Topic: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 - page 239. (Read 57541 times)

I KNOW, I KNOW.  Stop making it worse. [/s]

They lost to the Eagle last week, now Jimmy G. is looking as bad as Mullens did.  Fuck!  Come on, 9ers, lets see some hustle in the 2nd half.

Damn, G-Money just threw another interception!

Told ya so, perfect 3/3 on the day including the prop bet with Murray and Hopkins, hell yeah!

I think i'm going to skip the rest of the games and walk away clean, even though i wanted to put something on the Vikings, they got a win last week, Cook with 2TDs and Seahawks pass defense is really bad, Thielen and Justin Jefferson are primed to get big numbers imo.

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This was the game that i watched, Raiders clamped the Chiefs in the second half, they couldn't get anything on offense, Mahomes with first inteception of the season. Impressed with Gruden chosing to go on 4th and 1 being 8pts ahead with 2 minutes left and Chiefs no timeouts...this could have backfired badly if they didn't get Carr's QB sneak...but it worked.

Not looking peachy for 49ers either, Garoppolo with 2 interceptions down 23pts...let's see if they can make a comeback.

You should of put money on it mate, the Raiders won easily which was a huge upset. Now that's the kind of value that can really make people a lot of money with parlays. I didn't play any parlays this week and just placed a straight ML bet on the Colts to win.

The Dolphins are also looking good for an upset win right now.

The Raiders are less than minutes away from pulling off the biggest upset of the season.  I almost predicted this after KC's first possession, they seem off a bit.  I don't really have a dog in the fight, but I'm still holding a grudge against the Chiefs from February.  

Go Raiders? 

How are you guys liking these afternoon/night games ? Right now I am feeling Seattle over Minnesota, Seattle being at -6.5. O/U is 55 which I am kinda feeling the over for as well. I also like Indianapolis over Cleveland at +1. I think Indy has proven to be pretty damn good and the Browns to me have yet to really prove it.

Anyone have any bets laid out for this second half of games they love ?

I have a feeling the Rams might disappoint you. WAS were poor in their last games after that surprising win in week 1 against the Eagles, but Haskins was benched and Allen will take over, who has done very well in his first games with Carolina. QB change (if not for injury) always gives a little push and motivation to teams. On top of that WAS will have Young back today as it seems and Rams already struggled against a weaker Giants defense last week. Not advising a bet on WAS, but if this parlay fails, it will be due to the Rams laying an egg imo

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I am trying my luck with Houston -6 today. Texans had a bad start, but against good opposition (Ravens, Chiefs, Steelers, Vikings), so being 0-4 looks worse than it actually is. Nevertheless O'Brien had to leave and they can start all over, pretending they are 0-0. Rumours say that he lost the locker room and a new head coach (although only interim) can do wonders in such cases. Jags are and were a bit so and so, but last two games weren't very convincing against CIN/MIA and both resulted in losses. They are just not healthy right now and their struggling defense will be even weaker with Allen out, Henderson most likely out and Jack not at 100%. This is a divisional matchup, so high-ish HC's are always a bit meh, but JAX defense was already shitty before and is now missing very important players on top.

All-in against the Jets!

I was able to take the spread at -6.5, i honestly think they will lose by 10 pts or more, Cards need a bounce back game after last week's loss to Panthers. Flacco will start in place of Darnold, they will have Le'Veon Bell back but he's been out for a month now, don't expect much from him in his first game, NYJ are just sooo bad...no brainer for me to go against them.

Have the Cardinals ml + Steelers ml + Ravens ml as my main ticket. Murray 1+ rushing TD + DHop 65+ receiving yards and Cards to win @4.00 in a separeate bet.

Who are y'all going with tomorrow? I just put in a non-dangerous parlay with Rams, Chiefs and 49ers to win ML -- comes out to 1.86x. I'm feeling pretty decent about it, but you never know of course. There's usually at least 1 good upset every week.

Thursday night was a crap night for me as not only did the Bucs lose but so did my bet on the Baseball. Anyway we can look forward to Sunday's games which I'm still working on as I try and find some value like I have in the past 2 weeks. I will also try and post my picks on here if I have time.

Foles is a fan of big play wide recievers so thats not too far off.  And the bears might find themselves in a shootout.  Remer its brady, he doesn't need top flight wide recievers to have a killer day.  I'd take that yrds plus 1.5 foles tds parlay.

