose the game, you will still get paid out (up to $100). This promo is for all NFL games in PO and very nice imo: https://promotions.stake.com/nfl-promo/

wheelz1200

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I love the steelers money line now. Looks like Vernon is now out as well. He was a big part of the line and led the league in qb pressures. This will be huge since pitt is very pass heavy. Gimme pitt. Looking at the other games right now. Steering towards Buffalo as well. One game I'm not touching is the titan Baltimore game. Rematch from last year and see them as dead even.

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Quote from: tyKiwanuka on January 04, 2021, 07:00:14 AM

Here are the early odds:

Source: https://www.oddsportal.com/american-football/usa/nfl/

At first glance and with covid issues probably still to come, this looks all ok-ish to me. Bills are a bit low, but just a bit, maybe weather is already factored in. Though I kind of like the Titans I don't think they will look particularly good against the Ravens with the porous defense they have, so 1.5+ looks good here and I also like the over; this can go well into the 60's.

I have only begun looking at this.

Titans without handicap. Regular season Lamar is different from playoffs Lamar hehe. He was my MVP for last year, however, he has shown to be very useless during the playoffs.

Also, there is playoffs Henry who is very much different from regular season Henry hehe.

DireWolfM14

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Quote from: mrob82 on January 06, 2021, 02:49:48 PM

Any thoughts on what the Niners are going to do at QB? I mean, Jimmy G is well above average when he can stay on the field - but that's the problem, who knows if he can complete a full season - odds are a big no. Are they going to go after Stafford, Ryan, or Wentz. Or maybe they will find a trade partner in the draft to move up. Should make the first part of the draft fairly interesting.

I like Garoppolo also, and I wish he could stay healthy. If I'm not mistaken he started all 19 games last season, that was a good streak. I think the plan all along was to restructure his contract after two years, and give it that time to really evaluate his performance. In my opinion; I don't think that Shanahan is sold on G-Money. If he won't restructure then I don't think they can afford to keep him. They structured his deal in a way that gives them the option of releasing him and taking a very small hit to the salary cap. They have a lot of UFAs this offseason, and many are worth keeping. I think Kittle might be among them. Shocked

Safford, Ryan, Wentz? Cry

None of them sounds appealing, I'd try to resign Garoppolo over that bunch. Wentz could possibly succeed in customized Shanahan system, and we know Ryan can, but ugh! So bleak. And I seriously doubt the Niners will draft a quarterback in the first round, but they should definitely be looking for the next franchise QB. In 2018 Shanahan may have had hopes of reuniting with Kirk Cousins in 2021, but Kirk has signed an extension with the Vikings. He's holding pat in Minnesota until 2023.

Topic: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 - page 211. (Read 58731 times)