I was about to put a prop bet on Ronald Jones total rushing yards but i see Fournette has miraculously made it and will play tonight.

I don't know but i'm not feeling the Bucs, no Goodwin, Evans will play but hasn't practiced all week, O.J. Howard done for the year, they are a little banged up vs. decent Bears pass defense.

Allen Robinson is in one of my fantasy teams and i need him to have a big game, so O74.5 receiving yards + Nick Foles O1.5 pass TD for the lolz

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edit;

Bears with a huge defensive play to force a fumble late in the 2nd, that's 14 unanswered pts.

I need 23 yards from Robinson in the 2HF, and one more TD from Foles. Should've taken Jones O64.5 too, 56 yds atm.

I like this one too.  The bucs game i think is one of the better bets all week.  The yanks and rays i can actually see as a low scoring grind it out game.  There have been so many hrs this series and so many runs each game but it can't continue there has to be one low scoring game, but as long as its 10-0 yanks than all good either way.  Good luck 

I think this is a good bet mate. I also like the Bucs tonight and I'm confident that Brady will score over 1.5 passing TDs. I'm still deciding on whether to take the Bucs ML in a parlay with the Dodgers ML and the Yankees/Rays over 9. I think this could be a good parlay for the night. Anyway good luck with your bets everyone! I'm more so looking forward to Sunday's games as I see some potential value in a couple of the games.

I went with the Bucs for tonight's TNF and combined it with a Brady prop over 1.5 passing TD since his stats for passing TDs in the last four is 2,1,3,5. Also their three wins looks more impressive compared to the Bears since they had a much difficult schedule and I feel like they're more prepared heading in to this match. I was going to take the handicap but the difference between 2.5 and 3.5 is massive so I went with the match winner in case there's a missed extra point.  

Edit : The Bucs had a good chance in the 4th quarter for a touchdown when they're 3rd down then gained 15 they fell a yard short on the first down but decided to punt it instead of going for it when they're that close to the first and goal.

He is.  The odds also account for bigger market longer shots too.  The cowboys get a lot more national air time.  Dak is more well known than Josh Allen.  And no matter what vegas always skews towards those teams/players.  Happens the same with the Yankees in baseball, Lakers in NBA, Cowboys always have decent odds to win the super bowl no matter how awful their team is. 

The reason those odds are always like that because more money comes in on those teams/players because they are more well known and not really who is in line to really win. 

Yes, agree generally. But the fact that Allen is 4-0 and Prescott is 1-3 and they have the same MVP odds, is telling something, because Prescott is on pace for one hell of a season stat-wise:


According to the article, to just break - not shatter - the record, he needs 316 yds/game for the rest of the season, which is very doable (remember they still play our Giants twice, although the defense was fine against the Rams ). And they have the easiest remaining schedule of all NFL teams, so a winning record is still very much in reach. If we assume them sweeping WAS/NYG, they are already at 5-3 virtually. Bills still have a lot of tough games on their schedule, as I wrote the other day: Titans, Chiefs, Patriots (2), Seahawks, 49ers, Steelers.

Sitting at 4-0 id run with Allen than I would Prescott at this point.  Even of the cowboys win the division it will be with an 8-8 record or something like that.  Usually mvp comes out of the top couple teams in the league.  Unless he shatters records Prescott ain't winning it since Dallas defense is trash.

That trade was probably what had him on risk to begin with but that was not his only mistake, the Texans have no 1st or 2nd round picks for the next year, they are the oldest NFL team, it seems they are at least 10 million over the cap for the next year, the awful loss against KC on the playoffs and the controversial play calling on that game was a problem and now they had a 0-4 start , and while they have Watson as a draw to try to bring qualified candidates for the coach and GM positions most likely whoever goes there will ask for a very long contract since they will have their hands tied up for the first 2 years until they clean up the mess O’Brien made.

QB's are normally not hidden in the field, since they are very likely to win MVP. According to this and this he was around 50-70 before the season. Now he is around 12 - the same as Prescott, who I think has a good shot, if Dallas starts to win.

Was lightly looking through the sites but can't find it.  I'm assuming josh allen didn't have specific odds on him.  He would be grouped into the field odds which usually aren't incredibly great because there is a large range of people in the field.